BillsVet
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Posts posted by BillsVet
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Calm down Francis.
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Jerry didn't want to have to find another guy who wouldn't challenge him and was just happy being the Dallas Cowboys HC. He had one already.
McCarthy gets to keep his job, Jerry still makes all the big decisions, and the fans have to take it.
Someone will be tossed aside (Dan Quinn come on down) and welcome to the show that never ends...Dallas Cowboys suckitude. I couldn't be happier.
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29 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:
I haven't seen anybody claim we won a Super Bowl this year
this is strictly an analysis of Beane
Winning off-seasons according to homers still doesn't mean squat. Nor does winning off-season awards when you keep losing in the divisional round.
Maybe that changes this year. Maybe it doesn't. It still doesn't remove the fact that, in light of their goal this year winning the SB, celebration of any executive is premature at this time.
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People taking the victory lap before the race has ended. Usually not a good idea because it can blow up in your face especially when the objective this season was the SB.
11-6 with 5 straight wins ain't the SB.
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Who cares?
Go read a book or exercise because it's not worth the mental energy demanding talking heads repent.
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Funny thing about turnovers...
The two teams to lead the league in turnover differential?
Baltimore and the New York Giants at +19. And the next 3 teams? New Orleans, Pittsburgh, and Cincinnati.
Maybe turnover differential ain't that big a deal as people are led to believe. But what is a big deal and a guaranteed way to not make the playoffs is when your franchise QB is out for the season.
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3 hours ago, FireChans said:
Josh slamming into defense > Josh throwing an inexplicable pick.
Comparison has to be having a healthy Josh > an injured Josh.
Josh has thrown too many picks, but there hasn't been much discussion of how several other NFL QB's have upped their number of picks. Hurts had 15, Mahomes had 14, and Tua had 14.
Real question is, are throwing a couple more INT's over the course of the season better than having a guy moderately to significantly degraded physically at 30?
And what can the franchise do to make the passing game better, provided that Josh is preparing appropriately?
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I credit the team for rebounding from 6-6 after the Philly game and winning their final 5 to earn the 2nd seed and a home playoff game (hopefully more) this weekend.
At the same time, you can't help but see that Josh is needed to run the ball down the stretch more each season, particularly after or into their normal mid-season swoon. Either by design or when receivers may not be open - far too much Josh has is still carrying the ball and under all 3 coordinators they've had:
Under Daboll:
2020: Buffalo entered week 9 at 7-2, finished 6-1, with Josh averaging 5.5 runs to earn the second seed. (No games with more than 10 carries)
2021: Buffalo entered week 9 at 5-3, finished 6-3, with Josh averaging 7.2 runs to earn the third seed. (3 of last 5 games with 10 carries)
Under Dorsey:
2022: Buffalo entered week 9 at 6-2, finished 7-1, with Josh averaging 7.8 runs to earn the second seed. (3 of last 6 games with 10 carries)
Under first under Dorsey, then Brady:
2023: Entered week 9 at 5-3, finished 6-3, with Josh averaging 8.3 runs to earn the second seed. (3 of last 5 games with 10 or more carries)
Maybe they'll finally re-look their offensive identity, personnel decisions, and play-calling this off-season to avoid needing to do this. Until then, they're going to rely on Josh carrying the offense again in the playoffs.
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1 hour ago, BADOLBILZ said:
It's very simple at this point...........the #1 job of an NFL personnel department is to make your QB look good.
That's what changes seasons. Not safety play. That's relative minutia.
The Bills have not done nearly as much as they should have in regard to supporting Allen with WR talent and we see the results with an offense that can't function properly without Allen running. I believe the running has taken a toll on his game with regard to technique and accuracy. I think some of that is on his own preparation but the WR1 of this team going forward is not a "should" address........it's a "must" address.
McBeane have used almost as much RD1/2 draft value to acquire Josh as they did on offense in those rounds from 2018-2022. They went Edmunds, Oliver, Ford, traded for Diggs, Epenesa, Rousseau, Basham, Elam, and Cook.
My concern is McD gets his way again and because they used their 2023 on Kincaid, figure they can go back to defense in 2024.
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8 hours ago, Governor said:
You don’t need an elite QB, but you do need your QB, however good he is, to have an elite playoff run or season.
Hurts, a pretty crappy QB, had an elite season and almost won. In a way, he did choke that game away at the end. Eagles offense got stuffed, KC got the punt return, game was over.
