Jump to content

The Frankish Reich

Community Member
  • Posts

    13,692
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by The Frankish Reich

  1. 20 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

    If you google the Top 50 Metro areas in the United States, the WNY area comes in at #49.

    Here's the list in descending order of population that do not have an NFL Team:

     

    13 Riverside/San Bernardino

    17 San Diego

    22 Orlando

    24 San Antonio

    28 Austin

    32 Columbus

    35 San Jose

    37 Virginia Beach

    38 Providence

    40 Milwaukee

    41 Oklahoma City

    44 Richmond

    47 Salt Lake City

    48 Hartford

    Best choices here: 

    - San Diego: a sympathy choice, and there's money to be made with an NFL team in a vacation destination

    - San Antonio: big growth area, more business friendly climate than Austin, a little farther from Dallas

    - OKC and or Tulsa: would slice off some of the Cowboys' base, huge football country, but may have trouble diverting attention from NCAAF 

    - SLC: another huge growth area and about 500 miles to the closest existing team east or west

  2. 2 hours ago, Gen2 said:

     

     

    That's easy to type into a forum thread, but you have nothing supporting your statement. Let's paint a picture here;

     

    As far as St Louis is concerned they didn't "lose" the Rams, they had the Rams unlawfully taken from them, they are currently suing the NFL because of the Rams move. Everything the NFL has done to squash the lawsuit so far has failed, and at this point it LOOKS like it will be going to trial (in St Louis). Let's just say, the NFL doesn't want their dirty laundry becoming public record through the trial process, and decides to settle out of court. I have no idea what kind of money would be involved, but for the sake of argument let's say 1.7 billion dollars. Now if St Louis would be willing to parlay that money into a new stadium and offer the Bills that new stadium for free, on what grounds would or could the NFL stop the move? Do you honestly think they would "black ball" St Louis to prevent the move knowing St Louis isn't shy about taking them to court?? 

    this ^ is making too much sense for my fragile disposition.

    I have this sneaking suspicion that when things no longer make sense - having one of just 32 NFL teams in Buffalo, with Buffalo being roughly the 52nd largest market - they tend to get "corrected." And the correction here would be moving a team. Thankfully the vast majority of larger markets are taken, or they face obstacles like NFL owners and their territorial claims (Cowboys and Austin or San Antonio, Orlando and Jax or Tampa), or there's logistical problems (Canadian cities seemed a no-brainer until COVID hit). But there's money to be made by some group somewhere, and there's more of it outside of Buffalo than inside. Pegulas, don't give in to temptation!

  3. 2 minutes ago, BarleyNY said:

    Yes.  And it looks like I pulled the wrong scale.  You are correct.  Here is the proper one for the NFL:

     

    The Player Grading Scale:
    100-90  Elite
    89-85    Pro Bowler
    84-70    Starter
    69-60    Backup 
    59-0       Replaceable

     

    Oliver graded out at 72.1 overall.  78.8 run def, 54.6 pass rush.

     

    Yes, it’s early.  Small sample size. 

    Thanks for posting that PFF scale - I have to look it up every year when folks start referring to PFF grades.

    I already referred to it on one of the O line threads - all guards and centers rated in the mid-60s, which is why I don't see a whole lot to be gained by swapping out a Boettger for a Feliciano, etc.

    • Like (+1) 1
  4. 32 minutes ago, BarleyNY said:

    Considered “average” among all players at the position - starters and backups included.   It puts him 67th of 93 edge defenders after this one game.  Still a very small sample size, however.  

    Are those PFF grades? I thought that their grades in the 50s were considered poor.

    Not that I put much stock in a grade after just 30 snaps. Kind of like a MLB hitter after 30 plate appearances.

    How did Oliver grade out?

  5. 6 hours ago, Thurman#1 said:

     

     

    Strongly disagree about your conclusion about Sanders. They threw long to him all game, and he was really open. He's a guy who can get open short or deep. 

