The electorate is shifting, so it’s conceivable that Trump could win PA, but lose NC.
White working class moving right (PA)
Northern transplants flooding Raleigh & Charlotte (NC)
Ive said it before, but it seems like the conservative northerners move to Florida & South Carolina, while it’s more of a mixed bag to Georgia & North Carolina.
That said, Trump +4 in Georgia but losing NC would be absolutely shocking.
Arizona seems all over the place. I’ve Trump +4 to Kamala +5… no idea. It’s a lean red state, but with McCain R’s who will vote blue.