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Generic_Bills_Fan

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Posts posted by Generic_Bills_Fan

  1. 19 minutes ago, newcam2012 said:

    I have no idea about your credibility. Nor do I care if others dislike your post. 

     

    However, I will say your credibility takes a big hit when you throw that 75% number out there. No way no how is the discrepancy that big. 

     

    The Chiefs surely can win and there's a viable path and validity to make that claim. Vice versa too. 

     

    This game is about as close as it gets when you analyze the data, facts, trends, injuries, luck, players, coaches, home field, etc ...

     

    You 75% number is more likely around 45% to 55%.

    I’m poking around lookin just to see how off that 75% was and I’ve found 2 chiefs picks out of about 10 analysts 

    • Thank you (+1) 1
  2. 1 hour ago, 0017 said:

    How the hell is that not a fumble and a recovery by Spector?!? Sorry I know it’s off topic but it just pisses me off 🤬

    The theory from Steelers fans is it grazed off muths facemask while he was out of bounds but I think it’s completely inconclusive.  If that was ruled a fumble on the field as it should’ve been it stands 100%

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  3. 9 hours ago, FilthyBeast said:

     

    Despite what you and some other want to believe...I actually have tons of credibility on predictions, and was one of the few to prediction the Texans not only beating the Browns, but doing it fairly easily which was the case.

     

    And trust me, I know I'm not going to be the only one here taking the Chiefs over the Bills this week. Confident that 75% or more of the talking heads and pundits outside of Buffalo probably will too but obviously doesn't mean it's set in stone...just looking at the historical data and facts which obviously matter until proven otherwise.

     

     

    I think it’ll be pretty close to 50/50 in pundit picks.  There used to be a cool free site that compiles them all but it now charges you of course

     

    I don’t think it’s someone picking the chiefs that people are reacting to here it’s mostly someone that only has negative things to say trying to pass their pick off as objective 😂. Like if an admitted dolphins or jets fan picked the chiefs it’s totally cool but the ‘I’m a bills fan and even I think the bills will lose because I’m a totally objective and great picker of games’ act is a bit over the top haha 

     

    first three places I checked all picked the bills fwiw I feel like undersold the bills at 50/50 lol 

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  4. 5 minutes ago, Mango said:

     

    Jesus Christ. Maybe...just maybe, we can hope that Hocculi has to level this whole thing out after the Philly game. Kind of like sometimes ref's throw flags for make up calls, hoping this one is a make up game. 

    WTF am I kidding, the Bills are 1-3 vs SH. 

     

    I remember bengals fans worrying about the referee assignment before absolutely demolishing us lol so you never know 

    • Haha (+1) 1
  5. 8 minutes ago, zow2 said:

    NFL Football is weird.  The Eagles were 10-1 and were bounced before ever reaching 12 wins.  First time a 10-1 team never reached 12.

     

    After week 12, the Bills were 6-6 and Tampa was 4-7.  Both reached the final eight.

    Cowboys, dolphins, and eagles are all taking long looks at their coaches and/or qbs after insanely hot starts which is pretty crazy.  

  6. 2 hours ago, FilthyBeast said:

    Regarding the Texans, the only thing that shocked me was how bad they beat a vastly overrated Browns team. I felt all along this was one of the easier games to pick in the WC round, but didn't see that type of shallacking.

     

    But I still tend to believe that the Texans likely aren't as good as they showed against the Browns and will come back to earth against the Ravens.

     

    But imagine if the Texans do win on Saturday....obviously that means the winner of the Bills/Chiefs gets to host them in the AFCCG next week.

    One interesting point is that the browns defense is right up there with the ravens and the Texans absolutely lit them up 

  7. I’d agree with the overall point but that was a pretty clear slide that the Steelers committed on late so idk if that play was the best example.  If the defender recognizes the slide and tries to pull up a little bit but still hits the guy im all for not calling it.  The big problem is if you end up hitting a sliding qb you’re usually drilling him in the head 

  8. Just now, Brand J said:

    I brought it up in another post, but I thought a high ankle sprain was the result of someone falling into your outside ankle and the foot/leg pushing inwards. What Patty had last year. Bernard’s looked like a severe lower sprain and having had that looked an awful lot like the one he suffered, I’d be surprised if he’s back before the SB. Definitely can see him playing in the SB, but not the next 2 weeks. Of course I didn’t have an NFL training staff to rehab me, so maybe they can work some magic. 

    Yea it depends on the severity…we’ve seen guys react like their ankle needs to be amputated then it turns out to be pretty mild lol.  Ankles are so strange 

    • Like (+1) 1
  9. 9 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

    When did the bills have the worst defense n the league? Our defense gave up 6 less yards/ game than the Ravens thsi year. 

