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Shaw66

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Posts posted by Shaw66

  1. 1 hour ago, njbuff said:

    I find this stuff fascinating.

     

    I am looking everywhere, all the time to see what is going on.

     

    What do you think?

    It was deadly boring a month ago, because the Bills coaching situation and GM situation were all set.  I wrote about how boring it was and that it wouldn't get interesting until free agency. 

     

    Now I'm like you.  I'm looking every hour to see if there's news.  

     

    In the last couple of weeks we've had three interesting signings and the Tyrod trade.  Now we're waiting on Wednesday for a qb.  

     

    Things definitely have heated up. 

    35 minutes ago, White Linen said:

     

    I had dinner with a high ranking staff member of the Carolina Panthers Friday.  He said Beane is one of the smartest people he's ever been around in his life.  He went on to say we're in good hands with him because he's just one of those guys that seems to be a step ahead.  According to him, it would surprise no one with the Panthers that knew him if he built a winning team.  He called him a beautiful mind and when someone would bring up a point - Beane would have an in depth analysis of the point as if he'd already been working on it for months - but in reality his brain is constantly in overdrive.

     

    I found it an extremely interesting conversation.  

    That's really interesting.  Not surprising - I'd hoped he was like that.  He seems that way in his pressers.   He gives interesting direct answers.  

    1 hour ago, BadLandsMeanie said:

    I agree it is the opposite of every off season I can remember.

    I agree about it being different.  This is the first time that I can remember thinking that the GM and coach knew what they were doing. 

     

    Lots of people seem to be freaking out about whether the Bills will get this free agent or draft that qb.  I'm not. I think McBeane know exactly what they're doing. I'm just interested to see what they're thinking. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. 1 hour ago, 26CornerBlitz said:

     

    I don't see Foles as the long term answer the Bills have been looking for since 1996.  It's as simple as that. 

     

     

    I'd rather sign a UFA QB and keep my 2nd and 3rd. 

     

    Actually I think Foles could be the long term answer, but as I  think about it I think you're right about signing a free agent  QB instead.  Bridgewater or Kewnum or Bradford could be as good a solution and won't cost draft capital.  

    1 hour ago, 26CornerBlitz said:

     

     

  3. I don't think the Bills would have moved on from Taylor if they weren't nearly complete certain that they had a veteran replacement.  They weren't going into 2018 with Peterman and a rookie.  

     

    The news has been that the Eagles want to move Files and there was a rumor the Bills offered a second.  My first thought when I heard about Taylor was that the Bills needed another pick to sweeten the pot for the Eagles.  

     

    Foles has played a lot of good football in the NFL, just not consistently.  If the Bills want him, I have to think the Bills can make him a consistent quality starter.  It also means they can go slow on a rookie QB.  No trade up, just get another quality youngster ti compete with Peterman.  Files would be your guy for 2 or 3 or 8byears, depending in how Files and the youngsters pan out.  

     

    In the meantime, the Bills will still have at least three picks in the top 65.  

     

    I'm still hoping for Cousins.  There's been no news about him for days now, and the reports that he was down to four teams weren't all that firm.  

     

    It's going to be an interesting week. 

    • Like (+1) 3
  4. Turns out the policy has been in place for a couple of years now.  

     

    It makes some sense to me, especially if you think the team is on its way to some years as a championship contender.   

     

    How many of these requests do you think they get?   Maybe 100 a year?   How many are from legitimate fans who want to attend most games, and how many are from people who will be reselling?   I'd bet at least half are resellers.   So the Bills are giving up $100,000 of revenue by saying no to out of town buyers.   Half of them are serious fans, many or most of whom will find a way to circumvent the rules to get tickets - usually by just having a friend or relative buy for them.   The resellers are more likely just to move on.   In other words, the Bills will still half the tickets, and it'll only cost them about $50,000 a year to have said no.   When the Bills are winning, it means they have those unsold tickets in inventory to sell to local fans who want season tickets or even single game tickets.  

