DabillsDaBillsDaBills
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Posts posted by DabillsDaBillsDaBills
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1 hour ago, Billl said:
Multiple witnesses including the club owner said Rice never hit the guy, and now the photographer is no longer pursuing charges. Rashee has been a full participant in OTAs.
The ESPN report i was reading said the guy doesn't want the police to press charges.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/40190812/police-man-want-rashee-rice-charged-alleged-assault
If I had to guess.....$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
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21 hours ago, transplantbillsfan said:
What evidence do you have to suggest that Von Miller is a washed up bum???
I'm confused. Are you putting out that state about 10+ sacks for 35+ players because you think it proves something? If it does, I think it proves my point more than yours.
Evidence?
You do realize Von Miller played in 14 games (including playoffs) last season?
It's understandable if you didn't notice that he was playing...the man was a ghost out there and finished the season with 3 tackles and no sacks.
Watching him in any of those games should be all the evidence anyone needs to know he's a washed up bum.
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2 hours ago, transplantbillsfan said:
Yeah... this line of argument is silly. It looks at age in a vacuum rather than looking at the player individually.
He was fantastic at 33 when he was on the field and healthy at 33. Last season was the year he was "coming off a major knee injury." At this point... what is at the moment 1 1/2 years separate from that injury and will be almost 2 full years separate from that injury once the season starts, I don't even think the injury is a factor in this equation. It's entirely age. And I've given my argument about the age thing already. He showed no signs of slowing down last time he was on the field and healthy in 2022 at 33 years old.
4.5??? Wanna make a friendly wager that he gets more than that?
There's a BIG difference between age 33 and age 35 for edge rushers. If statmuse is correct there's been 19 seasons in NFL history where a player age 35+ had 10+ sacks.
There's also a big difference between 10+ sacks and the 4.5 line I came up with.
Von Miller is a washed up bum though so i'll take the under.
Wager: 100 units of pride
I'll bump the thread in January to celebrate if I win, or earlier If I lose to eat some crow.
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7 minutes ago, transplantbillsfan said:
I don't think Von wins DPOY, but I actually think the "Von is over-the-hill" narrative is head-scratching.
Throw out his play from last season. History says that players take more than a full calendar year to fully recover from an ACL tear and often closer to 2 full calendar years to round back into form. We saw that happen with Tre White and it happens time and time again with players in the NFL.
So the only argument regarding Von is his age. @GunnerBill said this offseason that Von is washed and he thinks there's something like a 5% chance Von has any impact on the team this year. That's really the way almost everyone feels. He's a complete afterthought.
Do you guys not remember how Von was playing up until that Thanksgiving game in 2022???? It's not like he showed any signs of age whatsoever. The guy had 8 sacks in 11 games and was still a game-wrecker. Didn't look like a 33 year old pass rusher in any way.
We know he works. We know he wants to win. And we know he believes in himself.
I think Von is going to have a very productive season this year. He may not get double digit sacks, but as a DPR I could absolutely see him getting 6-10 sacks.
The Von Miller that had 8 sacks in 11 games was 'only' 33 years old and was not coming off a major knee injury.
The 2024 Von Miller is 35 years old and coming off a major knee injury.
I'd put the betting line for his sack total on the season at 4.5
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I wouldn't bet on Von Miller at +100,000
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1 hour ago, Brand J said:
The reworked one is fine, the one he signed a couple years ago was not.
2nd worst contract on the team only behind Von Miller
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The contract we gave him is going to make any trade difficult. Knox has a 7.7mm active cap hit for the coming season and if we trade him we'll incur 17mm in dead cap (the date of the trade can spread that out over the next 2 seasons).
Pre June 1st trade:
2024 dead cap: 17.5mm
Post June 1st trade:
2024 dead cap: 5.0mm
2025 dead cap: 12.5mm
The other thing to consider with a trade is what would we get back? Knox just had the worst year of his career posting 22 catches for 186 yards and 2 TDs with 4 drops in 13 games. Saying he had a bad year is an understatement. I can't imagine we'd do better than a 5th rd pick.
Given that he is not a lockerroom cancer (ala Diggs) and already restructured his contract this offseason to take a paycut, I think it's pretty clear we're going to stick with him this season.
The best we can hope for is he improves on last season and can fix the drop issues. It's hard to believe he'll ever be worth that contract though
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I think he got the yips after the Giants game when he missed 2 50+ yard FGs and nearly cost us the game.
He started the year 9/9 up until the Giants game then went 15/20 to finish the regular season. McD decided to punt instead of have Bass attempt a 50-55 yarder multiple times in this stretch.
He was a mind boggling 2/5 in the playoffs.
