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dave mcbride

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Posts posted by dave mcbride

  1. in their history, the bills have made the following picks in the first round for offensive linemen:

     

    2002 - mike williams

     

    1995 - ruben brown

     

    1992 - john fina (not great, of course, but he was drafted at the end of the first round and had 3 very good seasons over his career -- 1993, 1995, and 1998)

     

    1986 - will wolford

     

    1980 - jim ritcher

     

    1973 - joe delamielleure

     

    lesson one: usually, offensive line picks in the first round are among the surest bets.

     

    lesson two: given that drafting offensive linemen in the first round is almost always a sure thing (particularly for the bills), mike williams has to rate as possibly the biggest bust in bills draft history -- worse than patulski, tony hunter, and dokes.

  2. I'm sure that Adam's probably told Donahoe that he wouldn't know a good draft pick if it kicked him in the head.  I'm guessing it was right around the time Donahoe said he wanted to draft Ryan Denney.  :unsure:

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    i'm a big dwight adams booster, but denney wasn't a bad pick. he's a reasonably productive rotation guy, which is what you can expect from someone drafted 63rd overall. the number of defensive busts drafted in the first couple of rounds is staggering by the way. calvin pace, michael haynes, javon reynolds, erik flowers, and many more -- the list is very, very long.

  3. Here's one way IMO to keep him if you think he'll be good for another 2-3 years:

    Clump's current #'s on EM:

     

    So right now,

    2006 already paid: $3.7M

    2006 not yet paid: $7.1M

    2006 cap hit: $10.8M

     

    2007 already paid: $1.7M

    2007 not yet paid: $7.2M

    2007 cap hit: $8.9M

    Re-structure & extend him to 2009:

    $12M signing bonus

    2006 salary: $1M

    2007 salary $1.3M

    (equalling the $14.3M he's scheduled to make the next 2 years)

    2008 salary: $4M

    2009 salary $5M

     

    New #'s

    2006 :

     

    Salary: $1M

    Old proration: $2 million (from $12 million s.b. he rec'd in 2001)

    New Proration #1: $1,666,667

    New proration #2: $12M/4 = $3M

    Pro Bowl bonus: $200,000 (NLTBE)

     

    Cap hit: $7.7M

    Dead Cap if cut: $17.3M

     

    2007

     

    Salary: $1.3M

    New proration: $1,666,667

    New proration #2: $12M/4 = $3M

    Cap hit: $6M

    Dead Cap if cut: $10.7M

     

    2008

     

    Salary: $4M

    New proration #2: $12M/4 = $3M

    Cap hit: $7M

    Dead Cap if cut: $6M

     

    2008

     

    Salary: $5M

    New proration #2: $12M/4 = $3M

    Cap hit: $8M

    Dead Cap if cut: $3M

     

    Ralph would have to cough up some big $$$ for a signing bonus, but you save on the next 2 year's caps & the cost of cutting him before 2008 ($6M) is close to the cost of cutting him this off-season ($5.3M). If EM wants to stay in Buffalo, I think he would agree to this kind of a deal.

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    as of now, there will be no cap in 2007.

  4. "Restructuring" just puts additional money on contract converting future salary to bonuses postponing pain; it was what Butler was an expert of doing. 

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    you mean the guy who did his damnedest to get the bills into the playoffs so that they could compete for a super bowl? at least he wasn't in permanent rebuilding mode.

  5. i know he has a crippling cap number next year, but over the past 3 weeks he was hands down, without question, the best player on the offense. do you let your best player walk if you've got squat to replace him with? josh reed, even if the bills want to keep him, won't come back -- i'm sure he knows he needs a fresh start elsewhere. parrish is way too small. they have no credible tight end. all they have is evans in the passing game, and the guys who will be throwing to him define mediocre.

  6. It pains me to say it, but I seriously doubt the Bills will ever get a guy like Fernetz.  First off, Ralph hasn't tradiotinally given college guys much of a look, and secondly, there are going to be more attractive opportunities for a sought after guy like him, in the near future...Raiders and Rams come to mind...

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    didn't ralph hit it off with dick jauron a couple of years ago when they interviewed him?

  7. McGahee finished 10th in rushing but among the top 20 backs in the league, he was tied for last in yards per carry, 3.8, with Lamont Jordan.  He had 325 attempts which was more than Warrik Dunn and Thomas Jones, both of whom had more yards than Willis.  Willie Parker had only 45 yards less than Willis but did that on only 255 carries.  That is 70 fewer attempts than Willis had. 

