Richard Noggin
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Posts posted by Richard Noggin
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7 minutes ago, NewEra said:
Even more reason I hope it’s Kincaid
Impose your will. Do what you do best, if you can. No doubt. That would be sweet.
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11 minutes ago, BillsFanForever19 said:
The Chiefs are playing a tougher schedule though. The worst team they've lost to is the 4-3 Jaguars. Their other losses are to the 6-2 Eagles and the 5-3 Chargers in the 1st 2 Weeks. And they defeated the Lions. The only team we've played with a winning record is the Patriots.
Totally get the disparity in quality of wins and losses. Can be indicative of future performances. Even the Bills wins, minus Panthers and Jets, were competitive, frustrating affairs for much of those games. The Bills have not played terribly well overall to date. (Which is all technically in the past, of course.)
But also, statistically, winning early (first quarter of season, for example) and often also has an outsized negative influence on those early opponents' records. And, of course, the Bills could reasonably improve and go on to win games against playoff-bound teams despite those early scraps. This is why the cliche "Week 1 is a liar" exists, because the sample size is small enough to be simply binary: 1 or 0. Can't really tell a meaningful story with that one data point. So this week will add a LOT more to our developing understandings of the 2025 season. And still it's early.
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2 minutes ago, PonyBoy said:
Prater period.
These games are usually very close.
Prater will be the clutch player to decide it.
Even if there isn't a high leverage, late-game field goal try, Prater will still be essential in maximizing points through PATs and FGs throughout. Maybe the big kick is at the end of the 1st half, for example. Or really, any missed scoring kicks or even flubbed kickoffs (out of bounds or outside landing zone) could sway things heavily in retrospect, given the typically narrow margins between these teams. Gotta convert those opportunities. CANNOT SQUANDER opportunities for points.
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57 minutes ago, TheFunPolice said:
Wow... I did some research and read about the issues. I had no idea.
Plus it looks like they aren't a nut you want to eat many of anyway. There's usually like 5 total in the bag, but still...
I learned some new things tonight
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54 minutes ago, BillsFanForever19 said:
This is true. But if the teams we're playing are "dogwater", if we're a true contender, we shouldn't have lost 2 games.
The teams we've beaten have a combined record of 10-29 and the teams we've lost to have a combined record of 9-6. We got taken to the woodshed by a 3-4 team that was down 2 of their top 3 WR's.
Beating up on a .500 team that couldn't stop the run and were rolling out Andy Dalton at QB with a broken thumb hasn't instilled confidence in me.
The problem for me is we've been to an AFC Championship and gone deep into the Playoffs. That's no longer good enough. It's Super Bowl or bust and this doesn't look like a Super Bowl team to me. I'd love to be wrong, but I just can't see it happening this year with the roster we have now.
On one hand, don't the Chiefs have THREE losses already? One more than the Bills? At worst, we'd have the same number of losses after this week. (But I get the different trajectories in that scenario.)
On the other hand, I agree wholeheartedly that beating up the Dalton-led Panthers offense is no great achievement. (Even if beating up the Panthers defense WAS a noteworthy achievement.)
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4 hours ago, Sierra Foothills said:
In fairness to all, there are numerous actions that qualify a poster for dbaggery.
Including, ironically, getting bent out of shape when someone playfully critiques careless written communication in a text-based medium...👇
5 hours ago, GoBills808 said:I don't care how much English you think you know, correcting grammar on a message board is the height of dbaggery
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13 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:
Allen's second year is when we brought in Brown and Beasley. I would compare this years version of Diggs and what he's done in NE this far this season to Brown when we brought him in. They also had Knox who many thought was on the verge of breaking out. And we had Isiah McKenzie in his gadget years.
Diggs is gonna be closer to what peak Beasley was as this season carries on, providing a reliable possession option who gets quick separation. Very QB friendly.
John Brown in Buffalo was a boundary dude who could burn. He was dangerous when isolated. And they had chemistry, no doubt. But Allen also was MONEY going to Beas in the slot and even red zone. They complemented each other nicely, and then once the real #1 Diggs was acquired in his prime, the trio (with Gabe Davis as the 4th) did damage. Those passing performances in the 2021 season playoffs were historic. (And broke so many of our brains in the process.)
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2 hours ago, chris heff said:
I agree, the Eagles beat the Chiefs badly by rushing four and putting everyone else in coverage. Chiefs OL is suspect, their running game hasn’t been good and now Pacheco is probably out. I think the Bills can get pressure with four. Move Hoecht around, he could have a big day.
My concern with rushing four is will they maintain discipline and keep Mahomes bottled up? Or will the first guy through scream past him without breaking down, and then when he scrambles up or out of the pocket, will the 2nd guy lunge at his feet rather than strafe/stalk and regain contain while the troops rally?
