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Hapless Bills Fan

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Posts posted by Hapless Bills Fan

  1. 5 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    Hahah sorry. I have the correct answers now though.... I have based it on number of carries rather than strictly " who got the start."

     

    Rams I - Antowain Smith

    Panthers - Antowain Smith

    Eagles I - Corey Dillon

    Giants I - Laurence Maroney

    Giants II - BenJarvus Green Ellis

    Seahawks - LaGarrette Blount

    Falcons - LaGarrette Blount

    Eagles II - Dion Lewis

    Rams II - Sony Michel

     

    I should have got Smith and Dillon, of course. I wouldn't have got BenJarvus Green Ellis if I'd sat and thought about it until Christmas.

     

    So who of those guys would you class as an elite or even a top back, in those years?

     

    16 minutes ago, Rockinon said:

    I think the front office knows that Singletary is the best running back on the team at, well...running.  Buffalo's issues at rushing had very little to do with the backs themselves. The OL was banged up and they changed the blocking scheme mid season. That is where the focus will be this year. The OL is going to be getting a lot of reps for rushing the ball. This is still a passing team, but the OL is on notice. They need to run block better. Singletary isn't going anywhere, IMHO.

     

    Midway through the season, the Bills changed the blocking scheme, because Moss is very quick to hit the hole...too quick. Singletary was better at waiting for his block, then hitting the hole. Some blocking schemes take time to develop, while others are designed for that one cut and run that Moss is used to. When people say Moss and Singletary are similar, they really don't know what they are talking about. Moss is impatient. Singletary is patient. Very different types of runners. Both are effective with the right blocking scheme.

     

    Really?  How and when did they do that?

     

    I doan think so Ceesco.

     

    I don't think Moss is that quick to hit the hole.

  2. 17 hours ago, JoPoy88 said:

    usually those kinds of high risk things are banned in player contracts. Guess that doesn’t apply for Diggs, or he doesn’t care. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ 

     

    I kind of wonder if the latest NFL CBA did away with these, because perhaps they carried a perception of risk that didn't match the reality?

     

    I don't know how accurate this is and of course it doesn't include non-fatal outcomes like a broken leg, but this list of risks is kind of interesting to review.  For example, if statistically skydiving is 10x less risky than canoeing and 3x less risky than scuba diving, it might change the picture of what activities should reasonably be restricted. 

    https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/564015/probability-being-killed-everyday-activities-chart

     

    I know I had no idea.  When I see videos of Harrison Phillips scuba diving I don't think "gee, wonder if Beane sees that and gets grey hairs?" but evidently, statistically he should get 3x more grey hairs on that than from watching Diggs skydive and 14x more than from watching Diggs bungee jump, and should also be getting some good grey hairs from Dion Dawkins early morning bike rides around Miami and Ed Oliver's equestrian feats.

     

    16 hours ago, Frat-Train said:

    I knew none of this about Diggs...   Yikes.  I guess if there’s a positive, it’s that Rusty Hardin’s services aren’t needed, unless maybe a bird is struck on the way down or something...  So there’s that.

     

    Indeed.  When it comes to things that are truly likely to cost you a player's services, bungee jumping and skydiving much better than 2 am nightclub brawls with out-of-uniform LEO (McCoy) or shady behavior with Massage therapists (Watson).

     

    So ride those ponies, Ed; hook up that regulator, Harrison; go ahead and jump, Stefon!

     

    It's just the risk perception,  I guess.

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  3. Just now, GunnerBill said:

     

    On the latter, I'm not sure how much it is in his hands. I am sure he has input into who dresses but ultimately that is McDermott's call. 

     

    Can I have a go at the first part.... I think the answers are Sony Michel (most recent v Rams), then James White (vs Eagles), LaGarrette Blount (vs Falcons and Seahawks). I am going to guess that their first three Superbowls under Bill were all Kevin Faulk.... although stretching my memory. On the losing teams I think Stevan Ridley started the second Giants superbowl loss. First one I am struggling....

     

    No fair, I wanted the guy who said we couldn't get to a SB with Devin Singletary to answer.   vs Eagles with White was one of the losses though...