I imagine he was a very real cut candidate, but his active cap hit is 4.4mm and dead cap would be 7.4mm.
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22 minutes ago, BigDingus said:
The real issue, and I know I'm gonna get flack for saying this, is that Allen is one of the big reasons the team has to claw back from behind to begin with.
Sure, he can get credit for scoring late against the Patriots, sending us to OT against the Jets, or getting us in FG range against the Broncos, but then you'd have to point out how Josh threw us out of those games in the first place.
Jets game it's fair to blame Josh.
I think it's fair to blame the Denver game on the offense for 4 turnovers, but not on Josh in particular. He had 1 bad INT, Cook lost a fumble, Gabe let a perfect throw go through his hands for an INT, and there was a botched handoff between Allen/Cook.
Patriots game though? He had 1 turnover (not counting the last second intentional fumble). The DEF gave up 29 points to a Mac Jones led team that was in a death spiral. The Pats didn't score more than 17 points in the 5 weeks before or after this game. Accounting for the opposition this game might be the worst defensive performance in McD's tenure.
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42 minutes ago, Charles Romes said:
Even in the losses last year Allen was incredible in late game drives.
tying it up v the Jets
two fourth quarter TDs v the jags to get within one score
took the lead v the broncos with a TD
tool the lead v the Pats with a TD
Cut it to one score v the Bengals
tool the lead last drive and again in OT v the eagles.
came trying drive v the chiefs (blown by bass)Go ahead FG in the Chargers game too.
The most wild stat from last season is that we went 0-3 in games where we scored a go-ahead TD with less than 2 minutes left in the game.
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1 hour ago, Gugny said:
How’d he do in that Cinci playoff game?Can you imagine Pat Mahomes mailing it in like that?
Yes, I did see Mahomes in the TB superbowl and in the 2nd half/OT against Bengals
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We have 65mm in dead cap this coming season. That's around 25% of our total cap allocated to players to NOT PLAY for us. We have a DC with 0 experience and an OC with half a season of experience.
We also have an albatross of a contract in Von Miller who looked 100% cooked last season. We could've replaced him with a FA off the street and gotten better production at the position. Maybe 35 year old Miller will have a return to form this season but I doubt it.
Knox is another highly paid player that had a disastrously bad season. At least there's no reason to think he can't improve this season and approach his previous production.
I think a realistic expectation is 10 wins and a WC appearance. Anything beyond that would require a LOT of luck
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If I was QB and the play-calling were real plays? Exactly 0. I'd probably die on the field on the first play.
If I could sit back in shotgun and immediately heave it downfield as high as I could "500" style I'm sure some of those would end up as catches. End up going like 2/25 for 40 yards with 10 INTs
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Mahomes is clearly not putting in enough work in the offseason and doesn't take football seriously
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After the Diggs trade I hesitate to call any Bills contract 'untradeable'....but Milano is untradeable.
He has a 12.4mm active cap hit for the 2024 season. That turns into 25.2mm dead cap if we trade him prior to June 1st. It's 7.9mm dead cap in 2024 and 17.3mm dead cap in 2025 if it's a post June 1st trade.
I think we'd need at least a 1st rd pick to make a Milano trade feasible, and what GM in their right mind is offering a 1st for a 29 year old LB coming off a major injury?
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I'm just thankful its not the Bills.
That trip to London last year de-railed the season
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2 hours ago, FireChans said:
I am shocked that someone thinks that Mahomes and Allen are worse QB's today than they were 4-5 years ago because they haven't had better statistical outputs than their best seasons (2018 and 2020, respectively)
Wild take, but I guess you're entitled to your opinion.
That's literally the argument you made against Allen..... unless you were just pointing out an argument without believing it? The tone of your post suggested to me that you thought Allen is not working hard in the offseason. Apologies if I misunderstood
QuoteThesis:
I’m not sure if Allen works hard or not during the off-season
Evidence:No unofficial WR minicamp videos
No workout videos
Talks about focusing on healing and time off instead of conditioning in the off-season
Has not improved as a QB since 2020
Mahomes has been the best QB in the league since 2018 and Allen has been the 2nd best since 2020. Those were also their best individual seasons. It's technically true to say they haven't improved since those seasons, but it's an incredibly disingenuous argument to make.
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1 hour ago, FireChans said:
Do you think Mahomes has regressed since 2018?
I mean, the stats say he has, right? That’s an inarguable fact?
Yes he has regressed since then. That's his only season that is in the top 5 for best seasons by a QB in NFL history.
Mahomes could never improve on that season and still have the greatest career of all time.
Josh could never improve on his 2020 season and still be a HOF QB.
That's why the statement that Josh hasn't improved on his 2020 season is asinine.
