SinceThe70s
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Posts posted by SinceThe70s
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11 minutes ago, Limeaid said:
Many of the games looked better when scheduled by the AWS algorithm.
Maybe NFL needs better parameters for the program.
What is this AWS algorithm you speak of?
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Frosted Raspberry
Frosted Cherry
Brown Sugar Cinnamon
Another Frosted Raspberry
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28 minutes ago, Allen2Diggs said:
All Time Low sounds about right...
Just for fun I googled their best songs and the top one is "A Love Like War". lol
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2 hours ago, BillsPride12 said:
This season has been an absolute Rollercoaster! I dont remember one ever like this with so many Up's and Down's
I'm an optimistic fan - but I have to admit that for the past month or so I feel like I have to brace myself at kickoff for whatever will happen in the ensuing 3-4 hours. The Cowboys game almost felt like cheating, lol
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53 minutes ago, Airseven said:
Allen is capable of MVP-level play, but he flashes and implodes in equal measure. I think that explains the polarizing “narratives”. Anyone who watches the Bills on a weekly basis can admit it’s still in doubt whether Allen can play with the efficiency/consistency necessary to string together a Super Bowl run or MVP season.
🤡
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2 hours ago, Mikie2times said:
What motivated this was the desire to quantify the late game collapses. We all talk about how we struggle to close out games but then I wonder what is normal? What is struggling? I hate that we don’t have context.
Even with advanced analytics very little is available. So while not perfect, this is my first swing at such a stat.
I looked at this the same way baseball looks at closing out games. I did not care about the outcome, only if a lead was lost and when it was lost. This was the criteria I used (understandably imperfect).
1. Did the qualifying team have a one possession lead (8 points or less) in the game with 5 minutes or less or in OT => IF YES go to criteria 2
2. Did the opponent have a chance to possess the ball in the final 5 minutes => IF YES go to criteria 3
3. Did the opponent have at least 30 seconds down by 3 points or less or 1 minute down by a max of 8 points when they possessed the ball? If YES the situation qualifies for a SAVE
You can’t get a Save for protecting or blowing a tie. It's just like baseball, you can only have a qualifying save opportunity by protecting a lead that meets this criteria.
You can also qualify for multiple saves in one game (this was rare, but Buffalo has done this a few times). As quick example of one, the Eagles had a qualifying save opportunity on our final drive of regulation. They had the lead, it met the criteria outlined. They blew the save when Gabe Davis scored his TD with 1:52 left. Since that score then gave Buffalo a lead, the Bills proceeded to blow a save when the Eagles tied the game at the end of regulation. The other team does not have to take the lead, they can tie game to blow a save, you just have to lose the lead. The Bills then blew another Save in OT as they again had the lead only to allow a game winning score. This one game resulted in 3 Blown saves. 2 for Buffalo and 1 for the Eagles. While more than 1 blows save per game is rare, it can happen. It's the NFL.
The Bills results are as follows:
2020: 2 for 4 50% Save Rate
2021: 0 for 3 0% Save Rate
2022: 2 for 4 50% Save Rate
2023: 3 for 8 37.5% Save Rate
Total: 7 for 19 36.84% Save Rate
So if you're saying, hey, does that mean if we have an 8 point lead or less under 5 minutes and our opponent touches the ball we will preserve that lead 36.84% of the time? Yes. That's what it means.
Below is all of 2023 by team
Removing Buffalo, the NFL average is 51.7%. Which seems low, but again, you can have two blown saves in a game. You can't have two successful saves.
This is stack ranked best to worst. Some interesting teams in here.
Click on the image to enlarge it.
The odd thing about the chart to me is that the two teams that currently look (to my eyes) like the class of their respective conferences (49ers and Ravens) are at the bottom of the chart with a combined 0-6.
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1 hour ago, Beck Water said:
Did. Not. See. that. coming.
Is there precedent for a team benching their starter when they are still mathematically alive for the playoffs?
I grant that after the last two losses, their odds are apparently very low
Vegas sent Carr home last year with two games left when they were still mathematically alive. Ironically it was also for Stidham.
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1 hour ago, PastaJoe said:
As a programmer/ business analyst at Carrier, our IT department spent the year before going through thousands of programs throughout the company, changing and testing any date references to ensure they were 4 digit years.
Similar story - my company expended way too much time and resources in 1999 poring through code. It made sense for the financial systems but was a colossal waste of time for most of the other systems where 'what's the worst that could happen' wasn't really considered.
The funny part was 10 years later when an actual y2k problem that wasn't uncovered in 1999 reared it's ugly head. It took an hour or two one Monday morning to figure out what the problem was, fix it and remediate the fall-out.
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7 hours ago, Augie said:
We’ve got steaks going, and I’d LOVE a nice peppercorn sauce with it! 😋
Chef Thomas Keller (The French Laundry, Per Se, etc) said in his MasterClass that salt (and acid) are used to enhance the flavor of what you are cooking, while pepper is adding a flavor or changing the flavor.
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2 hours ago, Unforgiven said:
Really.. playing down to bad teams...turnovers, bad special teams...laughable coaching decisions at times...
Those teams just look better than the bills.
Are you aware that the Texans lost to Carolina and Atlanta and got blown out by the Jets?
