TPS

I suppose they can always buy cds too

In normal times...

His daily update is the best....

Pueyo's worst outcome estimates were based on doing nothing, treating it as if it was the flu. His prediction from social distancing was no different from Levitt, predicting two weeks before the turn. Btw, we're not below 20% yet, and it will be closer to 30% today. Yes, NYC is the canary, and let's hope it's leveling...However, I would not bet that you guys will get back to anything resembling normalcy for at least another month. Yep, that aged well...but who could've known...?

Negative yields on T-bills, dumping risky junk, shouldn't be a surprise that the high end is "hot"...

The president oversees the departments that respond to this, but carry on... Yes, it will take the heat off the administration's poor response after closing off China.

Come to Buffalo Daryl and "be the best version of yourself you can be...."

Sure, who wants junk now?

Yeah, no big deal... As I believe you have argued on other issues, 40% from a low base vs 20% from a high base. So, 40% at 10,000 cases vs 20% at 100,000 cases is a difference of 16,000 more in the latter. The metric should be focused on the when the number cases (you can focus on severe, but there is a good relation between the two) per day is starting to decline. We are not close to getting to a situation in most urban areas where we can get back to business as usual. The guy just can't help himself though to focus on that...

So Spain is an outlier too? Possibly France, if your metric is critical or severity of cases.

What data are you looking at to conclude this? According to the Worldometer site, it’s accelerating in the US.

As I posted yesterday, I jumped in with a bit more an d"bought dip" on Tuesday, but I'm really not confident that was the bottom. Investors are happy about the passage of a bill, but I believe the news is going to be overwhelming for the next 2-3 weeks, leading to the next big move down. Just my 2 cents...

Florida cases accelerating, which doesn't portend well for the belief that climate helps significantly.

Find my last response to @gg upthread. Related to the analysis by Pueyo.

Yeah, a few extra bucks for the lazy, and a few hundred billion for the lazy corporations...

Singapore, Taiwan, and a couple others can be found with a little googling. Germany is an interesting case and hopefully researchers are investigating. It’s probably because more bavarians pray to saint Corona, the patron saint of pandemics....

This is the MMQ approach that the Trump cult is now throwing out there, kind of like what those in charge during the 2008 financial crisis said to protect their a$$es...

A hit piece from the Religious cult perspective...ok. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2018/05/white-house-loses-global-health-security-lead-as-a-new-ebola-outbreak-hits/560195/ Then there was the early warning by former members...on January 28th https://www.wsj.com/articles/act-now-to-prevent-an-american-epidemic-11580255335 Unfortunately, that window of opportunity was squandered because the stock market and economy were too important....

In other words, it wasn’t dissolved, it was streamlined. It was subsumed under bioterrorism which hindered the response. Link

If we were the most prepared country in the world, but Korea and Singapore and others were able to role out testing on a fairly significant scale, then the MMQing is basically covering up for the lack of urgency by this administration. I laid it out three weeks ago--Trump was more worried about the stock market and economy. It took the second dramatic stock drop on the monday after the Fed cut for him to take it seriously. The US has been gaming pandemics out for a long time, so it was no surprise to those who should've been more forceful about a response, especially when we were given the time from closing off China.

Faster, please. .. No *****. It's what should've happened in tandem when they shut down travel from China.

Quarantine life.....

Important read.

About 3 weeks ago, I quoted a friend who said this (knowing someone) about the US. I hope he’s wrong...