     

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kR6QtSjNwEQ

     

    Look at 1:07 and 2:01

     

    Love the 2nd one where he destroys his guy with a route and then throws the safety away, subtly enough to not get caught at it.

     

    Agreed. This is the weirdest, most irrational takeaway from Game 1. Before last season we would have all been decrying how Allen just plain missed a wide open Sanders. You know what? On Sunday Allen just plain missed a wide open Sanders. Doesn't mean bad old Josh is back. But it certainly doesn't mean Sanders was a flop.

  6. I like this thread. As someone noted, completely random. We need a completely random thread.

    My contribution: given the blocked punt, why don't we use Star as the upback? I've never seen a satisfying answer to the age-old question of "why not sign a morbidly obese guy to be a hockey goalie?"

     

    EDIT: I'm not calling you morbidly obese, Mr. Star. Please don't hurt me. You are just the Biggest Bill of the moment.

  7. 1 minute ago, Buffalo619 said:

    Ticket prices will plummet. Is there a protest planned yet?

    Will they?

    With the phased introduction, I very much doubt it. If the "fully vaccinated" requirement were in place for the next home game, I suppose you'd see after-market prices go down since a lot of people would need to dump tickets right away. But let's track this. Would've been better to start yesterday, but today will do. Lowest priced stubhub tickets for the Dolphins home game Oct 31 (first "fully vaccinated only" game) are $90. Compare: lowest price for the WFT game a week from Sunday is ... $90!

    Let's see if the 10/31 prices start to drop as non-vaxxers dump tickets. I doubt it ...

  8. 8 minutes ago, Governor said:

    It’s a trick. Gen Z has been hoarding wealth since 2010. 
     

    You probably know a few. These people “lease” iPhones for the family, a car for each kid. 
     

    They’re also the ones that don’t let their kids outside in fear that someone will kidnap them. They have “play dates.” They text their children all day long and talk to them like they’re adults.

    No offense, but I take it you don't have kids, or at least haven't had younger kids for a long time.

    If you did you'd probably know that letting your kids run off by themselves to play with other kids in the neighborhood would make you a pariah at best; a subject of a child protective services investigation at worst. I had other parents criticize me because I let my 12 year old daughter and her friends unaccompanied at the mall under the condition that she sends me a selfie every half hour ... 

  9. Is any of the following wrong? 

    1. The Bills lease Highmark from Erie County.

    2. Erie County has mandated vaccines for attendance at Highmark events.

    3. The Bills have chosen not to fight that mandate (e.g., as a violation of the terms of their lease); they are implementing it.

    4. The remedy for those who do not like it: (a) do not attend events there; and/or (b) vote the current policymakers out of office.

     

    • Like (+1) 3
    • Awesome! (+1) 1
  10. 3 minutes ago, unbillievable said:

    THe future is female!

     

    Women will exceed Men in salary and will struggle to find a worthy partner; those few who make more than them and are educated. The Men will live with their parents while the ladies will grow old with cats.

     

    Dating sites have proved that 80% of women only deem 20% of Men acceptable to date.

     

    Once the Japanese perfect sex robots, the human race will go extinct.

    Thank goodness exclusively gay males outnumber exclusively lesbian women by about 4:1!

    3 minutes ago, unbillievable said:

    That's why Covid was engineered. It solves the old people problem; just in time to save Social Security.

    Ahh, I see. Did "they" engineer anti-vaxxers too to selectively weed out the Texas-to-Florida population?

  11. 17 minutes ago, Governor said:

    Yeah, I get all of that, but as a boomer, you’re missing what really happened, which has led to the feeling of dread that I think you mentioned earlier.

     

    Around 2000…..(lol) W let a bunch of private schools prey on our military and most desperate. These folks were promised the world and took out high interest private loans to attend schools that are now out of business or lost accreditation along the way.

     

    These are the loans being forgiven by Biden as we speak. These fly-by-night colleges all disappeared. Those degrees are worth less than an OJ Simpson rookie card.

