DabillsDaBillsDaBills
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Posts posted by DabillsDaBillsDaBills
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4 minutes ago, BigBuff423 said:
I'm glad he's back and football can be the focus again...whatever it was, it seems to be not big enough to stall the training. Although, as I noted in yesterday's post, this puzzles me as to why McD would use the terms "very concerned" because he doesn't do that often....it's a head scratcher.
McDermott is a dinosaur of a coach and is "very concerned" if a player skips practice.
If Diggs wasn't one of the best WRs in the league you can bet that McD would've kicked him off the team by now.
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I'm not big on McDermott, but SB or bust is too high of a bar. I'd be bitterly disappointed with another early playoff exit, but there's multiple elite teams every year that don't win the SB.
What I think should put him on the hot seat / get him fired:
1) End the regular season with a losing record and miss the playoffs entirely
2) Another terrible defensive performance in the playoffs (4th year in a row and can't blame it on Frazier this time)
3) Another coaching blunder in the playoffs ala 13 seconds
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I'd put the over/under at 450 yards and 4 TDs
1) As a general rule NFL rookie TEs do not produce big numbers, even the 1st round picks
2) He's almost guaranteed to be the TE2 for us and will be competing with a lot of guys for targets
3) McD is hard on rookies. 1 fumble/mistake will see him benched for multiple games
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2 hours ago, HappyDays said:
A lot of consternation came from the initial report that we gave him $45 million guaranteed. But it appears that is not actually true. Unless I'm missing something this is a very team friendly deal and the initial report was a straight up lie.
NFL contracts infuriate me. "Fully" guarantee is redundant. If the other "guarantees" are not 100% for sure going to happen then they aren't guarantees are they?
To get back on topic for Oliver, based on initial reports I thought this was a rather bad contract with 45 mil guaranteed. With "fully" guaranteed money of only 24 mil this is actually a good deal.
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1 hour ago, buffaloboyinATL said:
For starters, I disagree with you that he is closer to a replacement level player, however, out of curiosity, why do you think he is being paid like a superstar?
This contract puts him outside of the top 10 for DT’s, and more likely in the 15 to 20 range, once the next round of DT deals are signed. Do you consider that superstar money?
I didn't say he was paid like a superstar, but that his contract is closer to superstar money (20+) than a replacement level guy (~10 or less).
If different terminology is clearer; I think Oliver is above average, but closer to the average player than an elite one.
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I think Oliver is a pretty good player, but he's closer to a replacement level player than he is to a super-star player.
Unfortunately his new contract is closer to super-star money than it is replacement level money.
You can manipulate the cap as much as you want, but I don't think it's worth it for a guy like Oliver and would not be surprised if this hurts us in the next few seasons.
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Interesting poll... I settled on lower even though I think he deserves more. It's debatable if Odell or Deandre had the better peak in their careers, but it's indisputable that Odell's play has fallen off A LOT in recent years (whereas Deandre has only fall off a little).
The Ravens were in a desperate situation with Lamar unsigned and grossly overpaid a 30 year old OBJ coming off a devastating injury. They HAD to bring him in to show Lamar they were serious about getting him weapons (I also wonder if Lamar specifically told them to go get OBJ).
The reported front runners for Hopkins are the Bills and Chiefs. Both teams have their QBs locked up and no reports of discontent. Both teams are at the cap (although can always restructure deals for more space). I don't see either of those teams paying Hopkins more than 10 million.
I guess it comes down to Hopkins. Does he want to chase a ring with Bills/Chiefs? Or does he want to try and maximize earnings? It certainly seems like he's prioritizing the ring so I expect him to sign with Bills/Chiefs at a discount.
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I'm probably more critical of McD than the average Bills fan, but to have him at 22 is laughable. I think he's closer to 10th best than 20th.
Ross Tucker says that McD has inexplicable losses to bad teams in the regular season???!! We've lost 2 games to teams that finished the season with a losing record in the past 3 years. Reid and the Chiefs have more losses to teams with a losing record in the same time frame.
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2 hours ago, Nihilarian said:
From what I've read that 13 seconds was all Frazier and that was when McD saw the defensive he was supposedly screaming on the sidelines. Although, I have no idea why if that were true... why he simply didn't call a time-out and change the defensive play. Looking back at the play-by-play he had time-outs left.
I was upset as anyone when I saw that all the Buffalo players besides the D linemen were all 15 yards off the line. Tyreek Hill for 19 yards and the very next play the Bills were in a "prevent" defense again. This time to Kelce for 25 yards. No excuse in the world can forgive that defensive screwup...TWICE!
Looking back over the last three seasons it does look like Buffalo's defensive failings are a big reason for the postseason exits. 2020 getting thumped by KC at Arrowhead 38-24. 2021, the 13 seconds. 2022, 10-27 against Cincinnati in Buffalo. Could be that the "bend, but don't break" has gotta go!
