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Richard Noggin

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Posts posted by Richard Noggin

  1. 56 minutes ago, BigDingus said:

     

    I'd easily give up Rousseau + 2 picks for Parsons. 

     

    Given who this team has used 1st round picks on, I wouldn't miss those picks anyway. Rather take my chances with a guaranteed young superstar. You know, an asset of which we have very few of on this team.

     

    Name one superstar, elite talent on the Bills besides Josh. We have none. If you have a chance to get the next Von Miller, the next Bruce Smith, the next Reggie White, who cares if you give up 2 x 1st round picks? 

     

    Right now, no picks involved at all, would you do these trades:

     

    1) Ed Oliver & Groot for Parsons

    2) Groot & Kincaid for Parsons

    3) Coleman & Groot for Parsons

    4) Hairston & Kincaid for Parsons

    5) Elam & Edmunds for Parsons... oh wait.

     

    And yes, I know Coleman was just the top of the 2nd round, but he was the result of multiple trade backs out of the 1st round.

     

    I would take ALL of those for Parsons. That's what we've spent our 1st round picks on. Maybe Hairston or Kincaid become elite, but Parsons is already a top 2 or 3 player at his position, only 26 years old, gets constant pressure on the QB (sack or not) and commands a QB-level contract due to how good he is.

     

    We already have cap issues. We basically paid tens of millions of dollars to offload Stefon Diggs & save money in the future, yet we've still got the least cap space in the NFL & no elite talent to show for it. We paid Von Miller a boatload of money years ago when he was already 33 & got 9 good games out of him.

     

    Green Bay is already paying a big QB contract, is extremely young, has a great defense AND managed to swing Micah Parsons. 

     

    I'm sure they won't be regretting anything if their team is as successful as they look like they're going to be. Remember when many on this board said we shouldn't try to trade for CMC because he needed a "real" every down back? Then he goes to the 49ers & lights it up. Pretty sure he would've been insane on this team. Even when Derek Henry was available people weren't that interested. We had Cook after all. 

     

    But as much as I like Cook, he's no Derek Henry.

     

    At this point, if any superstar players becomes available, the Bills should try to get them. They need play makers that opponents have to gameplan specifically for. That's where I'm at at this point.

     

    Rousseau as part of a Parsons trade package makes plenty of sense, except for all the deal money he'd incur. But on the field, sure. I've grown disillusioned with Groot. Hopefully he proves me wrong starting this week.

     

    The problem with that trade package is that the "+2 picks" would be at least the next 2 1sts, which hurts (major loss of cap-controlled talent). Unless you want to be super cynical about Beane's 1st round drafting, in which case, then I guess an argument can be made. 

     

  2. 6 hours ago, Dan said:

    This is why I think those PFF scores are crap… how is Derek Henry not the #1 ranked RB last week?   One fumble, I guess, negates the fact that he literally ran the Bills D into the ground. 

     

    Because production is different than opportunity. Derrick Henry did VERY well to sprint through those gaping holes and cutback lanes and 2nd and 3rd level defenders taking abysmal angles and just being physically outmatched (by what a beast Henry is, no doubt). But I'm guessing Hall did more with LESS, according to the evaluators. Simple, really. 

     

    5 hours ago, MJS said:

    He was running through wide open holes.

     

    For the most part, Henry was kept clean through the line the way we wish Bernard, on the other side, could be. I googled Henry's yards BEFORE contact in week 1 to see about that, and here's AI's summary (which is mathematically incoherent...because that many avg yards before contact on 18 carries equals over 250 yards rushing before contact in total...so I'm just lost):

     

    image.thumb.png.9f96b17df32d5028a7b75810651bf146.png

     

  3. Are we allowed to admit that Allen forced at least a handful of passes into incredibly dangerous windows that BOTH: a) showed off his elite pocket movement AND arm arrogance/talent, and b) enough puck luck and WR compete to embrace success and narrowly avoid disaster?

     

    On 9/10/2025 at 7:52 AM, boyst said:

    Jackson got a lil boo boo and had to pull himself because he's baby soft charmin.

     

    That's the measure I looked at...