     

    It gets worse than that.

     

    State universities started offering degrees in totally ridiculous fields like “social media marketing” and a whole host of others.

     

    Its no wonder kids don’t want to attend college. It’s been a total scam for 20 years. I have no issues with people going back to trades. It’s recession proof.

    Well, I agree with you here. Some of for-profit colleges were literally criminal, and they put their students in a financial hole for years, if not permanently.

    What we need is a little truth telling and tough love for our high school and college students.

    Choose a career track where there's a need. Stop telling kids to follow their passion. There are some remarkably talented world class athletes and ballerinas out there that can make a living at those things. They are the .001 percent. Get a degree. Work toward being a nurse, or a teacher, or someone who knows medical billing (I know a kid who does that, and his career is off to a fine start). If you're better with your hands than you are with tests, learn a trade. We can't outsource plumbing and wiring to China or India (although we do seem pretty good at bringing in people to America to do those kinds of things). Don't waste time and money - finish a degree in four years. Don't have a family until you can afford it. Live at home if you have to to save money for a down payment (I also know a kid who did that and surprised everyone by buying a house, with his own money, at 28).

    I just looked up my childhood home in Amherst. Someone bought it for $150,000 in 2019. Zillow says it's worth $200,000 now. There is absolutely nothing "out of reach" about that house for, say, a teacher married to a firefighter, or a nurse married to a UPS driver. That would be exactly the same standard of living as I had growing up. (EDIT: in reality, a whole lot better than what I had - I looked at the Zillow pictures and it's been remodeled to look like one of those HGTV projects; it has a nice deck that wasn't there before; nice sleek appliances that we never had; flat screen TVs ... the standard of living is a lot, lot better in many ways although the physical structure looks much the same from the street). It's not that that "middle class dream" is gone; it's often that kids today find the standard of living that I had to fall short of what they think they deserve. They think they deserve the McMansion, and not when they're 50; they want it when they're in their 20s. I couldn't have it in my 20s either.

    • Agree 1
  12. 28 minutes ago, Governor said:

    There hasn’t been a middle class since the 80’s. 
     

    You mean poverty. Middle-class is now a household income of at least 125k/year. Anyone coming in less than that is lower middle-class regardless of state lived.

     

    And that isn’t just because of inflation either. There’s been decades of union-busting and “right to work” that eliminated the once healthy middle-class.

     

    Its been a race to the bottom since 1990 or so.

    No, I'm not all gloom and doom here.

    Think about the story of the kid I quoted above - the one who dropped out of Bowling Green Univ. to work at Amazon - is a good example.

    Let's say he set his sights on being a school teacher. An honorable profession, and one that gets you 2.5 months off every summer. 

    The average salary of a teacher in Bowling Green is $54,000.

    Or lets say he keeps his Amazon job instead, making $15.50/hr full time (about $32,000 a year), and then marries a teacher. That's a household income of $86,000, probably a little lower until the teacher gets established. Let's call it $80,000.

    The median price of a home in Bowling Green is about $200,000. Kid is living at home; I hope he's saving for a down payment (yeah, right). The mortgage on a $200,000 home, assuming they let him put 10K down with a higher interest rate is about $850/month (principal and interest).

    Sure there's taxes, but then they have a kid and get the Biden extra monthly $300 to defray that cost.

    The average family living in Bowling Green is doing perfectly fine! But you know what? You gotta work to get that job. You gotta finish college to get that teaching job. You can't be concentrating on "making music" and "investing in cryptocurrencies" like one of the kids in the article. Study. A little; you don't need to study a lot to get a degree with grade inflation as it is. The middle class lifestyle is right there waiting for you. Student loans? Well, yeah, a bit of a burden at the start, but we'll get you on a payment plan that maxes out at 10% of your income with full loan forgiveness because you're a teacher after 10 years. 

    Take this from an old school boomer who didn't pay his student loans off until he was 53 - life ain't so bad today. I'm sorry college and work are just too damn boring for the kids in the WSJ article. At least mom hasn't kicked your butt out ... yet.

