Inigo Montoya
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Posts posted by Inigo Montoya
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3 minutes ago, loyal2dagame said:
We're gonna win 14 next year.
6 W's for sweeping the division
W's vs Vikings, Steelers, Browns, Lions, Bears, Rams, Chiefs, and Bengals.
Possibility for 15 W's if the Packers offense has a problem without Adams.
I'd obviously love it if we swept the Chiefs, Rams, and Bengals... but I think winning two of those three games would be great.
I'm curious to see what the schedule looks like. Let's hope the Bills aren't playing those guys on a short week or playing one of those teams with them coming off their bye week. The date of the NFL schedule release hasn't been announced yet, but it's usually a few weeks after the Draft.
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https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/article/executive-decision/early-action-nfl-win-totals-analyzed
https://www.buffalobills.com/schedule/future-opponents
Vegas has the early over under number of wins for the Bills this season at 11 1/2. So far the betting action is moving to the "over" side of that equation.
Home opponents;
AFCE
Packers
Vikings
Steelers
Browns
Titans
Away opponents;
AFCE
Ravens
Bengals
Bears
Lions
Chiefs
Rams
If we go 5-1 in the division we should win these five games and get us to 10 wins;
Steelers
Browns (Brissett or Watkins is the question)
Bears
Vikings
Lions
That means we would need to win two of the following games to hit the over at 12 wins;
Packers
Titans
Bengals
Chiefs
Rams
Ravens
If we can sweep the AFCE that gives us one more game we can lose and still hit the over of 12 wins. I would bet the over.
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I worry Lamar might end up getting screwed like Gordie Howe, making a fraction of what he should have, because he doesn't have anyone who understands the money game looking out for him.
He needs to get a real agent.
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Now we have two Bills’ rules, the Tasker Rule, the gunner can’t run down the sideline out of bounds and renter the field and make the tackle, and now the Josh Allen Rule.
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43 minutes ago, Brennan Huff said:
Nobody cares about the Detroit Lions. Not even people in Detroit. Good job, NFL
Yeah, it's a bit of a head scratcher...
I'm certainly not clamoring for more Jared Goff.
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"For those Miami fans revved up and thinking the Fins will be going toe-to-toe with the Bills for AFC East supremacy this year, I bring you this factoid:
Buffalo and Miami met three times in calendar year 2021 (including the final game of the 2020 season on Jan. 3, 2021). The Bills won by 30, 35 and 15 points, an average of 26.7 points per game.
Maybe Tyreek Hill can add four touchdowns a game against the Bills."
Touche'
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https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/football/nfl/player/1864/jarvis-landry
1. Wow!
2. Glad we got Crowder for $2 million
3. Landry still has game. Not sure he has that much game.
4. Some WR needy team (Chiefs / Packers, etc.) will probably come close.
5. I'd be curious to know what Beasley is asking for.
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This was my response in a similar thread on the Diggs situation earlier today;
I would hate to see Diggs leave Buffalo. He's a great wide receiver and has been a big part of turning this franchise around. Having said that, look at the list of WRs who have had career years with Josh throwing them the ball;
Zay Jones had his career year catching balls from a rookie Josh Allen in 2018. So did Robert Foster. John Brown has his career best season during his first year with Josh in 2019. Beasley has a career year in 2019 with second year Josh throwing him the ball, and then surpasses those numbers the following year in 2020. 2020 is the year Diggs comes to town and what does he do? He has his best season ever. Look at McKenzie and Gabe Davis. I don't think their success is a coincidence either.
Just one example, look at those ridiculous sideline throws to Gabe Davis all last year. What other QB could make those throws, running for his life, and still putting the ball EXACTLY where it needs to be to give Davis a chance to pull it in? We're they great catches by Davis? Absolutely. Does Davis even have a chance to make those catches if someone else is throwing him the ball? Not a chance in hell.
The common theme here is who is slinging these guys the rock. I think Josh is the kind of QB that elevates the WRs on the roster just like Brady did for all those years in New England. Josh doesn't need a Davante Adams or Tyreek Hill to help elevate his game, it's the other way around. We don't need superstar WRs to come here, I think we just need solid WRs and Josh will do the rest.
I really hope we find a way to keep Diggs, but I don't think it's a catastrophe if we can't. As long as we have 17 our passing game will be in good shape.
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I would hate to see Diggs leave Buffalo. He's a great wide receiver and has been a big part of turning this franchise around. Having said that, look at the list of WRs who have had career years with Josh throwing them the ball;
Zay Jones had his career year catching balls from a rookie Josh Allen in 2018. So did Robert Foster. John Brown has his career best season during his first year with Josh in 2019. Beasley has a career year in 2019 with second year Josh throwing him the ball, and then surpasses those numbers the following year in 2020. 2020 is the year Diggs comes to town and what does he do? He has his best season ever. Look at McKenzie and Gabe Davis. I don't think their success is a coincidence either.
