Jump to content

Mike Lombardi on the Draft


norton20

Recommended Posts

 

Of course you would.

 

So would anybody who is a head coach or GM. You want them yesterday.

 

The catch is that if you have to make an accurate assessment about which guy to get and whether or not that guy will be good enough. If you over-reach for a guy by drafting one in the first who doesn't pan out - then you haven't just wasted a first round draft pick - you have also wasted the opportunity cost of the guy you would have drafted there instead of your miss. You can't afford to miss in the first round - especially a team like the Bills.

 

If they select either Watson or Mahomes, what would that be considered, a 10-15 pick reach by most experts? By almost all accounts both are now considered 1st round picks and none will last past the Texans at #25.

 

Considering that NFL QB is by far the most important position in all of sports, I think the 10-15 pick "reach" assessment no longer has any base in reality.

 

It starts to come down to if they think that the guy has a realistic chance (probably 50% chance or above) in a year or two to become a franchise QB. That's what I think the bar is set at.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 65
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

 

"Who have the potential to be significant upgrades over TT."

 

Wishy washy weak and meaningless statement. You could say that about any QB in college about any quarterback in the NFL not named Tom Brady.

 

That is not how the coaches will decide if and when to replace TT with a guy. They are more likely going on the basis of "Is there a guy we are confident is going to be better"

 

See that is the difference. If you replace your phrase "has potential to be a significant upgrade" with "we are confident he is going to be an upgrade" - all of a sudden you are left scratching your head about the guys in the draft right now.

 

And the reason those coaches likely aren't all that confident is because Tyrod is as good as he is - whether people want to admit it or not. If the coaches were comparing those college QB's to someone like EJ - it would be a no brainer. They would probably take a handful or more of these prospects over EJ.

 

Having a decent Qb that is tough to find a replacement for is not a bad thing. It means your team is going in the right direction in terms of acquiring upgraded talent.

 

If Sean McDermott really believes in Tyrod Taylor he will have a very short head coaching stint with the Buffalo Bills. Tyrod Taylor is just not good enough. His limited ability to pass the ball is magnified in critical situations such as 2 minute drives and close games in the 4th quarter. This is where games are won and Tyrod doesn't win here. He needs to be protected by a strong running game and favorable down and distance throws. His QB rating is a product of a QB that does not make enough plays in the passing game. He struggles with YAC, and is one of the worst in the NFL at getting his receivers additional yards after they catch it.

 

Doug Whaley gets a lot of grief here but I side with Doug and not the new coach.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

If Sean McDermott really believes in Tyrod Taylor he will have a very short head coaching stint with the Buffalo Bills. Tyrod Taylor is just not good enough. His limited ability to pass the ball is magnified in critical situations such as 2 minute drives and close games in the 4th quarter. This is where games are won and Tyrod doesn't win here. He needs to be protected by a strong running game and favorable down and distance throws. His QB rating is a product of a QB that does not make enough plays in the passing game. He struggles with YAC, and is one of the worst in the NFL at getting his receivers additional yards after they catch it.

 

Doug Whaley gets a lot of grief here but I side with Doug and not the new coach.

Like the second Miami game. SMH He did win that game with less than two minutes. Too bad the ST and the defense stunk up the joint.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The interest to me in the article, wasn't the assessment of the various players coming out, although there was a tidbit or two in there, but rather from the perspective of the approach to the draft.

 

No worrying overly about which slot someone should be taken at, more a concentration on whether or not the kid can play, and if so, how long will it take for him to start. Which will define whereabouts, roughly, you are prepared to take him. Also, due to the approach taken, and the desire to have guys who are belived to fit the systems played, the board becomes very 'whittled down', making decisions a lot easier to take.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

If Sean McDermott really believes in Tyrod Taylor he will have a very short head coaching stint with the Buffalo Bills. Tyrod Taylor is just not good enough. His limited ability to pass the ball is magnified in critical situations such as 2 minute drives and close games in the 4th quarter. This is where games are won and Tyrod doesn't win here. He needs to be protected by a strong running game and favorable down and distance throws. His QB rating is a product of a QB that does not make enough plays in the passing game. He struggles with YAC, and is one of the worst in the NFL at getting his receivers additional yards after they catch it.

 

Doug Whaley gets a lot of grief here but I side with Doug and not the new coach.

Taylor was brought in to manage a strong running game and have a strong defense. The defense was the big let down. A top ten scoring offense is good enough to make the playoffs. he was never supposed to be a HOF or elite QB, but he is good enough for a playoff push if the team around him is good. This organization will probably never again have a HOF or elite QB. They don't grow on trees.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The interest to me in the article, wasn't the assessment of the various players coming out, although there was a tidbit or two in there, but rather from the perspective of the approach to the draft.

 

No worrying overly about which slot someone should be taken at, more a concentration on whether or not the kid can play, and if so, how long will it take for him to start. Which will define whereabouts, roughly, you are prepared to take him. Also, due to the approach taken, and the desire to have guys who are belived to fit the systems played, the board becomes very 'whittled down', making decisions a lot easier to take.

 

Yes. This.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...