37 minutes ago, NewEra said:I really hope that it’s Kincaid followed by Cook.
But aren't those the two guys you absolutely sell-out against if you're Spagnuolo? Like hit Kincaid on every snap possible (on the way to Cook) and then bracket him in coverage? Single man against the Bills WRs in general, and on 3rd down find additional eyes for Shakir/Kincaid. Blitzes, stunts, aggressive man coverage with deliberate matchup-focused schemes: 22 following Shakir around on 3rd down and Kincaid doubled, for example. Make boundary receivers and depth TEs beat you while getting after Cook and Allen.
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1 minute ago, Coach Tuesday said:
Yes, like then. Other than one single quarter in week 1, the passing game hasn’t been able to impose its will. At some point again probably as soon as this Sunday, it’s going to have to be able to do so.100% agree. They will encounter opponents/games that force them to throw the ball to win. Like you, I'm not incredibly confident in their ability to do it. But they HAVE done it already this season in a HIGH leverage situation under the lights in prime time. In the two losses, it has seemed to my amateur eyes that Allen did a poor job of consistently diagnosing defensive looks and setting pass protections (I THINK it's mostly on him to do so, but not positive how much is McGovern as well). There were routes available against the blitz and Allen wasn't seeing it clearly enough pre-snap to have the right post-snap plan. Either he wasn't anticipating where the free runner/pressure was coming from and/or he wasn't on the same page with who should have been his hot receiver.
**Which also indicates the exacerbating issue of his WRs not assessing pre-snap and adapting post-snap to be QB friendly.
***But all this really also points to coaching for me: it's the coaches' jobs to ensure their players are prepared to execute against nearly all contingencies. Is Brady and his staff keeping up with and staying ahead of defensive plans enough to have their own players truly ready to win snaps on the field? I wonder about our WR and QB coaches. On the other hand, OL and TE coaching is no concern of mine. And as for OC, I really don't know. Great collaborator (Kromer has so much input on running and the offense overall, and it looks like Boras is also heavily involved). I just wonder about passing concepts (and when the game is on the line, and the run ain't running, you gotta have some go-to intermediate and boundary players/plays).
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4 hours ago, Coach Tuesday said:
They will eventually HAVE TO pass to win a game. Probably this Sunday when the Chiefs go up by two scores to start the game. Let’s see if they can turn on the octane when they need to - I’m skeptical.
Like against a healthy Ravens defense who was up multiple scores in the 4th quarter?
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Did anyone else think the Commanders had a really solid plan last week, and kind of surprised KC a little bit? (for like a quarter, max, of course)
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The first tweet is nonsensical/straw man territory. If there is a spread of several weeks, can't both things easily be true? Especially if the games where Allen was most asked to carry the team are also the games where his play was the worst?
Also, which specific run earned Cook the scepter? I'm mostly remembering untouched yardage (~75% before contact WTF?!), so am I just omitting a particularly violent but less memorable rush? Could be.
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8 hours ago, Allen2Moulds said:
There have been tons of WRs, including some with yellow jackets, that hated going across the middle, and weren't good at it. For this reason, many of them weren't asked to, at least not on a regular basis.
How often did we see Randy Moss going across the middle?
These tall slender guys are not built to run them through traffic. What makes them special on the outside, is what hurts them going across the middle. That's why I believe that Jamar Chase is better than Justin Jefferson. The guy has elite speed, but is also built like a truck, and bounces off of guys in the middle of the field.
Bolded part is super ironic, considering the slot-only designation many draft pundits wrestled with for Jefferson. But he definitely does run routes to all parts of the field tbh.
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The Hoecht weight debate is ignoring all team-related nuggets (Chris Brown and Sal Cappaccio and the gang) saying ~260 lbs? He could be a little heavier after his offseason strength training regimen...ahem...but he's nowhere near 280 to my amateur eye.
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7 hours ago, Peace Frog said:
KC vs Bills comparison
WR - KC
TE - even
O-line - even
RB - even
QB - slight edge to KC
D-line - KC
LB - KC
DB - KC
Safety - KC
ST - even
Coaching - KC
Intangibles - even
Final score prediction: Chiefs - 34, Bills 25
Couple little bones to pick here: intangibles = EVEN?! With 100% slanted h2h playoff history PLUS published officiating bias, how can one suggest we're even here?
RB - even? No way. Hunt is probably more effective than Davis or Johnson this season, but who cares? Cook is SO SO much better than Pacheco.
Bills OL probably better, too.
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45 minutes ago, SydneyBillsFan said:
The difference this year is that the Chiefs are 5-3 and if we were to beat them on Sunday we would be two games clear of them plus the tie breaker.
