strive_for_five_guy
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Posts posted by strive_for_five_guy
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Ball kept moving throughout the catch, including when he goes to the ground.
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“We were sold out of triangles, but still have cowbells?!”
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41 minutes ago, entropyrules said:
so basically you like dominatrixes
Apparently 😎, can’t wait for the halftime show either -
1 minute ago, PastaJoe said:
For the safety of Philadelphia, I hope KC wins.
Who cares about Philly lol
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The cat playing the piano on YouTube to the Fox football song did it for me 😂😂😂
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1 hour ago, Aesop said:
“Hard times create strong men, strong men create good times, good times create weak men, and weak men create hard times.”
So are we in the midst of hard times or good times right now?-
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Wonder what level of playing time/production it was conditional upon
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8 minutes ago, Xwnyer said:
and he dumped off alot of passes to likes of Welker, Gronk, Eleman(sp) and other bit characters they also stayed balanced with running the ball making Brady an very effective play action passer. Add in the cheating and headsets not working or not going off at the 15 second mark
^This, combined with a solid OL, they were frequently in position to win games. Gronk was especially a key ingredient for the middle and later stages of their run.
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Am I crazy to just say spend the money elsewhere on offense (OL, WR) first? If Allen goes down for any considerable amount of time, is this team a SB contender anyway? Isn’t there less of a chance of Allen getting injured to begin with, if he has a solid OL around him and weapons to throw to?
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2 hours ago, MAJBobby said:
OK here we are time for the one position group that so many love, I don’t value nearly as much as some, so I want to warn everyone, my writeup will likely be a bit biased here against the group as a whole, Now that that disclaimer is done time to move on to the RBs.
The standard disclaimer: I use SPOTRAC (primarily) sometimes will use OverTheCap as well for the salary and contract information. I will also use profootball reference (primary) for stats. Also this isn’t meant to be a complete wrap-up of the past season but more so a look at in the future, obviously I will look back at times to talk about how I see the future.
So here we go …
Financials:
Contracted players: 50 (SPOTRAC shows 52 but that includes Phillips Void and Saffold Void) with a cap hit of $241.768M
Cap Space (top 51): -20,517,462M (Cap Announced causing this adjustment)
RB/FB – 3 players on contact 3.59% of CAP, 19th highest in the NFL.
RFA
None
UFA
Devin Singletary – 26 years old, Cap hit in 2022 – 975K, projected market value 5.5M AAV – Gonna start of here by saying this is interesting on his projected market value at 5.5M, that number almost could be completely offset by the release of Nyheim Hines, if there is another Return man identified on the roster, because Hines really offered nothing to the offense since the trade and I would rather have Offensive production over ST players (this is below with Jones as well). Now let’s investigate the numbers for Devin. He was roughly right on his running attempt number of 177 (that is roughly where he has been all 4 years in buffalo). Right at his yards as well with 819 (had 870 last year). 5 TDs, 43 runs resulting in 1st. 4.6 yards per carry. (This is right where he was last year too). Receiving side 52 targets (highest in career, two years at 50), 38 catches 280 yards, 7.4 yards per catch, 1 TD Catch rate at 7.1%. Some fancy numbers 3.1 yards before contact (this one caught be by surprise a bit and was the highest in his career). Not nearly as many broken tackles (9) as in the past and went 19.7 attempts per broken tackle (worst in his career). Had 6 drops highest in his career but was a 91.8 QB rating when targeted. All these numbers scream productive back here. I would not be opposed to bringing him back, however I want to make sure other priorities are allocated against first. However, a 5.5M AAV contract could likely be structured in a way to account for 1.5M against the 2023 cap (Jones Cap hit), and then Hines falls off in 2024 before this contract gets up in the 5-6M Cap hit range.
Taiwan Jones – 35 Years old, Cap hit in 2022 – 1.272M, Time to move on from a ST only player.
On Contract
James Cook age 24, 0.58% of cap, 1.325M cap hit (No Savings) – He is exactly why I am moving on from Singletary IMO. Anyway here are his numbers. 89 attempts 507 yards, 2 TDs, 25 runs resulting in a 1st down and a 5.7 yards per carry. Had 21 receptions on 32 targets for 180 yards and a 8.6 yards per reception and a TD with 65.6% catch rate. Some fancy numbers 3.7 yards before contact, 3 broken tackles and 29.7 attempts between broken tackles (numbers suggest not as hard to bring down as Motor). Had 3 drops and a 77.6 QB rating when targeted. In my honest opinion the numbers back up what my eyes were telling me Cook is RB1 going forward.
Nyheim Hines age 26, 2.11% of cap, 4.79M cap hit (4.78M in savings) – This to me looks like the deal I would have wanted for Singletary if resigned, So IMO he is the Singletary extension. I can handle that for a couple reasons. 1. He is on Contract for 2023 and 2024 with no guaranteed money so no problem moving on from him at any point. 4.7M cap this year 5.4M cap next year. Brings the return capability (something that Motor doesn’t), then if you look at him in the roll Cook played this year with about 110 touches he did really well with the Cols, with a 4.9 ypc and 7.7 yards per catch. I think that tells me we have our two RBs here, fill RB3 and RB4 late in the draft, UDFA or post draft value RB signing.
Reggie Gilliam, age 26, 0.90% against cap, 2.023M cap hit (1.361 savings) – here is hard, to me I say move one save the 1.36M, but I know there is value here outside the just about zero production in the stats. But only logged about 17% of Offensive Snaps and 78% snaps on ST. Because of the Big ST contributions from him I probably would keep him on the roster (taking essentially the Taiwan Jones cap hit. But I could see this as cut prospect if can find a Rookie to do what he does. End of the day if Gilliam is moved off the Bills Roster it will be after camp IMO.