Every time subjects like this are brought up, they're presented as some sort of binary issue. As in, you do or don't need an elite QB.
You need an elite one who is surrounded by excellent talent...especially in the playoffs.
The Eagles with Jalen Hurts lost in the SB to the team with a better QB AND offense last year. Brock Purdy comes to mind this year, a competent QB with top-end skilled talent and solid blocking. That will take you far, but in the 2023 NFL, it's no SB guarantee. See the 2019 San Francisco 49ers...perhaps the league's best defense that gave up 21 straight points in the 2nd half to an elite offense and lost that SB.
That said, Buffalo seems to have had a plan for this franchise in 2017-18 that is largely the same today. They succeeded in acquiring the QB, but still want to feature an elite defense as though that will carry them. It might for some games in the regular season, but come playoff time it's victimized.
They finally add a legit WR2 and WR3 who are threats and this team can go places. Of course, that'll mean not having everything on defense, but it's a net gain. I doubt they'll ever begin favoring the offense though. Perhaps the Bills start getting it right, but they need a course correction with where this franchise is going.
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Buffalo is one of the older teams in the league and they've played 72 games since the 2020 opener.
What's funny is the people who get worked with the woe is us mentality that guys are getting hurt on defense. Most of the ones who missed significant time (Miller, D. Jones, Hyde, Poyer, Milano) play positions where contact happens frequently. And with so many games played, it should be expected given the snaps. I think that's why McD insists on having so many high picks and vet UFA's on his DL.
I'll never understand why McD insists on trying to keep a defense together, including that DL. The Seahawks had an excellent defense 10-11 years ago and within 3-4 seasons that was no more.
The most sustainable way to continue winning is building an elite offense in this NFL era. That compared to retaining and acquiring parts to doing so across an entire defense is counter-productive for several reasons, notably, because it draws from what they could be doing on offense.
Ironically, their 5 OL starters all have taken over 90% of the snaps this season. They've been fortunate there and I hope it remains the case.
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57 minutes ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:
What might have been arguably the 3 biggest stars on the defense were lost for the season or are yet to recover
Imagine a full tilt Von, Tre and Milano out there with this current cast.
There isn't 1 team in the league after 16 weeks who hasn't dealt with injuries. Every single guy is banged up because it's the NFL. Just because they aren't on the injury report means (EDIT: doesn't mean) they're healthy. The idea that a team can go a full season without a significant injury is pie in the sky nonsense.
44 minutes ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:I’m coming around to accepting maybe he’s more Cam Newton than Tom Brady or Aaron Rodgers.
Frustrating- it all seems so mental and fixable.
Maybe the biggest weakness of TBD is most Bills fans aren't following the league, or do so through reading headlines.
As all of this debate around Josh happens, what happened to Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs? He's not the passer this season he was in 2020, or 2022 for that matter. What could have changed? Is he not taking the game seriously? Could it be the Chiefs stopped investing in top-end receiving targets and teams are better suited to defending them? Nah, couldn't be.
Or what about Jalen Hurts and the Eagles? He's thrown double the INT's this year (EDIT: compared to last year) and the Eagles are struggling.
Maybe, just maybe it's a confluence of factors. As in, teams having more film on these guys and defenses adapt or the coaching staff isn't innovative and going with the same old old, or they are dealing with injuries or they didn't have great skilled talent. It's never just one thing.
Josh has had some issues, sure. But they're back running him and expecting him to get by with inferior skill talent around him as well.
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10 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:
Brady hasn't had a WR1 in his brief tenure but he's getting to use and abuse Josh Allen, which wasn't the case for Dorsey this season.
That isn't getting media coverage either.
The reigns on Allen running really didn't come off until after Dorsey got fired.
In the last 5 games Allen has had 8 rushing TD's........that's a 29 TD season pace. To put that in perspective he had 31 rushing TD's in his first 4 seasons total. There is some tush push stuff in there of course but when Allen is running it opens up things.........but the toll may also be harming him as a passer. His mechanics have turned to sh!t with Brady as OC instead of QBC and his accuracy the past two weeks in particular has been woeful.
I still don't know what their offensive identity is under McD in his 7 years, multiple 4 OC's, and all while featuring for the last 4 years one of the best QBs in the league.
HC talks about not wanting to run Josh, but in crunch time needing to win multiple games, they go right back to it. We'll never know it, but I've often wondered if Pegula asks his HC why they put their 43M per QB into harms way so often.
