CorkScrewHill
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Posts posted by CorkScrewHill
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Info from PFF .. but it is pretty much yes/ no data so not skewed. The Bills lead the league over the past 2 years with QB sneak plays on 3 and 1 and 4th and 1 situations. The Bills in those situations have gone with the QB sneaK 48% of the time, Eagles are second at 32% and the 49ers are 3rd at 24%. More remarkably that has equated to 24 attempts with Josh making it 23 out of the 24 times. A great tool to keep the chains moving.
https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-just-fall-forward-nfl-teams-qb-sneak-underutilized
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When you combine this with the fact that he was a late round draft pick and therefore he makes considerably less than many of his counterparts .. it is excellent to see.
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5 hours ago, Shaw66 said:
You're right, and I'll go beyond that. Josh Allen is going to eliminate his weaknesses.
Listening to this coach, listening to McBeane talk about why they drafted him, it's clear to me that Allen is a learning machine. He wants to keep learning how to win. That's the point the coach makes about Josh learning to dial back his desired to do everything himself. He's learning that's not the way to win. He's learning how far to dial it back, and when to turn it up a notch.
This notion that he's a learning machine is what makes me expect him eventually to play with great discipline, like Brady. Josh is learning, game after game, what things maximize the chances of winning, and he's incorporating those things into his game. In another couple of years we're going to be looking at a guy with one of the great arms in the history of game who has learned to eliminate his mistakes. INTs will be low, fumbles will be low, completion percentage will be high, and he will be one of the most dangerous weapons in the NFL.
Believe it. It's coming. That's who Allen is. He's over the hump already, and he isn't close to being finished learning.
Excellent point. In 2018 he could not hit the short and intermediate stuff. he worked on it and he was good in the short game and great in the intermediate. He threw only 10 TDs and 12 ints in 2018. In 2019 in the first 5 games he had thrown 7 interceptions .. he only threw 2 interceptions the remaining 11 games .. (that is remarkable). To the person who said his running is decent .. I think you should really look at the games again .. he destroys people with his legs. Is he there .. nope. Could he fail ... yes. Do I expect him to be a top 5 QB in a few years .. absolutely.
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Very open about Josh's strengths, areas of growth, and weaknesses. Really terrific interview though 33 minutes long.
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4 minutes ago, eball said:
3) a) tell Rob to get out of the buffet line
3 b) Staff foot check
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I tend to agree with Chris Simms on his choices. Can't believe the passing number line is so low - so would be my choice for best bet. Curious what others believe is the safest?
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1 hour ago, Kirby Jackson said:
Um, this isn’t a real site? They have 50 followers and respond to legitimate questions like this. Feel like we should shut this down and not give this child any more attention. This isn’t real.
I ran a simulation using advanced data analytics and SportsLine's proprietary algorithm and 85% of the time TB's mother was unsatisfied with the "look in".
Check the source. Oh also .. if anyone is a big believe in this, I actually have a fast way for you to make some cash but you need to send me $50 to cover the cost of the bank wire transfer .. and provide your bank account information and pin so I can make certain every penny gets deposited properly.
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Per Chris Simms if the trade had gone down he has been lead to believe that it would have been Josh Allen #1 to Seattle
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Saw the first which was interesting as they talk JA and Bills mafia, but ....
They also referenced his draft experience video .. which is long but I found very interesting:
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3 hours ago, TwistofFate said:
I'm not adding attempts. In week 16, he would need to complete 32 passes for 100% accuracy hit the mark you're talking about.
Again it's not as minuscule as you make it seem.
What you're attempting to do is one of the oldest sales tactics in the book. It's like saying hey you can drive this beautiful car for only $15 a day for the next 5 years.
$15 a day? People spend more than that on a pack of cigs and a coffee every day. Its nothing!
I tend to be on the Josh is on an upward trajectory bandwagon, but your analogy is excellent. 2 passes a game does not seem like a lot, but it adds up.
A couple of things in Josh's favor:
1) He does have a high number of drops, but that is in part on Josh. I remember Vinnie Testeverde had lots of drops from his WRs because he would rifle it in when the pass could have been handled with touch. Josh seems to have a bit of this.
2) I have seen so many WRs make the spectacular catch which would have gone down as a drop or a straight incompletion, but the Bills WR have not at least recently made many of those. I am hoping Diggs will take care of that.
3) He does take more shots (not always good shots) down the field which by definition are lower percentage chances.
Bottom-line: He has the leadership and a lot of potential, but with the weapons he has we need to see that potential result in more positive plays .. which would include a higher percentage of completions.
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7 hours ago, aristocrat said:
First round pick too. One way to throw away tens of millions
But he got some nice watches .. so call it even
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https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2020/05/14/could-russell-wilson-be-traded-by-the-seahawks/
In hindsight the Browns should have taken it. Got me thinking which QBs would I trade straight-up for Josh Allen
KC - Mahommes (YES!)
