I actually bet a lot, had 62 tickets last week alone between the NFL and CFB, which is a light week for me, and at a lot more than $5, and I do well. Bragging about missing the best of the number is funny to me because closing line value, while not gospel, is an indicator of your ability to read the market.
I make the ML in this game -176/+176 and the Bills -4.10, so I won't be on either side. As far as the total goes, I make it 46.8, but haven't bet it yet, because I think it might get to 43, which is a key number.