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Rigotz

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Posts posted by Rigotz

  1. The only reason I don't like this is we just invested a 1st round pick on one tight end and are spending $15M on another.

     

    You've got Shakir and can probably get a nice vet as a 4th option in the passing game.

     

    I'm good with spending another 1st round pick on a WR, but another 2nd round pick might be overkill.

     

    WR1 - Diggs

    WR2 - 1st round pick

    TE1 - Kincaid (1st round)

    TE2 - Knox ($15M/yr)

    WR3 - Shakir

     

    Do we really need to spend another 2nd round pick? Is that more important than o-line and defense at this point?

    • Agree 1
  2. I've seen a few other Bernard threads pop up, so might as well bump the OG.

     

    Comparison time, just for fun:

     

    Terrel Bernard in 2023:

    134 tackles

    6.5 sacks

    3 interceptions

    3 fumble recoveries

    9 QB hits

    10.5 run stuffs

     

    Tremaine Edmunds in Buffalo:

    121 tackles in his best season (113 avg per season)

    6.5 sacks in 5 seasons!

    5 interceptions in 5 seasons!

    0 fumble recoveries in 5 seasons!

    18 QB hits in 5 seasons!

    10 run stuffs in his best season

     

    Unreal jump in production from Tremaine to Terrel and at a bargain... AND getting a 3rd round comp pick back.

     

    Well done, Brandon Beane. Well done, Terrel Bernard!

    • Like (+1) 1
    • Awesome! (+1) 1
  3. 59 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

    His salary for the season was guaranteed when he was on the roster in week 1.

     

    NFLPA wants players to have the opportunity to prove themselves.........would make no sense for them to agree to force players to not play after they are cut.

     

    The only players getting cut this late are ones that hold no value to the team.........offseason-tradeable or pending free agents who might be expected to count in the equation are held onto.    

     

    So it's a washed up or nearly washed up players market only. 

     

     

    This isn't correct.

     

    The guaranteed money on the contract was incentive-based and he received it each week he was on the active roster. Thus, if he wasn't on the active roster every week (i.e. Injured Reserve or Practice Squad) He doesn't get the money. He restructured his deal to be able to be cut. It's only 1 game, but the statement that his contract was fully guaranteed week 1 is false.

     

    https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/new-york-jets/dalvin-cook-21782/

    • Thank you (+1) 1
  4. 35 minutes ago, WhoTom said:

     

    I'm quite familiar with the double-slit experiment. Show me the part where the observer's desire for one particular outcome can force the results into that outcome. Is it because when you set out to observe particles, you see particles, but when you set out to observe waves, you see waves? So if I watch a game expecting a win, that makes a win more likely? What about upsets? I mean, in the double-slit, when you look for particles, you'll see particles 100% of the time; likewise for waves.

     

    And his statement that it exists does NOT imply that it exists at both the macro and subatomic levels.

     

    I'm done now.

     

     

     

    You called this guy out for saying "physics has at least proven that the observer can influence the outcome of an experiment just by observing."

     

    His statement is correct. You falsely attributed it to the Schrodinger's Cat experiment. 

     

    All of the rest of this "desire for one particular outcome" and "subatomic or macro level" talk is window dressing for your own narrative... which nobody cares to debate. The man's statement was correct and if his hypothesis is simply "wow, there are a lot of unknowns in the universe, so let's think positively" then you shouldn't be attempting to correct him in that regard, either.

     

    Now we're both done. :)

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 12 minutes ago, WhoTom said:

     

    If you're using Schroedinger's Cat as a rationale, you've misinterpreted it. Schreodinger's thought experiment says that if there's a 50/50 chance of the cat being alive when you open the box, then the act of opening the box forces it to be either alive or dead. If 100 people conduct this experiment, then on average, you'll have 50 dead cats and 50 living cats. Now, according to what you wrote, the observers influenced the outcome. But if all 100 observers said, "I hope the cat is alive," then on average, 50 of them will be disappointed.

     

    It should also be noted that quantum physics only applies at a subatomic scale. The laws break down at the macro scale. Conversely, Einstein's General Theory of Relativity only applies at a macro scale, not at the subatomic level. The great mystery of physics is how to reconcile the two theories which have been, at their respective scales, proven to be correct.

