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aristocrat

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Everything posted by aristocrat

  1. take a look at the trafalgar group polls. they predicted the 2016 election. they have trump winning arizona, wisconsin, michigan , florida, n carolina but losing pa.
  2. now do the polls where except for pa its a percent or two in each direction. within margin of error
  3. that's not exactly true. why do you think the left changed their tune on the protests and riots and suddenly stopped covering them? cause it was hurting their polls. trump is up or at least even in idaho. he's managed to tighten up even the left leaning polls in those battleground states. coinflips or he is winning in the southeast, zona and idaho. pa is the one it could come down to if he keeps his momentum going in those states. it doesn't matter what he does if he cant close pa unless he pulls wisconsin or mich
  4. if trump wins zona, Florida Georgia NC, Ohio pa he wins. Do the math
  5. it’s a toss up in Florida zona, NC is within a point on the site you posted. Georgia as well. He’s got work to do in pa for sure
  6. I’m familiar with the map. Trump wins zona. The southeast and Idaho on that map which is all pretty likely imo. Pa is the one he needs to flip. If he can’t it’s over for him
  7. democrats lead in early voting every election. Trump will win NC, Florida, ga, oh etc. comes down to if he can flip pa and Biden didn’t do himself favors tonight. It’s gonna be tight. Remember there is that silent voter like in 2016.
  8. polls are tight. Comes down to Pennsylvania most likely. Wins there and he is president
  9. Joe gonna head back home until election night now.
  10. I never called them predators...but in fact he did call them that. Yikes
  11. Trump is killing Biden
  12. Javon Hargrove might be worth a call. Signed as a free agent with a 3.5 mil cap hit this year but then it’s 15 mil going forward.
  13. Dems have spent four years spewing Russia’s bs and now literal evidence giving them the Roman helmet and they’re like. Don’t see it. Not happening
  14. Most famous case is jeter. Never paid nys tax cause he had a Florida residency. New York tried to sue him and got laughed out of court. Yes they pay some local taxes on game checks but that’s why bonuses get paid early in the year outside of season thus not taxed by the teams state. Unless of course they reside there.
  15. it depends where is home residence is which might be alabama where he's from. if that's the case he pays their tax rate. especially with covid this year i'd imagine he stayed down their for most of the year.
  16. you get him on a rookie deal for 2.5 seasons and then the fifth year option. comes into a great system. beane needs to make this move.
  17. someone mentioned it yesterday and people flamed him. damn beane needs to go for the move. this team needs a playoff run
  18. 4-0. defense gets it together.
  19. so is there something going on in the room right now?
  20. that's bidens son's business partner who is now cooperating and confirming the biden story.
  21. none. but is what i said true?
  22. for years the entire dem party has been trying to lock up the trump family and now suddenly it's wrong to say political rivals should be jailed. got it
  23. Now apparently hunter has texts admitting he is child sex offender. Nudes of 14 year old girls. Jesus Christ
  24. The jets should fire gase. Then tell teams...look what happened with tannehill after he left Miami give us your offers for Sam. Indy, San Fran, minny? Would they give a first? Jets then have three firsts to start loading around Lawrence. But I hope they won’t
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