  4. 11 hours ago, The Governor said:

    Motor won’t be the starter when this team goes to a SB, because we won’t make it to one if he is.

     

    Quick.  Name the starting RBs on the Patriots 6 SB victories.  For that matter, name the starting RBs on their 9 most recent SB appearances.

     

    1 minute ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    I looked into this earlier in the offseason and I can't remember the number of the top of my head but I looked at games with McDermott where three running backs (ie. excluding receivers running jet motion type stuff or full backs in short yardage) have had carries and it was single figures. They dress two running backs with a 3rd guy who is mainly there for teams and can carry the ball in an emergency. That is their approach. I don't expect them to deviate from it. 

     

    I think Daboll is more flexible than you give him credit for, and at this point has earned enough respect that he can influence the active roster.

    I do think that having Taiwan Jones as a primarily ST guy and one active WR as a primarily ST guy limits us quite a bit, and I don't see us moving away from that.

     

     

  5. 2 hours ago, JaCrispy said:

    I could see see us packaging Singletary with a draft pick to move up in the 2nd or 3rd round...

     

    I was thinking along those lines. 

     

    I believe at the present moment, Motor is 100% in the Bills plans.  But I also believe that despite all the work in FA, Beane does have his eyes on specific players, and if the opportunity arises to move around in the draft by trading player/picks and he feels it would help us obtain one of those players, he'll do what he has to do.

  6. 2 hours ago, Buffalo03 said:

    It does kinda surprise me that Houston and Melvin Ingram are still out there

     

    I think it indicates they have a contract value on themselves that the remaining teams with needs don't buy into

     

    1 minute ago, BuffaloBillsGospel said:

    We should be looking at any pass rusher at this point.... Houston's decline was better than our entire individual DL last season. Hughes is barely noticeable but Addison still looked good at times. We need Epenesa to take the next step big time this year and hopefully we draft another in the first 2 rounds but Houston, Clowney, Aldon Smith, Melvin Ingram (not sure he's a great fit scheme wise), imo any one of those guys would be great additions. 

     

    Agree we should be looking into any pass rusher.  Agree that Houston's decline was better than anyone on our line's production last season. 

     

    Disagree with you on Hughes, completely - he was at least as, or more, disruptive than Addison and had 0.5 sacks less and more QB hits, ~=tackles.  That's not to say either performed as we needed, just that I don't agree with the "barely noticeable" vs "still looked good" assessment.

     

    Clowney, I don't get the hype. 

     

    Aldon Smith is another it seems to me the Bills should be looking.

     

  7. 40 minutes ago, Frat-Train said:

    Just stepping in to say I don’t think he’s terrible at all, but I’d be hesitant to pick up his option.  Also, LB is statistically one of the safer draft positions.  I’d be all for open comp and drafting a player.  But I’m fine keeping him.  Was just making convo on the whole Njoku subject before I was casted as a serial Edmunds hater with malicious intent.

     

    Yeah, it's going to be interesting to see if the Bills pick up his option or not.  Some defensive teammates in interviews have mentioned him as the leader on D.  McDermott acknowledged mid-season they need more difference-making plays from him, but he, Frazier, and Beane still speak very positively about him.

     

    May 5th (I think) is the deadline for the Bills picking up his 5th year option, which I believe is fully guaranteed on that day.  That's gonna indicate more about how the Bills truly see him, than all the talky-talking they do.

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  8. Anyway revised best guess taking into account the missing $1.5M in dead cap from OTC:

     

    Between $3.85M and $4.65M in cap remaining, less the difference between

    -the cap hits Lamp and Obada once known

    -the cap hits of the next two guys pushed out of the top 51 by their signings

     

    For those who are keeping track

     

    Figure $2M to sign rookies, that pretty much just leaves enough to sign Lamp and Obada, and, depending upon their cap hits, *maybe* one more vet-minimum type FA.

     

    Anything else will require more restructuring.

  9. 1 hour ago, YoloinOhio said:

    I’m jaded by the fact that Hardin also represented the ex-head of USA Gymnastics in that whole debacle, but he just doesn’t come across well to me 

     

    I Did Not Know That.

