HappyDays
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Posts posted by HappyDays
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26 minutes ago, 26CornerBlitz said:
These comparisons always fall short. Every year the cap goes up by $10 million. They should really be comparing "percentage of salary cap at time of signing" but I've never found anyone that tracks that.
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15 minutes ago, thebandit27 said:
Whether he declared him the starter or not, you're absolutely right that it makes no sense to trade the 65th pick in the draft and pay the guy $16M to sit the bench
The more I think about it Allen actually makes the most sense for them based on the moves they've made. You don't trade pick 65 for a player you don't expect to start the whole year, QB or otherwise. Tyrod could conceivably be their starter for 2 years if they need him to. And I don't understand why they would have traded a high pick for him, plus a $16 million salary, unless they knew that was likely.
As you know I think picking Allen would be a horrible move but if anyone can get away with it it's the Browns. They have a capable starting QB and plenty of other picks, and they can take Allen without giving anything up. So even if he busts as bad as I think he will it wouldn't be a disaster for them. They could give him 2 years on the bench which is what he needs. It makes sense based on everything else they've done.-
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I don't understand why Hue would declare Tyrod the starter for the year if he likes Rosen. Rosen would probably start right away. I still think Darnold or Allen are the pick.
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2 hours ago, DC Tom said:
That is completely ridiculous.
Hard to say before we know what they were seeking those records for. Mere speculation here but if Cohen used money to suppress the tape that could count as an illegal campaign contribution. The article also doesn't say they carried out the raid specifically for documents relating to the tape, just that it was one of the things they sought in the raid. Sorry folks but it's gonna be a little while before we know the full story. And the warrant will be made public eventually.
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11 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:
50% is far greater than 0%.
Sure but Allen doesn't have a 50% of succeeding. The bust percentage of QBs drafted out of small schools with poor stats has to be close to 100%. QBs that red shirt their entire rookie years rarely if ever succeed. Darnold, Rosen, and Mayfield probably each have a 50/50 shot. Anyone who takes Allen has to expect his bust percentage is a lot higher than your normal top 10 QB. If you're trading the future for a QB you don't pick the "highest ceiling," whatever that means, you pick the highest chance of success.
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32 minutes ago, thebandit27 said:
On that fact alone, any QB that has a shot to be a long-term franchise guy should be a first-round pick.
Every QB has a shot to be a franchise QB. You're basically saying no team should ever draft a QB outside of the 1st round which is crazy.
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26 minutes ago, thebandit27 said:
Indeed...just like everyone and their brother apparently had Russell Wilson as not only a 1st round pick, but the guy that should've been taken #1 overall over Andrew Luck
I can vouch for jrober on this. Back to the old Bill's message board days he has been vocal about not liking that style of QB. It's one of the easiest things to predict in the NFL because every year there's a QB with nothing but raw physical talent that gets overdrafted and ultimately busts.
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29 minutes ago, thebandit27 said:
calling him a 4th-round caliber player is incongruous to that sentiment. If he's got as limited a chance to play in this league as you have tirelessly professed, then he's not worth drafting.
I don't understand this logic. Anyone drafted in the 4th round has a long shot of making it. That's exactly where you start taking projects. I personally wouldn't draft anyone in the first 3 rounds that I didn't feel confident about starting at some point in their rookie season. Taking a player in the 1st round that you know isn't going to be ready for a couple years at minimum is nuts.
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Another Orlovsky breakdown:
Orlovsky doesn't think Allen's accuracy is a bad as other scouts do, but he is worried about his ability to process things on the field.
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I think it's likely we are worse which is why I'm against trading our 2019 1st.
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1 hour ago, snafu said:
If what's bolded is true, then they can't run in and take all of Cohen's files unless every file contains suspected evidence of crimes. That's overbroad and it isn't Constitutionally protected activity.
This is 100% false. They can take all the files they want. Not every record will be admissible evidence which is the point of the "dirty team" who looks through it all and determines what is admissible. Not all communications between an attorney and his client are protected. And if they discover evidence of a crime totally separate from what the raid was for they can use that evidence as long as it wasn't found in privileged communications.
