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I got the under. The defense has improved and last year's numbers were inflated by our 3 blowout losses. 

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Updated my numbers and over the past 3 years the only team with a defense more bipolar than ours is the Texans. Opponents scored 14.7 PPG against us in wins which is good for 7th in the league, and opponents scored 31.0 PPG against us in losses which is good for DFL 32nd.

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