Serious conversation needs to be had about whether McD is a good steward of what he's been given, particularly this QB.
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4 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:
And they are going to need it if they are only going to pass for 150-200 yards per game and lean on the defense.
And if the defense struggles, I doubt they'll be able to adjust the offense in-game to make up for the passing game decline.
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13 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:
But also, Brady has killed the pass game in general. Everybody but Cook looks worse in the pass game with Brady than they had with Dorsey. The sample size is just small enough and people are still feeling sated about the Dorsey firing that they haven't gotten around to their pitchforks just yet.
On the broadcast, they showed the run-pass play-calling between the 2 OC's. Dorsey was 46% run to 54%...but Brady is 53 to 47 in his 6 games.
Looking at current defensive ranks, Dorsey faced 6 teams ranked in the bottom third of (EDIT: pass defenses) and only twice ran it more than 50%. Brady's faced mostly mid-ranked (EDIT: pass) defenses and run it 50% or more 4 times.
Brady's delivering on the HC's desire for a balanced and safer offense, but they're more predictable. Of course, the passing game would be better if they'd invest in WR's more, but almost no one knew Gabe and their group of WR3-5 would disappoint.
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1 hour ago, C.Biscuit97 said:
There was some narrative early in the season that Allen was surrounded by bums. Josh is our best player and a top 3 qb but can we finally argee that there is legit good talent on this offense?
- one of the most improved (and honestly one of the best o lines in the nfl)
- a top 5 receiver
- a top 5 rb who is breaking out big time
- a 1st round TE who is emerging as one of the best receiving TEs in the nfl
obviously, Allen is the star but can we finally admit this is a really good group around him? How many groups are better? SF, Philly, Miami, and maybe Detroit?
Allen's supporting cast was not characterized as "bums" which is just a hyperbolic statement. The comparison was to teams like CIN, KC, and PHI he didn't have the skilled talent at WR/TE.
I wouldn't characterize Kincaid as "one of the best receiving TE's in the NFL." He's averaging 8 yards per catch, good for 112th in the league among WR and TE. As advertised, his hands are excellent but he's not top tier yet.
Also shouldn't go unsaid that the OL playing well is a major factor, but skilled receivers are not all that.
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Mike Stivic on All in the Family. And still a meathead decades later.
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17 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:
To be fair, we won't win anything because his defenses have crapped the bed in every single game the Bills have been eliminated in in the playoffs in the JA era. Doesn't really have much to do with how the offense plays. Although this was a game that the weather and Dallas' league worst run defense dictated a heavy dose of the Bills run game. Meanwhile, google how the Bengals defense has OVERPERFORMED their regular season performances every postseason.
BUT I'll hold out hope still that the stars will align and the Bills win won with the current coach/QB duo.
2019- outscored 19-0 in the second half including letting the Texans convert 2/2 on 2 point conversions.
2020- give up 38 to the Chiefs
2021- give up 42 to the Chiefs
2022- give up 27 to the Bengals after letting them open the game with two straight TD's which basically has happened the last three times we've played the Bengals.
When it works that offensive game plan with motivated players is great.Paired with a defense that then gets to play downhill an opponent is forced to throw (Edit: into that zone).
Getting all these elements to go this way is challenging.
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1 hour ago, Simon said:
PM: "One of the worst f'ing calls I've ever seen"
JA: "What?"
PM: "Offensive Offside...<?Kermit noises?>. F'ing terrible"
Did he expect sympathy from JA on that field after that result?
Because I'm pretty sure that Josh is walking away not giving a rip about his whining.
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1 hour ago, BBFL said:
hold on a second mate… it doesn’t take a “talking head” to let someone see the Von signing not paying the dividend it should. Guy is getting up there in playing age and the tape shows that after coming back from his injury, even if the claim people make of “only being 75% back to himself”, he can be not existent. His stats the past 3 years show a decline in sacks; 8/9.5/8, average. Especially for a 6/$120m with a buyout in 2025 for $52.4m.
I'm not aware of any fans here who are paying Miller's salary. If there are and now that investment is struggling, I'd like to know. I'll predict people will point to this move for why they're in cap trouble which is wrong.
Besides, hindsight is 20/20. Most of the fans here complaining about the 2023 (before the DV issue) Miller were championing him coming to Buffalo in March 2022. For many, their collective Bills inferiority complex highlighted this signing as evidence the Bills could attract name UFA's.
