ChiGoose

Something to consider when looking at aggregated House election numbers here is the impact of uncompetitive races or unopposed candidates on the overall numbers.

This is good news for Cortez-Masto. Doesn't necessarily mean she's going to hold on, but it at the least keeps her in the fight while these are counted.

Yes. Most of the outstanding ballots are from Dem strongholds. It'll just depend on how many ballots there are left to count.

It's slim one way or the other. I'm seeing anything between R+10 and D+2 or 3. I'm guessing at this point, it's s slim R majority but the fact that the Dems are still in play is nuts. Also, no idea how McCarthy whips the votes for Speaker if the GOP lead is 5 or fewer votes.

Looking at the data we have, there's still a chance that the Dems hold the House. That's insane. If that happens, it's an utter failure and embarrassment for the GOP. They should have been in position to have the House called for them at this point.

Clearly one of the greatest thinkers of our time.

The leadership of the NY Dem party should be fired into the sun. While they were hampered by the prohibition on gerrymandering, their underperformance is inexcusable. On the other hand, if the GOP gets it's way in Moore v. Harper, they can just redraw the lines so that every House district has enough of NYC in it to clean sweep the entire delegation.

Oh great. Four more weeks of this election. Just what everybody wanted.

This is called the Spoiler Effect and it's why nobody should vote third party until we get rid of First Past the Post elections. Full disclosure, I have voted third party in the past. It was dumb. I won't do it again in a FPTP election.

It literally says slavery in the Constitution. That is the word that is used. So they are voting to change it from slavery is permitted in some circumstances to slavery is not permitted at all.

Ron Johnson defeats Mandela Barnes in WI Barnes was a terrible choice for candidate. I was a monthly donor for Godlewski who probably would have ended up pulling it off. Ron Johnson is the luckiest guy in the Senate. Rides the 2010 wave to an unexpected victory and is assumed to be a one-termer but then is up in 2016 for the Trump wave. Now, he gets a poor Dem candidate and somehow a guy who was never supposed to make it to the Senate has been elected to his third term. Hats off to him, I suppose.

Essentially. It's prohibiting involuntary and/or unpaid prison labor. The state constitution currently reads: "Section 33. That slavery and involuntary servitude, except as a punishment for crime, whereof the party shall have been duly convicted, are forever prohibited in this state." The amendment would change it to: "Slavery and involuntary servitude are forever prohibited in this State.”

Absolutely zero percent chance of this happening. None. Less than zero, somehow. It's not going to happen. Go ahead and bookmark this to throw in my face and then completely forget about it because this is not going to happen. It's just the fever dream of the terminally online.

Ummm... I just noticed that around 300,000 people in Tennessee voted against removing constitutional language allowing slavery. WTF?

I still think the simplest way is to have the rights of the woman paramount early in the pregnancy with that giving way to the baby later in the pregnancy. Lots of grey area in the middle where we can try to draw a line or restrictions. In any case, what we *should* be focusing on is preventing unwanted pregnancies instead of overregulating medical care.

I don't understand why Ukraine wouldn't want to press their advantage. They want their legal 1991 borders back and uncovering the atrocities in Russian-occupied cities likely hardens their resolve to not leave any Ukrainians under Russian occupation.

The thing we often forget is that the states are not making election calls right now. They won't until all of the counting is done, and in some cases, they'll do audits and/or recounts as well, before certifying the election. What we are currently seeing is media outlets making projections based on the election data. I do not know how they should calculate potential outstanding ballots in heavy mail-in ballot states. That level of knowledge and math is beyond me. At this point, best bet is to just wait and see. Also, (I realized I didn't actually answer your question) I think they should count them ahead of time. The states that do that don't release any results until the end of Election Day anyway since that could impact the vote. But when they do release the results, they can include everything that came in before election day.

Depends on the state: I'm hoping we will have an answer in Nevada soon since they should have been counting the mail-in ballots as they came in. However, the other factor that's not on the chart is when mail-in ballots are acceptable. I think for many it's just that they have to be postmarked by election day, meaning that they will still be getting valid ballots in over the next couple of days as the mail is delivered. In that case, they'll have to estimate how many votes they should expect to see over the next couple of days before making a decision in a close race.

It's honestly going to be pretty funny if the GOP takes the house by like, 5-10 seats and then the election for speaker is a disaster because McCarthy is a wet noodle with the intelligence of a bag of rocks.

Both Whitmer and Hochul were favored to win headed into election day. The races were believed to be competitive due to the assumed pro-GOP environment but either losing would have been an upset. This is obviously not the plan. Absolutely nobody (other than you, I guess), will be surprised when this does not happen.

Depends on state law and competency. Some states allow for mail-in votes to be prepped for counting before election day and some allow them to actually be counted before election day. Those kinds of states are generally able to get the results in quickly on Election Day or the following day. Other states don't allow anything to be done with the mail-in ballots until election day. They sit in boxes as unopened mail and have to be prepped and counted while the state is also conducting election day activities. Those states tend to take longer, especially if there are significant numbers of mail-in ballots.

I guess spending billions of dollars on recreating Second Life wasn’t the most fiscally responsible move.

It’s times like these where it’s really evident that he suffers from Narcissistic Personality Disorder.

From what we have seen in 2018, 2020, and 2022, I think it’s fair to say that Trump hurts the GOP when he’s not on the ballot. He gets people out to vote when he’s at the top of the ballot but otherwise, people aren’t enthused with the cretins and weirdos he endorses.