Notable UFAs – Ok I will list some here, I personally would not sign anyone, but I will make a list of who I think can fit the offense anyway.
RB
Saquon Barkley, 26 – This is probably the top RB on the market. Going to likely cost around 13-15M AAV. I could get talked into this because he is good in the passing game as well. So I do think this would be like a McCaffery type RB (that the Bills have flirted with).
Kareem Hunt 27 years old. This is a back that would slide right into the role that is offered, he has played it most of his career. Probably in the 5-9M AAV range.
Josh Jacobs, 25 years old – Here is another back that is both good in the running game and pretty darn good in the passing game as well, I could see him getting mor than Barkley to be honest. But Probably in the 11-16M AAV range.
Samaje Perine – 27 years old – This would be the ONE back I would sign in UFA early. Likely around a 2-4M AAV contract, 5-11 240 (BIG POWERFUL BACK) this SHOULD allow us to fix the short yardage without putting more hits on Josh.
RB
1st round
Jahmyr Gibbs, 5-11 200, Bama – I have him ranked as the best RB in the class.
Bijan Robinson, 6’0, 220, Texas
2nd Round
Devon Achane, 5’9” 185, Texas A&M
Zach Charbonnet, 6’1” 220, UCLA
Zach Evans, 6’0” 215, Ole Miss
DeWayne McBride, 5’11’”, 215 UAB
What I would do:
I would Let all Motor and Jones walk. Motor has been supplanted by Cook and Jones is nothing that I cannot find with a late round or UDFA Rookie.
I then go into UFA and Sign Perine from Bengals, get that short yardage back the team has used Allen for, now I no longer need to keep putting that punishment on him as I have a back that can routinely pick up those 3 to 4 tough yards in short yardage. That is about a 1.5M hit in 2023.
RBs before draft.
RB1 – Cook
RB2 – Perine
RB3/Returner - Hines
Draft Unless you get Gibbs or Robinson to fall to you in the draft wait until 6th or later and address it. Me personally I get a couple UDFAs (we have had good luck in UDFA RBs) and call it a day in this position group.
Past Writeups Links:
State of the Franchise (23 Jan)
Final one on Offense will be QB - hint, dont expect anything earth shattering there, then on to defense. Any specific group anyone want me to stat with on Defense?
Linebacker group please? I’m sure your thoughts Edmunds alone will create plenty of discussion 😎
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3 hours ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:
I think they save about $6 million in cap space. You can sign 2 quality interior OL for that cap hit.
Bates alone costs close to $5M/year. I’m skeptical that we can find two quality interior OL for $3M/year each. I agree that we need to fix the OL, but I don’t think saving money by releasing Morse is the way to do it. Restructuring contracts elsewhere to possibly bring in a decent FA, and then the draft, is how I see it.
LT - Dawkins
LG - Bates
C - Morse
RG - FA/Draftee
RT - Brown/Draftee
Still not a solid starting front, but a successful draft is our best chance of improving this group longer term.
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Aside from Josh, Jim, Bruce and Thurman are my favorites.
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1 minute ago, GunnerBill said:
It is a "Fire McDermott" thread pretending to have some more substance behind it.
Apparently ANYONE except McD could have coached this team to an undefeated season. And breaking news, Josh is a top 5 QB. There must be some subliminal bashing of Edmunds somewhere in there too 😂.-
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I fire McD and hire Gregg Williams.
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1 hour ago, HOUSE said:
I fixed it for you, you forgot one
Please, we all know you are resting comfortably on your pile of money 😉
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I would not cut Morse to save cap money, as one will only need to spend more than the savings on another player, and Morse is arguably the strongest performer on the OL. Given Morse’s concussion history, the team does need to think about drafting an eventual replacement. At best I think they’ll be able to afford signing one starting level O-lineman. Otherwise, they’re going to need to build this group up via the draft.
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The Only Loss In 2023
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Don’t agree with all the solutions in the OP’s post, but it’s true we’re going to be paying Tre a lot of money next year and even beyond, so the best hope is that he can somewhat return to form. I love Tre, keeping the fingers crossed he can do it!
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1 hour ago, ArtVandalay said:
By lead the team you mean not show up the rest of the year? Escape NE with 2 kick returns, escape Skylar Thompson by the skin of your teeth, get destroyed by Cinci?
The team crumbled in the fallout from Damar.
You’re welcome to see it how you want. I don’t think McD should be the COY amongst the other nominees, but I get why he was nominated. Many have the opinion the Bills faced more adversity than other teams (myself included), yet still finished 13-3, and that’s why he was nominated. -
2 hours ago, WNYFAN1 said:
Every team "dealt with things that were also outside of expectations"
Did every team watch their teammate get resuscitated on the field and need their head coach to lead them through that? -
Undecided here. What’s this defense going to look like next year? Poyer and/or Edmunds gone? When will Von be back? Does Tre somewhat return to form? How much do the younger players start to develop?
Lots of questions…
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22 minutes ago, WNYFAN1 said:
Seems to me like the Bills under-performed most expectations. Why is he in this list?
Because this team dealt with things that were also outside of expectations, and still finished 13-3. Obviously didn’t win the Super Bowl, but there were other unexpected factors at play too. -
I don’t know what more people want Beane to say. They’ve made high dollar commitments to several on the team at this point, including Josh who is no longer on the rookie deal, and there’s a lot of dead money tied to those guys. They need certain guys to step up more, and the same with the marginal FAs and rookies they add this offseason. And he doesn’t seem to have an issue with the coaching staff, considering all the adversity they had to deal with this season while finishing 13-3, and the team just laying an egg at a bad time against another talented team.
SB LVll Game Thread: Eagles VS Chiefs
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Right call