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Richard Noggin

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Posts posted by Richard Noggin

  1. 10 hours ago, The Jokeman said:

    I have reservations, I mean Corey Moore lead the NCAA in sacks when we drafted him and like Solomon he was undersized and busted. It doesn't mean Solovan will but there is a reason he fell in the draft and pretty sure it wasn't based on production/attitude or off the field issues....

     

    Corey Moore was 2 inches shorter, even, about 20 lbs lighter, and definitely didn't have NEARLY the length of Solomon (who might not be TALL, but he is long af). Corey Moore was a bad NFL projection. Javon Solomon, imho, is not. A team will need to play with a lead to really employ him in his first couple years as a pass rush specialist, but I have a sense he can excel in that defined role. 

  2. 19 minutes ago, wppete said:


    I think the only knock on him is his height. 6’1 and half. Other then that he is a great player. 

     

    NOT a great player against the run right away, or maybe ever, is the other major concern. Still a component of the historically low percentile height/weight. A story in charts (curious why shuttle/3-cone aren't included here but are for others...who picks which numbers rate?):

     

    image.thumb.png.726fc70aceddff028ece270f173f0a1a.png

     

    image.thumb.png.3ac458a0f8791ec63135e9a271a0ab70.png

     

    image.thumb.png.3cffde915c94afb3a60b3cf77296c647.png

     

    (for the record, but don't tell anyone in case I'm wrong, I think Solomon might be SPECIAL)

  3. 2 hours ago, nosejob said:

     

    BTW, the guy I'm hanging my hat on is Solomon. This team needs what only other teams seem to get on the DL.

     

     

    2 hours ago, wppete said:

    It was a great video! Great draft class. I think Javon Solomon is going to be the steal of the draft class. 

     

    Agree with both of you. I think people are snoozing on this guy. Even that embedded video was brief on him (although McD DID really seem authentically high on the guy). 

    • Like (+1) 1
  4. 8 minutes ago, Turk71 said:

    Unfortunately Coleman was not very good vs press man and single coverage.

    Being bigger doesn't necessarily make you better at getting off the line, Troy Franklin at 180 lbs was top 2 yprr vs press man and top 3 vs single.  Footwork and hands are what beat the press.

     

    I really thought Franklin was a fit. So curious why popular opinion (and my own) was mostly wrong about his draft value? 

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 10 hours ago, Slippery Rubber Mats said:

     

    Worthy should have gone top 15 with all the praise he's getting all of a sudden. Great player

     

    His combine 40 kinda broke a lot of brains. He's a decent prospect even if he didn't run that record-(and brain)-breaking time. I thought he might go a bit earlier. 

     

    7 hours ago, blacklabel said:

    These takes about Beane leaving Josh hanging in terms of the players around him are...something, I guess. Two straight drafts now they've spent their first pick in the guy Josh wanted. He wanted Kincaid last year, they jump up a couple spots and give him Kincaid. He wanted Coleman this year, they give him Coleman while being able to gain more draft capital in the process. 

     

    Some of y'all are hung up on the speed thing. John Brown, Isaiah McKenzie, Deonte Harty, even tried to get a guy like Tavon Austin going again, now they have KJ Hamler to see if he can bounce back. Aside from Brown, the speedster guy hasn't really had much impact for this team. 

     

    Some of y'all said they didn't give him a #1 WR. They went out and got Diggs for him. 

     

    Oh, they don't have a decent enough run game to take pressure off him. They've drafted Singletary, Moss, Cook, and now Davis. Singletary was fine, Moss didn't quite work out, Cook really came on last season and if you can't get behind a guy like Ray Davis then I don't know what to tell you. 

     

    It's clear that some of you are locked into your stance on this regime and no matter what they do, they're always gonna fall short of your ever changing expectations. 

     

    I dunno, man, but for me, in the grand scheme of things this is still just a game. A highly entertaining game that can be a lot of fun and I know a lot of people are very passionate about their teams. Maybe I'm just an old fart but these days it's much easier for me to sit back with the wait and see approach and not get worked up about this draft pick or this trade or which guy KC got and blah blah blah. I'm guessing some of you didn't live through the drought years where there was real, actual incompetence running the show. That is not the case with this front office. 

