colin

we have what we do best, we should do that until teams stop us from doing that. having our big people out there with cook and allen and the ol gives us a better group of talent than our opponents except for maybe a couple of match ups (i remember thinking the late 2024 baltimore d which was #1 after a horrible start was a bad match up, we got to up 2 points and had to kill the clock, and we just ran power with ty johnson and took a first down from their d hell bent on stopping a run. big people win football games most of the time, no reason to not think ours can too). you can run and pass out of heavy formations, we are literally the best at that. allen throws perfect lazers to tightends and to wrs in long routs out of max protect and play action (the bomb to set off our first score that hit palmer was in like 12 or 22 formation, without our best te). we can do that and no huddle into having ty or cook line up in the slot, kinkaid in the slot, or the wr in the slot and kinkaid out wide. we can run allen runs out of that, we can run gap or zone out of that, and we will take the teeth out of any blitz like that. if kinkaid was right last season maybe he catches that 4th down pass on a blitz that was picked up wrong vs kc, that could be a chip play, and now we have better players for it. the big issues is we tell the d what we are doing and arrogantly do it. there is no need for that and it must stop. we can do that in the 4th with a lead when the opponents d is gassed and sad.

lorax was really good under mcd, he was an all pro (2nd team) in 16, and played in 17, 18, and 19 for the mcd d and did really well in spot play. hoyt will be our lorax now, and obietrenkanobie will be a solid DT. going from snaps with wet behind the ears rookies and practice squad guys to a deep DT rotation of oliver, dq, walker, obiwan, tj sanders in base dl sets is awesome. being able to have some fresh legs and go bosa oliver, groot, aj (mix in walker and hoyt) as a nascar package is a big deal too. last year in the playoffs in must impact downs late vs lamar jackson and kermit we had jordan phillips, the ghost of von, and solomon taking meaningful quantities of reps. that's shocking.

given injuries, the dline and special teams have played great. the secondary is pure dirty cheeks. the linebackers might be worse, save shaq. honestly, if this team had an average YPC given up in the run game, with the same distribution of stuffs and explosive runs, we have at least 1 more win -- which tells me the biggest hole is LB and Safety. on the other side of the ball, injuries to palmer and kinkaid suck, but i put the two losses on brady more than anyone else. if we had shanahan level offensive coaching we'd be 6-0, brady w his head removed from his coccyx we'd be at least 5-1.

if this kid is gonna hit his ceiling and be as good or better of a corner as tre was in his prime, then he will contribute positively to the team out the gate. if he can play i think he should play. let him make his mistakes now so come playoffs he's g2g.

TBH, hendricks gets what, 30mm a year, parsons gets 40, crosby and garrett are between there. groot gets like 50-60% of elite money, which is basically fair. based on this year benford and bernard are overpaid, based on their prior 2 they are either fairly paid or kinda cheap. ed is a bit cheap right now but not consistent, bosa is on a so far very cheap 1 year deal. the problem is we have so many holes on d, too many street guys and rookies taking snaps at DT, and we need a real play maker to emerge.

i dunno what happened but this kind of thing can get a player in deep doo doo. i swear the nfl likes the awful reffing as long as it leads to the bigger draw teams doing well/driving revenue.

the success rate per play and the pressure by the d shows where our wins will come from, should they come. the article was good but did not mention penalties. since the NO game we have been about the worst in the nfl in penalties and penalty differential. some of that is bad/unlucky calls but more of it is unprepared players and sloppy play. on the turnover front -- it's true we can't always expect to generate turnovers and to not turn the ball over, but the two jet sweep fumbles were hideous play calls and design. most jet sweeps run are little underhand tosses, so that if the ball is dropped it is an incomplete pass rather than a fumble, we of course have to outsmart everyone and fumble the ball and kill the drive. a couple of the ints were on bad spacing/play design and frankly being just too predictable (the 80% run under center, 80% pass out of shotty is OD). i heard today the bills allow the highest % of explosive run plays (i think 10 or 15 yards) and the highest % of stuffs (like 1 yard or less). while the secondary play always seem super lax and conservative, we play the run like psycho gamblers. also, we run about as much as anyone, and are basically about the best at it on offense. it's pretty clear we have to build on strength and put wrinkles into the offense to be less predictable and on D to somehow not just allow teams to run on us at will. a couple stuffs and a 20 rip is a net negative for the D. we are personnel limited and maybe just maybe KC is too stacked w all the speed on O this season for us to do anything, but if we can get the DL to be the strength of the d, which it has shown it can be so far, and line up w lots of TEs and backs and pass and run with our best talent on the field, then i think we have our best chance.

