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Casey D

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Posts posted by Casey D

  1. 7 minutes ago, Bob Jones said:

    I watched the Red Zone channel yesterday, and what I noticed is how other teams offenses often moved the ball with ease,  and had receivers wide open, frequently. And QBs who are supposedly not as good as JA made accurate, “on the money” throws to receivers, even if they were closely covered.

     

    The Bills offense is nowhere near as good as their stats seem to show. Tonight definitely will be a tell for the rest of the season, IMHO.

    Do you wake up in the morning and say to yourself "now what can I post on TBD that will make folks just a little bit more unhappy ?"  Geez, try a little kindness to someone or something today.

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. 6 minutes ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

    Very incorrect. It's only 42% if we beat the Broncos. And only 49% if we beat the Broncos AND the Jets.

     

    The Bills are at the point where they're going to have to beat the Cowboys and Chargers AND pull a major upset (one of @PHI, @KC, or @MIA) to make the playoffs.

    Wrong.  Assuming you believe the NYT projections, wins over broncos jests pats and chargers-- bills have 77% chance to make playoffs.  Those are games a playoff caliber team should win.  

  3. 1 hour ago, Ray Stonada said:

    https://theathletic.com/5040500/2023/11/09/buffalo-bills-offense-defense-problems/

     

    This was very surprising (to me at least). I guess I have selective memory of the high points of Daboll's time and not all the lulls and frustrations. However, the article does not really take into account the tailspin of the last five games or so on offense, where our points per game are way down and Josh looks less confident than normal.

     

    One other point about Daboll's time as OC: a lot of people here say 2021 was our year, we would have definitely one the Super Bowl if not for 13 seconds, etc., etc. 

     

    Well, I remember the night before the Bills' first Super Bowl. We had just dropped 51 on the Raiders and 44 on the Dolphins in the playoffs. We were playing the Giants, who had somehow shocked the two-time defending champ 49ers in the NFC championship. We had beaten them in December already. I was so sure we were going to win I was already thinking about repeating next season. 

     

    Also, remember which team that took out the Chiefs after 13 seconds: Burrow and the Bengals. I am not 100% sure we would have beaten them if we'd held on and beat the Chiefs. And then the Rams had a tough team as well. You never, never know. Ever. 

    Great read, thanks.  And it confirms what I see, a defense that cannot get off the field and an offense under duress to perform with fewer drive starts and bad field position.  Poor complementary football.  Unless McDermott can scheme up a way to cover for an injury riddled defense so it is at least average, it will be hard for the offense to be superlative.

    • Agree 1
  4. 2 hours ago, BBFL said:


     

    For the circumstances on the defense they aren’t playing bad against teams who rack up points. 
     

    They aren’t a top unit but we’ve still been in every game. 
     

    The defense has lost us one game only. The Patriots. Thought they would stop them the next time on the field after that massive fumble to put us back in the game. 


    This defense is build to play with a lead. Very simple. Their whole success under McD has been just that. 
     

    They’re a middle of the pack unit. 
     

    Our offense is not. Or at least was not. They should be a Top 5 like they have been as all the components are still there with slightly improved OLine play from years prior. 

    Agree.  Good observations.

  5. 13 minutes ago, BarleyNY said:

    The Bills are definitely a team that wins with talent rather than scheme. That’s always been true with the defense, but the offense under Dorsey is now in the same category. With all of the injuries this year - especially those to the best players - the defense doesn’t have the horses to do that. The play calling decisions have only made it worse. Exhibit A is the 6 man blitzes against Burrow, who is one of the best at beating the blitz.

     

    The offense does not have anything close to the talent that the defense does - at least when injured players are included. I appreciate that they added to the offense in this past draft, but for this season it is too little, too late. Their inability to effectively run the ball (with RBs) is even worse than it looks since defenses usually have light boxes. The passing concepts are pretty basic too. The last two seasons how many defenders have mentioned that they knew what play was coming? That’s a function of basic schemes and a lack of diversity in play design. The play selection leaves a lot to be desired as well. By the third drive I was calling out the runs before the Bills snapped the ball against the Bengals. I wasn’t perfect, but I was legitimately at 80-90%. If I can do that from my couch I’m sure a decent NFL coordinator can do better. 

    Agree-- but it is a combination of things that is contributing to the problems.  I don't know if they can clean them all up, but if Dorsey would go up temp and simplify, make calls that are easier for the OL to block, and Josh would play within himself, it would go a long way to giving improvement IMO.