Just one example, look at those ridiculous sideline throws to Gabe Davis all last year. What other QB could make those throws, running for his life, and still putting the ball EXACTLY where it needs to be to give Davis a chance to pull it in? We're they great catches by Davis? Absolutely. Does Davis even have a chance to make those catches if someone else is throwing him the ball? Not a chance in hell.
The common theme here is who is slinging these guys the rock. I think Josh is the kind of QB that elevates the WRs on the roster just like Brady did for all those years in New England. Josh doesn't need a Davante Adams or Tyreek Hill to help elevate his game, it's the other way around. We don't need superstar WRs to come here, I think we just need solid WRs and Josh will do the rest.
I really hope we find a way to keep Diggs, but I don't think it's a catastrophe if we can't. As long as we have 17 our passing game will be in good shape.
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I think this hurts the Chiefs more than it helps the Phins. On the whole I think this is a win for the Bills. I don't think Hill is worth three TDs which is about how much we typically beat the Phins by. In a perfect world Hill would have gone to the NFC, but you can't have everything....
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The interviewer is a doctor / nutritionist who's podcast is about healthy living and achieving high performance levels. Asks a lot of great questions about the Buffalo Bills and Josh's mental and physical approach to quarterbacking in the NFL. The podcast is sponsored by the American Pistachio Growers so there's a brief section where they show some clips from when Josh was at a Pistachio growers convention. Most of it is football focused though.
Definitely a great watch / listen
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9 minutes ago, NewEra said:
I don’t think gilmore has any interest in 8-10M to play in Buffalo when he can make more elsewhere. He has his ring.
I agree, he’d be a great @ 8-10M a year. Just don’t think it’s reality
6 minutes ago, Big Turk said:Going to cost way too much
You guys may be right.
But looking at his last four seasons he hasn't been making as much money as I expected he would. According to Over the Cap he has made 9, 10, 14, and 7 million dollars over the last four seasons. When you look at those numbers a fully guaranteed $10 million isn't that unreasonable.
https://overthecap.com/player/stephon-gilmore/255/
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Beane never likes to go into a draft with a whole in the roster. Our CB position is the last glaring need in our roster. Levi is gone and there's a good chance Tre won't be finished rehabing his knee before the start of the season. The available free agent CBs are getting pretty thin; Gilmore, Joe Hayden, Kyle Fuller, Patrick Peterson, Xavier Rhodes, Tavon Young, Chris Harris, Janoris Jenkins are still out there.
Of all those guys I think Gilmore has the most juice left. He is coming off that big contract with the Pats that was paying him $10+ million a year and then signed with the Panthers last year for just $7 million. I'm sure he is looking for another big multi-year deal but he may not get one. If he doesn't, he might be willing to bite on a one year prove it deal in Buffalo and then look to cash in next year.
Buffalo would be an ideal spot for a one year prove it deal. He would likely be playing on a team with a lead in the 4th quarter with opposing QBs pressing to score some points. He would also likely be lined up on the opponent's WR2 when Tre gets back. That sounds like a great situation to start stacking some interceptions.
I know a lot of people here don't like Gilmore because of how he left Buffalo, but that was with the old regime, and honestly, the old regime was a dumpster fire and I don't blame him for wanting to go to a real franchise. If Beane can swing a one year deal on Gilmore I think that would put us over the top. A secondary of Tre, Gilmore, Poyer, Hyde, and Taron Johnson would be scary.
A one year $8-10 million fully guaranteed contract and a chance at a Super Bowl just might just get it done.
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1 hour ago, The Red King said:
Remind me again, which of last year's conference champions were the #1 seed?
Important, yes. Anytime you have to play one less game (where anything could happen from injury to fluke loss) and a week to rest banged up players is an amazing advantage, as is home field the whole way to the big game. But it is not critical. Teams have won the Super Bowl as Wild Cards. Let's not overstate it.
Getting the #1 seed won't be critical, but it will provide an "amazing advantage"? My point is that the "amazing advantage" is even larger now because there isn't going to be an easy out for whoever sits in the 2nd or 3rd seed in the AFC now. There isn't going to be a scrub team like the Steelers last year backing into the playoffs in the AFC anymore.
I think our opinions are actually pretty close on this.
🍻
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37 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:
It’s was critical last year .. until it wasn’t. It was critical in 2020, but we weren’t as good as KC thatvyearhad injuries and wouldn’t have beaten them in OP either. Look, it’d be great to be the 1 seed, but it’s going to be tough in the AFC. The bye can help , but home field is not as huge as it used to be. Neither #1 seed made the Super Bowl last season, and the Bills didn’t lose because they played in KC.
