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Hapless Bills Fan

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Posts posted by Hapless Bills Fan

  1. On 5/9/2022 at 12:48 PM, Chandler#81 said:

    Dammit, Josh! Quit preening around and gitcherass back training. We’ve got a Super Bowl to win and you have a BIG TARGET on your back.

    🤦‍♂️😉

     

    Maybe he was in Miami (or Florida somewhere) to train with some of the guys

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  2. 34 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

     

    Wouldn't surprise me but still think the 2017 overall has been the best during this current regime.

     

    Obviously landing Allen a year later is why this franchise is where we are today which is 100% on Beane, but overall Beane hasn't put together a draft quite like 2017 yet in terms of the collective impact the aforementioned playoffs have had.

     

    Got to agree there.  Even Zay Jones, while not what the Bills hoped, is still in the league and just signed a 3rd (2nd really, I guess) contract.

  3. 6 hours ago, todd said:

    Amazing. One thing I noticed is how much quicker Beasley used to be. He really slowed down last year for whatever reason.

     

    I noticed that too.  2019 > 2020 >> 2021.  Dunno if his leg was still bothering him or incompletely healed, or if the ribs messed him up, or what.

     

    3 hours ago, DaggersEOD said:

    Thing is, his rushing highlights are almost as exciting. What a time to be a Bills fan!!

     

    I find Allen's rushing highlights both exhilarating and terrifying

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  4. 2 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

    McDermott inherited a talented roster that should have won at least 11 games or more in 2016.   That part is due to Whaley/Nix drafting and free agent choices.

     

    But they didn't try to win with that talent.......they instead got rid of all of the prime aged young talent(Gilmore, Woods, Watkins,Darby, Dareus) that had contract leverage over the team and just kept all of the older players to do a soft re-build without tanking.

     

    The 2017 offseason was mostly McDermott and likely also Beane surreptitiously,  knowing he was taking over as GM after the draft,  because the Bills wanted the Panthers draft info.    Which is likely why they didn't select a QB in 2017.    Not the nonsensical excuse that they didn't have time to scout QB's.......McDermott was hired in early January like any other new coach.  Carolina wasn't scouting QB's because they didn't need one.   

     

    I don't remember an excuse that they "didn't have time to scout QB", but a couple of points -

    1) the scouting process starts way earlier than January.  Starts in the previous spring with watching lots of tape and deciding which QB they will focus on during the fall, then scouting them in person as well as more tape

    2) it seemed pretty clear that Whaley and his staff were the lamest of lame ducks after McDermott was hired.  And plainly put, McDermott wasn't going to hitch his wagon to a QB selected by a lame duck scouting staff/GM (or to snippits of leaked information from the Panthers, for that matter).

     

    You're correct that the roster had plenty of talent in 2016 and that McDermott/Beane in part created the 2018 salary cap situation they have complained of.

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 29 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

    We think Whaley moved up and picked Zay Jones in the second though when MCD was in the restroom…

     

    C'mon Man

     

    McDermott hired Zay Jones college coach to be the Bills WR coach.  He wanted his guy.

     

     

    17 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

    I'm not defending him by any means, but he wasn't surrounded by the best folks in Buffalo in terms of Nix, Brandon, previous scouting department, etc. Also let's not forget he was here during McD's first draft so you have to give him some credit for White, Milano and Dawkins who remain key pieces of this current team and culture.

     

    Unclear how much credit Whaley gets for that draft.  The rumor is McDermott may have used Panthers scouting info, and that Whaley built the board but McDermott made the picks.

     

    Be that as it may, Whaley was (and probably is) a decent talent evaluator IMO.   Building a team, salary cap management etc - maybe not so much.

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  6. 10 hours ago, RobbRiddick said:

    Never get tired of watching Josh Allen p*rn

     

    Well then here ya go, Friend!  Have some more of it!
     

     

    One of the cool things about the 4 year compliation you posted is that I was watching and thinking "oh, they missed the Renegade deep throw to John Brown...oh they missed this, oh, they missed that...." a lot of highlights they didn't have room for!

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  7. 1 minute ago, Zerovoltz said:

    I hope Karlaftis is a great player, but as mentioned in this thread...it's damn hard to find good DE (espeically pass rushers) beyond the top 15 or so in round 1.  The body and skill set is just hard to come by.  