     

    To be fair, Ed freaking Oliver had at least something to do with Jackson's discomfort after 3rd down... 

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  4. 11 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

    I am in the middle on this argument.   I think @HappyDays is right that they need a dominant 1 tech if they want to play base nickel with 2 less-than-physical LB's.  It was different when they had 250# 1st round pick Tremaine Edmunds,  having to sacrifice pass rush to protect that no-play-making SOB was a ridiculous state of affairs.  Bernard NEEDS protection.   That MF'er is a turnover magnet and you need those kind of players opposite a high powered offense.   Bernard also might be their best pass rusher(aside from Ed if he plays like this) and you can't use Bernard on the blitz if you can't control the middle of the LOS.

     

    And I do somewhat excuse the LB's and safeties some for being in preseason form because they basically didn't play behind this line in game action until Sunday and the Ravens clearly put a lot of thought into this game plan.  The Bills were reacting.   Whatever they might have drawn up they weren't able to get to it because Monken beat them to the punch.    That said,  the huge, untouched run gains by the Ravens weren't appreciably different than getting gashed by a few huge pass plays.   So by late in the game the Bills defense was still fresh.   Even Ed Oliver only played 35 snaps and it seemed like he was not coming off the field in the second half.

     

    The bolded is SO important to remember. It's generally true of ALL LBs tbh, that they need the guys up front to keep them somewhat clean to truly shine. Even Ray Lewis got chewed up the year that Siragusa and Sam Adams departed. I know he got hurt, but there was public discord over the Ravens DL no longer occupying blockers the way it once had. Took the team a couple years to recalibrate and replace those big uglies. 

     

    The Bills clearly do not have a true monster 1T who can command OL attention and therefore free up the 2nd level behind him. DaQuan Jones has had flashes in his Bills tenure, but more often than not now seems to be getting absolutely WASHED by double-teams and/or handled by single-teams. It's been an ongoing failing of McBeane to not have a stud next to Oliver all these years. We criticize Ed for being inconsistent and disappearing, but he's like THE guy OLs need to neutralize. Where are his teammates on the DL? 

     

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  5. Wasn't even aware of this event tbh. Like @BillsPride12 above, I have come to deeply cherish the away games and my freedom to lounge about at home, or more likely, to drive around the corner to watch in my buddy's garage and catch up with a few friends. 

     

    If I KNEW for sure a few specific people from our row/section would be there, I'd possibly consider it. Given it's the final year we'll be surrounded by the neighbors we've come to appreciate. SUCH impeccable vibes around us each game. The people I appreciate all stayed last week and it was bonkers. The guys to one side are younger, and had a bunch of friends from the 300s come down once the comeback began and there were empty seats. Ended up with a bunch of people hopping up and down and hugging and shoving each other and high fiving and screaming like children on a playground. Part of the specialness, though, is the limited interactions. I've stood next to the same guy for four years now and we don't really know each other's names, yet we've embraced like giddy lads on multiple occasions. It's been a nice run. 

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  6. 5 minutes ago, thurst44 said:

    He had 6 catches for 61 yards in this game we're talking about right now.

     

    And how many attempts did Allen have in order to produce that level of production for Palmer? (was 5 catches btw, not 6)

     

    Week 1 extrapolates out to a career best, 1,000+ yard season (and career best 85 receptions) for Palmer, but there is NO reality in which Bills coaches intend to see Allen attempt 46 passes again this regular season. It could happen, but should be more of an outlier if the Bills are able to dictate a balanced attack the ways they hope to most weeks.

     

    Last regular season, for example, Allen had a peak of 40 attempts ONE time, against KC in a win. The year prior, though, he got to at least 40 attempts 5 times, and only 1 of those was a win. The year prior to that, he had 40+ attempts 5 times, with 3 of those being wins. And prior to that in 2021, Allen had 40+ attempts 8 times, winning only 4 of those games.

     

    So, since 2021, prior to 2025, JA17/Buffalo has thrown at least 40 pass attempts 19 times out of 67 games, and is 9-10 in those games. Overall, the Bills are 46-21 over that span, which means they are 37-11 when attempting fewer than 40 passes. Don't think such metrics are lost on Sean McDermott. 