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3 minutes ago, poo said:
Love the work going into the updates for this thread. Also, the promises of more frequent updates two months ago🙃 But seriously, this is a great thread. Where we at Mr and/or Mrs @Big Turk?
@Big Turk: what @poo said. And he knows cuz he's the sh!t.
Seriously, this thread idea was/is pretty cool.
Happy holidays and Go Bills!
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58 minutes ago, WotAGuy said:
I thought this was gonna be an ode to Steve Harvey.
The only connection I see - and it's a thin one - is when Gronk spiked the Steve Harvey Lego
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19 minutes ago, Bill from NYC said:
I'm sure that there was no alcohol involved.
If I got the story right it happened a little after noon following an incident where one of the relatives was in traffic court and another 'made a scene'. I think the guy that made the scene ended up getting chased leaving traffic court, called his 16 year old son. It was the 16 year old that rolled the Tundra - with his 12 and 4 year old brothers in the truck. I'm actually guessing that alcohol wasn't a factor - afaik nobody got a DWI or any alcohol related charge and no mention of Leandra's Law. With that said it's also hard to imagine sober folks acting as they did.
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7 minutes ago, 4merper4mer said:
Any updates on this?
Generalissimo Francisco Franco is still dead?Soto is still a Yankee?
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A few more details but this may be behind a pay wall:
https://www.newsday.com/long-island/crime/sunrise-crash-bats-sticks-assault-closed-brawl-f9623hu7
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I watched that broadcast and didn't care for it. There's a reason they didn't repeat the experiment. I suppose it could be better these days with large screen TV's and home theater systems.
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7 hours ago, Gugny said:
I doubt anyone likes it.
During the drought, I spent most Sundays belly up to a bar so I could watch the Bills. I’m in Jets/Giants territory.
As much as I disliked it … I got it.
I haven’t had to go to a bar in years now that the Bills are good and the NJ teams are trash.
Ots just the way the cookie crumbles. This is nothing new.
I probably averaged $40 every time I went out to see a Bills game.
Im gonna pay $5.99 to watch them on Saturday.
I think it’s all about perspective.
Yeah, I get it too. It's our choice whether to plunk down the $5.99 for the game on Saturday. I live in Jets/Giants territory too and my choice during the drought was to not see the games - because I wasn't going to a bar at 1 PM on a Sunday and I wasn't going to pay for the Sunday ticket. Looking back it probably saved me a lot of misery, lol.
I'm just getting fatigued having to figure out if I have access to a game and on which service. And it's not just football. Last night I was expecting to watch the Islanders until I hunted around and found that I didn't have access. I've also watched some pretty crappy broadcasts - last year the video quality on Amazon was pretty bad and the Apple TV baseball broadcasts teams have been God awful.
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3 hours ago, Steve O said:
Haus Cartwright
Stan Wojciehowicz (Wojo from Barney Miller)
Archie Bunker
John Dutton
Inspired by Wojo I'll add Dietrich and Inspector Luger and Yemana and Harris and Fish....
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3 hours ago, Simon said:
I despise matchups against teams that have nothing to lose.
All predictability goes right out the window.
I'd argue that predictability is an illusion in the NFL - and something that the most ardent/knowledgeable fans are oblivious to.
It's why it's so compelling imo.
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1 hour ago, Doc Brown said:
We already knew all this. The Bills may have to pay for the sins of losing to bad teams but the hole wasn’t dug too deep yet.
In fairness we also caught a break on the non-call at the end of the Giants game. We're at where we are at, regardless how we got here it's water under the bridge. Still need some help but I'm looking forward to Saturday.
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1 hour ago, Gugny said:
How is it different? Let me paraphrase/summarize:”Hi, everyone!! I own a Bills Backer bar! We will be showing the Bills game LIVE for all of you local Bills fans!
I’m probably gonna make a shitton of money from all of you and I thank you!
However … I am not here for your patronage … I am here for your pity.
Yes … I could come to my own bar and watch the game with all of you. But I’d really rather watch it at home.
But apparently the taxes that I pay somehow DO NOT INCLUDE free access to a paid streaming service that is necessary to have access to if I want to watch the game.
Sure … my bar has access. Sure … I have a login and a password that I can use at home.
But … after DECADES of supporting a team that has generally been horrible, now that they’re actually GOOD, I will be DAMNED if I will let the NFL dictate that I actually log in to paramount.tv!!!
The time has come to take a stand!!!
For what, you ask?
I don’t f*cking know.
BUT THIS IS THE TIME!!
P.S. - I’ll be watching the game at home if you want to pop over.”
A lot of folks are crapping on OP - and while I get that the particulars for OP are sketchy I'm sympatico to the over-arching point. Does anyone who isn't watching their favorite team on an illegal stream actually support the current trend? If so, why?
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I can honestly say I never watched an episode of The Nanny but I couldn't stand Fran Drescher from whatever previews/commercials I saw.
I also couldn't stand Joe Mantegna in Criminal Minds - or anything else I ever saw him in.
College Football Playoffs 2023
in College Football
Posted
Was it ever about Georgia not being one of the best teams in the country (who actually claimed that?) or was it about excluding an undefeated team and questioning why said undefeated team should have bothered competing in the BCS in the first place?
For the record I don't have a dog in this fight. Interesting sports convo, imo. But I fall on the side of the undefeated team being deserving of a spot to compete for the championship.