Richard Noggin
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Posts posted by Richard Noggin
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32 minutes ago, JGMcD2 said:
Here’s some critical questioning, if Howie Roseman claimed Slay, which he reportedly planned to do… how many people would be cursing Beane and praising Howie for bringing in a savvy vet? I’d bet many of the same critical folks on this thread…
Fair if one cares about how others are perceiving the move, for sure. That's not my focus, though. I'm wondering how good Slay still is and how well he'd fit what the Bills do in the secondary. Howie Roseman has obviously made so many good moves overall, but bringing Slay BACK to Philly (home for his family) is a bit different than bringing him somewhere sight unseen in week 14. People are free to evaluate this how they please.
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2 hours ago, JGMcD2 said:
People weren’t reading into whether they were standing next to one another at training camp or comments in press conferences.
The Slay/Ingram fiasco is akin to when JD McKissic bailed on a handshake deal. It’s out of Brandon Beane’s hands, nobody with a brain is pinning that on him.
There is, and should be, some critical questioning of what a mostly-cooked, all-man coverage CB like Slay can really offer the Bills down the stretch, and why is that worth dumping a decent depth DB piece who plays STs?
2 hours ago, Mango said:Curious how much the control of the 53 has shifted since self proclaimed President of Hockey Operations, Terrance Pegula said "I consider myself a football man".
I hadn't quite thought of that until your post and you stated "previously".
Worth noting that Lindy has more than hinted twice in the last week or so about his lack of control of his roster.
This is full tin foil hat theory/conjecture at the moment. But worth noting since they have the same owner.
My take on Pegulas success with the Bills v Sabres has always been that it's been McDermott and Beane vs Terry and that keeps Terry from ruining everything. If McBeane are struggling and Terry is weighing in we could see a lot more turbulance.
As to the bolded, we're doomed!
1 hour ago, MPL said:
The internet has one job: confirm whatever you want to believe.Amen.
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39 minutes ago, Simon said:
Well at least his triceps are OK...
I think front of delts is heavily involved here as well, which could be intentional for rebuilding muscles surrounding where the tear occurred (without putting too much strain on actual repaired area)?
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3 minutes ago, Goin Breakdown said:
I was at that game. Ugh. And then some Bills players saying they weren't prepared and were slipping. Wrong shoes and such. That made it worse.
Was also there. Supremely disconcerting to see the road team come in better prepared for on-field conditions, among other things. That game was an inevitable reckoning...the obvious conclusion to such an oddly frustrating, exhausting season for the team collectively and individually, almost as if the specter of 13 seconds had caused a hangover typically felt by SB losers.
And they still won 13 games. But Allen had 14 interceptions and 13 fumbles (of which HE recovered 5...not sure how many were in fact turnovers). Something changed right before halftime of that GB Halloween game. Most likely a concussion for Allen, on top of whatever else was going on for him off the field. The vibe was way off that season. Cinci was just the better team.
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3 minutes ago, Draconator said:
With my meteorology class I'm finishing up, Penn State recommended Pivotal Weather. I just signed up for a subscription, and I can actually read the maps they give. It's really an amazing website. All the word forecast models are available to you. I agree with Simon. About 2.2 inches will fall between 1pm and 4pm. Just enough to make Burrow cry.
This is the kind of insider information I come here for the night before a home game. Nothing like a snow globe game. So much fun.
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1 hour ago, Brianmoorman4jesus said:
This defense has played excellent for the last 6 quarters. The year we finally do this, is the year our defense takes the big step. This team has made us look very bad in the past. If we can stop Cincinnati, I think the sky is the limit. Im very excited to see how our defense holds up this week.
Love to see the hope here. Of course, I don't actually share it this week, against an opponent who just proves to be a bad matchup. Cinci runs it better lately than they get credit for, and we know of course how they throw it with Burrow back in the fold. Two-dimensional offenses like theirs have the ability to exploit McD's defense (and NFL defenses in general). Without a talented pass rush, it's really difficult to stop such teams.
