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ColoradoBills

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Posts posted by ColoradoBills

  1. 10 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

    I’d like to see the Bills use some of the later picks on vets, to move up or to move into next year’s draft. I don’t want the Bills drafting more than 6 guys. They just don’t have the roster space.

     

    Beane is missing a 5th and 7th rounder in next year's draft.  I'm certain he will look to get them back on Saturday.

    It would be great to deal off one of the lower round 5ths to a team not projected to be all that good for their 2025 5th and 7th.

    • Like (+1) 2
  2. 1 minute ago, FireChans said:

    I would have loved it. It would have been risky, but bold and aggressive.

     

    We will see you back when Worthy sends us home in January for you to tell us “no one could predict he’d be good.”

     

    I'll wait for the draft to finish before I give my opinion on Beane's moves.

    I also never gave any opinion on Worthy.  He could "bust" or be great.  

  3. 3 minutes ago, jwhit34 said:

    Comparison of the Bills picks at beginning of the draft and now:

     

    Original

    28, 60, 128, 133, 144, 160, 163, 200, 204, 248

     

    Now

    33, 60, 95, 128, 141, 144, 160, 163, 204, 221

     

    Analysis:

    Picks retained: 60, 128, 144, 160, 163, 204

     

    Trade down from 28 to 33 (-5)

     

    Trade up from:

    133 to 95  (+38)

    200 to 141 (+59)

    248 to 221  (+27)

     

    That's good maneuvering presuming that their WR is still available.

     

     

     

     

     

    Thank you for posting.  I was just figuring the difference and you saved me a lot of work.

     

    I think Beane did good IF he is getting his WR with pick #33 that he would have taken at 28.

    • Agree 2
  4. On 4/19/2024 at 1:25 PM, The Wiz said:

    This about sums it up. 

     

     

     

     

    As much as the Buffalo Bills have appreciated in value, selling the 25% to finance everything seems pretty smart to me.

    His net worth has been rising every year and he just sits back from now on and makes money.

     

    As for the "investor", if it's a guy who wants to get his name in the running for a team of his/her own in the future, it makes sense.

    In the meantime, he sits back and makes money for doing nothing. 

    • Like (+1) 2
  5. On 4/11/2024 at 1:06 PM, SoonerBillsFan said:

    I am betting we trade 28 to Carllina for 33 and a 3rd.  1st pick of the 2nd round which gives us tons of ammo.

     

     

    I'm thinking trading back for Washington's Pick #40 and #78 or Washington's Pick #36 and #100.

     

    I think Washington would want to get back into the 1st round.

    • Like (+1) 3
  6. 2 minutes ago, Augie said:

     

    Brady used to piss me off when he’d start a game with 11 straight completions to 8 different guys. 

     

    I do believe that was all Brady and HIS gameplan.  I so want Josh to start to think that way.

    Sometimes you have to purposely wait for the 3rd read to come open.

  7. 24 minutes ago, GASabresIUFan said:

    The more I read about Josh and DIggs this seems like addition by subtraction.  

     

    The Bills have a new OC, the Bills went 7-2 with that OC and a diminished role for Diggs.  Josh was much better at spreading the ball around to Shakir, Kincaid and Cook who rewarded him by catching 80% of his throws as opposed to Davis and Diggs who caught 61% or less.  

     

    The Bills also clear an expensive Prima Donna out of the locker-room.  We may look back at the Diggs trade and call it Josh Freedom Day.  Now Josh can literally scan the field and throw to who is open instead of force feeding Diggs to keep him happy.  

     

    I wonder if the dropped ball against KC was the last straw for Diggs in Buffalo.

     

    People are justifiably worried about how we make up the 241 targets, 152 catches, 1926 yards and 15 TDs that walked out the door with Diggs and Davis.  Add in Harty, Murray, Sherfield and Harris and you have another 67 Targets to re-allocate.  

     

    I'd argue that this is a classic Moneyball situation where we'll make up for the loss in the aggregate. Josh targets a Receiver (TE, RB or WR) about 550 times per season. Next season Knox (36 targets), Kincaid (91), Shakir (45) and Ty Johnson (7) all should have expanded roles with Kincaid likely going form 90 to 120 targets and Shakir going as high as 85 or 90.  UFAs signees Samuel (92) and Hollins (30) and I can easily see them repeating those numbers in Buffalo.  Now add a high draft pick at WR to the mix. Davis, as a rookie, was targeted about 65 times, and that seems like a reasonable place to start for a new player.

     

    Kincaid 91 --> 120

    Shakir 45 --> 90

    Samuel 92 --> 90

    Rookie WR 0 --> 65

    Cook 54 --> 60

    Knox 36 --> 50

    Hollins 30 --> 30

    Johnson 7 --> 30

    Others 6  --> 10

     

    This allocation would actually decrease the throws to the receivers (from 330 to 280), but increase the usage of the TEs (from 130 to 170).

     

    This would be a much more balanced passing attack and make it much much harder to defenses to defend.  

     

     

     

     

    This is what I keep saying.  Make the D defend the entire field, not one guy.

  8. Nobody is getting a pass, least off Brandon Beane.

     

    He (and McD) are not going anywhere.  They are more than competent in their jobs.

    IF they were fired teams from around the league would be lining up to hire them.

     

    As Will Sonnet said, "No brag, just fact".

    • Agree 1
  9. Just now, Billy Claude said:

     

    OK.  I guess he could be cut without much pain.  I would rather go with him than an unknown.   At least, we know Bass has been a good kicker in the past.

     

    Of course that is the hope.  My point is to bring in camp competition as insurance against him losing it all together.

    • Agree 1
  10. I am hoping that Bass gets over his bad season.  I like the man and the player.

    He does need camp competition.  I wouldn't mind a 7th round pick (or a priority UDFA) coming to camp.

     

    I just (for the sake of discussion) want to disprove the "Bass's contract in too expensive to move on from" nonsense.

    IF a rookie kicker was drafted in the 7th and made the team the $ numbers look like this.

     

    Bass - Post June cut - $100k 2024 cap savings.

    Rookie 7th rounder - $815k.

     

    Bass has a 2025 $3M dead cap but due $4.7M.  Equates to a cap savings of $1.7M, whereas the rookie would cost less than $1M.

    The 2026, 2027 cap savings would be over $8M.

     

    https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/tyler-bass-47784/

     

     

     

  11. 5 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:

    Here's 4 relatively conservative projections for 2024

                        Targets          Yards      Yards/Target
    Kincaid          110                 800             7.3
    Shakir             80                800            10
    Samuel           90                750             8.3
    All RBs            80                650             8.1 

     

    Last year all the RBs had 86 targets.  Personally, I like to see that go up slightly to 100 for the season.

    That equates to 1 more per game.

    FWIW, Johson was 7 of 7 for 8.9 yards per reception.

    • Thank you (+1) 1
  12. Not sure I understand why there is this need for one of the Bills WRs to take over as the primary target and needing to amass a bunch of yards.

    I feel that Josh Allen is best when he distributes the ball more evenly.  There have been times that has happened, and it was successful.

     

    Spread the ball around this season.  Shakir will get his targets but doesn't need 100+ of them.

    • Thank you (+1) 1
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