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  6. Jim Kubiak: This Bills’ offense doesn't know what it wants to be (buffalonews.com)

     

    Really good stuff here.

     

    In brief, Kubiak explains that a number of factors went into the Bills loss and offensive woes.  Number 1, the Bengals did a great job of limiting the Bills possessions by draining the clock.  The Bills only had 9 possessions, and that was knocked down to 7 by the two turnovers. Bills only had ball on O for 23 minutes, largely because defense could not get off the field quickly.

     

    The offense has an identity crisis.  Dorsey seems to be trying to do too many different things and the Bills are not doing any of them well.  Need to settle on what they do well and execute.

     

    Allen continues to make poor decisions in key situations, always in the vein of trying to do too much.  He has open receivers underneath but he does not take them in hope of making a big play which can turn into disaster.

     

    Bills offensive line struggled in run blocking.  Often left Bills behind the chains. Bills do better when up tempo.

     

    There is much more, so definitely worth the read. 

    • Like (+1) 9
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  7. 4 minutes ago, CincyBillsFan said:

    I would take the chance pending the outcome of this season.  If McD stabilizes the Bills situation and they go on a run and win the AFC East and then win a playoff game or two McD will have proven us naysayers at least partially wrong. Get to the AFC Championship game or a SB and he will have definitively proven us wrong and I would be very happy to admit I was wrong. 

     

    The thing I don't want to live through is a slow decline like they had in Cincy under Lewis.  That's worse then an implosion.

     

     

    Fair enough.  But we have no say and McD is not going anywhere after one down year after taking a laughing-stock franchise and turning it into a primetime team.  So I am not going to contemplate something that won't happen until 2025 at the earliest.

    • Like (+1) 1
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  8. 1 minute ago, CincyBillsFan said:

    McD has Allen which IMO has been the difference versus Lewis.  I agree that firing McD is risky.  But I believe that with an offensive minded coach and Allen this team will go the way of the Bengals who got the coach right first then got the QB right.  We have the QB what is in doubt is whether or not we have the coach and more importantly coaching/management philosophy to fully exploit the special QB we have. 

     

     

    Like Josh McDaniels?  Finding "that" coach is almost as hard as finding the right QB

    • Eyeroll 1
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  9. 12 minutes ago, CincyBillsFan said:

    Shottenhiemer. He was very successful at winning games and getting the Chiefs to the playoffs but I think he was 3 - 7 in playoff games.  I know he officially "resigned" but he was forced out by ownership.  Now it didn't work out for the Chiefs as the next coach couldn't even get them to the playoffs whch is the risk if the Bills were to part ways with McD.  But they made the bold move based on their realization that Marty was not going to get them to a SB.

     

    The better and more timely example IMO is Marvin Lewis in Cincinnati.  Lewis worked a major miracle in turning around a horrid Bengal's franchise.  That team was bad, very bad. A lot like the Bills team that McD took over. And like McD Lewis fixed the problems and transformed a loser into a winner and multi year playoff team.  But Lewis never won a playoff game (0 - 7 I think) and as a defensive minded coach he was ultimately the wrong guy to get the Bengals over the hump.  So Mike Brown went with a young offensive minded guy in Zack Taylor.

     

    Two examples one with a sad ending and one with a happy ending.  But two examples of ownership walking away from head aches who enjoyed a lot of success.

     

     

    Well the Chiefs were in the wilderness for 15 years, and Lewis had a much worse record than McDermott.  You better have a sure-fire candidate in mind before you fire a guy with McDermott's record.  Chances are you will most likely go backwards.

    • Disagree 2
    • Agree 2
  10. 1 minute ago, WickedGame said:

    Just a wild guess here, but anyone think Rasul Douglas could be a long-term answer at safety?
     

    We obviously have to replace at least one, maybe two. Douglas has a fairly high cap hit next year, if the team likes what he brings, they could lower that with a 2- to 3-year extension.

     

    Poyer and Hyde were both converted CBs…there’s precedent. 
     

    Thoughts?

    Elam could be a fine safety

    • Haha (+1) 1
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  11. 18 minutes ago, CincyBillsFan said:

    Can't do it.  The Bengals & Chiefs walked away from coaches who were regularly getting their teams to the playoffs because ownership recognized that the current coaches could not get the team over the hump.  I'm hoping that Pegula sees the situation in the same way that the Brown's & Hunt's did.

     

     

    Who are you talking about-- Romeo Crennel or are you talking about Schottenheimer? 

    • Like (+1) 1
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