If that happens we probably wouldn't see them in the playoffs anyway.
Why wouldn't we see them in the playoffs in that scenario (where they finish vaguely behind the Bills in playoff seeding)? Is it because both Bills AND Chiefs are wildcard teams? One could still envision an AFCCG showdown in that scenario. If it's because Bills win AFCE but Chiefs are a wildcard, why wouldn't they potentially come to OP?
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10 hours ago, Captain Hindsight said:
Kaiir Elam tripped while watching this
And got flagged for contact in the process.
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20 minutes ago, bobobonators said:
Chris Jones 🤣
Only name that made sense there, yeah.
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Nothing to do with Pats for me. Teams are going to rise and fall. There will be fierce competition. Sucks that Vrabel's in the division with a rising star at QB, but the league doesn't stand still.
For me, it's a Bills-specific, organizational lack of optimization and innovation. From roster management, to opponent-specific gameplans, to player execution. McD should always call the defense, no matter what. And he should leave alone Kromer, Brady, and Allen (and Cook) to come together and turn the offense into a point maximization machine who can also control the game once they get ahead. Probably our WR coach has been hot trash since Hall left (ignoring the room he's working with). But something ain't being maximized there. Might have something to do with QB coaching, too. Allen isn't exactly his very best right now.
My angst is usually more about the offense. With our running game, it's absolutely soul-crushing that the Bills can't/don't threaten defenses deep and intermediate. Their deep balls are handoffs to Cook or RAC throws to Shakir. Defenses must be cheating up like crazy (pre- and/or post-snap). Been the case in the playoffs for years.
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12 minutes ago, NewEra said:
In your humble opinion. I disagree 💯
our offense misses him.
9 minutes ago, NewEra said:If this is all we can get out of Keon Coleman, definitely.
I do believe that Palmer is a good piece that we haven’t seen the best of yet. He hasn’t been used and I think he will be when he returns.
The real kicker is that the Bills came out against Atlanta seemingly, finally committed to attacking deep and intermediate with Palmer, only to have him get injured on an illegal/scummy hip drop tackle just as he was grooving.
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Just now, bobobonators said:
Their luck is ridiculous.
kelce has basically played every game for +10yrs. Mahomes for the past 5 yrs. Clark really the only games he’s missed were contract related. The chiefs never get injured. All other teams get injured right before playing them. Commanders lost their best pass rusher last week and their QB 2 weeks ago. We lost our best DL this week. The chiefs - nothing. Do they have a single key piece missing anywhere on defense or offense?
Clark?
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How many times was Mahomes illegally granted a fresh 25 second play clock just because he raised the roof?
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10 minutes ago, Watkins90 said:
Yeah, but he wasn't in the grasp and literally being taken down when he did that.
Nope, he was step away from being contacted when he turfed it. Gutless and conservative. But smart, I guess.
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3 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:
Hmm Benford all 54 snaps, and then White 41 + Hairston 27 so 68 total?
Any ideas what is going on?
Some platooning, but also some different nickel and dime looks, methinks.
3 hours ago, Sierra Foothills said:This is a really good question. I don't have access to the All 22 so I really can't say.
I'm often complaining during the games that the directors are way too interested in closeup shots and not interested enough with wide shots which often times convey more information.
Answers to your question are exactly the type of insights I wish we received from the Bills beat reporters.
I truly wish the broadcast announcers/commentators would just watch the monitor that shows the same frame fans at home are following, and comment on what they see regarding Xs and Os and personnel and schemes and whatnot. Forget all the coach cutaways and fan scans and backstories and all that, and just talk to us about the football contest underway. Analyze the football game itself. Please.
1 hour ago, BillsFooteball said:Kincaid is the bills best pass catcher. Understanding he was questionable coming into the game and it was a blow out , 14 snaps on offense is way to low
I was initially aghast at only 14 snaps, then realized he was limited/questionable all week, AFTER a week off. So let's hope he's fresh for next week. And utilized HEAVILY.
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Are McBeane secretly creating an elite offense?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Sure, math says that generally more passing attempts will equal more passing yards. And that mostly holds true for this season for the Bills. But in the two losses where they needed to pass more and/or chose to pass more, were they effective in doing so? The answer in those games was NO. The answer in week one was YES.
Where the passing game goes from here remains a compelling question. Hopefully, Cook goes CRAZY on Sunday, and we don't need a definitive answer on the passing game this week. But that seems unrealistic. IMO we need to tap into more dynamic balance, earlier in games. Don't keep running repeatedly until the defense stops it, and instead take advantage through the air when the defense is forced to cheat more heavily to stop the run. Stay a step ahead, dammit. Keep em guessing. Run a FULL offense.