     

    We ran Willis plenty, we just didn't run very well is all, especially over the last 8 games.  He had 195 carries (24 per game on average) and 790 yards over the first half of the season and we went 3-5. 

     

    To put that in perspective, 24 carries per game comes out to 384 carries for the year which is 14 more than Shaun Alexander who led the league in attempts and 24 more than Edgerrin James who had the second most attempts.  Thus, we ran Willis more often than any team in the league ran their backs by far over the first half of the season and the result was a horrendous record of 3-5.

     

    Over the second half of the season, we still tried to run Willis plenty but we simply were not gaining yards.  No first downs means fewer attempts.  Over the second half, Willis had 130 carries but only 457 yards.  That is a miserable 3.5 yards per carry.  The Miami game I think is emblematic of our situation.  We ran Willis 27 times which is a lot of carries by any measure but gained only 81 yards, that is a lousy 3 yards per carry.  In contrast, we threw 27 times for 227 yards, that is over 8 yards per throwing attempt.  In the Bengal game, we ran him 23 times for a lousy 66 yards, that is a very poor 2.8 yards per carry.  We threw the ball 31 times for 308 yards, that is 9.9 yards per throw.

     

    Despite the drop in carries from freakishly plenty (24 per game) to a more pedestrian figure (16+ per game), we simply went from 3-5 to 2-6.  Sorry folks but simply running the ball more was and is not a cure-all for this team.  We ran plenty, especially when we were actually gaining some yards, not a lot but some and we sucked anyway.  Later in the season we threw more and we still sucked.

     

    I really think that teams that score more points, win more often.  I know, shocking revelation isn't it?  Equally shocking, good teams can move the ball on the ground and thus they run more than teams who aren't so good.  We were not a good team and part of that is because we were not able to run the ball well.  It wasn't for lack of trying.  We ran the crap out of Willis for 8 games and we stunk up the field.  We tried something different and still stunk up the field.

     

    The common denominator here is the offensive line.  No offensive system has ever been conceived that can succeed without effective blocking.  The problem is not our rushing attempts.  Teams that run well, run.  Teams that don't run well, don't run.  Pretty obvious which one we are, isn't it?

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    good post. the eagles have had very effective offenses in the recent past without running much. having a great qb helps, of course.

  8. I disagree. If the Bills beat the Jets solidly, and KH had a second straight successful game. And the Bills won two straight road games. It would be easy for some people to think the team is on the right track. And that Mularkey did not lose the team but just the opposite. I don't agree with it, and think he should have played JP. But I could see how people/fans/sportswriters/players could get a feel good takeaway with two straight wins on the road at the end of the season. The Jets game alone could not do that, but once the Cinci game played out the way it did, i think the combo could have.

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    you know, holcomb started off poorly, but played very well the rest of the way until the end. let's not forget that the bills would probably have won the game if not for the special teams collapse with less than five minutes to go.

  9. The Buffalo news' reporting this morning makes it clear that they still think Donahoe is a goner - just as they have been saying for weeks.    John Clayton and ProFootballMoron - errr... Talk ;-)  think that Donahoe's staying.

     

    My money is on the Buff News..... but this will be a great "scorecard" moment over the next week or two here.....

     

    JDG

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    yeah, i've noticed the same thing. i've gotta believe that the snooze has the upper hand here. but if they're wrong, boy will they look bad. moreover, the news' bad relationship with td will only get worse ...

  10. Sure it is.  Benny Anderson can't move out of his own shadow and for all his good potential, Peters doesn't run block nearly as effectively as he pass blocks.  The lack of any push in short yardage last week was embarassing for an NFL line. 

     

    IMO, this group is much less effective run blocking than any in the TD era.  And the lack of a credible passing game makes that weakness even more glaring.

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    and for all of his flaws, ruben brown was -- and still is -- an *excellent* run blocker.

  11. What's the point of this thread if you don't reference anything that supports your opinion? So that next year when he's fired and this is on page 115 of TBD, you can just forget about it. But next year if he's still here, you can bump it to say "I told you so."

     

    Thanks for the insight.

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    because it was reported after the cincy game that ralph wilson congratulated him in the locker room. because a number of beat reporters (local and national) have reported that he'll be back. because there are *no* rumors floating around anywhere that he'll be fired.

     

    yet people persist in posting outlandish ideas about jimmy johnson, kirk ferentz, etc. etc. becoming the next coach.

     

    mularkey is coming back. it's time to make peace with the idea.

  12. What he does really well is hold the line and occupying some good space in the middle.  A guy like him would make our LB's even more effective. 

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    i truly think that getting a guy like this, even if he isn't that explosive, would solve a ton of the bills' defensive problems.

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