ColoradoBills
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Posts posted by ColoradoBills
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9 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:
I think cash-to-cap is an intriguing idea though transitioning to it would be painful.
Yeah, most teams restructure contracts. Most teams are NOT sitting $55 million over the cap (using the OTC figure) and forced to restructure just to get under the cap even with 22 FAs no longer under contract.
The Chief, in contrast, won a SB and are $15 million under the cap. They have the 2nd least dead money ($457,000) in the league because they don't continually kick the can down the road.How do we catch up to their roster strength when they have $70 million more to spend?
KC has done a good job with the cap but don't let these current numbers hide what is in front of them.
They have some big $ guys on UFA right now. Jones, Sneed, Danna and Gay to name a few.
If those guys were under contract the numbers would be drastically different.
KC did a mini-reset the year they let Hill go and got in a good cap situation while still dressing a good team.
I'm in the group thinking the Bills need to reset this year.
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22 hours ago, HappyDays said:
Gun violence is a real problem. So are car accidents. So is heroin overdose. These are the risks of living in a free country, which we accepted a couple hundred years ago. Rights can always be taken away to in theory reduce the chance of tragic untimely death, but personally I'm happy to live in a free country and accept these risks.
The risk of any individual being killed in a shooting like this is exceedingly rare. I see people say things like "I'm now scared to go to any public gathering." You're free to have these feelings, but they aren't rational. You're much much much more likely to be killed while commuting to the public gathering than at the public gathering. You're more likely to die while showering to get ready to go out. Don't let these tragic events consume you.
I tend to agree with your points. Although, I am an adult (actually becoming an old man). This "gun violence" is here to stay and there is
nothing much that can be done about it in today's world.
I will say that the destruction of gun violence doesn't end with the victim. At an event like this (and these crazy school shootings) causes
a lot of parents to try to explain to young kids WHY it has to be the way it is. I know I wouldn't want to be in that situation. I'll take it a step
further and say I'm glad I didn't have to go through something like that when I was a child.
Gun violence, road rage, crippling addiction, sexual abuse, among all the other destructive traits, are too prevalent in today's world.
I'll admit I feel a little sad that I have become numb to it all.
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24 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:
This is what my gut tells me will happen. And it's a good move for both parties.
Tre won't likely see big bucks as a FA. And if he comes back and is able to play I don't know if he's better than Douglas or Benford at this stage of his career. He's likely the #3 boundary CB. The one caveat here is IF he were to come back and IF he's healthy enough to be the #2 CB...a case could be made for the Bills to start the Benford to safety transition they talked about last off season.
That would also IMO depend on Elam taking steps forward and possibly Dane Jackson returning as experienced depth. So a lot in play for a move like this.
Agree. It almost amounts to the pay cut being a "prove your still worth elite money" deal.
I think Tre would take it and not feel bad about it.
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2024 is the final hope for the Jets with Aaron. He only has a $17M hit.
2025 he has a $51.5M hit followed by a void year $35M hit in 2026.
Jets have 10 other players with void year hits coming this year and in 2025.
It's all in for them this season and if they end up with only 8 or 9 wins the draft won't help them either.
UFA this March will be interesting in players both coming and going.
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1 minute ago, section122 said:
Arizona is taking marvin harrison jr at 4 barring something crazy. Depending on what happens with higgins i can see 18 being the last wr taken before the Bills pick. It's going to be an interesting game of chicken between buffalo and kc as I think they will both be targeting a wr.
I was myopic and forgot their #4. I agree with the KC thing.
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6 minutes ago, Mango said:
I agree that he won’t see the end of his contract. Everybody in the building knows it.
But restructuring basically guarantees we get close..
Out of pocket so keeping this simple with pre-June cuts. 2024 is the only time
cutting/trading Diggs hurt us currently. Restructuring ties the teams hands and kicks the can down the road. The current situation is below. I think (ouch) a restructure ties us together until 2026.
2024: -$3M net cap
2025: $5M
2026: $15M
2027: $18M
I wouldn't restructure him again. You watch how many fans on this board will want to do that.
I'm not sure what Beane decides on this issue, I give it a 50/50 shot on one more restructure.
