QCity

Incognito was coming off a Pro Bowl season. Young guys?? We are starting Pears and Urbik.

TBD is always going to wildly overreact after every game. Note that I said "game" and not just "loss," because if Orton hits one of those passes at the end, the crazies would have been posting about Superbowl odds. It goes both ways. Best course of action is just to wait until Monday before reading/posting.

The Brown fumble gave me chills. It was 10-3, the exact same score as the KC game last year. It was the first drive of the 3rd quarter, again, same scenario as last year. A long march down the field and we were about to demoralize them by going up by 2 TDs. As soon as that ball went out of the back of the endzone, the Jeff Tuel flashbacks started. The momentum started to shift. Leodis then put the exclamation point on the day.

Same thing as the KC game last year, we outplayed them, but the game was lost on 2 huge turnovers. Bryce Brown did his Jeff Tuel impersonation and Leodis followed it up with a tribute to T.J. Graham.

Winston will stay in school if he's convinced he's a 2nd round pick. The Sabres will get the 3rd pick this year. You know it's coming.

I really wasn't trying to paint Billick as unintelligent, I was just trying to say his grasp on statistics probably isn't as strong as he thinks (I could be wrong). I've worked with many accomplished people that I consider to be intelligent (physicians, engineers, even CFOs paid to analyze numbers) and I am always a bit taken aback when I discover they don't fully grasp basic probability. Is there a correlation between successful people and aptitude with probability? In my experience, not a strong one (I'd estimate an r-squared of .3 ) I don't, however I can give you an example of a guy talking out of both sides of his mouth. Yesterday Billick told us the Bills were atop his toxic differential list (predicting success) and today he predicts us to miss the playoffs. Maybe I'm missing something?

Super Bowl coaches aren't exactly known for their mathematical acumen. Plus, there's a reason Billick is in the booth and Marvin Lewis is on the sidelines, but that's going off topic. First of all, is this metric actually predicting anything, or is it just telling you what happened? Let's say I told you, "Teams that score more than 40 points and commit no turnovers have a 99% chance of winning -- you'd be hard-pressed to find any controllable statistical combination that has quite the same rate of predictive success." You would probably sarcastically laugh, "No kidding." I haven't really predicted anything, I've simply told you teams that score a lot of points and don't turn the ball over win games. We all know that. Billick is essentially saying the same thing - get turnovers and then score (explosive plays). In the end it's not telling us anything that we don't already know. The key word here is "controllable." Can you really control and predict turnovers for a game? For a month? For half a season? Seattle led the league in turnovers last year, this year they are struggling to stay in the black. Our 2011 Bills stormed to a 5-2 start primarily based on turnovers. When the turnovers dried up, well...you know the rest. I think you can win the turnover battle consistently if you have the elitest of the elite QBs - a Rogers, Manning, or Brady. Is that really telling us anything? Get a top 5 QB and you will have success? Not exactly a revelation. For the record I predict we will have a negative toxic differential for the month of December. Any guesses why?

Nobody knows who the OL coach is. I'm serious.

It's more snark than strawman.

Let's put him on the Wall of Fame.

Translation: He can't get open.

I think it comes down to production. I've never understood why this fanbase fell in love with Williams. I thought the guy was overrated at Syracuse and was living off his 11 TD campaign as a rookie. He was brought here to boost our red zone production but has been invisible once we get inside the 20. Correction, he's been invisible every time he takes the field - save for the 1 grab vs Chicago and a TD catch on a busted coverage / broken play. Watch the A22, the guy isn't getting open. He's never had a 1000 yd season and he's never caught more than 65 passes.

Love Francesa's comment "if the man does not value the QB position he should not be a position of authority in the NFL." http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q-rAu4TtTmM

I'm shocked we won, I thought we would come out flat. I'm not used to seeing the Bills win on the road. Any road victory is fantastic in my book, especially against a division opponent.

Jets are better than their record. Jets 34 Bills 17. Still think we go 9-7 but 2 solid weeks of DOOMED incoming.

My heart sank when I heard this because this is the first time I've ever visualized Dareus playing in another team's jersey.

Rex Ryan got within 1 game of the Super Bowl twice with Mark freakin' Sanchez as his quarterback. Think about that for a minute. He even beat Brady at Gillette the 2nd time to get there. Rex shoots his mouth off and acts like a buffoon most of the time, but the guy is a great head coach.

I have a bad feeling about this game, and It only got worse after watching that last Jets game against the Pats. The team I saw didn't look like a 1-win team. They are much more physical than us, better coached, and their greatest strength (D-Line) matches up against our biggest weakness (O-Line). And let's be honest, it doesn't take a mastermind to confuse our O-Line. A simple A-gap stunt taken from a high school playbook sends our line into a Chinese fire drill. We're going to need a Geno meltdown to win this one I think, or it could get ugly. Real ugly. I hope I'm wrong because I don't think I can handle listening to the Chicken Littles for 2 straight weeks. 4-4 wouldn't be the end of the world.

Perhaps you should reread my post. I said it's easily possible to move up into the top 10 from 16. Possibly top 5.

If you have a mid-range 1st round pick (say 16) you can trade up into the top 10 somewhat easily (package 1st and 2nd like St Louis gave us). Without that 1st rounder, it's almost impossible to get into the top 10 without trading your entire draft away for the next 2 years. And forget about getting into the top 5. Just delete this post, it sounds like a drunken rant to be honest.

I think in the excitement the hit seemed a lot worse than it actually was. https://vimeo.com/109622246

There is way too much angst after what is certainly a pivotal win. We've been on the wrong end of these games for years -- it's nice to get one back. A few thoughts: 1) The key to most successful 2-minute drives is having a fleet-footed RB as an outlet to dump the ball off to. We didn't have that yesterday. 2) Cyril Richardson does not belong on the field at this point in his career. 3) The announcers....ugh. 4) Some of you need a visit from The Ghost of Al Davis. Enjoy! The final drive

There isn't a receiver on this team that thinks EJ is a better option. We just won a game (in our run-first offense) where both our RBs went down. I can't even entertain a discussion with someone who believes EJ is the better option at this point -- it's either irrational stubbornness or a complete lack of football acumen.

I never thought I'd say this, but... here goes. I'm totally OK with signing Incognito.

That was the grittiest performance I've seen by a Buffalo QB in a loooong time. If the line blocks like that next week against the Jets, Orton will need a stretcher. Haven't seen the broadcast but was Richardson responsible for 5 sacks?