Billy Claude
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Posts posted by Billy Claude
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The games are already too long. No need to lengthen them even more.
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1 hour ago, Big Turk said:
I'm referring to the games in Buffalo. Are you really that dense? I feel like I am trying to explain it to a 5 year old and I am running out of ways to try and explain it so you can understand.
It is a legitimate question though difficult to demonstrate with a small sample size and based on the pats playoff game, perhaps he figured it out.
You should have realized that you will get flamed even if you even hint at an area where Josh Allen is not absolutely the greatest. Luckily, Allen does not feel the same way. Every off season, Allen identifies areas where he can improve and works on it.
As an example, most of the people on the board blame the Bills bad yards-after-catch on Daboll's play-calling and receivers not having enough speed or breaking tackles. Allen however, takes some of the blame himself and says ball placement is one of the things he will work on this summer.
Allen's ability to be willing to be self-critical in a constructive manner is one of the main things that I find remarkable about him.
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So according to Lewan, nobody in the know pays any attention to the the PFF ratings, yet some players are willing to kick in 50K to get higher ratings.
Is there a contradiction there?
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On 5/7/2022 at 7:42 AM, Beerball said:
You know, this is just another example of the NFL sticking it to Buffalo. They don't want TPegs & Co. to wow the USA, they want to keep the Bills bottled up. LAC and KC are both getting more miles than Buffalo. When will the NFL realize that the Bills are a national treasure? It's also amazing how far Pittsburgh has fallen, no longer the golden boys of the NFL.
The top two? Texass and ne. Big ***** surprise.
For some weird reason the screenshot shows the middle of the list, not the top of the list. If you go to the actual tweet you will see that Dallas and New England are 12 and 13th respectively. The highest were Seattle 29,446 and then Denver at 27,398 both of which are going to Europe. In general, all the teams above Dallas are either playing internationally or on the west coast, i.e., LA Chargers.
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15 hours ago, Doc Brown said:
A healthy Baker? Dolphins, Pats, Jets, Texans, Seahawks, Falcons, Lions, Bears, Eagles, Redskins, Panthers, Steelers, Saints
Worth the baggage and the money - Progressive.
I would add the Giants also.
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I did not notice the 2nd response.
1 hour ago, Alphadawg7 said:First off, no disrespect, but saying he "started 7 games" is not a barometer of him being a bust or not. If that was true, Cody Ford would not be considered a bust.
As I noted in the previous message, my main issue was with the statement that "
I laugh inwardly every time I read a post about how Beane will keep draft picks who shouldn’t be on the team only because he doesn’t want to admit he was wrong."
Cody Ford has been given three years. A 5th round draft choice that starts 7 games his rookie year is not a bust. A 2nd round draft choice that starts 7 games his first 3 years is a bust. (I know he has started more than 7 games -- I am just referring to your statement.)
You are obsessed with this ego thing. Its Beane's job to get the most value out of all our assets. Whether its using a draft asset to pick a player or trading a player for draft picks or other players. What on earth does that have to do with his ego?
I am only referring to ego because of the statement "I laugh inwardly every time I read a post about how Beane will keep draft picks who shouldn’t be on the team only because he doesn’t want to admit he was wrong." Obviously anyone in Beane's position has to have massive egos. Otherwise he would be unable to do his job.
Ok, this here is just a narrative you have created, not at all what the coaching staff felt. Teller wasn't better than all 3 of them by the end of the season. You just saying that doesn't make it true. You seem to have this notion that Teller was playing great, but Beane decided to trade him because it boosted his ego to get more than he invested in Teller back in trade. Beane is here to win SB's, not make ego moves. Not a chance he trades Teller if he was playing better than our other guys. Sorry, but his is just a narrative you created to support your opinion, but its completely contradictory to the front offices decisions and opinions.
Maybe the coaching staff did not feel that way, however, the Cleveland Browns certainly did -- they gave up more than the Bills used to draft him. Also many people on the board felt that he was doing a very promising job.
