Billy Claude
-
Posts
710 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by Billy Claude
-
-
52 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
I think he is one of the best leaders in the NFL and I am on record as saying I think that is the single biggest quality you want in a Head Coach. He is also onto basically his third team in Pit, he has taken them to two Superbowls and won one. That said for much of the last decade they couldn't get past New England despite equal if not great talent in many of those years. However, last year was a hell of a coaching job and I even think this year getting this team to 11-0 (I know their schedule was not the toughest) is a significant achievement. He hasn't had a losing season in 14 years in the job. That is pretty great.
My take is he is just below the very top rung of NFL coaches - Belichick, Harbaugh, Reid and Payton. He sits in that next bucket somewhere with Pete Carroll as a great leader, with the numbers to back it up.... but who you just feel when it gets down to the Xs and Os can be outdone.
Wasn't this what they said about Andy Reid before he won the last Super Bowl -- i.e.., that he was a very good coach but would always get out-coached in the big games?
-
Definition of misleading use of statistics. It makes sense that your not going to get as many yards in cold weather but you can tell nothing this small a sample size.
-
3
-
-
56 minutes ago, Billsfan1972 said:
With lower yards, % completions, avg/attempt an Int & a fumble (not lost).
Not defending it, but QBR is the only rating system that includes QB runs so that undoubtedly contributed to Jackson's better than expected numbers.
-
Here it is:
https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/10/dolphins-steelers-blitz-touchdown-tanking
"Everyone thinks a bizarre Dolphins play call is proof of tanking"
It wasn't a Hail Mary but a sell out blitz on a 3rd and 20 that led to a 55 yard Steeler touchdown.
-
21 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:
Aaaaannnnnnnd there's this:
I am pretty sure someone did this against the steelers in a hail mary last year also but it was at the end of the half instead of the game. Perhaps the dolphins. -
3 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
You don't blitz Trubisky because it means playing man on the backend and he really struggles reading zone coverages. What you will see teams do a lot against Trubisky is show blitz then drop would be blitzers out into shallow zones. He struggled with that in college and he struggles with it in the NFL. He is good for a few picks a season in exactly that manner.
Haven't really studied Minshew in enough depth to know why teams don't blitz him.
Thanks. Makes sense.
-
1
-
-
11 minutes ago, Thurman#1 said:
Wow, interesting.
And to be #4 in blitz percentage and #25 in hurry percentage is crazy good.
Top of list is all young qbs except for Flacco and Newton.
Most of bottom of list all veterans (Rivers, Brees, Smith, Brady) and Mahomes is a special case but why don't people blitz Trubisky and Minshew?
-
20 hours ago, MJS said:
That's the total number of blitzes, right? But what's the percentage of times he is blitzed?
Here it using Pro Football reference data:
Definitions:
Blitz % = # Blitz/Dropbacks = # Blitz/( #Atts + #Scrambles+ #Sacks)
Hurry % = (#sacks + #hurrys + #hits + #scrambes)/ Dropbacks
100 dropbacks or more
Allen #4 in blitz percentage and #25 in hurry percentage
Blitz % Hurry % Tua Tagovailoa 44.6% 14.3% Cam Newton 44.1% 27.5% Joe Flacco 38.4% 29.5% Josh Allen 38.3% 20.6% Daniel Jones 38.2% 27.5% Jake Luton 37.3% 21.2% Sam Darnold 37.2% 27.9% Baker Mayfield 34.1% 14.5% Andy Dalton 33.9% 14.6% Ryan Fitzpatrick 33.6% 21.9% Carson Wentz 33.4% 27.0% Jared Goff 32.9% 15.5% Matthew Stafford 32.4% 23.3% Nick Mullens 32.3% 30.0% Jimmy Garoppolo 32.3% 20.0% Ryan Tannehill 31.9% 23.1% Aaron Rodgers 31.8% 13.1% Derek Carr 31.0% 17.7% Russell Wilson 30.9% 27.0% Joe Burrow 30.5% 20.8% Kirk Cousins 30.0% 24.9% Ben Roethlisberger 29.7% 15.3% Nick Foles 29.5% 21.4% Drew Lock 29.2% 24.1% Deshaun Watson 29.1% 23.8% Justin Herbert 28.8% 26.1% Teddy Bridgewater 27.8% 18.4% Matt Ryan 27.1% 24.4% Dak Prescott 27.1% 21.3% Lamar Jackson 25.5% 22.1% Dwayne Haskins 24.5% 22.7% Kyler Murray 24.4% 17.3% Tom Brady 23.3% 16.8% Drew Brees 22.9% 13.5% Alex Smith 22.0% 29.5% Gardner Minshew II 21.0% 21.9% Mitchell Trubisky 20.4% 21.1% Philip Rivers 20.1% 14.7% Patrick Mahomes 19.7% 20.1% -
26 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
Our running backs are another example IMO. Both of them can play. They are NFL players. But not sure either has what it takes to be a top end running back. They are both good #2 types for me. Contributors, but not difference makers.
Based on their play at the end of last season, I was hoping to see a big step up from both Tremaine Edmunds and Ed Oliver. For whatever reason it hasn't happened though they have been looking better recently. If either one becomes real stars, there would be no question that Beane is one of the top drafting GMs.
-
1
-
-
6 hours ago, MJS said:
So an average gain of 3.15 yards (taking out the 44 yard play), or 4.67 if you include the 44 yard play.
Not great. But also not the end of the world. The most concerning bit is the two fumbles, but the down has nothing to do with fumbling it.