17 minutes ago, garybusey said:In an interview with Don Lemon on CNN Cohen Mentioned he is extremely worried about the safety of his family. He never once mentioned Trump. Is Cohen flipping already?
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15 minutes ago, row_33 said:
has to be a very strong reason to break that confidentiality
partisan suckybaby whiny politics isn't a reason
Yes I'm sure the Republican DA who was personally interviewed and appointed by Trump authorized this search because he's a partisan hack. The Republican Director of the FBI is also in cahoots with the Democrats. Every person is secretly out to get your side, and everyone on your side is innocent of all crimes, is that how it works?
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43 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:
Giants not trading out of 2. Gettleman keeps things very close to the vest but will take Barkley. The Bills gave tried to trade for the pick many, many, many times since mid January. No trade
Ugh Gettleman is nuts if he takes a running back over a slew of picks.
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4 minutes ago, TakeYouToTasker said:
The FBI now has in it's possession all legal documents related to Donald Trump that had been in Michael Cohen's possession. Documents that they, without this raid, never would have been able to access, because they were protected by attorney-client privilege.
Are you aware of the concept of admissible evidence? Are you aware that attorney-client communications can be made admissible evidence if they are discussing crimes the attorney is committing? Surprisingly the justice system doesn't leave an easy loophole wherein every attorney can make themselves immune from any and all criminal investigation.
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8 minutes ago, Buffalo_Gal said:
Soooo he spent at least $66M of his own money (I could only find concrete primary numbers) on his campaign, and yet it is supposed to be believable that his campaign used $130K not of his own money to pay off a hooker?I see that you're very eager to jump to conclusions on this. Sorry but we don't know everything yet. We don't know the exact charges being brought against Cohen, we don't know the reasoning for executing a search warrant over a subpoena, we don't know which - if any - communications between Trump and Cohen will be privileged, etc.
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7 minutes ago, TakeYouToTasker said:
Do you find to be at all problematic that the FBI has performed an end run around attorney-client privilege
How can you possibly know this?
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27 minutes ago, Buffalo_Gal said:
If that 150K is what they are looking at then I have to ask if they raided the Clinton attorney's offices based on the $13,000,000 donations from the same guy to them?
Because that isn't how laws work. If there is evidence that Trump used that money for campaign funds, that will be investigated. If there was evidence Hillary used money from the Clinton foundation for campaign funds, that would also be investigated. As an example the Trump Foundation was fined by the IRS a few years ago for making an illegal donation to a Florida AG'S campaign fund:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/09/01/trump-pays-irs-a-penalty-for-his-foundation-violating-rules-with-gift-to-florida-attorney-general/
There was no criminal charges because they were able to claim that "a series of mistakes" led to the donation. In other words their defense was that it was accidental. This is pretty transparently not true, but criminal investigators have a lot of burdens to overcome and they couldn't in that case. There isn't much news about this investigation into the Ukrainian donation so I don't know if anything will come it. It's completely separate from the raid on Cohen's residence. But the mere fact they are investigating it doesn't preclude that all previous donations to every presidential candidate's foundations must also be under investigation.56 minutes ago, Buffalo_Gal said:As I understand it (I am not an attorney and do not play one on the internet) anything "interesting" found on Trump in his attorney's offices would be difficult to introduce into court so what purpose is the raid? Other than headlines, I mean?
The fact that you're asking this question tells me you still don't understand what happened. The FBI raid on Cohen might have nothing to do with Trump. They're investigating Cohen for possible crimes that he committed. Completely separate from anything Mueller is investigating. Unless Trump was committing crimes with Cohen in which case he is also screwed.
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57 minutes ago, Buffalo_Gal said:
Reading this thread is incredible. I honestly would like to know what President Trump did to some of you that you want to see a sitting president gone in a soft coup.