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2 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:
We do NOT need a #2 WR.
We need a new #1 who pushes Diggs down to #2. That is the best way to keep Diggs here and afford to let him play out his contract (which we'll need to do on a dead money basis).
Then as Diggs' contract expires in 4 years, we still have the new #1 on a 5th year option cheap before having to shift Stef's money to the #1's extension.
I agree Beane needs to go for the new WR1 this year. I don't agree with Diggs sticking around for the end of his contract.
His cost (before they restructure probably one more time) is $28.4M in 2026. Current dead cap that year is $13.4M.
Could be gone that year.
NO WAY he is playing for $22M+ in 2027 when he is 34 years old with a $4.5M dead cap.
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17 minutes ago, CaptnCoke11 said:
Can’t afford the top guys and zero interest in the other ones. Just draft one in round 1 or 2 finally.
Here is the full WR free agent list from Spotrac.
75 players.
https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/free-agents/all/wide-receiver/all/
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11 hours ago, QCity said:
This might be the most mindless cap breakdown I've ever seen. He's essentially just reading Spotrac to you. Every single team in the league can create cap space by restructuring 6 or 7 players, and then releasing another 10 players and pretending their replacements will cost nothing. If anyone is serious about learning more about cap management this is the last video you want to watch. It's nonsensical comfort food.
Come on, just keep doing what the New Orleans Saints have been doing. You know that team who has missed the playoffs 3 straight
years (in a weak division) and the same team that has won 1 playoff game in the last 5 years!
It's brilliant.
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17 hours ago, Simon said:
As the de facto janitor, I was really not looking forward to breaking out the mop after having the season end in such a brutal fashion. Wading through the trolling, insults and crusading and trying to moderate it all was the last thing on this planet I wanted to deal with after that game. But as I have been reading around the board, I'm totally blown away to see the class and character with which 95% of this community has reacted to having their hearts ripped out again. Much respect to this community and the strength and dignity which runs through it.
Y'all have built something really nice here and as sad as I am about the Bills, I'm just as happy with what you've created for yourselves. And maybe at the end of the day, that's what's more important.
Wouldn't mind you pinning this for a bit for guests and visitors (some fans who I'd like to invite to this board), so they see the good in it.
Just a thought.
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1 minute ago, newcam2012 said:
Valid point. He's cherry picking for sure. However, it's extremely disappointing that the Bills have lost three straight divisional round playoffs games. Two of which were at home.
Something has to change because I don't think any Bills fans are happy with this.
With respect, I ask what's going to be different year? What makes you think the Bills will advance to at least the AFC Championship game?
Miami gave the Bills all they could handle. Cinci with a healthy Burrow seems to be a poor matchup for Buffalo. KC seemingly owns the Bills.
I expect another playoff appearance for Buffalo but beyond that I have some serious doubts.
Am I on that list?
I don't know what will happen this offseason. I started a thread about it. I'm just a fan with my feelings. It's always tough when you are
the one who has to make the decisions.
I'll watch what happens, give my opinion and watch the games next season. I've been doing that for a long, long, long time.
2 minutes ago, Fan in Chicago said:Imo, Beane's biggest offseason mistake was to not sign DHop. He just had to do the required capology to make the $$s work.
If we had him, I truly believe this season would have gone much differently and we would be very much alive.
While I would have been fine with that, I admit I wasn't one of you guys "pounding the table" for it.
After seeing the way the season ended with the WR situation, I'm thinking I was wrong.
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Just now, phypon said:
Weird that he said that since they've run the ball more the last half of the season. Also, lot of running plays and plays behind the line of scrimage Sunday.
Not going after you with this reply. Just pointing out the contradiction. Maybe he figured this out after the loss. Let's see what he does next year.
Davis, Sherfield and Harty were not the answers. Have to reload at get the right WRs this year.
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5 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:
I wouldn't say he has never had one though to be honest...Diggs was the number 1 deep ball WR in the NFL when we traded for him. He may not be big, but he played big. Then Davis has been a big target for him too.