    Jags game-bengals game we were dead last in defensive dvoa.  Cut out that stretch and our defense was fantastic this year 


     

    the two outright worst offenses in the league by far marched up and down the field against us and we were fortunate the giants didn’t come away with more points…I think that’s why that stat gets hidden a bit because on paper we only gave up 9 to the giants but it should’ve been 20+ to jags,giants,pats, bengals going 0 for 4 on late game stops to give us a shot to win 

  10. 3 hours ago, Limeaid said:

    Kaiir Elam seems like Sauce without allowance by referees for extra contact.

    It is weird that certain young dbs are just allowed to operate without the rules applying lol 

    • Like (+1) 1
  11. 2 hours ago, TH3 said:

    Get used to it… JA got the refs in his pocket now and the NFL is rigged for the Bills this year!

    Haha it’s weird if it’s rigged for Josh that we got screwed late with no calls numerous times this year.  People only talk about the no call that won us the giants game but we got hosed on that jets punt return, hosed on that pats ineligible man downfield flag pickup, hosed against the eagles the entire game, and probably a few others I don’t remember 

  12. 4 minutes ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

     

    Agree with that part, but also add in third part, number of wins.  Think it may be different too if Bills had lost 3 games instead to KC, Dallas, and Miami  good playoff teams instead of Jax, NE, and Denver . Add to that the Int's Allen through in those games hurt his chances.

    Yea which I also find kind of strange…Josh was pretty good in 2 of those 3 losses.  I think it’s the turnover narrative working against him more than anything 

  13. 3 minutes ago, JohnNord said:


    What happened to Philadelphia just boggles my freaking mind.  I guess injuries played into it but they just seemed to slam right into a wall at 110 MPH.  
     

    The team I saw last night, resembled nothing of the 10-1 SB contender.   I watched them absolutely bully the crap out of Miami on a Sunday night game and thought how tough of a matchup that they would be for teams
     

    It’s just staggering a team went from looking that good to THAT bad in a span of a few weeks.  
     

     

    Losin their oc/dc from last year seemed to really bite them in the a**. Felt like they got figured out late in the season and just couldn’t adjust

    • Like (+1) 2
  14. 2 minutes ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

     

    Yeah but that's not how the world works.

    Which part? Lol I’d agree mvp voting doesn’t work that way those are just general comments.  It probably should but it never will.  Feels like it’s part popularity contest and part comparing stat sheets 

  15. 10 minutes ago, What a Tuel said:

     

    If the nearest defender was 7 yards away, why would the defender expect him to slide?

    No defenders quit on the play…people are really more mad at the Steelers defense than Josh and I guess don’t realize it.  Like how do you get frozen by that juke lol it’s kind of embarrassing.  None of them gave up but a couple froze for a split second to adjust their angles 

  16. 10 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said:

    Josh could throw 50 tds but if he has 15 ints the world comes to an end as we know it.  Plus what moron decided the mvp voting ends at week 18.  Just more dumb nonsensical stuff.

    I really think he’s rewriting the analytics of football.  He’s so good at picking spots to take shots where even an INT doesn’t hurt terribly this season that it kind of makes me chuckle when people just talk about his total INT number.  Not all ints are created equal

     

    hes giving his guys shots to make plays for pretty low risk on the majority of his ints it feels like 

    5 minutes ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

     

    I'm sure all the fans in Baltimore would agree with you.

     

    The simple question to answer is if Josh Allen is significantly more valuable, why did he manage to lose two more games and likely had been three if last game mattered to Ravens.  Take the Denver, NE, Jax games.  If the Bills had won two of them good chance then Allen would be the MVP.

    Bills had the worst defense in the league for that stretch you mentioned…that jags game decimated the team until Douglas got acclimated and righted the ship a little bit 
     

    send Lamar’s number 1 ranked defense on a 1 month vacation and he’d have less wins too 

    • Like (+1) 1
  17. 2 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

     

    We really don't know that Dodson is back next week.  Or Douglas for that matter.

    Douglas has said he could’ve played twice and this really has a good chance of being the last game of the season if he doesn’t play so I’d be shocked if he wasn’t out there.  Dodson I have no idea though 

  18. 5 minutes ago, Dillenger4 said:

    I dunno - I feel confident about the KC game and the run for the roses to the SB.

    Bernard seems to be our only real injury and Klein will fill in quite nicely as he did last night. Hopefully we get Spector back too and we will be fine.

    Douglas should be back. And Benford ran off the field and I saw him jumping on the sideline when Shakir torched the Steelers for the TD. He is fine.

    Rapp would be nice to have back too and I assume he will be.

    So our wildcard is Taron...

    GO BILLS!!!!