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18 minutes ago, Jrb1979 said:
Yes they are 8 and 4 but with how inconsistent I see them going 2-3 to finish the season. With losses to the Bengals, Pata and Eagles. At that point for the Bills to make it depends on how other games go. The 2 teams that matter the most for the Bills to make it is the Chargers and the Texans.
I don't see a McD team with a healthy Josh Allen and James Cook going 2-3 to close out the season, but as you've noted, their inconsistency does not slam the door on that possibility. And the matchups against Cinci, New England, and Philly are all potentially dicey.
We've been worse off at this point in previous years ('21 and '23) and still closed out the regular seasons strong (a McD team trait), one time fielding (in '21) the best consecutive passing offense performances in playoff history, I think? That 2021 team was offensive shite at this point in the season, and then lost again but at least woke up in the 2nd half of that 6th and final loss to Tampa. So there is precedent for the Bills and Allen to lock in from here out.
In 2025, however, unrelenting, impactful injuries, and critical coaching and execution errors could be mitigating factors that finally disrupt the Bills' history of late season excellence.
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5 hours ago, MikePJ76 said:
I said this last week and I will say it again. If you are Josh Allen and you play through every injury you have and always find a way well when he walks into this locker room he must just roll his eyes when he hears the news about kincaid, palmer and samuel. He will never admit it publicly but as comepetitive as he is and as much of a trash talker as he is....can you imagine what he thinks about these guys who are always hurt with some new aliment that keeps them out of practice all week and then somehow keep missing all these games.
Whatever it is in their scouting that keeps landing them these guys with constant injuries they need to figure out and correct immediately when the season is over.
50% agree. Yes, Allen is a horse who has always played through basically everything. However, lower body injuries especially are MUCH more impactful for skill players (compared to QBs) who need maximum movement ability to do their jobs well enough to actually help the team. A pulled hammy hurts a receiving target in ways that don't critically impact a tough QB's ability to be effective.
2 hours ago, Gilberto said:How did he get caught?
Taste was off?
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10 hours ago, MDH said:
This is what my (likely bad) predictions came up with. I’d take this in a heartbeat. The AFC WCs could all conceivably win and the Bills could potentially host both the division round and AFFCG
There are definitely chances this year of road teams logging wins.
10 hours ago, US Egg said:Yeah, the ole “I got to be honest” qualifier to validate a point. So sometimes they’re not?
Honestly?
8 hours ago, gonzo1105 said:I am by no means committed to any of this but my first and quick clicking without thinking has me at
1. Denver 14-3
2. New England 13-4
3. Indianapolis 11-6
4. Pittsburgh 9-8
5. Buffalo 13-4
6. Kansas City 10-7
7. Houston 10-7
Jacksonville misses at 10-7
NFC
1. LA Rams 13-4
2. Green Bay 12-4-1
3. Philadelphia 12-5
4. Tampa Bay 11-6
5. Seattle 13-4
6. San Francisco 12-5
7. Detroit 11-6
Chicago misses at 11-6
I think the bolded is what I meant by "honest" for this exercise: just pick em on feel without regard for end result (bracket).
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Using dumb ESPN's playoff simulator, I ran through the last five weeks of the season without thinking too much, just picking each game as objectively as I could. Here was the result (only took me a couple minutes):
I hate it a lot, tbh. So many bad matchups for the Bills.
In my simulation, for what it's worth, the Bills lose the next two and then win the last three. I really hope that isn't what actually transpires, but going 3-2 the rest of the way IS reasonable. Could also see arguments for going 4-1, which would have interesting ramifications. for the rest of the AFC.
What bracket do YOU come up with after picking the last five weeks of the season? (I tried not to think about any future implications when picking. And I tried to apply an ugly level of objectivity.)