But Davis gets back to my original point where as I would rather have someone who consistently gets separation and always catches the ball then just a guy who has some occassional big jump balls. Davis only value was really on those straight line deep balls, and because of that he would disappear or barely factor in most games and then have a couple big games where he had those big downfield catches for TD's.
Again, don't disagree it would be nice, I just don't want another Davis...if we bring some big target in, they need to be more reliable than Davis was.
First off, thanks for being open to my opinion, even if you see it differently.
Diggs is still a deep threat, just not the "type" WR I'm talking about.
I will admit there was a time when I thought Davis could fill that role, but it never materialized.
We (at least most) Bills fans want 2 new outside WRs this coming season. I already said what I think one should be, the other is a speedy
guy with separation skills. Maybe we can compromise on that! LOL.
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3 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:
I just keep thinking about 'continuity' and the idea that this regime deserves to be here no matter what but then I look at a team like the Texans who picked #2 overall in the draft last year because they were terrible and then just one year later with a rookie head coach and QB had the same exact success and Beane and McDivisionals Bills.....a division title and losing in the divisional round.
So again, what am I missing here....or more importantly what is Terry Pegula missing seeing other teams do this year after year so quickly?
After the Chiefs game I gave "amnesty" to ALL ignored posters on my list. I can see you will be back on it soon.
For every "Texans" quick turnaround there are a dozen teams that don't. I do remember posts of yours, very recently, touted teams
like the Chargers being so much better run and coached that the Bills.
How did that work out for you? Go and post on the fish boards.
You are a troll.
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31 minutes ago, Bob Jones said:
Can anybody translate for us? 🤔😂
I will get my Korean girlfriend to do just that.
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3 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:
I mean I get the want, and it would be nice, but its also not as important as people make it out to be. WR's who have great hands and get great separation are more reliable and impact the game more than a guy who can catch 1 or 2 jump balls.
Plus, Josh has a big go up and get it target in Kincaid, so for me, I would rather see us get a guy who can help stretch the field and be a true deep threat than just a big guy. And if that stretch the field guy also happens to be big, then even better, but I want guys who consistently get open and catch the ball and not drop it more than I want size.
Don't get me wrong, I am not against adding size at all, just don't want to force size over someone who may be a better overall WR at catching and getting open.
I don't disregard the worth of a WR who has good separation skills. I do disagree with the 1 or 2 jump ball catches 40 yards down field.
I'm not talking about a high dollar 1,000-yard guy per year needed here. But nothing will change my mind that of the 4 WRs playing on
gameday that having this option is not needed.
No one, even Josh, knows how that could benefit the team. He has never had one.
The Bills have the separation guy in Diggs. Shakir can still develop what he is good at, and Kincaid can get a ball but will never have the
speed needed to stretch the field they way that is needed.
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2 minutes ago, schoolhouserock said:
Strictly from memory and not any sort of data, the deep ball success rate seemed to be much worse this season than in years past. That was a mild surprise, I think. Not a one of the receivers really stepped up in this regard.The deep ball seems to represent the biggest difference between something the team could do really well offensively (given Josh’s arm strength, his accuracy, and an o-line good enough to make the time) and something the team executed very poorly.
The Bills must find a receiver that can capitalize.
Another thing along the same lines - I thought the Bills receivers were horrible in drawing pass interference penalties. Deep balls offer ample opportunity. I mean, Denver used it to their advantage in the MNF game this season. We saw a big one in the 49ers-GB playoff game. It’s like the Bills’ receivers are content in allowing the defenders to sit on the WR’s hip, rather than forcing the defender to make contact.
With Josh Allen as QB it should be close to, if not leading the league, in those plays.
A great running game would set that up.
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10 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:
So what I think we need most is an eventual WR1 to replace Diggs after next season. Then add some young speed as well who can play on the boundary
I just posted in the presser thread the following.
Josh Allen deserves the chance to show what he can do with a big "go up and get it" WR. He has never had one of those types.
It should be priority #1.
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13 minutes ago, Process said:
Whether Diggs still is a #1 WR is not the question.
Josh Allen deserves to show what he can do with a big "go up and get it" WR. He has never had one of those in Buffalo.
It needs to be priority #1 in this fan's wish list.