  13. 1 minute ago, vanhalen26 said:

    I wonder what I can do coming from Canada, provided the border even opens.

     

    We don’t have vaccine cards or digital passports to show.  We have a rather non descript receipt that looks like it came out of a Walmart checkout.

     

    Over and above that, the CDC does not yet recognize AstraZeneca which many of us in our 40s and 50s were given.

     

    Over and above that, most of us who were given AstraZeneca as a first dose were given Pfizer or Moderna as a second dose, and the CDC does not recognize mixed vaccines as being legitimate (although some studies suggest it’s more effective than two of the same type).  Our brilliant Canadian government said the best vaccine is the one that’s available and didn’t consider the travel implications if it doled out a mixed dosing regimen.  
     

    I got AstraZeneca followed by Pfizer.  I may need to fly into any random US state just to get a second Pfizer dose or maybe a single J&J if still offered (just to keep things simple), so I can visit the US when the borders open and also attend Bills games.  
     

    It’s a gong show.

    We hear a lot of griping about vaccines, most of which is just that: idle griping.

    But I gotta admit it: you make a good point here. As we approach the one-year anniversary of approved vaccines, it's time for our U.S. governments and our foreign partners to get this coordinated. Silly arbitrary rules don't do much to encourage faith in government ...

    • Like (+1) 1
  14. 1 minute ago, Sundancer said:

     

    For the few young men going into the service or a trade, I agree to some exttnt. But the current batch is playing video games in their rooms of the parents' home and a college degree remains a path to the middle class. 

    Bingo.

    If you read the full article, you'll see that some of the examples are exactly this - boys who were decent (not stellar) students who are just too damn lazy to get anything going. We're not talking here about the kid who struggles in school but is great at something mechanical - those boys quickly find their place in one of the good trades. And they have no qualms about giving up and moving back home. This would have been unthinkable for most of the guys I knew in HS ... you moved out, you didn't move back. It was social death. What, like, I'm gonna try to bring a girl back to my mom's house? That's why we moved out!

     

    One example from the article:

     

    Jack Bartholomew, 19, started his freshman year at Bowling Green State University during the pandemic, taking his classes online. During the first weeks, he said, he was confused by the course material and grew frustrated. Finally, he quit. “I don’t know what I’m going to do,” he said. “I just feel lost.”

    Mr. Bartholomew’s parents and one older sister have college degrees. He was a solid student in high school and was interested in studying graphic design. Yet while working online from his second-floor bedroom, his introductory courses seemed pointless for how much he was paying, he said.

    He works 40 hours a week, at $15.50 an hour, packing boxes at an Amazon warehouse not far from his house in Perrysburg, Ohio. It isn’t a long-term job, Mr. Bartholomew said, and he doesn’t know what to do next.

    • Like (+1) 1
  15. Interesting topic - thanks for posting, Sundancer.

    I saw this in the WSJ, and as the dad of a recent HS grad - a girl - it kind of fits what I've been observing. The highest achievers tend to be a pretty equal mix of boys and girls. But the tier below that is clearly composed of a majority of girls, and that becomes even more evident when we go down another tier. The stereotype is that girls are obsessed with social media, boys with video games, and they are equally distracted from school work but by different things. From what I've seen, this just isn't true. The video game obsessions completely dominate the life of boys to the detriment of anything else, whereas the girls somehow manage to integrate all that social media obsessiveness into planning their social media obsessed college futures. 

  16. 3 hours ago, First Round Bust said:

    yeah and Mahomes won his first his first game this past Sun when trailing by 10+ at the half

    and

    Browns have not won an opener since 2001.

    and

    9 upset wins this weekend won against the spread

    its a new year....

    All of this is not surprising if you study the win expectancy charts.

    In general, not knowing anything else (quality of the teams, home vs. road, etc.), a team leading by 10 at halftime will win 85.3% of the time.