This 2023 NFL season should be very telling for the Buffalo Bills in so many ways... Still, I'm not for any changes to the Buffalo coaching staff just yet.
1) McD did call timeouts prior to both the 19 yard play to Tyreek and the 25 yard play to Kelce. Not to mention a lengthy break between the TD to take the lead and the kickoff to think about what to do on defense for 1 or 2 plays. Having and using timeouts there is a big reason I view this as one of the worst coaching failures in NFL history. McD/Frazier had ample time to think about what they wanted to do and they settled on a prevent defense....twice....
2) Where did you hear/see McD was screaming on the sidelines about defensive formations? By all reports I've read he never blamed the loss on anyone publicly, just saying "we need to execute better". If you read between the lines it seems he scape-goated the ST coach as he wasn't brought back and was blamed for miscommunication on the kickoff (touchback vs short kick).
Personally I think McD and Frazier were terrified of losing the game to a long Tyreek TD after giving up that 64 yard TD to him with 1:02 left in the game. They got tunnel vision on not losing to 1 big play by Tyreek and instead cost us the game by allowing the Chiefs some very easy plays to go down for a tying FG. We lost the OT coin flip and the rest is history.
Agreed that the defense has been awful for 3 straight postseason losses. I HATE the bend but don't break. Works great against the Skylar Thompsons of the world but not so much against the Mahomes/Burrows that you'll need to beat to win a SB.
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IF he gets cut and IF he wants to come here for near vet minimum then sure. No reason not to bring him back as a depth guy.
Those are pretty big IFs though.
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I'm normally on the side of letting the process play out in court before judging a guy, but he's literally on video forcing himself on that woman. It's impossible to watch that video and conclude anything other than Jackson Mahomes forcibly kissed her. There's no "context" that makes what he did ok.
My only question is how much (if any) jail time he'll end up with.
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There's a reason only 5 teams have a line at 10.5 or higher. All it takes to hit the under is one key injury, one bad stretch of games, or some unlucky bounces in close games.
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14 hours ago, Rock-A-Bye Beasley said:
I’m more than thrilled we have Josh. But Until he figured out the deep ball I thought passing on Mahomes was an epic blunder. It still is technically on paper but I wouldn’t swap as crazy as that sounds to some outside of bills fans
im more interested in this alternate universe where Mahomes is sitting behind Tyrod in 2018.
Instead of peterman coming in it’s Mahomes?
Instead of Tyrod against the Jags scoring 3 points it’s Mahomes?
Do they get to the Super Bowl that year considering how close the Jags got?
It's always fun to play the "what if" games, but I don't think about the 2017-2018 playoffs very much.
That roster was hot garbage. Replacing Tyord with a raw Mahomes would've improved the team a little bit, maybe even enough to win the Jaguars game.
Beyond that though? What are the odds of us going to Pitt and scoring 45 points in the divisional round? Or going to NE for the championship game and winning there?
Any given Sunday and all that, but I think there's less than 1% chance we would've made the SB that year with a rookie Mahomes playing.
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I think it's a decent question if the Bills neglect the offense (again) in this draft.
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10.5 is a pretty easy over.
Even with the DEF getting worse and the division getting better (although if Jets don't get A A Ron how much better will they be) I have a hard time seeing the Bills not make it to at least 11 wins. Injuries could happen I guess but that's a risk for every team.
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Basically every short yardage back we've had in the McBeane era. Michael Tolbert, Frank Gore, and Zack Moss.
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The hype for Jeudy doesn't match up with his results in the NFL. 3 years in and he has an abysmal catch rate. Hasn't topped 1k yards in a season yet either. He's had bad QBs and injury issues so there's still a lot of potential, but this has to effect his trade value.
I think our 2nd rd pick would be fair.
Maybe Ed Oliver + late picks if the Broncos like Oliver.
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3 concussions in 3 months is devastating, but it doesn't make much sense for them to make a move this season.
Dolphins don't have much in the way of draft capital (lost their 1st due to tampering LOL) and not a lot of cap space. I'd expect them to ride it out this year and evaluate Tua. If he can't stay healthy this year they 100% need to move on.
Maybe they could do a Tua + for Lamar trade. That's about the only path I see for no Tua in Miami next year.
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On 3/2/2023 at 9:38 AM, BUFFALOTONE said:
Florida has no personal income tax and no state estate tax, whereas New York currently has an income tax rate as high as 8.82% and estate taxes on estates over $5,850,000.00 at a rate as high as 16%.
What are you talking about? I live in FLA and own a house in Niagara Falls...trust me you're wrong on this.
Why would a 31 year old be concerned with estate taxes ?
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If you told me 4 years ago that we'd have 4 straight playoff appearances and 4 playoff wins I would've been ecstatic and say that McD far exceeded expectations..