Home field is nice but the point is getting a free pass into the Divisional round. Sitting in the #2 seed in the AFC means playing the 7th seed and who on that list of QBs do you want to play? Which one of those QBs is an easy out? A team like Pittsburgh isn’t getting into the playoffs next year in the AFC, not any more. The 7th seed in the AFC is going to have a Burrow, Jackson, Watson, or Herbert. There aren’t going to be any easy Wild Card matchups in the AFC anymore. -
With the continued stockpiling of elite talent in the AFC, it will make running the gauntlet to the Super Bowl even more difficult. Getting the #1 seed in years past was always looked at in the context of your team getting an extra week to heal up before the start of the playoff push. Now with Allen, Mahomes, Herbert, Jackson, Watson, Wilson, and Burrow all in the AFC, there isn't a single easy out to be had. That's a real Murderer's Row. Derek Carr with Adams, Waller, and Renfrow won't be an easy out either.
Getting an automatic ticket to the Divisional Round means one less game against one of these QBs and that has to be the focus of the Bills this season. We can't have another Pittsburgh or Jacksonville game this year. The Bills will have the big advantage of playing in the weakest division in the AFC and they need to run the table or go no worse than 5-1 in division play.
Josh and company need to come out of the gate strong and start stacking wins. Getting that #1 seed and first round bye in the playoffs is going to be critical for the next decade in this crazy deep AFC if the Bills are going to win a championship.
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10 hours ago, Cruiserplayer said:
Ok I’ll say it: Robert Woods is f ing Crazy!!!
Sammy Watkins is f ing Crazy!!!
For real.
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I think our big ticket free agency is over with Von Miller. I don't even want to let myself dream about lining up Woods next to Diggs across from Davis. Robert Woods is the one Bill I wish we hadn't let get away.
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Rodgers doesn't need Adams. For $50 million he's going to throw the ball to himself.
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The AFCW is officially Bonkers!
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The AFCW is officially Bonkers!
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38 minutes ago, RoyBatty is alive said:
He escalated everything now.
Whatever team he goes to he will be a distraction, no debate about that. Former #1 pick Heisman trophy winner. Gugny is correct, he should have kept his mouth shut. That tweet will end up costing the Borwns and himself a lot. And the Browns FO is incredibly inept with how they handled this.
I think it's a generational thing. I'm not a Boomer but close, I'm a Gen Xer and for some young people, things don't happen, things aren't real until they are posted on social media. The term "Facebook Official" comes to mind about dating.
For Baker the idea of not commenting on something like this on social media is anathema. Kind of like Cole with his COVID stance on Twitter. I personally feel no need to share details of my life with strangers on the internet. I'm not saying one view is right and one is wrong, it's just one of the big differences between generations where one grew up with rotary dial phones and one grew up cutting their teeth on iPhones.
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Cole Beasley was a fantastic Buffalo Bill and there is no way our team is better without him. I understand it's a business and there's only so much money to go around. I wish him success wherever he goes.
Thanks Cole for being a part of turning this dysfunctional franchise around.
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Any given year there are a handful of teams that have the talent to win a championship, and the Bills are one of them. To win the Super Bowl you need to have talent on the roster and a good bit of luck. Who is healthy come playoff time, who gets the pass interference call from the refs, does that tipped pass hit the turf or fall into a DB's hands, who wins the coin toss?
There's not much you can do about the luck factor, but it's up to Beane and company to take care of the first part, the talent on the roster. Heading into this offseason and being strapped for cap space, I was hoping first and foremost not to take a step backwards on the roster. I was hoping Beane would find a way to replace the talent that was going to inevitably leave in free agency.
We don't have a lot of cap space because Beane has already put together a championship level roster. It's the Jets of the league, the rebuilding teams with limited talent on the roster, that are flush with cash and can go shopping in free agency. For teams like the Bills, the goal is to maintain their talent level and hopefully add a piece here or there that may give them a slight edge for when the playoffs start.
Losing our CB2 and Beasley is tough but I think on the whole we have at least held the line with the talent on the roster and have made some improvements. Obviously Von Miller is big but also shoring up our run defense with two big DTs was a nice move. Williams for Saffold is probably no worse than a push and is probably an upgrade for the O-Line. Putting OJ Howard out there gives the defense one more thing to worry about.
Ultimately, if we can address the CB position before the start of the season, the Bills should be able to return a team that has not taken a big step backwards and that is great news. We are a franchise that is clearly "in the window" right now and so far I think Beane is making the moves needed to keep us there.
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Vegas over/under wins; Bills 11.5 - How do we get to 12?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
This may not be a popular opinion but I'm hoping we don't have too many primetime games this season. It would be nice for the Bills to get a 1 pm EST rhythm going. Primetime games usually result in a short week and I'd rather the other marquise teams get the lion's share of those games.
I'm not very hopeful though, Josh Allen is just too damn entertaining for his own good. I think this is the year the unrecruited / JUCO QB and pistachio farmer in Buffalo becomes one of the faces of the NFL.