     

    This does several things:   1.  There are fewer fans of the opposing team in the stadium.   2.  The Bills are able to satisfy ticket demand in the local area, making more fans that really matter to them happy and increasing secondary market value to the Bills.   Local advertisers are more interested in marketing with the Bills the more local fans are happy.  3,  Selling locally means more kids coming to the games, and that helps build fan loyalty in the next generation.   

     

     

  5. 12 hours ago, Logic said:

    Detroit and Miami had him during his best years and they didn't win squat.

    Dirty player, will be overpriced, not a McDermott guy. 

    Just say no.

    All true.  

     

    The reality is that NO player has a noticeable impact on wins and losses except QBs.   They just don't.   So it doesn't make sense to spend a lot of money on any player except QB.   Much better to buy a lot of $2-3 million talent and plug them into your system.   Three $4 million guys will help your team more than one $12 million guy.   

    • Like (+1) 1
  6. 6 minutes ago, TigerJ said:

    This is about where my thoughts lie on the subject.  If Beane can sign street free agents who don't cost a lot, don't count in the compensatory draft formula, and might help the team, why wouldn't he, whether he is planning to trade up or not?

    Exactly.   

     

    I keep saying it, but McBeane won't admit it - this is the Belichick/Parcells model.   You keep acquiring talented players (not stars, just talented guys) and plug them into your system.  If they take to it, you keep 'em, if they don't, cut 'em loose.   A lot of draft picks lets you add more talent.   Find your QB wherever you can.  

     

    Bills probably will sign a free agent QB (or trade for Foles) and draft a qb with one of the picks they currently have.   

     

    Only wild card I see in the situation is Lawson.   If they don't like Lawson (and I don't know if they do or don't), and if they could find another trade partner to get one more decent pick, THEN they might be positioned to trade up.   

     

    But it's all just pure guess work.  

     

     

  7. People are seeing in this what they want.  The early signings might also mean they're getting a few guys cheap bexcuse they're about to write a big check for a qb, like Foles.  

     

    Just have to wait and see.  

     

    I still think they won't trade up more than 10 spots in the first round.  I think they might not even do that.  Just take the best qb they see when it's their turn. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  8. I like this. 

     

    I like getting good athletes drafted high who struggle on their rookie contracts.  They have talent and they have something to prove.  

     

    McDermott is the kind of coach - sincere, understanding but demanding - who can help a guy committed to getting better.  

     

    Ivory, Davis and Iggy.  Inexpensive talent.  Draft picks are inexpensive talent too.  Pretty clear that's what McBeane are looking for.  

    • Like (+1) 4
  9. 7 minutes ago, BuffaloBill said:

     

     

    Correct, we are trying to keep your kind out of the country.  Expect a Trump tweet on this tonight.  Probably something about keeping the criminal element in Canada along with your dumped steel.

    Right. Trump's trying to bring steel manufacturing back to Lackawanna. he doesn't want any foreigners bringing steel into New Era Field.  Plain as day, when you think about it. 

  10. 44 minutes ago, Binghamton Beast said:

     

    I love you coming in here and assuming the Vikings are going to win a SB or two in the next three years because of Kirk Cousins.

     

    Pardon me while I piss my pants laughing.

    Read much, Beast?  Where does my post assume anything?  

     

    I said "if."  If you need help understanding the concept that word signifies, let me know and I'll try to advance your education.  

  11. If he gets good coaching, I think Cousins will be one of the top 5 QBs in the league in two years.    I think so because I think he's probably among the top 5 QBs in the league to be a coach-on-the-field-type QB.   He's smart, he studies, he executes the way he's supposed to.   With good coaching, he'll be outsmarting defenses around the league.   

     

    Of course, he could suck in crunch time, in which case in matter how smart he is. 

  12. 2 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

     

    It could also mean we already have a deal in place to trade up and take a top QB. Getting a top 10 QB on a rookie deal for a few years is the hope.

    I just can't imagine Beane giving up a boatload of picks to get into the top 5.   I'll be astounded if that happens.   

     

    I think it means they'll sit tight in the draft, maybe move up to 10-15 if they see an opportunity.   Then they'll take the best QB they can, and they'll go to camp with Taylor, Peterman and the rookie.   Unless the rookie looks great, Taylor will be your 2018 starter.   2019 starter will be Taylor, if he has a great 2018 or Peterman or the rookie, whoever emerges.   