First off, he volunteered the info, he wasn't grilled on it. He literally owned the mistake (instead of trying to blanket some excuses to make it look like it wasn't really a bad call at the time) and identified the key factor in what he did wrong and how he will correct that moving forward. His number 1 mistake was not giving him enough time, and said he wouldn't make that mistake again.
And Cody Ford was not even mentioned. But you look at that logic with Ford, and it makes sense why some fans are still up in arms about Ford and puzzled why he is still here. First off, he wasn't a total bust, there were some times especially early where he looked like he had some promise. He has also struggled a lot too, but he has also switched positions from college to the Pros which a lot of people over look.
The only reason I mention Cody Ford was the the aforementioned statement about the inward laughing (at least I believe) was clearly in reference to either Cody Ford or Edmunds. I just don't feel that trading a 5th rounder has anything to do with either case. I am not making a statement Beane is keeping these guys because of ego -- I am just saying that the Teller trade says nothing about this.
This over exaggerated response of yours above that I bolded is just silly. Literally no one has even remotely suggested that, nor has anything Beane said or done remotely suggested that. Its just another over the top statement thats unnecessary here.
In fact, what I and just about everyone I have seen discuss Ford have said that this is probably his last chance and his most important camp of his career. Its reasonable that they are interested to see if Kromer (widely considered one of the best OL coaches in the game, if not the best) and a different blocking scheme can help Ford get back on track. But make no mistake, his job security is long gone, and he is going to have to earn his roster spot if he wants to stick around.
This I agree with.
There is no GM in history that is a GM god. No one bats .1000 in the draft of personnel decisions. Widely considered one of the best all time, and often the best GM all time, Bill Walsh traded up to get JJ Stokes in the first and called him the next Jerry Rice. He also said Jim Drunkenmiller had Joe Montana potential.
Beane is already considered amongst the league bests right now, and many (myself included) see him as the top GM in the NFL right now. And that will only get more widespread and cemented when we hoist the Lombardi Trophy for the first time.
That was my point was that he is not "GM god" but many people on this board seem to behave like he is. After every draft everyone is able to convince themselves that every pick is a good pick. Do I know, of course not.
I think Beane is a very good GM. Is he the best? in my opinion, not yet, but that is just my opinion, I certainly hope that he becomes so.
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6 hours ago, eball said:
And I have repeatedly said the same. It’s Cody’s last chance. But if you don’t think the Teller situation is a factor in Beane wanting to give Cody a chance I think you’re naive. Beane hasn’t given Cody a 2nd contract; he hasn’t insisted he get playing time. Those are coaching decisions. Ford has also been hurt a lot. The odds are far greater that we’ve seen the last of Cody on a Bills’ regular season roster than otherwise.
I also strongly disagree with your premise that Beane gave an “easy answer” on the Teller situation. He did the opposite — he went in depth on his thinking about what was happening at the time. He could have continued to say he made the right decision at the time but he didn’t — he said he wished he had been more patient. Beane has admitted other mistakes as well, such as botching the QB situation in Josh’s rookie year.
BBB is a guy who checks all the boxes in terms of integrity, honesty, and accountability. He doesn’t pat himself on the back for his good decisions (he shares credit) and he accepts responsibility for his bad ones.
And I’m sorry, looking at what the Bills were when he got here to what they are now, and understanding that being a GM is infinitely more complex than it was when Polian was around, I think he may already be the best GM we’ve ever had.
My primary response was to the statement "I laugh inwardly every time I read a post about how Beane will keep draft picks who shouldn’t be on the team only because he doesn’t want to admit he was wrong."
I just don't see how trading a 5th round draft pick who was trending upwards has anything to do with Beane possibly being too loyal to his high round draft choices. The only connection between Wyatt Teller and Cody Ford are that they are offensive linemen.
On Beane admitting when he makes mistakes; I was probably over-zealous in my comment -- I agree that Beane tends to admit his mistakes more than most GMs will. It is just for the specific case of Wyatt Teller, the mistake is so obvious that admitting it really doesn't amount to mucj.