     

    Someone mentioned Creed Humphey was in the Bills laps and they took Basham instead.  .....that, in hindsight was a mistake, but the point that 2nd round project DE types, just don't offer a good ROI.  If you aren't taking one high, then there almost isn't any point.  IOL...WAY BETTER ROI in mid rounds on those guys.


    Of course with Rousseau, the Bills were wagering maybe they got a guy who woulda gone top 15 if he played and just needed some seasoning.  
     

    Basham I’m not sure of their logic, like Epenesa.  Just have to hope 1 of the 2 pans out.  I would have preferred Humphrey for sure esp if they thought he could play guard

  8. 8 hours ago, SCBills said:

    I’d feel a lot more comfortable at TE if Wydermyer beats out Sweeney.  Sweeney had a chance this past year, specifically Jax, and was a disaster.  Last year of his deal.. he doesn’t seem to show TE2 potential. 

     

    I had very high hopes for Sweeney coming out of his draft but basically, This.  It's not an anomaly that our run game improved when we made Sweeney inactive and started using Tommy Doyle to block as TE2

    • Agree 2
  9. 6 hours ago, BillsMafi$ said:

     

     

    Doing what?

     

    1 hour ago, RocCityRoller said:

    A lot of people deal with a lot of terrible things in life. You may be surprised the things some people on this board have been able to overcome.

    Loss ends up being a big part of all people's lives. Some folks face it earlier than others, or in concentrated clusters.

    MD faced a lot of loss in a very short span, early in life, and I can sympathize with that.

     

    Maybe MD was too young/ proud/ hurt at the moment to take the help offered. He would not be the first man to do so and he won't be the last.

    But at some point a person is responsible for their own actions.

    No one is laughing at his losses, just his poor decisions and their outcomes.

     

    This

     

    I remember at one point it was reported that Marcell Dareus had left the team to go into some kind of rehab

    Then IIRC he was pictured night-clubbing on Chippewa in his Captain's Hat and it turned out he'd visited with Bruce Smith for a bit

     

    No rehab, no focused effort

     

    As you say - at some point a person is responsible for their choices and actions

     

    A lot of these guys come from rough backgrounds and have a lot of loss and trauma around them as they are growing up and afterwards.  I don't say that to minimize MD's tragedies but just to put in perspective

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  10. 21 hours ago, Doc said:

    I wouldn’t say that just because the Bills didn’t take a WR at 23, that they didn’t invest in offense. Maybe some are short-term investments, but they’re investments just the same. 


    Did the Bills sign FA on offense and use draft picks on offense, sure

     

    But it’s like 2 brothers where parents give one a Rolex and one a Timex.  They both were given watches, but the investment is a little different between the two

  11. 23 minutes ago, Richard Noggin said:

     

    The bolded might make sense if we only look at a 2021 game or two when Williams struggled mightily at TACKLE. We all remember the replay of him not even coming out of his stance as the DE (I cannot place the exact game/situation as I type this...and on the internet I still like to look as smart or stupid as I'd be in person) tore past him. I suspect there are some unseen contributions (injury, if I recall?) to that REALLY bad look. Overall, though, his performance at GUARD was at least replacement level, if not better. 

     

    TBH when you  get a play where an OLman doesn't come out of his stance, it's typically  IMO a communication breakdown where he didn't get the snap count, and there are lots of places where the communication can break down.

     

    I could be wrong, maybe someone has PFF's take on it, but I thought at guard Williams was decent in pass protection and couldn't get 'er done in the run game.

     

    That's sort of the Anti-Saffold where he was all-pro level in the run game and struggled in pass protection.

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  12. 17 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

     

    I wouldn't doubt that figure but it's kind of a throw away stat.

     

    As Beane said........they wanted to be able to play more press-man.

     

    The key to their defense is their ability to disguise coverages........34% some-kinda'-man is still low enough to merely be part of the designed confusion.........especially when you are often playing with enormous leads as the highest point differential team in the NFL.

     

    And with moderate exposure they've had great success in the past with press man even...........I remember when Kevin Johnson was here he ranked #1 or close to it in press man success rate.    That certainly wasn't because he was Jalen Ramsey-esque.

     

    The disguise improves the success of ALL coverages.........if the pass rush is on time and forces quick throws.

     

    But if the rush isn't there,  then it becomes athlete vs athlete in coverage.