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So no one (especially the OP) has worked out even one simulation of how the AFC bracket would progress for Buffalo's "playoff run" beginning with a road win against the Ravens? What are the other 2 matchups during the WC round? Any other road warrior upsets? (Which would mean Buffalo does NOT travel to the top seed for Divisional round.) Could all three WC teams win on the road, given the leaguewide parity? (Which would mean Buffalo hosts #6 AND THEN either travels to #1 or hosts #7 for the AFCCG.) How does the AFC seeding shake out after week 18?
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4 hours ago, HappyDays said:
Totally understand the way contact, and moreover cheap shots, bring out the apex competitor in Allen (and wish Brady embraced it the way Daboll seemed to, calling QB runs often enough to keep his QB on the hunt).
HOWEVER, I have serious concerns about any team that doesn't come out and play every game, start to finish, with a focused urgency and/or rage. I know they're human beings, and mostly very rich and usually very sore/injured human beings at that, but WTF?! Players only have 17 (regular season, if they're lucky) opportunities each year to perform and prove their value to the team/league/posterity.
4 hours ago, Freddie's Dead said:Sal pointed out on the radio broadcast that Buffalo was kind of sleep walking through the game, and then came the late hit on Josh that wasn't called. After that, Buffalo had a nasty edge. To quote Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto:
"I fear that all we have done is to awaken a sleeping giant and fill him with a terrible resolve".
Been a lot of sleepy first halves (especially on offense) this season innit
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13 minutes ago, ganesh said:
We had an equally good player who is continuing to elevate the level of play in New England. We simply missed the mark on keeping him part of this offense. That is on Brady.
It would be silly to ignore the growing rift between Diggs and the coaching staff dating as far back as Dorsey, at least. And then of course the rift grew to freeze out Josh Allen as well. (Might even have been reciprocated, privately, at that point.)
But yes, the Brady-led offense has had major issues consistently getting the ball to WRs who run routes past the line of scrimmage. Diggs, to his discredit, also failed to come through in the playoffs the last couple seasons he was in Buffalo, on an individual level. Moving on simply had to happen, unfortunately.
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2 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:
if this is true, don’t the bills have to report it on he injury report?Only if it limits him in practice, I think?
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Anyone else impressed with Bills players mostly keeping cool in the 1st half as Steelers were being dirty C U Next Tuesdays and the refs were pretending to be blind? Spencer Brown would have maybe been ejected lol. Epenesa got his dumb flag, but didn't Metcalf get his own on the next play or two? Bills players stayed pretty focused. Good on them.
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2 hours ago, WideNine said:
A re-think at DT and LB may help too when they are looking for roster additions via the draft and FA. Getting some bigger bodies up front and LBs that have the attitude needed to play the run may also help keep our smaller DBs and safeties from taking on so many guys coming at them with a full head of steam and getting injured. There is a lesson to be taken away from being near the bottom of rush defence and having so many of your defenders getting injured.
SUPER curious if this hypothesis actually has merit. Is bad rushing defense correlated with increased games missed by defenders? Difficult to parse directly, seeing as decimated defensive units would likely have difficulty stopping the run (and/or the pass). Which came first kind of conundrum. But I'd still like to look into what the numbers say about your claim here...
2 hours ago, UKBillFan said:Why not, if it works? It feels like coordinators often overthink play calls even if they're working. They just assume the opponents will work it out so move on. Sometimes sticking with something until proven the question's been answered is the way to go.
Why not stick with it repeatedly, for me, is illustrated each time Brady intentionally sticks with it enough times in a row that the Bills get stuffed for a no gain or negative result. Brady CHOOSES to inevitably squander a valuable 1st or 2nd down rather than leveraging the increased likelihood that the defense will be over-playing the run and hitting them with some kind of play-action pass or other such aggressive change of pace play call. You have Josh freaking Allen. Convert that running success into passing success, or at least try. Keep the mfers guessing.
