quinnearlysghost88 Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 What are the sheer odds of losing to the eventual NFC Superbowl team for the past seven years?! 2006 — Loss @ Chicago, 40-7 2007 — Loss v. NY Giants, 38-21 2008 — Loss @ Arizona, 41-17 2009 — Loss v. New Orleans, 27-7 2010 — Loss @ Green Bay, 34-7 2011 — Loss @ NY Giants, 27-24 2012 — Loss @ San Fran 45-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkington Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 Every year we play 25% of the NFC. Every year we suck. So it's not super crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoSaint Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 Its 1 in 4 any given year that we play them. Given they are a good team and we are a bad team the odds of that actually being a loss are pretty good. if you are an AFC east team, the way the nfc has rotated exactly along the way we rotate which division we play means that all 4 AFCE squads have atleast played the NFC representative all those years. Every year we play 25% of the NFC. Every year we suck. So it's not super crazy. yea really the odd part is that the NFC representative has followed North, East, West, South, North, East, West.... and this year very well could be south (atlanta has good odds, and saints wouldnt be crazy though i dont think they have the defense and injuries hit hard) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rinlo Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 That is why my money was on SF to make the SB last year, and it is on ATL this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
quinnearlysghost88 Posted August 16, 2013 Author Share Posted August 16, 2013 Its 1 in 4 any given year that we play them. Given they are a good team and we are a bad team the odds of that actually being a loss are pretty good. if you are an AFC east team, the way the nfc has rotated exactly along the way we rotate which division we play means that all 4 AFCE squads have atleast played the NFC representative all those years. yea really the odd part is that the NFC representative has followed North, East, West, South, North, East, West.... and this year very well could be south (atlanta has good odds, and saints wouldnt be crazy though i dont think they have the defense and injuries hit hard) I mean it's not JUST the 1 in 4 aspect. It's getting the division where the superbowl team HAPPENS to be in and then losing to that team. And then that happening SEVEN years in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkington Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 yea really the odd part is that the NFC representative has followed North, East, West, South, North, East, West.... and this year very well could be south (atlanta has good odds, and saints wouldnt be crazy though i dont think they have the defense and injuries hit hard) Indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeHateMe Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 At least they are consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkington Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 I mean it's not JUST the 1 in 4 aspect. It's getting the division where the superbowl team HAPPENS to be in and then losing to that team. And then that happening SEVEN years in a row. The AFC East has played those same teams. The Pats, Jets and Dolphins have all been good within the last seven years. We have not. So it's really not that far fetched other than the whole division facing the eventual NFC champs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoSaint Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 (edited) I mean it's not JUST the 1 in 4 aspect. It's getting the division where the superbowl team HAPPENS to be in and then losing to that team. And then that happening SEVEN years in a row. right, like i said, we follow a set rotation of divisions, so its odd that the nfc has rotated its representative so consistently around the conference. all 4 AFCE teams can claim having to play the NFC super bowl team the last 7 years. a team that hasnt made the playoffs in over a decade losing to a team that is super bowl caliber is probably pretty high odds... super bowl teams are good, we were bad.... by statistics alone, you wouldnt think we would be so awful for so long though. Edited August 16, 2013 by NoSaint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkington Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 right, like i said, we follow a set rotation of divisions, so its odd that the nfc has rotated its representative so consistently around the conference. all 4 AFCE teams can claim having to play the NFC super bowl team the last 7 years. a team that hasnt made the playoffs in over a decade losing to a team that is super bowl caliber is probably pretty high odds... super bowl teams are good, we were bad.... by statistics alone, you wouldnt think we would be so awful for so long though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoSaint Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 i know, i hated writing it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cereal Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 NE*, NYJ, and MIA have all played them in those years as well.... how did they all fare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoSaint Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 NE*, NYJ, and MIA have all played them in those years as well.... how did they all fare? i can confirm that new england also lost to the giants two of those years that put a smile back on my face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkington Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 (edited) Records: San Fran - 4-0 NYG (2011) - 4-0 Green Bay - 2-2 (Miami & NE wins) New Orleans - 4-0 Arizona - 2-2 (NYJ & NE wins) NYG (2007) - 3-1 (NE wins) Chicago - 2-2 (Miami and NE wins) i can confirm that new england also lost to the giants two of those years that put a smile back on my face. You mean 4 times (over those two years) Edited August 16, 2013 by Dorkington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
l< j Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 Assuming wikipedia is accurate: 2006, Bears beat Jets, lost to P*ts and Phins 2007, Giants beat Jets and Phins, lost to P*ts 2008, Arizona beat Phins, lost to P*ts and Jets 2009, NO swept the division 2010, GB beat the Jets and Bills, lost to P*ts and Phins 2011, Giants swept the division 2012, SF swept the division 2013, ? Except for 2008, the Jets performed the same. kj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoSaint Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 You mean 4 times (over those two years) yea but 2 of them made me especially happy. i think were on the same page with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chandler#81 Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 Interesting stuff, indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
You herd it hear last Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 What are the sheer odds of losing to the eventual NFC Superbowl team for the past seven years?! I'm no mathematician, but the odds are still better than the Bills winning all those games Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chilly Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 What are the sheer odds of losing to the eventual NFC Superbowl team for the past seven years?! 2006 — Loss @ Chicago, 40-7 2007 — Loss v. NY Giants, 38-21 2008 — Loss @ Arizona, 41-17 2009 — Loss v. New Orleans, 27-7 2010 — Loss @ Green Bay, 34-7 2011 — Loss @ NY Giants, 27-24 2012 — Loss @ San Fran 45-3 If you assume that schedules are random enough to be called random, and that the Bills had 0% chance to win this game, the chance is (1/4)^7, or 1/16384. If you think the Bills had a 50% chance to win the game, the odds of each one are then ((1/4)(1/2))^7 which is 1/2097152. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchmurraydowntown Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 The Bills have lost way too much, this needs to change now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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