On your last point regarding Beane vs. Polian. I think Beane has done a very good job, the statement that he is the best Bills' GM since Polian was meant to be a compliment, though perhaps now that I think of it, a fairly low bar. Beane might get there eventually but I will have to disagree that his record at the present exceeds that of Bill Polian who is in the Hall of Fame.
As for it being a simpler time, I don't see how that is relevant -- Polian had to be better than a vast majority of the other GMs unless you want to make a big deal out it being 31 other GMs now instead of 27 then. I hope that eventually, I can agree with you that Beane is better than Polian, but as of right now, we will just have to disagree.
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11 hours ago, eball said:
First of all, thanks for the great post, but this paragraph should be required reading for everyone wanting to kick Cody Ford to the curb. I agree that Beane being willing to own up to the Teller mistake says a lot about his integrity, honesty, and lack of ego.
I laugh inwardly every time I read a post about how Beane will keep draft picks who shouldn’t be on the team only because he doesn’t want to admit he was wrong.
I have to disagree. I don't feel that the Wyatt Teller situation has any relevance to the Cody Ford situation.
First, there's a huge difference in the hit to Beane's ego in having a 2nd rounder you traded up for bust versus a 5th rounder. No one is going to say much about a 5th round bust.
Second, Wyatt Teller was not a bust in Buffalo. He was a 5th round pick who started 7 games as a rookie, albeit due to injuries. Furthermore, he was looking more and more competent as the season when on. It was a very successful pick by any measure. Cody Ford, on the other hand, has shown nothing in three years.
Third, Beane was widely praise for getting more draft capital back from the Teller trade than he used to pick him, so the trade was a boost to Beane's ego not a hit.
The mistake that Beane made was that assuming the mostly JAG oline guys that he signed, Winters, Feliciano, and Spain, were better than Teller. By the end of that season Teller was better than all three of them (I know Winters was signed mostly as backup center, but I believe he also played some guard).
Finally, what was Beane supposed to say about the Teller trade? That it was a good decision? That would sound moronic. His answer sounds like a trite response to the standard interview question: Name one mistake you made and what you learned from it. If what he learned was that you need to keep Cody Ford around no matter what, just in case he develops, then Beane probably learned the wrong thing. I am not arguing that they need to cut Ford now, but if he doesn't show anything in training camp/preseason they should definitely be very actively looking.
Beane is the best Bills' GM since Bill Polian. However, he is not GM god, at least not yet.
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1 hour ago, Mr. WEO said:
Hue Jackson initially agreed to talk with Mary Jo White for this investigation. Then he never showed up. He had his chance to say anything he wanted to and back it up.
He had nothing. Instead, the investigation confirmed he is the worst HC in NFL history--who didn't already know that?
OK. Didn't know that he refused to cooperate. In that case, Jackson only has himself to blame.
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Hue Jackson claimed he was given bonuses for things like most snaps by rookies or having the youngest roster in the league. So the "independent" investigation can find that there were no specific decisions to incentivize losses without Jackson lying about the specific bonuses that he did receive.
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12 minutes ago, Nextmanup said:
To the OP: I assume this means Mel Kiper did not finish in the top 14.
Did you add up a score for him? I'm just curious how bad it is.
24 minutes ago, The Dean said:Fantastic!
BTW, what were Kiper and Shay's scores?
I did not do Kiper and Shay's scores since they are behind a paywall so I don't have access. The CBS and PFF were chosen just because they had all their mocks easily accessible from a single webpage and the other 3 were national sites that came up early on Google.
2 hours ago, cage said:I don't want to belabor it as I have much respect for Bill's insights, but a miss of a few slots in the top 5 penalizes almost as much 2+ round misses on QBs that people were projecting going in the 1st
Certainly there are other metrics that one could use and might be better but I don't want to make up my own. I chose Jimmy Johnson's draft points since it is well known and from the GM's point of view drafting a total bust with #2 pick is much more likely to get you fired than a total bust at #32. That should hold for mock drafters also -- but again there can certainly be better metrics.