     

  6. 5 hours ago, First Round Bust said:

    double down...best I can tell no position on the team will carry two rookies on the active roster, that is keeper draft choices not exposed to being cut-waved...you want one on the active roster and PS ? then I think we can find somethug come the Sept big cut, serves the same purpose but saves draft capital ?  

     

    More concerned with who is going to return kicks and punts, not sure that specialist is on the roster and I dont think they trust a rook to do that.

     

    Why wouldn't Hardy (CB pick) be in the running for the returner jobs? Seems like his most immediate value is clearly there. Because he's a rookie? Seems like mentally the easiest onboarding in all of NFL football, being a returner.

     

    Shakir and Samuel both seem like guys who could be all right with the new kickoff structure. 

     

    1 hour ago, BuffaloBillsGospel2014 said:

     

    The Eagles just signed Jalen Hurts, AJ Brown and #2 WR Davonta Smith who went to a SB

    The bengals have signed Joe Burrow and about to sign Jamar Chase next season who have a SB appearnce
    The Dolphins are about to sign Tua who have 1 of the highest paid WR

    Cleveland Browns Deshaun Watson and Amari Cooper

    The rams like you said Stafford/Kupp

    The Lions Goff/St.Brown

    These are all playoff teasm vying for a SB, it can be done and why would it be a pipe dream?

     

    Only the Rams, above, have actually won a SB. So...

     

  7. 12 hours ago, DapperCam said:

    I think this pick is a great fit. He can replace Groot on 3rd and long and just pin his ears back.

     

    I’m not even sure why being short is a disadvantage for a pass rusher. I would think it would actually help the speed rush move and getting around the edge.

     

    Not replace Groot. Groot slides inside then.

     

    10 hours ago, DapperCam said:

    There’s only 2 spots on the line for a DE pass rusher. I guess it depends on if you prefer Groot, Epenesa, or the corpse of Von Miller (assuming we were subbing this guy in on obvious passing downs).

     

    I think Epenesa is better at purely rushing the passer. Groot is a better all-around DE.

     

    Epenesa, Groot, Solomon, and Miller on OBVIOUS passing downs LFG (sub out one of them for Oliver probably ofc)

     

    9 hours ago, Augie said:

     

    Yep, move him inside where he’s been effective on passing downs and put the other guys on the edge. 

     

     

    Exactly. Groot can really succeed inside in a NASCAR package with Oliver beside him and 2 of Epenesa, Miller, and Solomon on the EDGE. 

  8. 4 hours ago, smward8 said:

    If so, how does Collins worth have a job?

     

    He has founded an NFL "analytics" empire that is already intrinsically interwoven with so many broadcasts and online channels. And somehow much of the U.S. NFL viewing public might actually NOT have viscerally negative responses to his appearance, voice, and general demeanor?! That seems crazy, though. That guy is like an undead zombie (ever looked at his hands ffs) avatar for yucky 1980s white male privilege.

     

    **analytics is in quotes because PFF's core rankings are subjective and suspect to their cores. 

  9. On 4/29/2024 at 12:44 PM, Virgil said:

    With all of this turnover we see with sportscasters, I wonder how much of it is based off audience viewership feedback vs wanting to bring someone in at a lesser salary?  

     

    Gotta be both. People DGAF to listen to Boomer (who is still at least smart, if not irrelevant) or Simms (who has been a wooden statue for years).

     

    On 4/29/2024 at 12:48 PM, Chicken Boo said:

    I don't even watch pregame shows anymore, but Ryan seems like a good addition.  

     

    Ryan seems like just a younger version of who just got axed. Total milquetoast. 

     

    On 4/29/2024 at 12:50 PM, Ethan in Cleveland said:

    Long overdue.  Simms has been unwatchable for years. He really struggles with basic sentence structure. Esiason was fine. New faces may be good. 

    Honestly rarely watch anything but the actual game. But every once in a while I tune in early or the post game show is still on in the background. 