The problem is that the 2020-2021 reset my expectations. We had a top 3 QB on a rookie contract. The expectation should really be SB and the best we've done is a blowout loss in the AFCCG. Some bad luck that we played against the Chiefs/Bengals playing at their best, but that's the NFL.
The 30mm+ in free cap space that a rookie QB contract gives you is such an insane competitive advantage. If McD couldn't get it done these last 3 years it's hard to imagine he'll be able to going forward.
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8 hours ago, Ray Stonada said:
I hope Leslie Frazier and his family are alright.
One note for those who keep bringing up his defenses' stats in their last three playoff losses. Not sure that's not cherry picking.
For comparision, I just calculated Kansas City's defensive stats in their last three playoff losses: they gave up, on AVERAGE, 31.6 points and 407.6 yards in those three games. Pretty terrible, huh?
It's ironic to use the Chiefs as a comparison.
They fired their DC (Sutton) after losing to the Patriots in the AFCCG. Their defensive performance in that game was eerily similar to the Bills in the 13 seconds game.
Per Wiki:
"Sutton had reportedly lost the support of players and coaches who felt that his "lack of adjustments has been a non-stop frustration", so he was relieved of his duties two days after the loss to the Patriots in the AFC Championship Game,[6] when the Chiefs defense twice failed to hold a 4th quarter lead and surrendered several 3rd and long conversions on New England's game-winning touchdown drive in overtime. The overtime drive highlighted Sutton's weaknesses that cost him his job, as the Patriots largely converted those 3rd downs on near-identical plays."
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3 hours ago, BarleyNY said:
http://amp.thecomeback.com/nfl/roger-goodell-dan-snyder-bank-fraud.html
Allegations that Snyder fraudulently secured a loan to buy out minority owners of Commanders. Goodell alleged to have signed off on the loan despite knowing it was fraudulent.
It’d be such a shame if both of them were no longer able to be involved with the NFL.
Should link to the actual ESPN article that has a lot of details, and not "amp.thecomeback.com"
As far as Goodell goes I think this is the relevant section:
The NFL guarantees all debt taken out by teams. If a franchise wants to take on a new loan beyond strict set limits, it usually must get the permission of the league's finance committee and 24 of 32 owners. McCarthy, the NFL spokesman, did not answer a question about whether the finance committee and the 32 owners had approved Washington's new credit line. A franchise owner and a senior executive said Goodell is not responsible for scrutinizing the terms and conditions of loans. However, a team cannot assume fresh debt, which is guaranteed by the NFL, without Goodell's approval.
Snyder, on the other hand, sounds like he may have committed fraud. He needed the board's approval to take out a new loan and he never got it (I'm unclear why the bank ever approved the loan though).
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8 minutes ago, Beck Water said:
Given a choice between Wawrow as a source and almost everyone else covering the Bills, I would take @john wawrow. He is required by his AP contract to verify everything with 2 sources with direct knowledge. When he's opining, you can put his opinion in the kettle with everyone else, but when he's stating something definitive, it's typically Bank.
I could be wrong, but I believe NFL coaches contracts run the same way that other NFL contracts run - from the start of the league year, until just before the start of the next. So the question Wawrow would be answering is "is Wawrow under contract for the 2023 season?" and the answer would apparently be "yes". And it would be very unlike Wawrow to dance around a technicality, such as saying "his contract has NOT expired" when it's actually due to expire in a month.
Interesting bit in Beane's combine presser about 1 minute in:
Reporter: "When you say return to coaching, do you mean that will be with the Bills?"
Beane: "I don't know that yet. I think what we're going to do is just take this year off, and let this year be, and cross that in 2024"
That doesn't sound like the GM of a coach who is not under contract with the Bills at least through 2024, IMO
I normally wouldn't suggest that Wawrow was trying to skate by on a technicality, but there was an awful lot of smoke about Frazier's contract expiring this offseason after the Bengals loss, AND Wawrow's tweet was a little ambiguous. Now we get this bizarre story of Frazier "taking a year off" with no explanation given.
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2 minutes ago, Beck Water said:
Where does this thing about Frazier's contract being up keep coming from?
I thought multiple press guys covering the Bills had said it is not true.
Tweet from JW in January
Couple thoughts:
1) The tweet could be technically true that Frazier's contract had not expired as of Jan 26th, and that it expired today Feb 28th
2) JW could be wrong
3) Other reports that his contract expired could be wrong
How do you feel about the Bills going into the 2023 season vs going into 2022?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
I feel a little bit worse this year even though it's pretty easy to convince myself that the roster improved this offseason.
Going into last offseason, with how Josh played against the Patriots and Chiefs in the playoffs, it felt like we could only lose to Mahomes or maybe Burrow in a playoff game.
Going into this offseason I've been reminded that this team will pull a disappearing act for at least 1 game per season under McD, and if it happens in a playoff game again we're obviously toast.