1 hour ago, finn said:Not so solid when he did an ole-tackle on Washington in the fourth quarter. I don't blame him in a way; Washington outweighs him by 75 pounds and he was running full speed. Still, you can't pass up tackles.
Washington outweighs Tre White by 119 pounds, actually. Washington's listed weight is laughable; he's even admitted recently what his actual weight is (311, right?).
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1 hour ago, transient said:
Can we PLEASE just trade for someone we already KNOW can play WR? Pegula isn’t moving on from Beane and McDermott (despite the fact that he should) and Beane can’t accurately evaluate FA or college WR talent, so we need someone who’s already been vetted.
The veteran #1 WR trade route is extremely expensive in both draft assets and cap space allotment, and somewhat rare/difficult to pull off. And they usually come with baggage. Think AJ Brown, Stefon Diggs, Tyreek Hill...who else?
Remember that Allen was still on a rookie deal when Beane traded for Diggs, making it easier to fit him in immediately and long term.
Of course, Diggs then had a career year playing with Allen, and the Bills went to the AFCCG for the first time in like 25 years. So the expense was darn near justified in year one alone. AJ Brown was a VERY similar situation for the Eagles, except they got to the SB (and then won it two years later).
What are other examples of WR1s getting traded?
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23 hours ago, That's No Moon said:
And those teams underachieved too and Reids refusal to run the ball and God awful clock management were frequently the problem in big games. He needed to be fired by the end and he fixed some of his issues when he came back. It also helped that Mahomes is better than McNabb. Coincidentally his Eagle teams also grossly underinvested at WR for most of his tenure, then went and got TO and actually made the Super Bowl. Unfortunately for them, TO got hurt and Donovan was barfing on the field.
And though this isn't directed at you, I will also point out the Eagles have won 2 Super Bowls since firing Reid, with two different coaches. The constants have been Howie Roseman and Jeffrey Lurie. Has Beane been able to construct the teams that Roseman has? The Eagles are playing like crap right now and their roster is still better than the Bills. Sirianni was under fire early last year and obviously got it together but they are back off the rails again and people are pissed. He could 100 percent be fired and Roseman wouldnt think twice about it because he's already fired a SB winning coach and replaced him with another SB winner. The change will be made if it needs to be. Meanwhile, in Buffalo, McBeane will go on forever whether they ever win anything important or not.
Pegula lacks the personal savvy AND the organizational structure/objectivity to have identified the obvious need to fire McD after 13 seconds or in each of the last two off-seasons when Ben Johnson was ostensibly available. To not hire someone with serious pedigree to oversee football operations in an executive capacity above McD and Beane is the height of Busch League incompetence. Instead, Pegula is the only person evaluating McBeane, which is insane if you've ever listened to anything Pegula has ever said about football. He's an impressionable imbecile about sports. He NEEDS C-Suite layers above his coaches and front office personnel, but lacks the wisdom or humility to admit it. He accepts mediocrity.
17 hours ago, thenorthremembers said:You misunderstood my point. Hes been a great owner for the Bills. Look at all the success the team has had including a new stadium which likely keeps the team here even longer.
Meanwhile you seem to hate the guy because despite his success with the football team, youre big mad because they haven't won the Superbowl and the hockey team stinks. You seem like you'd be happier if they were both sold and moved. That was my point.
Pegula has given the Bills everything they need to be great. Thats the extent of what owners can do to win championships. Not winning a Super Bowl is fully on McDermott, Beane and the players on the field, including Josh Allen.
Again, if you think Pegula is a bad owner, it can only be about the Sabres because hes been great for the Bills.
A lot of guys in Buffalo mad at Terry for not doing more with a hockey team when hockey simply doesnt make him money. Not sure why its so hard to have an opinion of the guy strictly on the football team?
People want to come on here and call him an idiot. Who is the bigger idiot the billionaire businessman who wont sink more money into a failing league that has less fans than AEW Wrestling...or the old white guys in the Northeast who still care about the league?