    I am pretty sure I've never heard Matt Ryan speak. If you played just his voice I would not be able to pick him out. I have no idea how he will do.

    Never a big fan of his. Choked alot in the playoffs even though the SuperBowl loss was more on the defense. 

     

    Pretty much yes to this. I HAVE heard Matt Ryan speak, and it makes sense why a broadcast network signed him: he seems like a safe, younger, lame, former QB to replace the really old, lame, old AF former QBs. 

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  10. image.png.dfd9594b2e27aa624d1ddd9d10a288c0.png

     

    3 hours ago, khlax3 said:

    I thought it would be interesting to find out to see how everyone would rank who from this draft class will have the best Buffalo bills career. My list is below 1 being the best and 10 the worst.

     

    1. Bishop

    2. Van Pran Granger

    3. Coleman

    4. Davis

    5. Hardy

    6. Carter

    7. Solomon

    8. Ulofoshio

    9. Grable

    10. Clayton

     

    image.png.f8e4532d8875f9b396fe04472fa1df1e.png

     

    3 hours ago, wppete said:

    1. Coleman

    2. Bishop

    3. Solomon

    4. Van Pran

    5. Carter

    6. Davis

    7. Hardy

    8. Ulofoshio

    9. Grable

    10. Clayton

     

     

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  11. To be clear, I think Claypool should probably NOT make the 53 man roster. He has contributed progressively less each year of his career. Came into the league with some rare physical gifts, but likely lacks the discipline and humility to actually IMPROVE. He got a legitimate chance at it: over 100 targets each of his first two seasons, and still was shipped out in year three. And then again in year four. Really bad catch %. Really bad ROI. 

     

    Sure I'd be happy to root for him if he has turned some unexpected corner in his professional career. But I don't think that's likely. Especially in the Bills passing offense that requires a lot of its WRs pre- and post-snap. 

     

    No reason to be mad at Beane for giving the guy a look (as long as his dead cap is super low once he's cut), but the physical traits shouldn't be attracting many NFL suitors anymore imho. 

    • Agree 2
  12. 9 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

    Because to admit that he'd probably walk in here as WR1 would mean maybe things aren't as buttoned up as people have convinced themselves they are

    Because Baltimore also has an AllPro TE and TWO first round picks at WR to spread the ball around

     

    They didn't really have that all-pro TE for more than 60% of last season, and their ROOKIE WR was a MUCH larger piece of the puzzle than Beckham Jr. In fact, Beckham's numbers were closer to BOTH TEs (including the injured one) than they were to Flowers. He DID way outpace Agholor and Bateman lol, I guess.

     

    Baltimore is not where WRs go to flourish. So that's in fact a benefit to Beckham's prospects. Those highlights are sharp. But still, he has not logged a complete, successful season, in a LONG time. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  13. 9 hours ago, Gregg said:

     

    No. The Jets are the two-time defending offseason champions. 

     

    How does anyone forget the Jets preseason hype machine? Is it the unbelievably hilarious and predictable Rodgers flop that ended their season four snaps into week one (despite Allen's nightmare efforts to lose that one)? Oh man, him running onto the field with an American flag. So good.

     

    9 hours ago, DrDawkinstein said:

     

    Yards dont mean squat. Points and wins are what matters. And over the last handful of years the Dolphins only have 1 win over us, and it took them harnessing the power of the SUN to beat us.

     

    For all the flack I've given McD, he's proven he has Tua figured out. Take away his first option and he's toast.

     

    He's "ok" at getting the ball out to weapons who can YAC. He's not a good field general.

     

    Milano will end him this year.

     

    They did play us tough in 2022 in general, including their 3rd string QB nearly pulling something off on the road in the playoffs. That was troubling. But seems like McD and his D have since adjusted to Miami's mostly scripted first-read attack. And now that their defense has lost mucho talent in the front-7 (to injury and FA)...I think they're even less of a threat than ever.

     

    9 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

     

    Not to mention we were down going into the game....