mcclappy is 8-0 in games after bye weeks. i suspect we win this game in a laugher.

they need to trade waddle to us for picks

I remember Kevin gilbrides NFL coaching career. He was a crazy man who coached offense as if football was played on an infinite field and the goal was to net the gains you had on o vs the ones you lost on d, and whoever was the furthest ahead at the end of the game clock was the winner. Always at all times he was looking for the biggest plays. If it was 2nd and 2 and a 40 yard down the field out to the 3wr was in his mind the highest expected value of yards gained, then that what he called. It was horrible when you had a lead and wanted to kill clock. He was the merchant of passing to set up the run and he always had super productive running backs but they were running out of basic run schemes vs light boxes, and his protections were fairly simple too, but in passing it was all option routes all the time. It was super green light football. It lead to multiple disasters, as well as multiple top ranked is and two rings w the giants. Total boom bust guy. MCD to me seems to be a guy who coaches to have the best average result. He is similarly to gilbride an all eggs in few baskets kinda coach. He lives in fear of deep passes and will do everything to prevent them, he loves controlling the ball and "complimentary football". He's switched from cowardly to second most aggressive on 4th downs in the NFL, so he can be taught new things mind you. He's built a team to beat the KC team that smoked us on Allen's first afc chip game. The problem is he simply is willing to allow the run in order to stop the pass, and when the d is off it allows both. He doesn't really believe in having a very specific to the opponent game plan, or on having a plan b. The downside is it can super frustrating to watch the bills get gashed with powenruns, or for a death of a thousand cuts while KC just grinds us in the playoffs. The upside is with very tiny adjustments in people or concepts we can all do a sudden be in a game it looked like we were gonna get walked in. The Baltimore comeback and how we shut ATL for basically the entire second half is an example of this just this season. It's lead to a shocking level of season over season consistency and being bounced vs the best teams in the most heart breaking ways. There are other coaches I'd much rather have given the team we have, but we are stuck with him at least until the end of this season and like longer still. The hope is he can snap this team and his coordinators into shape so that they eliminate the penalties, mistakes, and turnovers and get back to their best advantage. He is who he is and has built a team in his scrappy undersized image, we just need some luck and him to add one more wrinkle to just not get out coached by the reids and vrabels of the world who will tailor a game plan to their opponent and stand behind tough physical and dirty football. Dungy was the same kind of guy, he got the boot from TB who won a chip shortly after, but he was able to catch lighting in a bottle and get hot and healthy at the right time w Indy. Let's hope

i'd happily trade 2 firsts and 2 seconds for him under those conditions, maybe more. for what it's worth, x dot com seems to think that we might get waddle. i'd be super happy with that, but aj brown would be over the top out of sight. this O with a player like that along w what we have would be simply a scary monster. it would let us put coleman in the slot, go all height and power w them two and tight ends in the red zone, and if we ran jumbo sets w 1 or 2 wr if one of them is AJ the play action will be so so scary the opponents might not just ever load the box.