Now, those same people complain that he's not worth it. Well, which is it? I don't expect people to announce their own mea culpa because that'd require wiping the egg off their face.
And if you're still clenching your fists, then blame McBeane for prioritizing the pass rush at this cost. The player was performing before the injury.
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The game changes fast and comparisons to the 60s, 90s, or even 2010s are irrelevant now. This is a win-now league and certain teams with franchise QB's get after that goal with greater urgency than others. Doesn't mean make reactionary moves, only that those who play it safe end up losing.
It's why the people here (prior to the DV issue) ragging on Buffalo for signing Von Miller are just following talking heads' opinions. Because prior to 2021, the Bills had a pass rush issue not featuring a guy who could get to the QB consistently. Had no issue with the Miller signing. Or, when it came time to draft a QB they went with the most physically gifted guy. You take controlled risks within your plan.
We've seen Josh make plays in the playoffs that should have won at least 1 game. He's not perfect and this off-season needs to get his mindset sharpened. But the weak link in Buffalo is the HC who, at crucial times falls short all too often.
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This will probably start like some of the European soccer teams do playing 1-2 games in North America before the season.
The US fan base is pretty much what it is and there's not a lot of room for growth. So, like any corporate initiative, they'll look for emerging markets and believe Europe/South America/Asia represent that. Not surprising.
What I'm interested in is how the NFLPA addresses initiatives like this. They eventually caved on 17 games and likely will when 18 is up for consideration. Seems like they get pushed around now by the owners in a way that Gene Upshaw never would have allowed. NFLPA strikes me as just controlled opposition now, bending to owners' desire for revenue with token resistance.
18 games is coming and so are more international games. Also means more injuries, shorter careers, and lower quality games. Have to wonder when the players start pushing back on their weak union.
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8 hours ago, damj said:
His open letters to fans are great he wears his emotions on his sleeve like so many of us
Sometimes that's not the best way. Doing it all the time wears a person out I would suspect.
I see plenty of emotion on the field lead to unnecessary penalties.
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1 hour ago, TheyCallMeAndy said:
I’ll name some highlights: 2017 and 2018 was light, but any success we were going to have with washed up Tyrod and rookie Josh was through the defense and run game, I assume we can both agree on that.
2019: Signed John Brown and Cole Beasley. Took a gamble with Ty Nseke who wound up being the swing tackle. Signed Frank Gore to be the #2. Tyler Kroft to be the 1a TE. Signed Mitch Morse. Only defensive FA addition was Kevin Johnson, depth guy. After going Ed Oliver in round one, they went OT (Cody ford), RB (Devin Singletary), and TE (Dawson Knox) in the second and third rounds. 2019 was an offense heavy offseason.
2020: Far more balanced after a very offensive heavy 2019. Team signed 6 defensive players (Mario Addison and AJ Klein only starters), but still added starting OG Quinton Spain, starting RT Daryl Williams, RB Twain Jones for depth. OH and they traded for that Stephon Diggs dude. 2 starting OL and a superstar WR. Went DE in the draft in round 2, then RB (Zach Moss), WR (Gabe Davis, and QB (Jake Fromm). Then Kicker.
2021: Added a high profile backup QB in Mitch Turbiski, #2 WR in Emmanuel Sanders, Matt Brida for RB depth, and Pro-Bowl Bobby Hart. They had a bunch of depth re-signings for both sides of the ball, but did ink Matt Milano. In the draft they went DE in both rounds, but added the starting RT in the third.
2022: Added high profile OG Roger Staffold who was TKO’d by Father Time by week 4, but it was viewed as a great pickup at the time. Added Jameson Crowder who was also viewed as a great signing. They added Tim Settle (wooo), Daquan Jones, and Von Miller to the defense.
As you can see, the Bills have spent major money and made some major investment in the offense around Allen. This “Defense Dominated” narrative is false when you break things down. Most FA periods the offense, in terms of starters, has dominated.In other words, 2017, 2018, 2021, and 2022 were defense heavy. 2019 and 2020 were not.
Thanks much for making the case that the organization builds its roster in the way I've described: defense first. A defense that breaks down in big moments as we've seen at crucial times going back a few seasons.
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Kansas City at Buffalo in the Divisional Round!
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
I would hope by now that McD understands playing it safe doesn't get the W.
I'd rather Buffalo not get into a shoot-out with KC, but if it happens not to get rattled and stay aggressive on offense. Because KC isn't going to go into a shell.