LV - Carr (platued - no)
Denver - Lock (less proven than JA and less skilled - No)
SD - Taylor (No)
Indy - Rivers (downside of career - No)
Houston - Watson (Not 100% convinced but odds of his success are better - Yes)
Jacksonville - Minschew (lower upside - No)
Tennessee - Tannihill (not as good as appeared last year - No)
Pittsburgh - Rothliesberger (downside of career / injury - No)
Baltimore - Jackson (not convinced he will be long-term great - but reluctant Yes)
Cleveland - Mayfield (Attitude / size - No)
Cincy - Burrow (Not proven - could be amazing or bust - Intrigued but pass)
NE - Stidham (Less athletic - No)
Jets - Darnold (more polished coming out of college, but has performed worse than JA so far; JA has higher ceiling - No)
Miami - Tua (Injury / not proven - Interesting but pass)
Eagles - Wentz (can't stay healthy - No)
Cowboys - Prescott (higher cost and less upside - No)
Redskins - Haskins (Just No)
Giants - Jones (Similar weaknesses to Josh with less upside - No)
Bears - Trubisky (Just No)
Packers - Rodgers (Prima-donna / downside of career - No)
Lions - Stafford (Never been abe to put it all together - No)
Vikings - Cousins (huge price for solid but not spectacular results - No)
Falcons - Ryan (I like his game, but closer to end than start of his career - tough choice but I would pass)
Saints - Brees (I love Brees but looking to retire soon - No)
Panthers - Bridgewater (placeholder till next guy IMHO - No)
Bucs - Brady (GOAT, but an old GOAT - No)
49ers - Garrapolo (never too impressed - No)
Rams - Goff (seems to have hit season and looks like a steady but not great QB - No)
Seahawks - Wilson (great leader / great player -- Yes)
Cardinals - Murray (was impressive as a rookie - I would be fine either way though I love Josh's size)
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I thought they did a really good job where they emphasized how Josh grew in the timing portion of his game where experts thought he would struggle and struggled with his deep passes which experts thought would be his strength
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1 hour ago, Mango said:
I am definitely too busy/lazy at the moment, but you can't adjust the Bills number and not the rest of the league, and state ranking change. They are what they are compared to the league, and everybody gets the bump or nobody does. They might jump 2 spots at best, but they also might just stay the same. Even when accounting for "adjusted" numbers across the league, Buffalo does not see a ton of movement in rankings compared to other franchises.
Buffalo does not jump after adjusting everybody between 23 and 16:
IndyArizona
Carolina
Chargers
Cleveland
And is close with since exact numbers aren't provided, with:
Detroit
NYJ
You are correct .. that was not sound logic on my part.
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On 5/11/2020 at 7:49 PM, HappyDays said:
So if I'm reading this chart correctly, our drops cumutaively took about 55 expected points off the board on the season. That's 3.4 more points per game.
That would have moved us from 23rd in the league to 16th
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https://lastwordonprofootball.com/2020/05/09/the-truth-about-josh-allen/
Not too much new but the author echos my feelings .. we drafted a raw prospect and he has at times shown the raw skillset for good and bad. He needs to take a step forward in 2020 (which I believe he will) in order to avoid competition in 2021.
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3 hours ago, Virgil said:
Still missing 16-0....
13+ isn’t the same pessimist
Virgil .. don't be a pessimist .. we need a 19-0 option
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I went 10-6. If we didn't play our scrubs against the Jests we would have been 11-5 last year. The schedule is much harder, but I think we are a better team than last year as well. 10-6 seems safe and AFCE winner. Anything else is gravy.
ESPN predicts 12-4 for Bills
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teams will be able to release 30 minutes ahead of NFL .. so 7:30 pm tomorrow.
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Blow up of the bills schedule from Roger Godell's chair .. so it must be real
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58 minutes ago, Albany,n.y. said:
When Tasker asked the question who they thought was picked too high, I knew there was no way any of them would answer it. They're not about to criticize another team publicly for reaching. That's for Mel Kiper to do, not NFL employees.
I thought it was cool that they mentioned some non-Buffalo picks that they felt dropped surprisingly
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Steve Tasker, Brandon Beane, Dan Morgan and Joe Schoen. If this was already posted .. I am sorry. If not some really interesting content. Who they were surprised that feel (not just guys they picked). It is long and I haven't finished listening
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He seems very intelligent and does a really solid job breaking down the film. Really should give it a listen.
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Jake Fromm: Controversial comments
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
Just to be clear the last comment from Mr. Weo was related to the patriots new kicker Justin Rohrwassers not James Devlin who was the initial subject of the original post.
https://deadspin.com/justin-rohrwassers-ignorance-about-3-percenters-isnt-be-1843089092