    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/win_prob.cgi?request=1&score_differential=10&quarter=2&field=team

     

    Things to keep in mind:

    - 10 point leads sometimes come from luck (a deflected pass Pick 6, etc.), but luck tends to even out between the favorite and the underdog. So most of the time the team leading by 10 or more is already objectively the better team.

    - it varies, of course, by WHEN you accrue the 10 point lead. I chose halftime because it's relatively rare for a team to jump out to a 10 point lead in the 1st quarter.

    - a really good team, of course, isn't behind by 10 or more that often. See the Chiefs in the Mahomes era. So there aren't all that many comeback opportunities, which is a good thing, not a bad thing.

     

    Fans tend to overestimate the likelihood of comeback wins. Example: My team down by 9 (the classic "need two scores" when you know you still have time to get the ball back after the first score), 5:00 left, we have the ball on our own 25, 1st and 10. What's that, a 30% chance of coming back for the win (TD + extra point, defensive stop, kick FG, game over)? 

    Nope. It's about 7 percent.

    Of course it's better if you have a great QB, but it's still not that good.

  17. 17 minutes ago, Doc said:

     

    No, it's all on the current administration.

    Correct. The fact that he wasn't President throughout all of 2020 shouldn't exempt him from blame. This fact that the Democratic House passed a huge stimulus bill so the economy wouldn't totally collapse under Trump doesn't mean that they didn't try to use their secret wizardry to tank the economy in 2020 so that Trump would lose. The fact that the Federal Reserve took all types of extraordinary actions to prop up the economy in 2020 doesn't mean that they, as charter members of the Deep State, didn't do everything in their power to make sure Trump lost.

    Such is the logic of a certain type of person ...

  18. 22 minutes ago, Governor said:

    We’re seeing an intro to what happens when the GOP runs “Trumpy” candidates.

     

    Most of them will lose and might save the House for Dems.

    I lived in Minnesota for part of the Jesse The Body Ventura governorship. What I learned:

    - joke/protest candidates thankfully can't do a helluva lot of harm at the state level. Arnie was even modestly successful. Jesse left Minnesota more or less the same as he found it. Or even as Senators or Representatives in Congress.

    - people tire of them pretty quickly. Arnold objectively was perfectly o.k., but you don't see anyone pining for some kind of Return to Shwarzeneggerism.

    And of course later on I learned that joke/protest candidates CAN do a helluva lot of harm in the White House. Thank you, Lord, for saving us from the Ross Perot administration, or the Herman Cain administration. But wait a minute, why did you forsake us in 2016?

    • Dislike 2
  19. 12 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

     

     

    Of course.  Any raise you may have got....completely negated and worse:

     

     

     

    U.S. Poverty Rate Rose From 60-Year Low, Incomes Fell Amid Virus (Democrats....self inflicted)

     

     

    U.S. household income fell in 2020 while the national poverty rate rose from a 60-year low as the Covid-19 pandemic upended the U.S. economy and threw millions out of work.

     

    Median, inflation-adjusted household income decreased 2.9% last year to $67,521 according to annual data released Tuesday by the U.S. Census Bureau. The poverty rate rose one percentage point to 11.4% after having dropped for five straight years and reaching the lowest since 1959 in 2019.

     

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-09-14/u-s-poverty-rate-rose-from-60-year-low-incomes-fell-amid-virus

    Wow. 

    Right now I can't think of anything unusual about 2020 that could possibly explain this.

    Let me know if you come up with something. Otherwise I will have to assume that the Trump Administration is somehow responsible.:rolleyes:

  20. 1. The California recall process is absurd.

    2. Newsome has done nothing unexpected or grossly improper to warrant being recalled.

    3. If there were someone sensible running against him with a chance of winning, I would nevertheless vote to recall him. The party in power in a single-party state gets arrogant and unresponsive to the voters. California needs a counterweight.

    4. California needs a counterweight; it does not need a joke Governor like Elder or Jenner.

×
×
  • Create New...