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Billy Claude

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Posts posted by Billy Claude

  1. There was a whole thread about how lucky the Bills were:

     

    (1) A historically weak schedule

    (2) Lots of missed field goals by opponents

    (3) Very few injuries

    (4) Played a lot of backup qbs or qbs that were soon to be benched

    (5) Only four out of 14 of Allen's fumbles were lost -- the expected rate is 45% of qb fumbles are lost.

     

    The Bills had a very good season but to say that were not lucky doesn't seem reasonable. Similary Allen showed a lot of improvement and a lot of promise but to say he was as good as Wilson in year 2 doesn't make a lot of sense.

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  2. The schedule will be more difficult just from probability.  If you randomly pick any team, any season in the last 20 years there is probably about a 95% chance their schedule was harder than the Bills.

     

    Otoh, they have 90M on cap space, a full complement of draft choices, and one more year of experience should help Allen and Edwards so the Bills should also be better so they don't have to rely on luck as much.

  3. 2 hours ago, Ned Flanders said:

    Look at this season's 8-8 Bears team...12-4 a year before with a relatively soft schedule and a QB on the rise (sound familiar?).  

     

    The 2020 schedule is a death march compared to this past season.  Four trips out west and another to Nashville.  Long way to go until September, but going 10-6 next year will be a bit more difficult.

     

    All true but the difference is the Bills have a lot of cap space and a full set of draft choices that the Bears did not have.

  4. They were basically a low level but legitimate playoff team -- not like two years ago when they were probably one of the worse teams ever to make the playoffs.

     

    I hope the board learns some lessons from this year.

     

    (1)  Just because someone in the national media says something critical about the Bills -- it doesn't mean that there is some kind of agenda against Buffalo.  Lots of times they are making a perfectly reasonable opinion.  Its more likely that you are biased coming in as a fan than the other way around.

     

    (2) A win is a win and it doesn't effect your record whether you squeak by a bad team or destroy a good team but it certainly should play a role in judging how good a team is and predictions for the next game.

     

    (3)  It is not always the OL, WR, OC, HC, or GM's fault.  Sometimes it really is Josh Allen's fault.  Neither is it always Josh Allen's fault.

     

    (4) Josh Allen is showing promise but if almost all the numbers says he is a slightly below average quarterback, right now, that is probably what he is.   It doesn't mean he can't improve but plenty of QBs have plateaued at this level.  Next year we will know.

     

    (5) There is no such thing as field goal an PAT defense unless its a block.  Sometimes luck is luck.

     

    (6) It is hardly surprising a young team with almost no playoff experience messes up in a critical situation.   They have a huge amount of cap space, a very young team, a GM and coach who appears to have a plan.  I am hopeful for next year.

     

     

     

     

  5. Both the Jets and Dolphins have bad o-lines.  I wouldn't be surprised if they try to do what Beane did and sign as many mid-level free agents to the o-line as they can and see who sticks.  It is a copy cat league.

     

    Jets were surprisingly good in the 2nd half of the year especially considering all the injuries they had.   Darnold didn't look good against the Bills but he was pretty good the last eight games (6W-2L/ 13 TD/ 4 Int/ 61% completion/ 243 ypg).

     

    They might be pretty decent next year unless Gase screws everything up.  

  6. Quote

    Seriously?  A guy who brought in the biggest influx of talent any team has seen in years should be fired? Now if Kitchens was his choice,  then that's a big negative mark. But with a competent coach (and a different QB) this team could really be special. Hell they could be special with Baker with the right coach who could humble him a bit. 

     

    Dorsey brought in all that talent by using up all the resources that the analytics guys Sashi Brown and Paul DePodesta acquired.  He did it without any apparent strategy or regard to fit -- Tyrod for a 3rd rounder wasn't the only bad trade he made.  He has totally neglected the offensive line and he hired an absolutely unexperienced head coach to appease a rookie quarterback.

     

    I didn't think he would be fired but it was certainly a possibility.

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  7. I don't think the comparison with Manziel is the best one.

     

    Manziel's whole college career was based on running around and throwing pop flies to Mike Evans.  I feel Mayfield is much more talented.  

     

    Also all of Mayfield's incidents are him attacking other people.  Johnny Football, on the other hand, did things like dressing up a wig and sneaking off to Las Vegas before a game --which is a whole lot funnier.   Someone mentioned before the better comparison is with Ryan Leaf -- I agree and so does Ryan Leaf

     

    https://ftw.usatoday.com/2019/10/watch-former-nfl-bust-ryan-leaf-compares-baker-mayfields-career-to-his-own

     

     

  8. The guy is incredibly unlikeable.

     

    Keeping an enemies list of eveyone who vaguely said anything critical against him =" asshat"  (admittedly it appears many posters here do the say thing for Josh Allen)

     

    Calling Daniel Jones a loser before ever meeting him = "asshat"

    Planting the OU flag at OSU = "asshat"

    Grabbing his nuts against Kansas = "asshat"

    Swearing at reporters after a lost = "asshat"  (I know a whole lot of athletes would like to do this but they have more self-control)

    Threatening to fight fans at bengals game = "asshat"

    Blaming referees for a lost after throwing three interceptions = "asshat"

    Coming in overweight to training camp = "complacent asshat"

     

    At least you won't have to worry about him working out with Josh Allen and Sam Darnold this off-season: "I do not need anyone to teach me how to do a three step drop"

     

    https://247sports.com/Article/Baker-Mayfield-says-he-does-not-need-quarterback-tutor-Cleveland-Browns-Oklahoma-Sooners-Football-141139689/

     

    I'm not saying he is a bust yet -- base on his history he is going to be working really hard in the off-season and perhaps with competent coaching he will get his game back.  However, he is probably the only player I ever hoped would fail.

     

     

     

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  9. 10 hours ago, Reed83HOF said:

     

    The lack of these types of rumours coming out of OBD is one of the things that most impresses me about Beane-McDermott.  Under. Russ  Brandon and Doug Whaley there were always rumors about who was in the doghouse, who was unhappy, who was fighting with who all the time.  It seems like everybody is on the same page now.

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  10. 16 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

    Well said and love the Rorschach test reference (watch Watchmen if you aren’t).  I had such a roller coaster ride watching that game.  When he had like 19 yards almost to halftime, it was confirming my doubts.  Then he makes some amazing plays where I’m like maybe he is the guy!  But then he has those missed plays.  
     

    it’s stupid to say definitively what he will be right now.  I worry he might be that guy who consistently taunts us with top 5 potential but struggles to be consistent enough.  But plenty of time for growth and we’re winning games. 

     

    It's great to see two rational comments in a row.  Restores ones faith in humanities ability to think rationally.

  11. Returning to the OP, I find it curious that when Allen was putting up meh numbers against historically bad defenses, the narrative was the opponents don`t matter, it's just wins and losses.  Now it`s yeh, he's putting up meh numbers but look at the great defenses he`s playing.

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