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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:
By the method here https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/accuracy/mock-drafts.php I'd have come 57th out of 164. By that method my weak spot was picks 11-20. I aced 1-10 and did well 21-32. But those middle 10 picks with all those trades and trades involving players etc knocked me off course.
I didn't know there was a website that already did something like this.
I agree that a slight change in the metric would change the order. Moving one pick in the top five mocks would put them first. So I don't doubt the order at the top would have changed if the Bill's secret point value system was used instead.
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1 hour ago, cage said:
I always read @GunnerBill posts as he has excellent insight, but is that the best way to evaluate? There's a big point slide scale across Round 1. Won't that over-penalize for inaccuracy at the top of the round vs. those at the bottom. Make a mistake on one guy in the top 10, Stingley was picked much higher than many expected, and you've blown the whole mock. Perhaps some of these guys in the lower end of your list did much better later in the round, where the picking is far more difficult.
I specifically chose this method to penalize misses at the beginning of the round more than ones later in the round. A miss by 3 slots in the top 5 is not very good, but a miss by 3 slots in 28 to 32 range is doing a pretty good job.
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I thought it would be interesting to see how @GunnerBill ’s mock objectively compared to others. To do this, I used the Jimmy Johnson draft pick value chart and assign penalty points based on how far the mock pick was from the actual pick. For example, if a mock had Derek Stingley picked 5th (1700 draft points) whereas he was actually picked 3rd (2200 draft points), the mock draft was assigned 500 penalty points. This was done for 14 mock drafts.
Long story short, it appers that GunnerBill knows what he is talking about as his draft finished first.
1. GunnerBill 6950 penalty points (lower is better)
2. Michael Renner (PFF) 7046
3. Trevor Sikkema (PFF) 7090
4. Chris Traapsso (CBS) 7136
5. Ari Meirov (PFF) 7290
6. Ryan Wilson (CBS) 7586
7. Charles Davis (NFL.com) 7690
8. Josh Edwards (CBS) 8045
9. Chris Collinsworth (PFF) 8546
10. Pete Prisco (CBS) 9080
11. Doug Kyed (PFF) 9577
12. Kyle Stackpole (CBS) 10175
13. Christian D’Andrea (USA Today) 12291
14. Vinnie Iyer (Sporting News) 13445
So GunerBill’s mock was the best match by a narrow margin. One can argue the top five drafts were similar in quality. For example, Michael Renner would have won easily based on the top 31 picks but he had Sam Howell who was picked in the 5th round as his pick #32.
Some other points of interest:
19 players appears in all 14 mock drafts. One, Malik Willis, was not selected in the first round.
23 players appears in 12 or more mock drafts. Two, Willis and Andrew Booth were not selected in the first round.
Only one player selected in the first round did not appear in any mock draft (Cole Strange)
Kaiir Elam appears in 6 out of the 14 mock drafts with the earliest at #25 (to the Bills).
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7 hours ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:
For the most part agree as usually the info they are missing would just bring a players grade down never up. And that's likely why the player has dropped, but they doesn't know that. A team will either get ripped for taking a guy to high or prasied for getting a guy lower than they should have, but that's more dumb luck than being smart.
It's like everyone still praises NE for drafting Brady. Really they should just be ripping the other 31 teams for passing. If NE had really been smart, they'd have drafted him earlier.
This is a good point. The draft graders to not have access to the interviews or medicals, both of which tend to lower the players draft position.
I would argue that a consensus bad draft grade from the pundits tend to be pretty accurate while a good draft grade is meaningless. Over the last few years, the Raiders, Giants, and Seahawks have been generally ripped for their drafts, and deservedly so, as two of the GMs are no longer with their teams.
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50 minutes ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:
Was listening to Bill Polian yesterday on the radio. He was kind of ripping all these mock drafters which is still a large step up from most posters here. He talked about how these people don't have half the information NFL teams have such as; medical, psychological, and background check
So his take was for them (and posters) to praise or rip a pick is useless as they likely have little idea what went into the selection.
