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Arm of Harm

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  1. Four pages in and no one has mentioned . . . Lamp! I'm of the belief that the problems with the running game were caused in large part by the offensive line's blocking, or lack thereof. If an interior offensive lineman can come in and play reasonably well, there's a clear opportunity for him to start. Part of being a dark horse is low expectations. Lamp has that part down cold! Most expect him to compete for a roster spot as a backup. But he was originally a second round pick. Can he play at or near the expectations of an OL drafted in the second? If he can, he'd be an
  2. Let's throw some numbers around. . . . Yards per attempt (career) Trent Edwards: 6.5 Alex Smith: 6.9 Tom Brady: 7.5 Alex Smith's last year in KC: 8.0 Quarterback rating (career) Trent Edwards: 75.5 Alex Smith: 86.9 Tom Brady: 97.3 Alex Smith's last year in KC: 104.7 Riddle me this: if Andy Reid's system and personnel provided this dramatic a boost to Alex Smith's numbers, what kind of boost might Patrick Mahomes be getting? I'd argue that this past season, Josh Allen played at a higher level t
  3. I read an article by a former Buffalo Bills offensive lineman. I think it was Ross Tucker. According to the article, all the Bills' offensive linemen were subjected to the same training. All offensive linemen, that is, except one: Mike Williams. According to the article, Williams was allowed to get out of doing a lot of the stuff the rest of the linemen had to do. While the primary onus of Williams being a bust is on Williams himself, I think he would probably have accomplished more in the NFL if he'd had the benefit of a coaching staff which created accountability.
  4. All that sounds reasonable enough. The point I was making about Allen is that he isn't a standard-issue, "great physical tools but wasn't accurate in college, didn't process information quickly in college" type guy. Had he been a standard-issue example of that, I would have opposed the pick as strongly as I'd opposed the Losman and Manuel picks. With a guy like Allen, based on the information I'd gathered as a casual fan going into the 2017 draft, I personally wouldn't have wanted to bet on him, but neither would I have wanted to bet against him. Our front office made a
  5. In E.J.'s rookie year he averaged 6.4 yards per pass attempt. To put that into perspective Trent Edwards' career average is 6.5, and Losman's is 6.6. Below are Manuel's yards per attempt numbers for each of his years in the NFL: 2013: 6.4 2014: 6.4 2015: 6.7 2016: 5 2017: 6.2 What story do these numbers tell? 1) E.J. was not better later in his career than he was as a rookie. 2) E.J. was not a starting caliber quarterback. 3) E.J. was not better than Trent Edwards. Are those three statements consistent with the eyeball test? Yes, absolutely!
  6. You are not wrong. That said I hate the idea of cutting Obada to make room for Addison!
  7. For the first two years of Allen's career I was on the fence about him. I thought he might prove to be the answer, and might not be. Year 3 erased all my doubts, and I feel as though he is now playing at a higher level than Patrick Mahomes. Normally I'm opposed to drafting a "raw" quarterback with great physical tools, but without having proven himself an accurate passer or fast processor of information at the college level. Allen, however, was ambiguous. His college highlight video was very impressive. He'd throw a pass deep downfield, through a narrow window, to the exact locatio
  8. The front office/GM which drafted Rodgers is not the same one which drafted Love. Also, they're two completely different prospects. Rodgers' draft report praised him for having been an accurate passer in college and good at processing visual information quickly. In contrast, Love was described as a "raw" prospect with great physical tools who needed to improve on his accuracy and information processing ability. As far as Love's scouting report goes: I'll grant that scouting reports can sometimes be wrong. Sometimes a player can improve. Sometimes a player who lacks good accuracy or
  9. There's a strong argument to be made for the Losman pick having been the worst player transaction the organization has ever made. In the 2004 draft, TD had wanted to trade up for Roethlisberger. But he decided that the price for doing so would have been too high, so instead he stayed put and took Lee Evans (WR) 13th overall. He then traded back into the first for Losman (QB, 20th overall). To accomplish that trade he surrendered his 2nd round pick for 2004 and his 1st round pick for 2005. In the 2005 draft, the Packers drafted Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers was drafted after wh
  10. In that case, this settlement is not about giving money to players who'd suffered brain trauma or concussions. It's about giving money to players on the basis of intelligence, with the least intelligent players getting the biggest checks. I don't really see why it's necessary to say to a player, "Hello, we see your IQ is low, so we'll write you a big check." Or, "Hello, we see your IQ is high, you don't get a check." Elimination of race norming does not fix the above problem, and if anything makes it worse. I'd thought some more about this subject since my ear
  11. I agree with everything you've written, with the possible exception of the bolded. Suppose you were to show a half full glass to a group of Bills fans. Responses to this would fall into one of three categories: "The glass is empty." "The glass is so full it's overflowing!" "The glass is half full." In a perfect world all responses would fall into that third category, but Bills fans don't always do well with moderation. For many it's either all or nothing. With McDermott and Beane, the glass is maybe about 75% full. If we could get it to
  12. Except that he was on board with the Manuel pick. Fully. Totally. 100% completely. His current claims or implications to the contrary are an attempt to rewrite history. At the time Whaley was GM, I remember being convinced that Manuel was not the answer, and hoping that at least some part of Whaley agreed with me. Even some small shred of evidence would have been welcome. But no. There was nothing. All the evidence pointed to Whaley being convinced Manuel was the answer. It was a very frustrating time to be a Bills fan. If Whaley wanted to be honest, if he'd wanted to
  13. I'd do that deal in a heartbeat. The only problem is that Addison took a pay cut to stay with the Bills. If you trade him now it would be a broken promise, and would reduce the players' trust in Beane. I'd strongly prefer to avoid broken promises. But if it wasn't for the broken promise thing the deal you propose would be outstanding for the Bills. I'd much rather have Chandler than Hughes + Addison. I'm under the impression that the combination of Hughes' salary and Addison's would be about the same as Chandler's. Not happy about trading away a 3rd round pick, but that's a lot les
  14. Wide receiver. Beasley and (especially!) Sanders are on the wrong side of 30. Both players are free agents at the end of the year. If you're looking for reasonably young talent at WR you've got Diggs (late 20s) and Davis. If you get a good WR in the 2022 draft, he could spend the next 10 - 12 years catching Allen's passes. If you don't like the WRs available when the Bills pick, another option is TE. If you don't like the TEs available, then still another option is #2 CB. You could also easily justify using an early pick on the interior offensive line, whether to upgrad
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