Pegula's refusal to bring in football and hockey execs to oversee each operation and provide needed expertise independent of (and critical of) coaching and management is absolutely idiotic. Maybe Kim could have grown into that role (her interpersonal aptitude and general savvy is very underrated to this day), but failing to bring in pedigreed people at the top is just such a huge ongoing nightmare.
16 hours ago, thenorthremembers said:Shocking that a businessman wants to make money. I apologize that Sabre fans live in this fantasy world where hockey is still a "big 4" sport in the United States. How can you still think that when its routinely outdrawn and outrated by Nascar, and Wrestling?
The NHL is a crap league on the popularity level of the WNBA and College Basketball. Its a sport relegated to rich white kids and Europeans. If I were Terry I wouldn't sink my time or money into it either. Its not worth his time.
Owners dont win championships and businessmen arent looking to lose money.
Owners definitely have HUGE impacts on organizational success across the major sports leagues. Teams can have fleeting success without great ownership, but sustained success starts at the top. The Bills drought was deeply and obviously tied to ownership issues and the downstream impacts of those issues, and you can see the Sabres suffering now from that same condition.
12 hours ago, GoBills808 said:I would guess that quite a few of them are actually checked into
That would still be the result of the pre-snap solutions Allen is provided by his coaches. I think defenses know how to sometimes force Allen to check into disadvantageous or predictable audibles. It's not like he has the time at the line or the license to pick from ANY play in their arsenal. He isn't running Peyton Manning's Marchibroda offense, unfortunately.
11 hours ago, SoonerBillsFan said:God I hope not.
I think it's mostly true. But not completely Allen's fault. He's put in bad positions.
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On 11/29/2025 at 12:20 AM, GoBills808 said:
😂😂Trust me if I was putting words in your mouth I'd make sure they made sense
I'm saying without Mahomes all the Hunts would have hired was a good HC w a history of choking in big games
Sounds like McD tbh
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21 minutes ago, hondo in seattle said:
You're right but a variety of people who know more about football (Cosell, Romo, Orlovsky, etc.) than I do have mentioned that our passing concepts are rather simple and/or unimaginative.
Andre Reed said their passing concepts back in the 90s were "vanilla" because they had the talent to make simple concepts work. Brady doesn't have the luxury of talented wideouts. So he should be working overtime to figure out how to scheme guys open.
And doesn't it strike you as odd that pretty much every receiver sees their production go down when they start playing for Brady (Diggs, Palmer, Samuel, Moore, etc.)?
When life gives you lemons, you make lemonade. But not Brady, he made durian juice.
Also, the repetitive/pared-down playbook of the Kelly Bills offense was much more vertical and aggressive in nature, so it put more strain on defenders. Like, even if Brady's mesh routes actually work and Allen has the time to wait for them, they're still semi-horizontal routes that don't exactly put safeties in conflict. Allen's arm should be firing lasers downfield on seam and boundary 9s and posts and flags and skinnies and the like...not just crossers and swings and screens and contested fades. Threaten defenses through the air while also slashing them on the ground. Add in mucho motion and play action and let's effing go.
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24 minutes ago, Governor said:
This is what watching Terrel Bernard all season does to a person.
Bernard had been playing through injuries (plural) this season prior to his obvious arm injury last game...and while that builds upon his growing history of unavailability, it also explains some of his lack of production when on the field. He's still making a bunch of solid reads, but seems to be having trouble turning most of those into impact plays. He obviously can't hold up physically to the rigors of an NFL season at MLB.
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2 hours ago, Roundybout said:
Props to Brown for playing through a mountain of pain. Respect that.
He was actually hurting the team by not tapping out sooner. At least one or two drives where he was obviously unable to use his right arm, as a RIGHT TACKLE, and Van Demark was available to step in, right? Pretty sure Dawkins was on the field.
