No_Matter_What
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Posts posted by No_Matter_What
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What does this mean? Is Hauschka as good as gone? Or they can keep him based on camp competition and stash this guy on practice squad?
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I wonder if we take Weaver if he is somehow available.
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Gunner I am sort of confused by the lack of excitement on your part. Guys we drafted may be "solid" but overall result is amazing.
Epenesa was around 25 on most big boards, including yours. He is not Chase Young, but he was consensus late 1st/early 2nd round prospect for a reason. And we got him at 54. That is amazing result in my book. Overall tone of your assessment sounds like we drafted him at 33 or so. That would I call "solid".
Moss I understand your reservations about playing style and how it fits Bills need, but I think you partly admitted you were wrong about how we can utilize Singletary. So I wouldn't stress what type of back he is and just be happy with his level of play.
Overall, we had biggest needs at WR, DE and RB. We drafted and "drafted" Diggs, Epenesa and Moss. That sounds like a dream to me.
Just to be clear this is not an attack on you I just would expect you to be more satisfied overall based on your own board
Anyway, moving on to day 3, can you adjust your board for Bills and list your top 10-15 choices for us?
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5 minutes ago, Penfield45 said:
Ravens had a top 3 offense and still drafted another weapon
that’s how you do it. Beane and Mcd will never understand this
They just drafted top proved WR1.
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Only thing I know is that I trust Beane.
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2 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
Latest BPA by my board:
1. Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU
2. Zach Baun*, LB, Wisconsin - inconclusive drugs sample at combine
3. Tyler Biadasz*, C, Wisconsin - injury flag
4. AJ Epenesa, DE, Iowa
5. Josh Jones, OT, Houston
6. Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama
7. Bradlee Anae, DE, Utah
8. Neville Gallimore, DT, Oklahoma
9. Jonathan Greenard, DE, Florida
10. Troy Dye, LB, Oregon
And who do you actually want for us?
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Claypool to Steelers sucks for Bears. They could have had another TE.
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My guess is we take CB and there will be lot of sad faces here.
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1 minute ago, GunnerBill said:
Great pick. I know people here don't love him but Tee Higgins is gonna be a really good NFL player. He is the heir to AJ Green.
Why do you consider it as a great pick when you have like 13 players graded ahead of him?
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Don't they have like two of the best paid CBs already?
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7 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
If the Dolphins are smart now they would package #18 and #26 to get up for Wirfs. Tua and Wirfs would be a hell of a haul.
They need dance partner though.
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Gunner how do top 4 defensive players grade against players on their positions in previous years?
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Bandit your Jets comment is hilarious, and your mock makes sense, esp. those trades for WRs. But I am still convinced that Redskins take Tua.
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Thanks for posting these. I became fan in 2017 so I'll definitely check these.
Sammy Watkins one should also be interesting.
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10 hours ago, GunnerBill said:
EDIT: sorry missed question 3 - happy to do some draft reflections over the summer. Would probably start with 2016 because they are the guys who now have a complete rookie contract behind them.
Great, thanks. Not sure what exactly do you mean by summer but be assured I will get back to you on this in June
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Hi Gunner. Thanks for making these for us who don't watch college and/or don't understand football ?
I have couple of questions.
1. You mentioned couple of times that you have 20 players with 1st round grade. Who are they? I guess 17 are pretty clear: QBs Burrow, Tua, OTs Wirfs, Becton, Wills, Thomas, WRs Jeudy, Lamb, Ruggs, DEs Young, Chaisson, LB Simmons, DTs Brown, Kinlaw, LB Simmons, CB Okudah and S McKinney.
From the first round based on what you wrote I think you consider QBs Herbert, Love, any other WRs and DEs Epenesa and Gross-Matos as first rounders.
So who are remaining three? LBs Queen and Murray and CB Fulton? You said you have him graded higher than Henderson but not sure if it warrants 1st round grade. Or are they both in and one of the LBs not?
2. How much time do you invest in this? I think you said you have ~120 players graded and I assume that you put at least 2 hours of tape into each one, with much more into some. That has to be crazy amount of time.