    • Micah Hyde
    • Jordan Poyer
    • Tre White
    • Mitch Morse
    • Dane Jackson
    • Ed Oliver
    • Jordan Phillips
    • Khalil Shakir

    Then Christian Benford breaks his hand, Greg Van Rotten and Spencer Brown get heat exhaustion.  

     

    Allen was an effing beast in that game, and ironically it was HIS bad throw at the end that was the difference. 

     

    9 hours ago, DrDawkinstein said:

     

    Tommy Doyle finishing the game with a torn ACL!

     

    Miami's only win involved all of these extenuating circumstances. It's remarkable what it takes for the Dolphins to beat Josh Allen.

     

    2 hours ago, HappyDays said:

    Not sure why everyone thinks he is totally washed. It's upsetting that Beane didn't think this type of talent was worth Deonte Harty money when our outside WR depth chart is the worst in the league. I just don't get it.

     

    Gotta be real here: this highlight package is super impressive. Looks like the OBJ that generated so much buzz so long ago. 

     

    So was it just injuries, and then (when healthy again finally) being part of a Lamar Jackson offense that diminished his impact? These are Baltimore highlights, but from the look of them, you have to at least wonder, "why aren't there more of these?"

     

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  14. 30 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

    I just watched it. Look Shakir is a good dude and I appreciate how hard he is working to be better..... but all through his workout I was just thinking "man how short are that dude's arms?" He must have someone tie his laces for him. 

     

    I'm ashamed to admit my first thought was the same. When he's got his arms up while seated on a bench in the weight rack. Looking in shape but not possessing the arm length of a 6' man. 

  15. 4 hours ago, stuvian said:

    There was less doom scrolling on the BBMB during the decade of fail. I can't believe the level of hopelessness here.

     

    In the Clappy/Beane era we have been in the playoffs six out of seven seasons. We are way closer to the top than the middle or the bottom.

     

    I had season tickets from 2006 to 2018. We had a grand total of one playoff game in that time and it was on the road at Jacksonville. So zero home playoff games in twelve years. 

     

    With the atmosphere on this board you'd think we were perennial losers like the Jets or Bears. 

     

    These are the golden years folks.

     

    It's true what you say, all of it.

     

    The stadium has been disproportionately negative/impatient the last two or three seasons, for example. In 2021 the gameday weather was improbably bad each week, and a few of the results were improbably disappointing (PIT, IND, NE in 2021, and in 2023 the 2nd half against GB through OT against MIN in 2022). There is so much angst when the offense is out of sync. So much cynicism and amateurism lurking just below the surface. So many fans yelling "Let's go, Josh!" or "Come on, Josh!" right before the snap like absolute rookies. 

     

    I guess my point is that the Bills need to rediscover some joy. Despite some real success, there has been a lot of stress and strain and trauma the last few seasons. We really need to see the boys play for each other and do so with some youthful effing joy. Maybe there is some favorable addition by subtraction math on this particular point. Maybe we'll get to see the QB free to read the field purely. No personalities involved (unless they're positive/constructive). 

    • Like (+1) 1
  16. 3 hours ago, DJB said:

     

    We still need a deep threat though otherwise opposing defenses will continue to just press us and the safeties will move in towards the line of scrimmage and shorten the field. 

     

     

    But were defenses continually pressing the Bills and compressing their coverages? From what I recall, and what I've seen from analysts and team sources, opposing defenses mostly relied on dropping their DBs (post-snap) into deeper shell coverages, banking on QB17's impatience/reluctance to continually take the underneath routes/checkdowns. Heck, recall Dallas' doomed plan to defend the Bills offense by exclusively fielding light nickel and dime packages. 

     

    Allen was definitely blitzed in 2023, and there were definitely some coordinated zero-coverages, but overall the defenses who best frustrated Allen and Co utilized LOS disruption but with deeper coverage drops designed to capitalize on QB17's tendency to look downfield. The Jets are the best example for this. They mostly utilized deep safety coverages post-snap, daring Allen to take the checkdowns and underneath stuff, but also trying to speed him up with their pass rush. Meanwhile they entrusted Williams and Moseley to clamp down on their RB/TE responsibilities.