Not to mention how coaches didn't get him out of there after the first drive when he was hurt (unless RVD was being used and I'm misremembering?). How is that allowed to go on for so long?
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16 minutes ago, That's No Moon said:
It depends. How does one do against the other? That was the point of my post. If the line can't open holes and Josh is under a lot of pressure against a really good front then that probably means our line isn't of the same caliber. This is the sort of game that if you actually have a top notch line you need them to show it.
They didn't run well last week but they pass blocked pretty well after the first two series. Against Miami they didn't have great success running and Allen was sacked 3 times and hit 7 more times. Against Atlanta Cook ran for 4, 2, 2, 0, 2, 6, 14, 2, 8, 7, 3, 12, 7, 9, 1, 6, 0, 4 and Allen was sacked 4 times and hit 6 more times. Lots of failed runs with a couple long ones to make the average look better but they struggled to move the ball that night. They also struggled to move the ball against New England with a lot of short runs and a bunch of hits on Allen.
The way people talk about the line sometimes you'd think they were the mid 90's Cowboys. Sure, they've dominated some teams and ran over Carolina, etc. but they've not been very good several other times this season. Maybe I'm a strict grader but for me to consider a line to be that top notch level they are more consistent than that. If they can't open holes or block for Allen this week I don't really want hear "Gee whiz, Beav. Houston has a really strong defense." it just give more evidence to them being overrated.
To the bolded: you do realize that in 17 rushes (according to PFR it's 17 for 87...you have an extra 2 yard run listed), Cook gained 4 or more yards 10 times and more than 5 yards 8 times? And of the 7 unsuccessful runs, 4 went for 2 or 3 yards? So it wasn't really that bad AT ALL. 5.1 Y/A. It was more about not running Cook often enough in that game, if I'm recalling the postgame critiques accurately. Atlanta's pass rush/pressure packages is what was working most against the Bills, who should have run more often and/or simply better diagnosed and attacked some of the blitzes (tougher to do on the road and in a dome).
The Patriots did effectively shut down Cook for 3.3 Y/A. No doubt. When that happens and the Bills fail to counter, I think play-calling and Allen's inconsistencies in diagnosing pre-snap looks (shared blame here with his coaches and what they're expecting and preparing for) are more to blame than the quality of the Bills OL personnel. Even above average blockers can look bad when repeatedly put in bad positions by predictable play calls, a lack of self-scouting, poor game planning, etc. And maybe Vrabel's boys up front just bullied our guys more than I'd like to admit...
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32 minutes ago, Lionel Hutz said:
Benching what was basically your first round pick for 2 straight games in his second season when he is healthy is a bad look for this organization. Either he is being benched as punishment for behavior or because they don’t think he’s good enough.
I hear all the time when he is criticized for poor coaching that McD is a great leader of men. Well how come he can’t handle Coleman? This coming after how Elam was handled by McD. McD doesn’t want to win at any cost, he wants to win on his terms.
Beane also deserves blame for picking these guys and not admitting he made mistakes.
Benching a 2nd round pick for repeatedly exhibiting bad football character does NOT reflect poorly on anyone but Keon Coleman. Sure, the very high day two pick appears to have been spent on an immature player who isn't taking his job seriously enough. But the draft is in the past. This is the present, and the kid needs a wakeup call and/or to simply step aside for guys who ARE putting in the work and seeing the results. Simple as that. I commend McD for holding Coleman accountable.
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Cooks on Josh’s TD run
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Agreed. No way that was to Shavers, although of course we can see that Shavers was open and breaking outside along the back line almost exactly into the path of Allen's throw. But Allen's infield sidearm dart was definitely driven into Shakir's chest on purpose with his immediate defender's back turned. The proximity of two more defenders was not likely a prioritized part of 17's visual processing at that precise moment. Plus a throw to Shavers would have had a few degrees more loft and you'd be able to see the difference in Allen's eyes and maybe arm angle imo.