It is true that they don't have all the information, however, if there is a general consensus that a pick is a huge reach, it usually turns out the draft graders are correct.
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8 hours ago, Big Blitz said:
It is surprising to me that the biggest reach in absolute draft position during the 4 years is Pittsburgh picking Terrell Edmunds 106 positions higher than predicted in 2018. You don't really think of the Steelers as a front office that reaches a lot.
He hasn't been a bust but probably a bit of a disappointment. He was a RFA this year who got no interest from other teams and re-signed with the Steelers for 1 yr at 2.5M.
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2 hours ago, YoloinOhio said:
Talk about a misleading tweet. if you click on the link and read the article (shocking, I know) it essentially says that Florio and Simms is pushing this story but the writer does not believe it since the Dolphins are more than a QB away (since they would not have enough draft capital to get Tyreke Hill if they traded a first for Sean Payton). So is screwing over Belichick really enough motivation for Brady to want to join the Dolphins?
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6 hours ago, eball said:
You just described every Cleveland Browns fan.
Absolutely. I was pretty sure all that stuff about becoming Bills fans was temporary. Of course, the outrage will come back if the Browns don't win.
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Revenge porn is illegal almost everywhere although I am not sure sending the pictures to two "celebrities" count.
From ballotpedia:
As of February 2021, 46 states and Washington D.C. had passed laws prohibiting the distribution or production of nonconsensual pornography.
Nonconsensual pornography refers to the distribution of sexual or pornographic images of individuals without their consent. This may include images taken without consent or images taken with consent but later distributed without the consent of those in the images. These images are sometimes referred to as revenge porn.
Yes, it is a pretty slimy thing to do if Von Miller actually did this No, I am not outraged but it is certainly disappointing.
However, there is no need to defend the guy's actions just because he is a Bill. We are reaching the point in society that people are willing to defend anything someone does as long as the person is on their team.
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4 hours ago, PromoTheRobot said:
Hmmm.
They seem to have forgotten to mention that the Detroit Pistons were the third worse team in the NBA this season. No one wants to watch a team if they are fairly certain to lose even before the game starts, not even Sabres fans.
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4 hours ago, maddenboy said:
-But nobody was being arrested during Covid
-And there's so much 'de-criminalization' going on as a trend, which would certainly account for a descending trend. Especially considering that its largely drugs being decriminalized, which only leaves DUI or DV for the self-respecting 21-30 year old male millionaire.
Agree that the numbers might have been down the last two years due to Covid but there was a clear downward trend even before 2020.Here are the 5 year averages and standard deviations
2000-2004 42 +/- 2
2005-2009 60 +/- 10 (max 71 in 2006)
2010-2014 52 +/- 6 (61 in 2013)
2015-2019 33 +/- 5 (pre-covid min of 28 in 2016 and 29 in last precovid year)
2020-2021 19 +/- 2 (probably affected by covid)
In any case, even 33 out of approximately 2000 players is still much lower than expected for that number of 21 to 30 year old males though probably higher than those that make over 150K.
In general, 21 to 30 year old males do a lot of stupid things independent of whether they are NFL players or not.
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34 minutes ago, turftoe said:
Levi never was known for his style.
I would think the Saints would be more appropriate if those were the shorts.
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7 hours ago, Kmart128 said:
Is it tho... how many employers that only hire 53 people have 1 arrest a year.
A whole lot more than you think, given that there were 10 million arrests in the US in 2019 including over 1 million for DUI. It would be even more likely that an employee would be arrested if most of the company consisted mostly of males between 21 to 30 years old.
See the overview from the FBI in the middle of the page:
https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2019/crime-in-the-u.s.-2019/topic-pages/persons-arrested
Zach Wilson - He’s “thick” now 😱
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by Billy Claude
His main issues last year were skipping swing passes, holding the ball for too long, and turning 5 yards losses into 15 yard sacks. Not sure how getting more muscular helps those things.