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Everything posted by MikePJ76
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just heard Dallas is 0-95 when being down 18 or more at the half.. i hate these stats.
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they better come out and forrest gump this second half. dont stop till you hear Jackson brownes running on empty playing in the distance... then go start a shrimping company in los angeles.
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feels like if the bills get to 35 they will win. now this is the spot where Dallas gets there PI and illegal contacts setting up a shot at points. a sack here on first down basically kills the drive.
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Donovan wilson is in the blue tent for dallas and they have damone clark down now too
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the rain looks like it is starting again.
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run until they commit to stopping it then go deep on them. please just keep running
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Thats two dropped interceptions. They have to catch these. You only get so many opportunities
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zach martin has a left quad contusion sounds like he will return. also dorance armstrong had his knee checked but is returning to the game also this is a great time for a Dak Interception.
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they better wear cook out today.
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this is just like philly. They have them teetering. they need a long drive and a td here.
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dropped interceptions always comeback to get you. that had to be caught it was a terrible throw and should have been an int going the other way
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why not just keep running until they commit to stopping it i will never understand.
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please please keep giving it to cook... please!!!
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they deferred
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buffalo has the ball to start dallas deferred
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NFL Week #15 - Cowboys at Bills pregame Thread
MikePJ76 replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
buffalo has the ball first -
edmunds helping the bills again
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miami is not beating Dallas.
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NFL Week #15 - Cowboys at Bills pregame Thread
MikePJ76 replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
Craig Wrohlstad. Dak has never lost a game he has officiated and his crew calls the second most illegal contact penalties. Dallas leads the league in getting illegal contact and is number 2 in getting PI. the bills can not give them simple penalties resulting in 50 yard plays that setup easy scores. -
uggh.
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Not enough credit has been given to Brian Flores for how fast he turned this defense around. They were really bad and look like a completely different group.
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really would be nice if the vikings find a way today
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It’s Dallas week and the Division is on the line!
MikePJ76 replied to Einstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
they play every year in ny washington and philly. The weather this week is not an issue. They probably practiced outside all week and wont be much different than sunday. -
to be fair the giants game was a downpour and they manhandled the giants up front.
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made a post about this but will make it a topic. This is is what concerns me for sunday. Dallas has scored a lot, their offense seems hard to defend but the inside secret to it has been playing bad teams who can not compete at the line of scrimmage with them and then they commit penalties on the back end setting up easy scoring opportunities. This is the number 1 thing to me to this game. The defense has to be smart and disciplined and not give up 50 yard ticky tack Penalties bailing them out of third downs and setting up easy scores. They are going to have a hard time defending lamb especially with that deep over he runs and then the speed guys in tolbert and cooks but this is the game. here are some intereting officials notes on this game...from sharp football analysis Craig Wrolstad’s Impact on Cowboys at Bills The Cowboys take on the Bills in the game of the week, with both teams coming in off statement wins last Sunday. These teams have an interesting history with the officiating crew assigned to this game. Let’s assess the strengths and weaknesses of both teams from a penalty perspective and how the officiating of Craig Wrolstad will potentially impact this game. Penalty Tendencies: The Cowboys and Bills are top five penalized teams as we head into the final quarter of the regular season. Craig Wrolstad is calling 54% of his overall penalties on the home team through 14 weeks of the NFL season The Cowboys and Bills defenses both rank in the top ten penalized units in surrendering automatic first downs via penalties to opponents in 2023. 80% of the Cowboys’ automatic first down surrendered via penalty have occurred 1st and 2nd down plays, which is far less damaging Conversely, 50% of the automatic first downs surrendered via penalty by the Bills defense were on 3rd and 4th down plays, which a far more impactful on a defense The Cowboys offense is the number one beneficiary of automatic first down penalties in the NFL, with 43% of these coming on the key 3rd down plays. The Cowboys offense is the number one beneficiary of illegal contact penalties and ranks second in benefitting from defensive pass interference penalties Conversely, the Bills offense has only half the amount of automatic first down penalties the Cowboys have gained, and just 24% have come via third down plays The Bills are a top-five penalized unit for illegal contact penalties Craig Wrolstad’s crew is co-ranked second overall in assessing illegal contact penalties The Cowboys lead the NFL in defensive Offside penalties and by a significant margin over the second-ranked team. This was an issue in 2022 and remains the case in 2023 The Buffalo offense ranks 29th as a hard count penalty beneficiary. Through 14 weeks, they have drawn one accepted defensive Offside penalty. If ever there is a game to take advantag, this is it. The Bills either don’t emphasize this or their formations don’t create enough pre-snap confusion on the opposing defense to draw offside penalties The Cowboys and Bills are top ten penalized offenses for offensive holding infractions The Bills defense is a top-three unit in generating offensive holding penalties on opponents when they play at home. Buffalo has the biggest home versus road splits of any team in this category No team has declined more offensive holding penalties on opponents than the Cowboys in 2023. Translation, they were declined due to a more favorable outcome for the defense on a play. Bottom line is this Dallas defensive unit creates havoc up front in a variety of ways that often aren’t reflected in net penalty numbers Craig Wrolstad’s crew is right at league average in calling offensive holding penalties. They have the largest home versus road split of any crew to this point in 2023, with just 30% being assessed on the road team. There is some randomness in this statistic, but right now it benefits the Cowboys if form holds on Sunday So many NFL games come down to key moments in the fourth quarter. Penalties are part of the equation in winning and losing late. Buffalo is committing 33% of their overall penalties in the fourth quarter of games this season compared to just 25% for Dallas The Bottom Line: Home teams are 47-73-1 ATS (40%) with Craig Wrolstad since the start of the 2016 NFL season, including a 4-6-1 ATS record in 2023 The Buffalo Bills have a mixed record with Wrolstad officiating in the Josh Allen era. Buffalo is 2-4 on the moneyline but 5-1 ATS in six games, with three of the ATS wins coming as underdogs. Wrolstad most recently officiated the Bills 38-10 win in Week 2 versus the Raiders Two of the most dramatic games in the Allen era were officiated by Craig Wrolstad. The 33-30 overtime loss vs the Vikings in Week 10, 2022, and in Week 10 of the 2020 season, a 32-30 loss at Arizona on a last-second “Hail Murray” TD pass from Cardinals QB Kyler Murray The Cowboys are 9-0 on the moneyline and 7-2 ATS in the Dak Prescott era when Craig Wrolstad is officiating, the most recent being their 31-14 Wild Card victory at the Buccaneers last season There were a lot of Week 15 match-ups that merit officiating analysis this week, but we felt compelled to include this game because of its sheer importance in shaping the NFL landscape as we head into the stretch run. There are a lot of interesting penalty numbers that can be gleaned from this preview that can and will be key on Sunday. Was last week’s dramatic victory a turning point for Buffalo? As we stated before last week, no team in the AFC wants to see this group sneak into the playoffs. They will have the most talented player on the field Sunday afternoon, Josh Allen. Dallas has the better overall team. The vast majority of penalty metrics favor Dallas in this contest, as does the actual officiating assignment itself based on home teams’ struggles with Wrolstad. The Cowboys franchise has lost games with Wrolstad, just not since Dak Prescott arrived in 2016. Much like the Bills at Chiefs game last week, this is an in-game wagering dream. It is going to be close and either side getting above a field goal is the opportune way to approach it. Pre flop, it’s a toss of the coin. The likelihood of another Buffalo game ending in sensational circumstances with Craig Wrolstad officiating is very much a possibility on Sunday. In a game that could easily be 24-23 either way, we will select the Dallas Cowboys +2 points in this match-up.