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Chaos

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Everything posted by Chaos

  1. Do you have a specific reasons why the Bills will pass the Ravens , Chiefs, Titans, Patriots and Texans? As best I can tell those teams have good coaches with their own processes that have proven pretty successful. Regarding rebuild. McDermott has three full seasons under his belt. This regime chose to pass on Watson and Mahomes. That does not mean we through out the first season. Great job on defense seems to be a stretch. Against teams with winning records, the defense did not produce at a level one would call great. Maybe "good", but that is a lot different than great.
  2. I think the Daboll / Allen combination is not working out. One part of that equation needs to be changed. So I ask myself this question, which fake headline would be the most disturbing: "Daboll Fired, Named by Pats to Replace McDaniels" or "Allen cut, signed by Pats as heir to Brady". I am pretty sure the second headline troubles me more. So the move that is a potential game changer is changing the OC. All the other moves are incremental, and probably don't move the dial enough. In terms of incremental moves, I would look to sign Derrick Henry in free agency, and I would draft the best Oline or WR available with our first round pick.
  3. Our poor record against teams with winning records this year. And a schedule next year that includes far more teams with winning records.
  4. A play that had zero impact on the outcome of the game.
  5. Dick Jauron was not wrong when he said it was hard to win in the NFL. The bills finished 6th of 16 AFC teams this year (give the tiebreak to the Pats, since they beat the Bills twice). Advancing to the Super Bowl requires getting past those five teams (plus holding off other teams). The Bills have completed three full years of a rebuild. The have draft picks and cap space, and appear to have a stable coaching staff. Lets take a quick review of the five teams ahead of us. 5. Patriots. As long as Belichick is there, the Pats will have a coaching edge. Pats may lose Brady (or Brady has declined to irrelevance) and Josh McDaniel . Pats defense is on par with the Bills. Their non-QB offensive play-makers are on par or slightly better than the Bills. All in all, it does seem possible, but not a given that the Bills move past the Patriots 4. Titans. Titans seem fluky. Vrabel seems to be the real deal as a coach. If they retain Henry, their play-makers on offense definitely are better than the Bills. Hard to tell if Tannehill is born again, or having a fluke season. If Tannehill is born again, the Titans are ascending. Will not be easy to catch. If Tanehill is a fluke we should get by them. 3. Texans. Texans just beat us. Their is no reason to expect them to decline. They will be tough to pass. 2. Chiefs. Chiefs have a better head coach and a better QB. They have better play-makers, and are a pretty young group. They will be tough to be pass 1. Ravens. Ravens have a better head coach, a better QB, and a better O line. They are also a pretty young group with no imminent salary cap issues. Other teams. Chargers seem on the decline. Colts have a stable coaching situation, but no QB. Jacksonville seems to be pretty bad overall. Jets seem awful. Raiders have stable coaching and some pretty good pieces. Held back by mediocre QB play. Broncos seem to be spinning their wheels. Bengals are lost. Steelers are without a QB, unless Ben surprise me. Browns will have a better coach most likely . I think Mayfield sucks personally, but if others are right about him, the Browns could turn things around. Flores has impressed me with the Dolphins, but without a QB, they should remain mostly not a threat. The 2020 Bills won't be playing the 2019 Bills. My question is NOT what will the Bills do to improve vs themselves. My question for the TBD world, is what do the Bills have to do to beat the Pats, Titans, Texans, Chiefs and Ravens, and hold off the others?
  6. His players seem to play hard for him. That is pretty important. But he really lacks accountability for his own errors. He was very public about telling his players, especially Allen, to play fearlessly. Then after the refs stole the game, and he made multiple coaching errors during the game, blamed the loss on Allen "trying to do to much". I thought that was a real ***** move.
  7. Really different levels of expectation in patriot land. 11-5 season, playoff loss and the season is viewed as a dismal failure to move on from. Amazing.
  8. If you can point out one another example in NFL history were "receivers intent" was part of the a rules interpretation than you have a point. If you cannot do that, than just admit you are flat out 100% wrong.
  9. If "receivers intent" was part of the rule, you would have a point. but its not, so your point is irrelevant to whether the call was correct or not.
  10. If the runner had changed his mind and decided to run it out, and had returned it for a TD, does anyone think the TD would have been called back?
  11. Fumbles lost Call NFL.com with your corrections http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?archive=false&conference=null&statisticCategory=RUSHING&season=2019&seasonType=REG&experience=2&tabSeq=0&qualified=false&Submit=Go
  12. McDermott could have done better. However, this game was stolen. There were three separate calls by the refs, any one of which likely results in a Bills win 1. The stolen "common sense" td 2. phantom blindside block 3. missed delay of game on 3 and 18. These are not the normal "refs make mistakes". Each of these were horrible outcome alternating calls. No similar calls went the other way.
  13. Just because you imagine they are on the move, does not make it so either. The Bills had very average results this year. Their performance against thier particular opponents was just about league average against those opponents. Next years schedule shifts from the horrible NFC east to the pretty good NFC west. Very good chance the team wins fewer games next year, based on this years results.
  14. Who fumbled more this year Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen ? Jackson Who took more sacks this year D. Watson or Josh Allen? Watson Who had more turnovers this year Watson or Allen? Watson Who has more playmakers on his team, Watson or Allen? Watson Who has a better oline Jackson or Allen? Jackson These three QBs are not asked to play like brees or brady. Allens perceived issues are because people don't understand what he is being asked to do. And how little help he has compared to other QBs asked to do the similar things.
  15. Watson had a passer rating of 121. Allen 69.5. Allen did have 46 attempts and Watson only 25. Combined with rushing, the entire offense was far more on Allen, than Houston's was on Watson. Terrible terrible terrible playing calling in the OT was the frosting on the cake.
  16. Does "The Process" have milestones? Is one and done in the playoffs, considered success by most teams after three years of rebuilding in the modern NFL (and facing a historical easy schedule) ? Is the year 4 milestone, win a wild card game? then lose in divisional round? Then in year 5 win a divisional game and lose the champhionship game? then in year 6 win the conference and lose the super bowl? and finally in year 7 win the super bowl? Because its seems like the process is more about bouncing around from 6-10 to 10-6 by beating bad teams and losing to good ones.
  17. the defense was not only not elite against winning teams this year, it was only about average. Considering the amount of draft capital invested on the defense, average results vs good teams is not that spectacular.
  18. My rage over that play has only grown since yesterday. I feel your pain.
  19. the effort in the second half was a 38 point pace. the op was quite clear on distinguishing between the good half, and the complete debacle second half.
  20. Passer Rating is largely regarded as a flawed stat (however it does correlate pretty well with winning) . Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen make such significant contributions as rushers, that there is a lot of discussion on how to evaluate the combined efforts for the QBs. One of the flaws in passer rating that I dislike, is that the wise decision to throw the ball away rather than take a sack, negatively impacts passer rating, while taking the sack has no impact. For the second and third year QBs, I took the stats that go into passer rating, Attempts, completions, Yards, INTs and TDs and combined them with each QBs rushing stats and sacks. Each rush and sack is added to attempts and completions both. The estimated negative sack yardage and positive rushing yardage are added. rushing TDs are add, and fumbles are added to INTs. It is interesting to note that L. Alexander and D.Watson are also fumbling machines, like Josh Allen. Might just because they run far more than anyone else. Anyway on the combined basis , Lamar edges out Mahomes among the young guns:
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