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HappyDays

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    What wins Josh the job today?

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    I think they name him the starter as long as the game isn't a total disaster. At least 2 scoring drives and no more than 1 interception. It seems like the Cleveland game was all about shorter throws and the Carolina game was about longer throws. I expect to see more of an even mix today, so they can see how he handles a real gameday offense.

    Sam Darnold Officially Named NYJ Starting QB

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by HappyDays

    He looks accurate and he can read defenses. I'm still waiting to see if he can stretch the field. He made a few rookie mistakes and hasn't made any wow plays yet. His near-interception on 3rd down was very similar to the interception he threw last week. Teams will sit on the short throws in the regular season and Darnold will have to show them he can beat that.

     

    I see all the top 4 QBs as 50/50 shots to make it and they all still have something to prove. Darnold needs to prove he can stretch the field. Mayfield needs to prove he can look past his first read. Rosen needs to prove he can handle adversity. Allen needs to prove he can be consistent.

    Browns Defense

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    4 hours ago, PolishPrince said:

    This is what (IMO) made Josh Allen's performance against them so great. Allen did not play against vanilla defense like everyone claims is preseason. Some of the breakdown videos of Allen's play shows some overload blitz', as well as disguised blitzes and Allen handled them like a pro.

     

    I find it funny people when say it doesn't matter that Josh Allen looked good in a preseason game. On Hard Knocks, Gregg Williams sure seemed to think it matters. He was really frustrated that his defense wasn't able to stop him. Nate Orchard was pretty upset that he couldn't get a sack. It's not like they aren't trying. His good play in that game means something.

    3 hours ago, Fadingpain said:

    I wouldn't draw any conclusions about anything observed in any pre-season game.


    They are meaningless.

     

    The final score is meaningless. The individual plays and matchups still matter. Myles Garrett isn't going to suddenly stop being a monster in the regular season. Teams will game plan more to stop him but his skill set won't disappear.

    • Thank you (+1) 1

    Why Josh Allen will demonstrate the flaw in the analytics approach to football

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by HappyDays

    31 minutes ago, Batman1876 said:

    I like analytics and was against drafting Josh Allen.  The analytics were clear his poor statistical performance against week competition predicted a poor success rate. 

     

    The key word is "predicted." I work in finances and statistics is a hobby of mine. The biggest misconception people have about statistics is that they are making black and white predictions. Really they are assigning probabilities. So for example QBASE (the Football Outsiders analytics stat) gave Josh Allen a 62.7% chance of busting. That's a better than a 1 in 3 chance he makes it. A 1 in 3 chance is NOT that unlikely. If he succeeds that doesn't mean QBASE or whatever other analytics tool is complete bogus. If a model gives 10 QBs a 66% chance of busting and they ALL bust, that means the model is broken. The problem isn't analytics as a tool, the problem is how people interpret them.

    • Like (+1) 7
    • Thank you (+1) 1

    Lacanfora: Bills have reached out to Raiders about Khalil Mack trade

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    1 hour ago, BullBuchanan said:

    Mack is also coming off a disappointing season. I'm worried he may have already played his best ball, and may be a very good, but not top tier elite player on his second contact.

     

    Eh he's the only player on that Raiders defense, teams are game planning for him and they don't have anyone else to worry about. No defensive player can do it all on their own.

    Josh Allen to start Sunday

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    I know it's just preseason but this week feels like the lead up to the home opener. I don't really care about our record this year, I just want the QB position to finally be solved. This weekend we get our first extended look at that question. So to me it might as well be week 1 of the regular season.

    • Like (+1) 3

    Lacanfora: Bills have reached out to Raiders about Khalil Mack trade

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by HappyDays

    14 minutes ago, BuffaloRush said:

    Is Mack worth what could be a Top 5 pick?

     

    Yes. Top 5 picks have like a 20% chance of becoming DPOY candidates. Mack has already been the DPOY and is a candidate to win it again every year. I value draft picks as much as anyone on here, but the reason you hold onto draft picks is to save cap space for players like Mack when they become available. If we have a chance to get a generational player on our team at a position of need, why give that up for a lottery ticket?

    • Like (+1) 5
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