A coup huh? They're investigating Cohen for bank fraud. Mueller found evidence of that and he gave the tip to the SDNY. The SDNY then followed normal procedures for obtaining a search warrant for an attorney and then executed it. We don't even know yet if attorney-client privilege was violated. I've seen speculation that the SDNY could be the "dirty team" tasked with separating out any privileged records that would have been obtained in the search. No one knows anything yet. Cohen will have the chance to publicly release the warrant if he wants to, although most legal commentators I've read say his lawyers would probably advise him not to do that.
Here's the relevant government statute on securing and executing a search warrant on an attorney's residence:
https://www.justice.gov/usam/usam-9-13000-obtaining-evidence#9-13.420
The guidelines are very stringent. If you've seen evidence or reports that these guidelines weren't followed for some reason, post them. Otherwise we have a notoriously difficult to obtain warrant that was sure to receive a ton of scrutiny, which was reviewdd and authorized by several members of the federal justice system, including a Republican DA and Republican Director of the FBI who were both appointed by Trump himself. There's simply no reason to think this is anything but a normal criminal investigation. It might not have anything to do with Trump at all. Mueller is running his own investigation and found evidence against Cohen. He isn't supposed to just ignore that, he handed it off to the proper parties and let them handle it. Where was the coup in all this?
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56 minutes ago, Buffalo_Gal said:
From what I read on a few legal blogs (I know, I know) there are many steps that this should have gone through before a warrant was issued as well as a "dirty team" separate from the "clean team" and someone else overseeing the collection, running the investigation to go through whatever was taken from Cohen's office, etc.
Yeah those are the exact steps they would have followed. There's no reason to think that they weren't followed. Here's a former federal prosecutor explaining the whole thing:
https://reason.com/archives/2018/04/09/what-we-know-about-the-search-trump-lawy
The warrant will be made public at some point so we'll have more details eventually. It had to pass an extremely stringent review to get authorized. The district attorney who signed off it on it is a registered Republican that Trump personally appointed. There's no reason to think the normal process wasn't followed here. Just a lot of Trump loyalists desperately trying to make it seem like he's suffered a horrible injustice.
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14 minutes ago, B-Man said:
"They crossed a line today and you can pretend this is "law enforcement as usual" but its a goddamn coup and there is nothing legal about it."
I would love to hear you explain in your own words what you think this means.
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23 minutes ago, Buffalo_Gal said:
That is why there is now a fishing trip to an alleged 12-year-old affair with a pr0n star.
Cohen is being accused of bank fraud and breaking campaign finance laws. Those are both very serious charges that will likely land him in prison for many years. No fishing trip, this is all very standard SOP. Mueller tipped off the SDNY who then followed normal procedures for securing a warrant. One of the attorneys that signed off on it was personally interviewed and hired by Trump. There's a lot of scrutiny here so they would have had to be pretty certain to sign off on it. I'm mostly just restating the article I posted above if you care to read it.
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14 minutes ago, LA Grant said:
Which of these is most likely to come this week as Team Trump figures out how to respond?
- Firing Rosenstein
- Firing Mueller after Firing Rosenstein.
Even if he fires Mueller this investigatioon will continue. It's being handled by the SDNY and the FBI now. Trump himself didn't seem to understand that when he railed against Mueller today in his first public comments on the raid. I'm sure someone close to Trump will educate him soon. He can't fire anyone to make this go away. He couldn't even hypothetically pardon Cohen for any state laws he broke, only federal.
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16 minutes ago, keepthefaith said:
This is probably the 10th or greater moment since Trump was the Republican nominee that the left pounced on an event like today's and declared victory or that Trump and his posse would soon be headed off to jail. I'd say you're just a bit over your skis - again.
I don't know about Trump but Cohen's future is definitely not looking good. The worry for Trump is that the FBI reportedly seized communications between him and Cohen, and that sort of thing is very rarely signed off on. The fact that they went the secret raid route instead of doing a subpoena, and that they raided three separate locations linked to Cohen, implies they were possibly trying to recover evidence before it could be destroyed.
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last years Chiefs Trade
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted · Edited by HappyDays
Poor ball placement, turnovers, questions about his skill set translating to the NFL, a torn ACL in college. A couple of those were real problems last year, although he very much exceeded my expectations for his rookie year.