     

    Sorry for the physics lesson, but I've seen far too many examples of people twisting/misinterpreting science to support a faulty hypothesis. Schroedinger himself said that the thought experiment was an analogy and he was horrified at the numerous misinterpretations of his idea.

     

     

     

     

     

     

    If you're going to go full nerd on a guy just for saying "physics has at least proven that the observer can influence the outcome of an experiment just by observing" then you should at least try to be right!

     

    The double-slit experiment did exactly this: https://plus.maths.org/content/physics-minute-double-slit-experiment-0

     

    And before you try to nerd ME, nobody is asking whether this is applicable at a subatomic or macro level. His statement was simply that it exists and it does. The rest of the laws of physics are irrelevant.

     

    Now, lets both crawl back into our holes and let this fun thought-experiment thread continue.

     

     

  6. 5 hours ago, Back2Buff said:

     

    Not really, I remember seeing him play at Wyoming and it seemed when it was cold, he was inaccurate.  So I wanted to see how he has done in NFL, and it tells the same story.

     

    So ... just curious. Why are you only using Regular Season games?

     

    2022 Wild Card vs New England (Freezing Cold):

    85% completion, 5 TD's, 0 INT's, 308 yards passing and they ran the game out. Literally called "The Perfect Game" because they had touchdown drives every time with the starting offense.

     

    2022 Divisional vs Kansas City (Freezing Cold):

    73% completion, 4 TD's, 0 INT's, 329 yards passing. Out-dueled Mahomes, but lost because defense let him down.

     

    2023 AFC Wild Card vs Miami (In Buffalo, Freezing Cold):

    59% Completion, 3 TD's, 2 INT's, 352 yards passing. Game winning drive 

     

    Overall in the playoffs, Josh All has a 99.6 QBR with 2,334 Yards, 17 Touchdowns and 4 Interceptions.

     

    Myth busted. 🙄

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  7. 23 hours ago, NakedSquid said:

    I don't understand their cockiness.  

     

    It comes from insecurity.

     

    They know in their heart of hearts that this Tua + McDaniels thing isn't going to work out... so they're extremely sensitive any time someone questions that and they're overcompensating. It's been 50 years since they've won a Super Bowl and they've been dominated by the Patriots and now Josh for 20+ years. 

     

    They're in a dark place, they just don't know it.

  8. Hopefully a learning moment for Brady. 

     

    You can't consistently take the ball out of the hands of your best player and expect to win.

     

    They were not only running, they were running heavy formations, which took Kincaid off the field often. Even Knox.

     

    I bet when the snap counts come out, we'll see Kincaid played maybe 40% of the snaps, maximum. That's not good enough for your elite 1st round pick who has showed game changing ability.

    • Like (+1) 2
    • Disagree 1
    • Agree 1
  9. The problem with Tall + Fast guys is they're often "high hipped" so it's harder for them to run precise routes. That's why so many of them fail.

     

    With long legs, it's hard to get twitchy action at the hips. If you remember the knock on DK Metcalf and reason for him dropping to late in the 2nd round, it was a concern that his limited route tree would make his routes predictable. A lot of people want to take a victory lap on predicting DK's success, but it was an incredibly rare accomplishment that he learned how to be more of a precise route runner after college. 

     

    A player close to home who plays with "high hips" is Gabe Davis. He wins downfield and on simple patterns, but has trouble separating in short areas because it's hard for him to turn rapidly and run crisp routes. He's only 6'2'' but it's the major issue with a lot of these guys. The opposite of that spectrum is Stef Diggs. 

     

    The difference becomes very clear when you look at Gabe winning routes vs Diggs winning routes.

     

    I prefer route winners over "Big and Fast" guys, but it's nice to have both. The unicorns are the ones who can somehow bend like a 5'10'' WR at 6'4''.

     

    In short, the best predictor of success is definitely not "who is the biggest and fastest."

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  10. Man, I really do hate it when he creates a 15 yard penalty and it gets us a first down.

     

    Especially in critical situations.

     

    It is just the worst. 

     

    I care way more about everyone continuing to think he's cool.