     

    What I don't like about that is that with Cousins you can have a solid starter who may turn out to be great but who at least will be a good deal better than Taylor until you find the guy who IS great.   

  13. 11 minutes ago, H2o said:

    Here are 3 vids to watch of St. Brown. He catches plenty of passes with his hands, but sometimes ball placement requires you to let the ball get to your body. You also have to do so when shielding defenders at times. I think he is underrated as a prospect especially when you watch how he runs routes for a guy his size. He's not a one trick pony and he can take a ball to the house from any level of the field. When he runs around 4.45 at the combine it won't be surprising to me like it will be to others. 

     

    I thought we were talking about Chark..

  14. 2 hours ago, TheTruthHurts said:

    I don't even think the throws he avoids are risky throws. 1 on 1 contested throws are IMO low risk throws all top passing QBs attempt. 

    I don't want to argue about it, because the point's the same.   If you don't throw them in the second quarter, you won't learn how to throw them in the fourth quarter.  

     

    I'm not sure you're right about your point, however.    First, Brady doesn't throw contested balls.   A very high percentage of his throws are out of the reach of any defender.   I think the same is true for Rodgers, too.   Quarterbacks throw to receivers who have an advantage over the defender - the receiver has a step on a deep pattern, or the receiver has the defender turned so the QB can throw to the back shoulder, or the receiver is six inches taller or 40 pounds heavier than the defender.   The only 50-50 balls they throw are occasional deep passes, especially on third down, where an INT doesn't hurt you much.   

     

    If you throw 6 50-50 balls in a game, you'd get two completions, two incompletions and two interceptions, on average, and that's a bad result.   

     

    Good QBs don't throw 50-50 balls very often.  

  15. 4 hours ago, TheTruthHurts said:

    An argument against Taylor's low INT %. 

    This doesn't surprise me. I think QBs who are cautious about throwing the ball never learn how to take risks when they throw.   If there's a risk, they don't throw.   

     

    Then, when they get to the 4th quarter and need a score, they don't HOW to take risks, because they don't take risks any other time.  So they make bad choices. 

     

    It's common among conservative quarterbacks.   

  16. 44 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

    Yeah, who doesn't love 3 and outs and the punt game!!

     

    Anyway, scoring has been pretty stable through the decades, despite the perception that it hasn't.

     

    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/NFL/scoring.htm

     

    Receiving TDs per team per game last year were the same as (oh, I'll just pick one) 1987.

     

     

     

    And scoring is down for two straight seasons.  Defenses are figuring out.    

     

    The STYLE of offense isn't very pleasing.   Lots of little gadget plays to squeeze out a few yards here or there.    

    • Like (+1) 1
  17. 12 hours ago, BuffaloRush said:

    Disagree with your thoughts on Tasker.  As far as his work on CBS - he's average.  Certainly not one of the best but he does ok.   I used to think he purposefully tried to make it look like he was impartial by talking up whatever team the Bills were playing.

     

    On the John Murphy show - he is hands down better than Donald Jones.  He makes the show sound more professional.  His insight is good too - I think you are underestiming #89 here.

     

    As far as his idea - you can easily make an argument for or against it.  I give him credit for approaching the situation differently than others

    I agree with this.   Steve's not a great announcer by any means, but I never thought Jones was very good at all, so he's an upgrade.   Not that I listen all that much.  

     

    As for his idea, I think it's a perfectly good idea but simply isn't very important.   The answer to the Bills' QB question is NOT (1) a veteran backup, (2) a bridge QB or (3) a QB coach.   All Tasker has done is suggested that there's one guy out there who has the potential to fill all three roles.   That's fine, so far as it goes, but it isn't going to change the face or character of the team.   You could just as easily said that about hiring Jim Leonard as a backup safety a couple of years ago, suggesting he could teach youngsters and then maybe retire into a coaching role.   You could have said it, and someone probably did, about Frank Reich at the end of his career.  

     

    Nothing wrong with the idea, but it it's a detail.  It isn't team-changing.  

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