     

    We can add a 1-0 2025 record in games where Allen attempts 40+ passes, but that brings the franchise only to a .500 record over the past 4+ seasons when they are extremely pass-heavy. (Incorporating Allen's first 3 seasons adds a 5-4 record in such games, so the pattern is fairly consistent throughout.) 

     

    No surprise that in the playoffs, the Bills/Allen have NEVER won when attempting 40+ passes (0-3), and are 7-3 otherwise. 

     

    **this all potentially crushes my desire to see the Bills come out each week with extreme aggression, offensively (instead of intentional balance and control)

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  7. 8 hours ago, HurlyBurly51 said:

    I'm just as concerned about our LB's.  Rough 1st outing for both Bernard and Milano.

     

    Week one is a liar? giphy.gif

     

    6 hours ago, ChronicAndKnuckles said:

    They will need Hairston. I have a bad feeling the Chiefs are going to make a play for Tyreek. 

     

    But they'll have both Rice and Worthy back by week 7 (Worthy sounds like he might not miss much time at all), so why would they take back a known cancer who would cost them compensation, just to cause a logjam of egos and targets? They still have Hollywood Brown and Juju and probably someone else with pedigree who has underperformed. 

     

    3 hours ago, BuffaloBillsGospel2014 said:

     

    Watch him on those long henry runs, he gets obliterated at the LOS, He is completely washed and a liability. Oh and on the long Lamar run that Bosa/Rousseau wiffed on, he was just loligagging out of position.

     

    Wait a minute!? Are you suggesting Larry Ogunjobi, who is currently suspended until week 7, was not hustling out there in week 1? You're dang right. He wasn't even in uniform!!! WTF

     

  8. Pizzeria Florian in East Aurora is the best pizza in WNY, without question. Ranked in top 50 worldwide, if I'm not mistaken. It's run by the Jay who founded Jay's Artisan Pizza, which he eventually sold to an understudy. There is much else in East Aurora, including Bar-Bill (elite wings) and a nationally impressive Borderlands music festival lineup this weekend, so consider a slight venture east of town for all that. 

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  9. Do the white over blue unis most likely ensure tops and bottoms color contrast against the Jets (assuming Jets go with green tops and either white or green bottoms)? Do players have any input/influence? Or is it just the Bills marketing all the combos throughout the season? 

     

    Fans on the other hand almost universally prefer white over white for Bills away games, innit? 

     

    I specifically prefer blue over white or white over blue BUT WITH RED HELMETS. Combination of 70s-90s kit combos. Gimme red home endzones while we're at it, thank you very much. 

  10. 25 minutes ago, boyst said:

    I think it could cause more problems than good revving the engine that high for the duration of the game. We would end up like the '24 Lions. 

     

    But I don't think you intentionally redline it "for the duration of the game" if the game script goes as intended: attacking and scoring to establish enough of a lead to make your opponent's offense more predictably pass-heavy/one-dimensional. I don't love any of this prescriptive or compensatory game-planning, but we have to admit our defense needs help against the better offenses.

     

    The real question becomes: can the current Bills DL/pass rush actually capitalize on such an advantage? We don't necessarily have a Dwight Freeney/Mathis (Colts used this model--ahem, Polian) or a Bruce Smith/Seales/Bennett (Bills also under Polian) pass rushing tandem who can consistently/quickly pressure the QB in obvious passing situations.

     

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  11. 11 hours ago, Spiderweb said:

    Jimmy .. your stick is very old and frankly it's become just as pathetic as the Jesters have been .... 

     

     

    It's "shtick" btw...unless yer talking 'bout the man's actual "JImmy"? 

     

    7 hours ago, Bleedingreennc said:

    Always love seeing his posts.

     

    giphy.gif

  12. 11 hours ago, TheyCallMeAndy said:

    Last time I checked, we are quite good at doing both. 

     

    Are we quite good at doing both against the league's best teams? We've not been good enough in the playoffs, without question. And that's now the whole point with an ascended MVP unicorn leading the charge. We won't have Allen forever. Gotta get it done ASAP. 