the thing that stands out the most to me, both from the above article and from a post made in the is brady the problem thread (where the poster showed josh's numbers from last year's 3-2 first 5 games vs our now 4-2 six games, short story josh is slightly more productive per game now), losing the turnover battle is what has murdered us. we sucked badly last year on D, didn't stop 3rd downs, but got a ton of turnovers, and we never turned it over on O. as much as everything sucks now, that's basically why we are 4-2 and not 5-1 or 6-0. i think the read through is that we just have to not turn the over on O, and not need them on D. the easiest fix to this, imo, is to not be an open book with our offensive play calls, and similarly on D to not just line up in our standard sets until we get crushed by easy to execute plays and then adjust. i think we need to be simpler (do what works, less over creativity) and be a little less arrogant (actually make the d guess what we are doing instead of telling them ahead of time with our tendencies).

was it really 3 firsts? what did parsons get, 2 1sts and a huge contract? allen getting traded (which should never even be considered, let alone happen) would have to be the biggest trade of all time.

everyone in the world will agree that josh is an uber talent at QB, and has the records/stats, with multiple OCs, to prove it. everyone in the world will agree that james cook is an explosive RB, as soon as he started being featured in the O his production has been near the top of the nfl, he's fast, he was awesome in college, and he's awesome now. everyone knows the bills have very very good nasty tackles, generally solid interior OL play, and most people who assess OL put them in the top 3 to top 5. we have all seen the TEs block well and go off this season. the stats of passing to our TEs are super strong, and we have three of them who can play (only two last monday obv). everyone also knows our WR room is weak. also, we lead the nfl in scoring last season, and the consistency we've shown since 2020 on O is basically the best or 2nd best in the nfl. how the hell does someone see this, and say the reason why our O is sputtering and outright sucking the past two weeks is because of the lack of outside wr? yes we don't have that, yes we should trade for one so we do have it, and yes beane is a clown shoe for doing nothing to change that, but with four advantage position groups and a track record of success not getting production is CLEARLY ON THE COACHING. brady has accomplished jack squat as an OC. he was passing game coordinator for the must insane wr 1/2 and qb trio i've ever seen in college football, and the HC was the architect of that O. he was ish on a stick in carolina, and he has produced roughly the same numbers as dorsey did w our O, but with a much better balance (i tip him well over dorsey). how on earth is it the one single position we are not the beneficiaries of an embarrassment of riches on and not the OC? again, yes we should have better wr talent and it's a sin that we don't, but holy crap we played a small fast d and couldn't figure out how to run the ball or pass out of run sets against them? running 80%+ out of under center and passing 80%+ out of shotgun, that's not bad coaching? what is? brady has had some great success with this O, with the players we have now, he did not call good games, had idiot jet sweep calls, no answers for blitzes rattling his qb, and took cook of the pitch for what, 10 high leverage snaps? we had like 50 something offensive plays vs atl, so fully 20% of them were high leverage snaps where cook was on on the field. why, so shavers or a future UPS driver can confuse the d and show how clever brady is? our HC has called him out for the same trash the prior week. brady is not doing his job, it's so obvious, and it's mind boggling how anyone doesn't see it.

the O has such a massive advantage in the modern nfl it's crazy. you start at the what, 31 yard line on average? kickers are great now, so you have to be two steps better than a 3 and out to be close to FG range, and with all the athletic qbs there are a lot of ways to advance the ball in the redzone. it seems to me the better Ds basically play O on D now. they decide what they will take away, what they will make difficult, and what they will live with. the old school idea of basically tampa 2 being conservative but excellent so that teams just won't be able to find the holes in the zone, or gain enough yards running, and living to take away the deep pass above all (the most difficult thing to execute in pro football, a bit of a goofy basket to put all of your defensive eggs into) just is simply not effective. a well prepared and coached bills team would have walked over atl and won by double digits. over power the small fast front, use multi backs and tes to wear them down, and trickery to pass on them with play action and out of heavy sets. i give the credit to the d adjusting in the 2nd half, it shoulda been enough for a win. the d was "lucky" in the first half w atl not getting the touch at the end, but also atl was lucky to have the fumble called back, the garbage 3rd down DPI, and the sack on 1st prior to the long td run take out by penalties.