    Oh - and Gabe Davis. He's an interesting topic as he actually plays well vs KC. Hopefully as we need everyone on deck.

    People are thinkin Bernard is just an ankle sprain so you never know…could be a Lawrence situation where it looked season ending then he’s ready to go in a week or two 

    • Like (+1) 2
  19. 4 minutes ago, Einstein said:

     

    6th ranked actually, in points given up per game. Which is a far more telling stat than yards given up, wouldn’t you say?

     

    The offense tied the highest points output we have had in 7 weeks. 

    I’ll genuinely never understand how people will talk our opponents up all week then we win and they’re like ‘well our opponent was bad’ 😂. Mason Rudolph was on a heater which prompted the benching of Pickett who was ready for the Vikings game but we beat a third string qb apparently and bad defense lol 

    • Like (+1) 1
  20. 1 hour ago, Mr. WEO said:

     

    other than Diggs, the Bills WRs had 3 catches yesterday.   Harty had a good RAC on his one catch yesterday but otherwise hasn't done anything the past 3 weeks.  After the half, the Bills struggled---Murray was getting targets?!  On their 1st series they punted.  On the second series, 14 plays and only once was a WR targeted. FG was the result.  Next series, 2 WRs targeted in 9 plays, TD. 

    With the lead slipping away, Allen attempted 10 passes in the second half, only 3 to WRs.  For the game, the RBs had more targets than Shakir and Harty.

     

    I think they could have used Davis out there for sure.

     

    This thread is just a cheap shot.

    The ‘struggle’ is a bit overblown imo…Steelers are a good defense even without watt…you’re not gonna score a td every time.  A Tomlin defense giving up 31 and possibly more if we didn’t ice the game is very unusual 

    6 minutes ago, Thurman#1 said:

     

     

    It absolutely is just the opponent. Every opponent is different. Which often means different personnel groups and game plans work better against some teams than others.

     

    The offense is better varying personnel and tactics week to week and depending on the game plan and the defense's capabilities, personnel and specific game plans for the Bills offense.

     

    The Steelers are the 21st ranked defense. They aren't playing that badly right now, but without Watt they also weren't themselves at all.

     

    Oh, and don't act like you're being intellectually fair by mentioning the "TWO missed field goals" and then forgetting to mention that one Bill TD came on a 1-play 29 yard drive. Drives that start on your opponent's 29 yard line aren't mostly on the defense if you score. And one of the missed field goals came on a drive starting at the Pittsburgh 32. One more drive started at the Bills 44. Drive starts like that will greatly jack up your odds of scoring more.

     

     

     

     

    If by "definitely" you mean that it's not impossible, I'd have to agree.

    21st ranked defense?  Lol theyre like 6th in DVOA and points allowed 

  21. Just now, Beck Water said:

     

    Allen also hit Diggs on a 36 yd pass down the sideline.

     

    But I think something is wrong with Diggs.  Yeah, it was a bit extracurricular, but that extra flip the Steelers defender gave him (and wasn't flagged for) had him on the turf in pain for some time, though eventually he got up and trotted off, and he did come back.

     

     

    I have noticed that with him over the years…he stays down for awhile occasionally then pops up and is pretty much fine lol 

  22. 4 minutes ago, Paul Costa said:

    A simple explanation of why they called it the way they did was necessary. Romo suggested it may have touched the Pittsburgh helmet. I didn’t see it touch the video was inconclusive of that as fact. If they would have had an angle showing that then I agree the ball would be dead. But you’re missing the bigger point. Carl Cheffers said the ball was fumbled by the Pittsburgh player out of bounds. That was untrue. It never went out of bounds. Bills shouldn’t have lost the challenge. The officials were wrong on that call. A very big game changing call. After they missed the Pickens call which was an easy call on the field that they got wrong. 

    I don’t think that’s a good explanation because he looks airborne when the ball supposedly possibly touched his helmet anyway. I think they’re gonna try to say they couldn’t see a clear inbounds recovery by Buffalo even though we all knew it was…that really should’ve been ruled a fumble on the field and held up on review 

    14 minutes ago, TheyCallMeAndy said:

    I disagree, and the ball appeared to touch the TEs helmet. If the ball touches a player who is OOB, the ball is then OOB. 
     

    Bills definitely got away with some calls last night, I never felt like the Refs tried to get Pitt back in it. 

    That was my only beef with both fumbles, they were close and should have been called turn overs, then it’s an auto review. 

    I don’t think there’s a conclusive look of it hitting his helmet and I couldn’t get a freeze frame of friermuth contacting oob when the ball was supposedly near his helmet…looked like he was still airborne to me. If that was ruled a fumble it would’ve 100% held up 

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