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  17. 8 hours ago, Augie said:

    I know I am FAR more curious and optimistic about this 5th round pick than I should be.

     

    But I just can’t help myself! Twitchy and bendy has not really been our thing lately.  

     

    Same boat: was excited about the player in the pre-draft process, and remain super excited about him moving forward. I don't care that he's 6'1"ish. He has incredibly long arms, huge hands, and on-field explosion and bend that you cannot teach. The dude is primed to see the field early as a DPR because he provides pass rush juice the Bills don't otherwise have on the roster. Really like the pick in the short and long term. 

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  18. Yards and/or catches for Samuel (I suspect they intend to use him as a featured pre-snap motion weapon, like a Harty+Diggs ZxY amalgamation). They want to feature Samuel as moving eye candy/protein while also feeding Kincaid and Cook...

     

    Shakir should be doing exactly what he did the back half of 2023, converting his moderate progression-based targets into explosive plays, and hopefully Coleman is sprinkled in on screens and slants and digs and 1:1 fades. 

  19. 11 hours ago, The Jokeman said:

     

    No way Brady participates without final edit approval baked in. That guy is NOT a "good sport" when it comes to humor/criticism. The tone and tenor will be celebratory of his accomplishments but a little critical of Brady's hyper-competitiveness. They probably won't even mention his scandals (except in passing absurdity) or pseudo-scientific/nonsense TB12 brand. 

  20. 5 hours ago, Chaos said:

    I doubt very many people who post on the board, feel as though they know better who the best offensive players to pick are, better than Brandon Beane. 
    I doubt very many people who post on the board, feel as though they know better who the best offensive players to pick are, better than Andy Reid/Chiefs. 

    I think a lot of people suspect the Chiefs know how do do things better than the Bills (based on Super Bowls won recently).   I think some of these people are concerned that the Chiefs with Worthy will have better results that the Bills with Coleman.  If they stopped to think about it, I suppose that if the Chiefs picked Coleman and the Bills picked Worthy, they would have the exact same concerns. 

    As fan who thinks there is a .000001 percent chance the NFL is scripted, I am sad going into the season afraid that the Bills are going to lose in the scripted playoffs on a Mahomes to Worthy pass.  Mocking the Bills is a pretty joyful thing for a lot of NFL fans (sometimes even Bills fans, because if you don't laugh you have to cry)

     

     

     

     

    I wish you were right. Would be a better world. But I fear "very many people...feel as though they know better" than whomever disagrees with them. In general. This board is better than most forums, to be clear. 

     

    I think fans generally wanted a speedy deep threat WR (because we don't really have that threat on the roster), and would have LOVED if we traded with KC and they took Coleman...and ultimately we took Worthy. Was even getting to the point where Worthy was the guy I wanted the Bills to draft above all others, and thought he'd be gone by 28. (Conversely, I definitely also shared some posts here the past few months proclaiming my counterintuitive optimism for Keon Coleman's prospects, given his combine gauntlet and best-in-class hands. Earlier in the winter, I was definitely concerned with Coleman's contested catch rate, lumping him in with the likes of Q Johnson and N'Keal Harry. It's been a journey.)

     

    3 hours ago, BigDingus said:

    Separation has been his biggest red flag, but there are routes where he's been very successful.

     

    He's probably not going to be someone you have running go routes, but he's been touted as a "big slot" guy. Every year, it seems like someone is the new "slot guy" for us, whether it be Kincaid last year, or Shakir before that.

     

    The video I grabbed this graphic from reviewed the last 32 players that finished in the 35% or under percentile in terms of separation in college, and only 5 players were "hits" or close to it.

     

    Those players were:

     

    1. Amon-Ra St. Brown

    2. Cooper Kupp

    3. Juju Smith-Schuster

    4. Tyler Boyd

    5. Rashee Rice

     

    He's in the 20th percentile for man coverage, 19th against press. However, he's at 80% against zone, so that's one major plus in bag already.

     

    Coleman Routes.jpg

     

    Is the color-coding on these route graphics inconsistent? Slant and Screen routes, for example, are mis-colored on both infographics, according to their own internal logic. 

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