     

    They drafted Elam, IMO because they want to be able to rely less on disguise and instead be able to matchup better when they run into that combination of elite QB/elite receiving talent but also an offense that doesn't let them get to the passer in a timely fashion.

     

    All of the investment in pass rush and now the "traits" add at CB are basically the Bills trying to create a defense, on paper at least, that doesn't have any inherent vulnerability.

     

    Whether that degree of effort/investment is worthwhile at the expense of offensive investment is questionable.  

     

    FWIW, the person who provided the stat here (I believe they said it was from the Joe Marino Locked on Bills podcast) said it was 8th highest in the league.  I would assume it was higher prior to Tre White's injury and lower afterwards.  The highest man-% team in the league was 40-something IIRC.  I'll see if I can find the post where the guy talked about it, later on.

    Anyway the point is, the Bills are thought of as a heavy zone-coverage team but actually do play man on 1 out of 3 snaps and are top-10 in use of man coverage.  I thought that was interesting.

     

    Obviously agree with your valid points about "designed confusion" and how the disguise improves the success of all coverage, provided the pass rush gets home.

     

    As stated elsewhere, I have no quarrel with the Bills use of a mild trade-up and a late 1st round pick for a CB.   CB do fall into the "high 2nd contract" premium player class as witnessed by the fact Tre currently has the highest cap hit on the Bills and will be 4th next season, after QB, WR, and Edge; the caveat "if he develops as they hope" applies to all first round picks, including QB, WR, Edge and DT.

    But I also agree about the possible negative impact from overall lack of offensive investment year after year.  I don't think it matters if we don't spend a 1st on offense this year or last year.  But it matters if the overall investment, in FA & high draft picks, is lower on the offensive side of the ball, and so far it is LOPsided.  I'm especially worried about the line.

     

     

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  13. 14 hours ago, MrEpsYtown said:

     

    I tend to agree. I just don't think they are going to use a fullback at all. JMO, but that 15% snap count rate is likely to be more like 0-5%. If they do keep him it will be all about special teams. 

     

    Let me add that if I did a 53 projection right now, Gilliam would likely be on it. I think it just depends on what happens with these tight ends and how many Dorsey plans on using. 

     

    I don't know what they plan going forward, but a note that Gilliam got 20% of the snaps the last 2 reg season games and 34% against NE in the playoffs, 25% vs KC.  That argues a guy they were starting to depend upon more at the end of the season.

     

    Didn't we use a fullback in our run game when Kromer was here before?  Boobie Dixon and Jerome Felton?

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  14. 21 minutes ago, Mister Defense said:

    Pretty shocked that Beasley has not signed somewhere else by now.  May be because of the vaccination controversy.  But I am glad that, so far, he is not a weapon for one of the other young guns, like Herbert, Burrow, Watson, and even Tua.

     

    I"m surprised myself.

     

    I could be wrong but I doubt it's because of controversy.  He deleted his twitter and stopped his fan callouts and stuff.

     

    My best guess would be it's a combination of price point and perceived value, with maybe some pickiness mixed in. 

     

    I double Beasley wants to take a 1 yr contract at or near vet minimum.  Teams around the league may perceive his value as lower due to declining stats in several categories.  Then there may be some teams that have offered, and Beasley doesn't want to play for that QB or OC.

     

    Miami paid the big bucks to sign Tyreek Hill, regarded as the best slot in the league by some and Man, can he rack up the YAC

    Chargers have Keenan Allen, regarded as the best slot in the league by more.

    Bengals have Tyler Boyd, who they're paying $10M this season at age 27.  Not sure why they'd need an aging Beas

     

    Stefanski has traditionally operated a run-first offense, unclear how it will change with Watson

     

     

  15. On 5/4/2022 at 10:40 AM, BADOLBILZ said:

     

     

    Yep.   

     

    And if they actually become a more multiple defense........capable of going back and forth from heavy zone to a lot of press-man usage based on opponent.........then Elam is a premium position pick.

     

    If that defensive plan fails and they end up having to stick with what worked well with Levi...........even if Elam plays fine in zone concepts, and it's hard to say if he will because he didn't do it much at Florida...............then it becomes a question of whether they invested a $20M kinda' personnel chip into a guy at a position they could have filled with a journeyman type.

     

    The Bills reportedly played man 34% of the defensive snaps last season - 8th in the league. 

    Hard to see them adding Elam and playing less.

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