  13. On 9/8/2025 at 4:23 PM, Captain_Quint said:

    I have to admit that I enjoyed hearing that #70 is reporting as eligible. That always meant that the beef was coming. But having he and Hawes to choose from is a nice wrinkle for the offense. 

     

    Before that, it was Tommy Doyle (#72?) who started the trend for Buffalo. We had some fun with him reporting each time as that season progressed. But for sure last year the Bills were super successful using that package (with Anderson). 

  14. 13 hours ago, stlbills13 said:

    There are some similarities between the two teams but I also think it's overblown. Nobody else in the NFL is Derrick Henry in terms of his size, speed, and ability. He forces defenses to do different things even more so than Lamar does. 

     

    The key is to get ahead early and make Fields throw the ball. If you do that, this one will be over early. 

     

    My main offensive complaint with McDermott's post-Daboll approach is that he seems to prefer CONTROLLING the game in the first half, rather than WINNING it. He could help his poopy defense so much by just unleashing Allen early and often. Then they could run more and lean on teams with a lead in hand, if he insists.

     

    13 hours ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

    Like many are pointing out, the Jets and Ravens have a lot of similar traits. The two big thing that stand out for me is that Hall is no DH and Fields is no Lamar. Facing the Ravens was a really nice opportunity to remember how to play teams build like this. Things like setting the edge, gap integrity ECT...

     

    Jets are like the Great Value brand of Raven football. I expect the Bills defense...who actually played well late in the Ravens game, to be fine tuned and ready to easily shut down the Jet offense. 

     

    And while Allen does seem to get bottled up by the Jet defense...we all saw his stats against the Ravens in last year's. Yet he went off for almost 400 passing yards and is likely to win OPOW honors. I see him having some success against the Jet defense. But now that defense  doesn't have CJ Mosley. No DJ Reed. Heck they gave up 4 TD passes to Aaron Rodgers and he's 127 years old. Josh should eat well Sunday.

     

    image.png.4099a8d7432a40d7ee22184b3dcd767c.png

     

    13 hours ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:

    We have to be smart about this game. Every time we go to NYJ, it’s the same thing. If we take care of the football, run well, play pretty good defense and ST, we can win comfortably. I would prefer a very conservative game plan. Take points when you can get them, etc. 

     

    Well then have I got a Head Coach for you!!!

     

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  15. 8 hours ago, Nihilarian said:

    So well said!

     

    I've lived through that 17-year drought with bad head coaches and GMs. So, when Bills fans start talking stuff about firing this GM and or HC, it gets to me! :censored:

     

    This is arguably the best head coach and GM this NFL franchise has ever had, and some fans simply don't have the patience to see it through. Josh Allen wasn't this great his first few seasons, and he gets better every year.  They will get to an SB or more and win one. 

     

    These HC & GM were rookies when hired in Buffalo, and not to mention that they didn't inherit a HoF pass rusher and QB like Marv Levy, Bill Polian happened to do. Nor have they drafted early in the draft because of fielding a bad team. Josh Allen didn't fall to them, as this GM knew what he needed and traded up to the #7 spot to get him. No question if they redid that 2018 NFL draft today, so many clubs would be vying to get a hold of Allen...most, if not every club?

     

    It really is remarkable what this GM and HC have built in Buffalo. Joey Bose stated that after that Sun night win against the Ravens, he has never been as happy after a win, a ten-year vet. After the game in the locker room, he went around and shook the hands of all the offensive players because he stated he knew the defense was carried in that game. 

     

    No one should question the winning, resilient, growth-minded, and selfless culture McDermott has built here in Buffalo. He quickly built a culture of success out of the ashes of historically prolonged mediocrity. That happened. Continues to happen.

     

    HOWEVER

     

    The Bills continually look overmatched against the league's best teams, and often rely on Josh Freaking Allen to dig them out of deficits caused in part by conservative gameplans and truly substandard defensive performances. The best offenses/QBs have mostly figured out McD's defenses, year after year. Bottom line. And for whatever reason, McD's offenses, post-Daboll, do NOT attack the top teams with confidence and aggression until it's (almost) too late. Which is a criminal offense when you have a generational QB. 

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