Probably a more meaningful stat than the average is the median which was 2 yards. In fact, not counting fumbles, they were on 2nd and 8 or longer 13 out of 22 times.
I don't know what the league median is on first downs but I assume more than 2 yards.
-
2
-
-
If you count Cleveland Nick Saban, Kirk Ferentz, and Jim Swartz are all in the Bellichek tree. If you take into account he was also GM there, you can also Ozzie Newsome, Scott Pioli and Phil Savage also.
-
10 hours ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said:
I don't understand why some folks obsess over the national media so much. Allen has gotten a ton of positive press this year and now Tua is because it was bold and controversial for Flores to pull Fitz and so far they're 2-0.
Here's the thing - now that we have a great QB that will perennially make us a playoff team, we should WANT Tua to be great. Screw sneaking into the playoffs because the rest of the AFC is bad too. Give me a bitter rivalry. I want to watch legendary matchups between Allen and Tua, Allen and Herbert, Allen and Lamar, Allen and Mahomes. Let the Pats and Jets be the dullards of the division.
On Sportscenter on Sunday they started with showing two or three bad throws that Mahomes made in the first quarter and then showing how good he was the rest of the game. If they did this with Allen half the board would be up in arms about why the media is blatantly hates the Bills.
-
45 minutes ago, Ya Digg? said:
Oh there can certainly be criticism, just don’t know how we went from “Beane is a salary cap genius” to “Beane needs to be fired” so quickly by so many people
I assume they are not the same people but I could be wrong.
-
2 hours ago, Buffalo716 said:
Bass also had a rough week one. That was by far his worst week
Take that week away and his numbers look a lot better
He's getting more confidence and has a live leg
we literally don't win the game without him yesterday and there's not a kicker we could get that would make those kicks he made from 45 plus out
He absolutely deserves credit for his pressure kicking
He's going to win special teams player of the week and people are trashing him
I absolutely agree that he has improved. I do not understand people saying 6 for 8 fg kicking is a good game.
-
I understand the guy is a rookie and that everyone wants him to do well but it is unreasonable for people to give him game balls for a 6 out of 8 days.
From the discussion it appears that people are still looking at stats from the 1990's or cherry picking a few kickers having bad years.
The NFL field goal percentage this year is 85% (341 our of 401). The field goal percentage from 40 to 49 is 80.6% and for 50 or higher is 62%.
Tyler Bass is at 71% total, he has hit 5 out of 6 kicks from 40 to 49 is at 83.3% and 1 out of 2 from 50. Only 7 out of 124 fgs from 30 to 39 has been missed. Bass has missed three of them.Out of the top 32 kickers by attempts (5 or more), Tyler Bass ranks 28th in field goal percentage. Twelve kickers are over 90% and 21 are over 80%.
The four kickers behind him are Michael Badgley, Jake Elliot, Dustin Hopkins and Steven Gostkowski, three of which have a records of success and Gostkowski has hit 5 out of 5 kicks 50 yards or more.
I understand the guy is a rookie and I certainly are not looking to cut him but he needs to get much better.
-
3
-
-
17 minutes ago, BornAgainBillsFan said:
Snyder is waiting for everybody to forget about the whole thing, so he can go back to using the R word.
I am pretty sure that is what he is counting on.
-
Incredible stats line for Alex Smith
9 out of 17 for 37 yards -- 6 sacks for -31 yards -- a net of 6 yards on 23 drop-backs for 0.26 yards per passing play.
I was going to say this has to be one of the worse statlines in NFL history but I guess 5 interceptions in a half is worse than that.
-
I think the following is the most relevant quote from the article -- there are very few athletes who are able to identify where they need to improve as well as he does.
The trait that Allen is rarely given enough credit for, Vigen believes, is his competitive intelligence — his willingness to identify what he needs to improve. Vigen had watched Allen mature over the years in his ability to attack those weaknesses. In discussions this offseason, Vigen sensed Allen was “on a mission.”
-
8
-
-
I saw Jerry Jones is calling for huge fines and draft choices if the team broke protocol but they would need a player to confirm. I assume any player confirming will be blackballed if he is found out.
In any case the coaches that were appealing their fine for not wearing their mask can pretty much forget about winning that appeal.
-
1
-
-
3 hours ago, Warcodered said:
It's at around 3 and a half minutes in.
Wow, the man really sounds like he has lost all hope. It makes me feel sorry for him I wouldn't be surprised if he wants to get fired.
-
Would definitely be the greatest induction speech ever.
-
1
-
1
-
-
7 minutes ago, Ridgewaycynic2013 said:
IF there was any justice, Williams would get rolled coming out of the Jets training facility late one night, and be sporting two black eyes and an empty bank account as a result.
One does wonder if those two cheap shots the Jets took on Allen was the result of some encouragement from Gregg.
Its hard to believe that Tom Donohoe was so easily fooled by this tough guy act.
-
It really doesn't seem that hard to do. I assume nothing will happen until a call like this decides a Super Bowl or at least a Cowboys game.
-
2
-
-
38 minutes ago, billsbackto81 said:
Why do so many think Russell Wilson is small? He's 5'11" and yes that may be shorter than some QB's but he's also 215-220lbs. That's pretty good mass on someone that height .
You could argue that Murray was cheating but Murray weight 205 at his pro day and Russell Wilson weighted 204 at his pro day so if Russell Wilson is not small neither is Kyler Murray.
Mike Tomlin over or underrated
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
Slightly unfair -- since Tomlin came from the defense side he not as involved in the Xs and Os that are more obvious to fans.
Of course his defense gave up 45 and 36 points in the last two playoff losses so that doesn't help.