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Josh has taken a number of deep shots while Brady has been OC. The bad news is they haven't connected on many.
The run success sets up the deep passes.
Need a deep threat WR IMO.
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Just wanted to say thanks for all that replied. Some good options were presented.
My brain (and heart) need a bit of a break from Bills football but it's less than 8 weeks before important decisions will have to be made by Beane.
It's going to be an interesting spring.
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4 minutes ago, TFBillsfan said:
IMO it doesn’t need torn down but it certainly needs an infusion of talent in certain areas.
QB: Set with Josh
OL is the best it’s been in years and should be a strength next year.
TE: Solid Kincaid and Knox
RB: Good with Cook and Johnson but need to add a young power back. Cook should be on the jug machine all off season.
WR: MUST UPGRADE with more speed and a playmaker. Need to hit in a deep WR draft. Two picks should go to WR. Beane has to get it right!
Defensively, this is where change is needed.
CB: Build around Douglas and Benford with Dane and Elam backing up. Taron Johnson in the slot. Solid group
LB: Milano and Benford with good depth with Williams and Dodson. Good core group
S: Hyde, Hamlin are likely gone. I’d resign Rapp if it works but I’m drafting for a S in the draft. Need to add speed and a ballhawk.
DE: Not much you can do with Von. Gotta pray he’s not a liability in 2024. Bills need to hit in the draft with a pick that becomes an immediate and consistent disruptor. It’s a glaring gap. Floyd, AJE and Shaq are likely gone. They’ve swung and whiffed too many times.
DT: Oliver and hopefully resign Jones. Settle, Ford, Phillips and Joseph probably gone for younger talent.
The bigger questions is what happens at the coordinator positions. Our offense while good is too inconsistent and at times everything seems harder than it should. I’d like a proven DC brought it.
Re-signing the guys you want and getting the upgrades cost $. Bills don't have any, so it has to come from restructuring ALL the big
player contracts. I just don't know if that is the right thing to do this offseason.
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2 minutes ago, ngbills said:
There is no tank for a year to rebuild in 2025. I dont think that is possible. You have to make some difficult decisions this year to get better for next year.
Likely moves: White cut, Morse cut, Poyer cut, Harty cut, Hines cut. Some could be restrux or resigned to cheaper deals. These alone are $30M and not hard players to replace.
Restrux: Allen, Diggs, Miller alone give you $40M.
So just the moves above are $70M in savings. If you need more you can restrux guys like Knox, McG, Milano and some others to get another $10M+.
That gives you enough to draft a wr, sign a wr, and add some players to the D.
QB Allen
RB Cook, cheap rb's are always available
WR Diggs, Shakir, Free agent, draft pick, draft pick, shorter, other free agents
TE Kincaid, Knox, cheap TE
OL Free agent C or Bates, McG, Torrence, Dawkins, Brown or free agent RT
DT Oliver, Jones, Free Agents/Draft Picks
DE Rousseau, Miller, Free Agents/Draft Picks (AJE, Floyd, Phillips, Lawson?)
LB Bernard, Milano, Spector, Williams, Free Agents/Draft Picks
DB Douglas, Johnson, Benford, Elam, Draft/Picks Free Agents
Definitely could go the way you say.
Restructuring Allen, Diggs, Milano, Knox, McGovern and Von Miller IS staying the course.
I was just thinking out loud about the alternatives.
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2 minutes ago, gobills404 said:
The contracts for Diggs, Von, White, and Knox are anchors holding this team back in the immediate future. $94 million in dead cap between those 4 players. Gross.
I didn't want to get into the numbers, but Diggs and Von would HAVE to be post June cuts. Diggs could be traded and the Bills eat a lot of $.
Knox has to redo his contract. Splitting that big dead cap over 2 years can be done.
It's a fans question that I asked, it would take some big balls by Beane to try it.
Saints - “The bill comes due.”
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
The New Orleans Saints do not have a good football team.
They are in a weak division and haven't made the playoffs since Brees left (3 years).
They are 25-26 in the last 3 years (in that weak division) and should have totally reset in 2021.
You reap what you sow.
I still laugh when fans think their "blueprint" is in any way worth emulating.