Chaos

Which implies we have a talent problem. I think.

If peak Travis Kelce were on the Bills with Brady and Allen, would he be as effective. If not, is that because of Allen or Brady?

Tradtionally discussion of draft philosophies revolve around Best Player Available vs Position Need. And discussions how to balance those issues. But I don't think either of those or a combination of either of those is sufficent and may not even be the correct approach. I believe the correct approach is to focus on how to maximize a teams quality snaps under rookie contracts. Every position of need can be filled in someway in free agency. I don't have the energy yet to quantify this. An example of the decisision making is to evaluate each player in the draft against the players you have at the same position. The evaulation is not a simple "does that upgrade the position". The correct evaluation is does this player increase my ROI at the position. For example you are comparing Rookie x vs Greg Rousseau. And you estimate of the course of the next 4 years Groot is going to generate "1000 units" of performance, at a cost of $80 million. I estimate rookie X could generate 800 units of production at a cost of $16 million over the next four years. Groot costs $8k per unit of production. Rookie x costs 2k per unit of production. So my calculus on this comparison is, I free up $64 million of cap space drafting this rookie, and letting Groot move on. And I need to find another 200 units of production on the defensive side of the ball. It seems have $64 million freed up should be able to add more than 200 units of production. So in this example, while Groot is a fine NFL player, and his contract is inline with similar players second contract, it might not be a good investment. And this analysis needs to be applied to every player on the roster, and every prospect in the draft you think is an NFL caliber player. In my head, I start stacking those $64 million savings up, to use towards getting some true difference makers. I realize this is half-baked, but am looking for feedback on whether anyone thinks there is merit to understanding this "third approach" to draft strategy.

The Brady giveth with the trick play, and taketh away with the behind LOS screen play.

Joe Brady is a genius.

The playclock guys are all on Draft Kings.

this play clock business is f'd up.

now there is some urgency

There really is not that much urgency. this is our last offensive drive. we have three time outs.

tre white's best move is to try to convince the refs the reciever was out of bounds.

the bills suck so bad at the little things. One extra point, and the decision to take the easy three on the previous drive, and we might be tied.

three man rush. gets to the QB instantly

the good shakir. lots of heart

McDermott is going to be a less successful Jeff Fisher.

McDermott's scheme is figured out. Its outdated.

If you trust your defense, you take the FG.

Our offense as currently constructed run by Joe Brady, is going to struggle to beat most of the top defenses in the playoffs. The defense as currently structured will struggle to beat all of the playoff team offenses.

Allen should know better than to throw it to a WR.

is our average starting field position the 10 yard line?

A child's worst fear. The disappointed parent.

McDermott is obsessed with being reactive.

there is this theory that we have a good oline, but it seems like the defense has 10 jail break runs at Allen every week,

Coaching trades are rare, but unheard of. I am thinking McDermott and Coleman, for McVay and Nacua.

Often undiscussed because of the focus on Brady's bad play calling, is now bad his play designs are. Maybe 1 in 8 plays looks like a well designed play.

we got the inefffective first down run. this is usually used to set up the bubble screen