     

    I already didn't like him, but now it's "dislike by previous client association"

     

    Penny has yet to be tried on charges that he tampered with evidence in the USA Gymnastics scandal, by removing documents from the Karolyi ranch that are still missing, right?

     

    At least he has experience dealing with sleazy cases where his clients are accused of despicable things.

  10. Dear @Roger Goodell,

     

    I understand a block I made in the Bills-Texans playoff game on 4 January 2020 is now being used in an NFL training film as an example of when not to utilize a blindside block call.

     

    Not only was my team penalized with a blindside block call on that play, but I was assessed a fine of $28,075.

     

    In view of this recent development, I respectfully request that the NFL refund my fine money, plus interest.

     

    Signed,

    Not Cody Ford, but Should Be

    • Like (+1) 2
  11. 6 minutes ago, Inigo Montoya said:

     

    The Browns became a ball control, run first team under Stefanski.   Njoku only had 29 targets last season.  By comparison, Dawson Knox who was 6th in targets on the Bills last season, had 44 targets.  I just think Njoku was underutilized in the passing game last season.

     

    The point is: how much did he see the field last season?  Cleveland plays the highest % of 3 TE sets in the league, maybe 6th highest % of 2 TE sets.  But Njoku still saw his playing time nibbled down by a rookie.  He was "underutilized" in part because he dropped on the depth chart to their big FA acquisition, Hooper, but also to their rookie.

     

    Seattle also plays a lot of 2 TE sets - maybe 5th highest %, higher than Cleveland - and with Seattle's FA acquisition of Olsen, Hollister saw his playing time drop, not only to Olsen, but to 3rd year Seattle draft choice Dissly.

     

    My point is if we want to sign a team's #3 TE who had "meh" production last year and got pushed down the depth chart by a FA signing and a younger player, we don't have to trade for him and pay him $6M, we already signed that guy.

     

     

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  12. 17 minutes ago, Inigo Montoya said:

    Good article on the Njoku situation. 

     

    https://www.dawgsbynature.com/2021/4/10/22376902/will-te-david-njoku-ultimately-become-draft-day-trade-bait

     

    I work with a doc who is a lifelong Browns fan who says the Browns are currently shopping Njoku for a 4th round pick.  His salary this year is $6 million, a number that Beane could put together with a little bit of shuffling around.  It is the 5th and final year of Njoku's rookie contract.  The Browns exercised his 5th year option.  He was the 29th overall selection By the Browns in the 2017 Draft.  The expectation around the NFL is that he will be on another team by the end of the Draft.  A quick Google search brought up several articles focusing on the Cardinals, Cowboys, Panthers, and Rams seeming like good landing places for him.  One also mentioned the Bills in passing.

     

    Njoku injured his wrist and went to IR in 2019 and only played 4 games, and last season he was just swallowed up by the offensive depth on the Browns roster and hasn't been able to produce like expected.  He sure looked good his first two seasons though and he is fully healthy now.  His career stats are linked below.  He is also only 24 and should have plenty of good years ahead of him.  Ertz, who the Bills were rumored to have inquired about, is 30 by comparison.

     

    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/N/NjokDa00.htm

     

    I think you kind of answered your own question.  Njoku got pushed to #3 on the Browns TE lineup by the upgrade they felt they needed (Hooper) and a 4th round rookie Bryant.

     

    Difference makers don't get "swallowed up by the offensive depth" at TE, especially when that depth is not stunningly productive - Bryant had 238 yds on 38 targets, 24 receptions and Hooper had his worst offensive productivity since his rookie season with 46 receptions on 70 targets for 435 yds.

     

    Njoku really had one promising year to my view of those statistics, his 2nd.  The Bills already did the experiment of paying $$ to a "buried on the depth chart" guy who had one good season, with Tyler Kroft.

     

    If the question is "What #3 TE in his 4th season who played on a contending team last year can we pick up as an audition for a long-term contract?" the answer is already on our roster, we didn't have to trade for him, he didn't cost us $6M cap, and he's previously accustomed to catching stuff Allen flings in his general direction.

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