3. What I miss with mocks and drafts overall is some later evaluation. There are sometimes articles on how drafts pan out but those are really rare. What I would appreciate is if you could put some perspective into past mocks and drafts. Eg. take 2018 draft, take your final mock and make something out of it. Take first round of real draft, mention your draft grade, evaluate how it worked (I think you said you watch every game of NFL so you can evaluate NFL players), and compare your mock with real draft and real performances. Then also take some interesting players from later rounds (Bills players, your remaining top players, players from later rounds who are great) and add them too.
I think something like this would be very interesting for many people if you had som time. I'd like to know how your evaluation translates into real NFL.
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1 minute ago, Virgil said:
I’m going to let this go a little longer since it’s so close.
I’ll see if either get to 50. I’ll check again at noon, giving people a chance
Good decision given how its close.
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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:
Because there are two generational level prospects in this draft in my mind. Chase Young and Jeff Okudah. There are lots of other potential elite guys - the three receivers a couple of the OTs and the two QBs. But if Okudah drops to 7 there are going to be teams ahead of that that reach for need and end up seriously regretting it. That said you are right it does happen. There was no way Ed Oliver should have dropped to #9 either, but he did. That stunned me too.
I am not arguing that Okudh is elite. I don't watch college and even if I did I'd have no clue ? I completely rely on opinion of local experts (with you being among them in my eyes)
I am just saying that based on my experience with last 4 drafts I'd say there is 15-25% chance that Okudah in fact falls out of top 6. Therefore I won't be stunned.
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11 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
If Okudah falls to 7th I would be stunned frankly. Since I have been doing this (2014) the only corner I had a higher grade on was Jalen Ramsey. I have Okudah just ahead of where I graded Lattimore who was in turn just ahead of Tre White and Marlon Humphrey.
Why would you be stunned? Even if GMs were so high on him as you to he can easily fall to 7. I'd say 2 QBs and Young are lock, with 3rd QB being very likely. That leaves only 2 guys to be taken sooner than Okudah. It is very likely that at least one team decides to take franchise OT rather than CB. Then throw in some random pick like Ferrell last year and Okudah goes 7. Lattimore who you mention went 11, after John Ross (!).
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9 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:
I've said this a few times that the Bills could be a better team in 2020 but finish with a worse record due to schedule.
Not true imo. It will be hard to play better and finish 9-7 or worse. Schedule will be harder but not that much. If Bills play better than in 2019 they will beat teams similar to those who beat them in 2019. Oh and we lost one game we'd win with starters in 2019.
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Good. We need something to look forward these days.
Hopefully they also release schedule on time so we can pretend that everything is normal.
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1 hour ago, DJB said:
disgusting gif
I hate you.
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14 minutes ago, PetermansRedemption said:
So, theoretically, couldn’t we manage this thing by making everyone over the age of 50 or 60 stay home? Many over the age of 60 are retired and can stay home anyways. Many, many cases under the age of 60 do not require hospitalization. While many over the age of 60 do require hospitalization.
I have no idea, I was just originally arguing your death rate numbers.
I think total isolation of people over 60 is one of the keys right now. In my country they are not allowed to leave their homes other than for necessary shopping. As of today, all shops are open from 9am to 12noon only for seniors.
But I do think that it is worse that you think even under 60. There are more and more stories spreading how badly are people dealing with virus even when they are 35 or so. I guess we will see.
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7 minutes ago, PetermansRedemption said:
I was actually being generous going to 99.4%. The true statistics are 99.8% survival rate under the age of 39 and 99.6% for the age group of 40-49. 50-59 it goes down to a 98.7% survivability rate.
source: worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/
Ok if you only meant young people then you are probably right (based on available sources). However, it is still based on the fact that even people under 60 get appropriate medical care. It probably will not be possible if much higher percentage of population gets infected.
My Thoughts on the Draft.
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted · Edited by No_Matter_What
Thanks for the write up MB.
You commented on the actual picks, but were there any players which you liked much more in respective rounds when we were picking?
Edit: Also, can we please avoid that silly discussion that FireChans started? It brings nothing to this thread.