    • Haha (+1) 7
  11. 1 hour ago, finn said:

    I had the same thought. I remember thinking at the time, "That big and can dunk a basketball? How could not make it in the NFL?" But he didn't. Neither did Leif Larsen, remember him? Defensive tackle who could fork lift 300-pound like children. Didn't make it past his second year, I don't believe. 

     

    The most recent two I can think of are:

     

    Dawand Jones: 6'8'' 375lb (rookie third rounder for Cleveland

    Showed a ton of promise, then went out with and injury and missing the season

     

    Mekhi Becton: 6'7 364lb (11th overall to the Jets a few years ago)

    Showed some promise, then couldn't stay on the field

     

    Big tree fall hard.

    • Agree 1
  12. I personally don't love guys flying around with zero control.

     

    He has friendly fire'd his own team on multiple occasions and almost caused significant injury.

     

    If he can't control his own body well enough to not injury his own guys, you really trust him in coverage with the game on the line?

  13. The penalty seemed a little harsh ... until I looked at his history:

     

    https://www.si.com/nfl/steelers/news/nfl-fines-pittsburgh-steelers-damontae-kazee-fifth-time#:~:text=Kazee was one of nine,of which have been %2411%2C806.

     

    Prior to this hit, he was fined 5 separate times for unnecessary roughness this season.

     

    There's a clear history and intent here. This last one could have paralyzed his opponent. The suspension was the correct move.

    • Like (+1) 4
    • Agree 6
  14. 2 hours ago, TheFunPolice said:

    I hate to say it, but Tyreek Hill is the MVP

     

    With him, the Dolphins could score a TD on literally any down, and he's often wide open by 10+ yards. 

     

    Without him, the Dolphins are just another offense. 

     

     

     

    As much as I hate to say it, I agree.

     

    If Josh and Pat were playing like their usual selves all year, they'd have a chance.

     

    This year, Tyreek has it all. The stats, the flash, the wins, and it's something new. That's what people vote for.

  15. Can we please call this what it is? It's simply an "RB Slip Screen."

     

    Here's how it's designed:

    https://youthfootballonline.com/running-back-screen-pass-play-rb-slip-screen/

     

    To the question of "are our linemen not athletic enough?" ... the left side of the line is tailor made for slip screens. Dawkins has shown his mobility with the tackle wrap play. Morse's lateral mobility is arguably the best in the game for Centers, and McGovern has a RAS score of 9.74/10 (relative athleticism to size). On the right side, Brown would be perfect, but CyBo's big weakness is lateral mobility, so we wouldn't want to test him "olaying" his defender and sprinting lateral wide.

     

    Now, the important question of why we don't do it often... considering we have a good pass catching HB and athletic o-line on the left side.

     

    It's one of 2 reasons:

     

    1) We're not getting blitzed by the OLB or MLB. RB Slip screens are blitz beaters. They work best when the OLB attacks because the line lets them run free alongside the DE/DT, which gives you "numbers" after your RB and OL escape the box. An obvious reason of why we don't see the OLB/MLB blitz often is linebackers are spying Josh or playing zone to defend the QB scramble. If they stay in the box and don't blitz, your slip screen will probably be blown up unless someone on D attacks the wrong gap.

     

    2) We're just not good at it. Whether it's Josh's hand size making the short passes harder, or WR not being able to sustain their blocks, or linemen not communicating well enough, we're just not good at it. As some posters have mentioned, these issues pre-date Cook and most of our O-Line, so maybe it's a Josh thing?

     

    Either way, it's almost definitely some combination of 1, 2, or both.

  16. 2 hours ago, juno999 said:

    I believe Beane may sign Douglas to an extension this offseason to lower his cap hit in 2024.  He's  currently scheduled to make $9M next year.

     

    $9M is pretty reasonable for a solid #2 CB. I would hope they can get an extension done at less than that amount, but I don't think it's likely.

    3 hours ago, FireChans said:

    You trade him post 6/1 and save a couple million. Conditional 7th type deal.

     

    I'll never understand this ... trading him after 6/1 does not save you a couple million.

     

    Keep the 1st round Corner you drafted, when you need Corner depth (at worst) and develop him ...

     

    Or flip him for a 7th and pay more to not have him? This is insane.

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