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20 minutes ago, FireChans said:
Watching him play backs it up.
Who needs facts and stats when you can 'just watch'?
Mahomes 2018 season is on a very short list for best season by any QB in NFL history.
The fact (yes, fact) that he hasn't improved on that season doesn't mean that he's lazy in the offseason or doesn't watch enough film.
It just means he set the bar so high it's almost impossible to improve on it.
Josh's play has been about the same for 4 years in a row now. When you're one of the 3 best QBs in the league playing about the same not improving is still a VERY GOOD thing. Arguing otherwise and trying to present that as proof that Josh doesn't put in the off-field work is just silly.
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24 minutes ago, FireChans said:
I think Mahomes has improved since 2018, personally.
He had that weird stretch of 2021 where teams forced him to be disciplined and play more in the system and take easy throws, and he struggled for awhile before coming out the other side.
Mahomes stats don't back that up at all. In fact you could say he's regressed since 2018 rather than just plateaued.
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3 hours ago, FireChans said:
There’s two camps here
Thesis:
I’m not sure if Allen works hard or not during the off-season
Evidence:No unofficial WR minicamp videos
No workout videos
Talks about focusing on healing and time off instead of conditioning in the off-season
Has not improved as a QB since 2020
Thesis:
Allen definitely works hard in the off-season
Evidence:
I hope he does
Do you think the other great QB’s believe this? The ones with multiple titles?
I'll agree that Josh hasn't improved since 2020, but that's like saying Mahomes hasn't improved since 2018. These guys are at the peak of the profession. There's not really anywhere to go from there.
Whatever Josh is doing is working and it's more than good enough to win a SB
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12 hours ago, Billy Claude said:
Last off-season there was a very similar thread after a "story" from Jason Whitlock about the Diggs-Allen relationship. I understand that Jason Whitlock is not very reliable and I am certainly not saying Whitlock was correct but it definitely counts as a whisper. We had essentially the same thread last off-season and that didn't come out of a vacuum.
As stated upthread, I don't begrudge him taking a few months off and having a little fun to recover mind and body. I am much more concerned about how little film he watched which was confirmed on the McAfee show. McAfee asked Allen about it, which means that Allen not watching much film is a well known fact around the NFL. There was also a story that the backup QBs (Case Keenum and Matt Barkley) used to tease Allen about how little flim he watches. These would also count as whispers.
Before people come back with but he explains that "I don't watch a lot of film because teams play me differently", IMHO, that is a pure BS excuse.
Whitlock is less credible than the average TBD poster.
Whitlock admitted to making up a story about Diggs wanting out of Buffalo to live in a bigger/better city (better night life, better strip clubs, etc.). He then pivots and says the REAL reason Diggs wants out is because everybody on the team knows that Allen doesn't have that dog in him. That he doesn't care about the game or prepare the way other top QBs do. That everyone in the Bills lockerroom (players/coaches) know this and are ok with letting Josh skate by on pure talent.
What was the story about Keenum and Barkley teasing Allen over him not watching film? I don't remember that one and would like to read up on it. Can't find anything online.
Do you have a link for the McAfee quote? As I remember it Josh said he doesn't put a ton of stock into film study because once he learns a defenses tendencies, they'll switch it up and try and outsmart each other. Turns into a "knowing that you know, that i know, that you know, I'll do THIS instead" and that Josh would rather just play organically.
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1 hour ago, Billy Claude said:
This isn't a new topic, of course their were whispers. There were whispers last off season also, where people on this board fell over themselves defending Allen.
I myself have no problem with Allen taking a few months off. I am much more concerned that he doesn't like to watch film to the point that the other QBs in the room tease him about it and no, the " teams play me differently excuse" is the kind of BS you expect from your high school kid about why they didn't study.
Can you provide a link to a source for these "whispers" from a player or coach on the Bills?
I've yet to see one myself, but always willing to look at new data points.
I couldn't care less what random analysts post on twitter with regards to Josh's offseason preparation when they have as much first hand knowledge as I do (exactly none).
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3 hours ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:
I’m bumping it. I’m BUMPING IT!
Has there been even a whisper of resentment towards Josh Allen other than from Diggs?
And I will stress the word whisper as Diggs has never said anything negative about Allen in public.
Of those 2 guys only 1 of them spends every February and March tweeting cryptic ***** intended to stir up drama.
Of those 2 guys only 1 of them skipped voluntary OTAs in 2023 and had the head coach "very concerned".
Josh thinks he can come off the bench in the NBA
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Josh is 6 foot 5 and freakishly athletic. It's not crazy to say he could be a contributing bench player. Give him a few years of professional level training and he might even be pretty decent.