Whatever you are smoking, I wish you would share it with the rest of us.
The flaw with your theory comes in, when the SBVT started building up the attacks, it exposed "inconsistencies" in Kerry's story. As a result, Kerry has changed his story on "what really happened," since these attacks started. So, to say that this is a "failed gamble" on the part of the Bush supporters would be incorrect. It is having an effect, and that can be seen by Kerry changing his story. Now, Kerry wants to suppress this group, get the publisher to stop printing the book and trying to pressure media outlets into not showing their ad.
As someone who does not want to see either of these candidates win, I have to say that Kerry is playing this all wrong. Right now, he sounds like a spoiled, whiney little beotch who can't handle criticism. He is definitely not showing leadership qualities, and the more he presses this issue, the worse he looks.