HappyDays
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Posts posted by HappyDays
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2 hours ago, Einstein said:
Meaning, replacing a #1 CB with the #3 CB on the team (due to injury) is rarely going to be the reason a team loses a game.
Having Tre White in the 13 seconds game very well could have been the difference in that game, Levi Wallace messed up his coverage on the fateful drive that got them into FG range. And having Benford on the field this past AFCCG may have made a difference on one of those drives where Elam was completely hapless in his coverage responsibility.
CB is not as critical as pass rusher, but it is still absolutely a difference making position. Especially in playoff games where the margins are thin.
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3 minutes ago, The 9 Isles said:
Anyone bringing forward a case like this and loses should have to pay the exact same amount they were asking for to the person they accused.
This presupposes that if an accuser loses their case, that definitively means they lied. That isn't true at all. Sometimes the best thing the courts can decide is that they don't know what happened which means no one is held liable and everybody has to just move on. I think the reason that these discussions get so polarizing is because most people are unable to accept such an unsatisfactory conclusion and want somebody in the story to be the bad guy. The world of course doesn't work that way.
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4 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:
So the posters who still insist that no charge means the victim is always a lying money grabber are simply nuts
Oh sure I think anybody assuming anything about this case is nuts. It is a pure he said/she said from 4 years ago. But I am already seeing some takes online, including in this thread, about how Bills fans are hypocrites if we criticize Browns or Chiefs players, and I just want to be clear that every case should be looked at separately on its own merits.
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1 hour ago, BillsfaninSB said:
Assuming the Bills had all the information available to them, I don’t understand why they would draft this guy. Especially in the 1st round. It’s just not worth it to me.
Because they rightly assumed the worst case scenario would be a civil lawsuit followed by either a quick settlement or a dismissal. This story is not going to follow Hairston throughout his career. It's barely even a story today outside of the Bills fanbase.
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1 hour ago, Mr. WEO said:
How many times has Watson been charged with assault, despite over 20 women suing him civily for it? That's right, zero---yet we are pretty sure he is guilty of it (because he plays for another team).
Mostly agree with the rest of your post. Just to be clear though there is no comparison between this case and Watson's. The reason I'm confident Watson is guilty has nothing to do with the uniform he wears. It is primarily the number of accusers confirming the same general story that makes me confident. Plus there is zero wiggle room for nuance or implied consent in what he was doing. Hairston's case is much murkier. One accuser, and circumstances where consent is a lot more difficult to ascertain for people that weren't in the room when it happened.
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6 minutes ago, Coach Tuesday said:
Also you need to find a lawyer to take a case like this on contingency (I am assuming) and it won’t be worth it to the lawyer unless the defendant has assets. So the “timing” is likely that. Civil suits are not cheap, no one is going to pursue one against someone with no money, most of the time.
Also worth noting that she filed a police report back when Hairston was just a visiting college freshman, not a 1st round pick, which counters the notion that this has just been a big money grab.
There is an increasingly common double standard that is happening with these cases on social media, where some of the same people saying "innocent until proven guilty" are quick to immediately pronounce the girl as a lying money grabber. Filing a false report is in fact also a crime so innocent until proven guilty applies in her case as well.
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1 minute ago, Don Otreply said:
Seems a bit like a money grab,
All civil lawsuits are by definition money grabs. She filed a police report back when the incident allegedly happened and has posted about it on social media over the years. She is now trying to pursue her final chance at some kind of recourse.
My speculative take is that the girl genuinely feels like she was wronged, but that doesn't mean she actually was in a legal sense. There is in fact a middle ground on this issue between "Hairston is a rapist" and "the girl is a lying money grabber." But it's a very messy middle ground with no clear answers.
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9 minutes ago, Never NEVER Give-up said:
He was neither arrested nor charged with anything.
Not only was he not charged, the matter was investigated and dropped due to lack of evidence. The girl has posted on social media about it several times over the years but there has never been any corroborating evidence, so I don't know what she or the law firm are expecting to happen here. I would guess they're hoping for a quick settlement.
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Weird move. Waller can't block which is part of what made Jonnu Smith valuable to that offense. I guess we'll see if he has anything left in the tank as a pass catcher.
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10 minutes ago, ChronicAndKnuckles said:
Not sure what the Steelers are thinking, but this isn’t good for the Bills.
It is good for the Bills. Last year we had trouble separating outside, and one of our division rivals now has nobody that can cover outside. Bills fans have an unduly negative opinion of Ramsey because of comments he made in the past about Allen. He is no longer in his prime but he is still a very good outside CB. In our matchups last year our WRs couldn't do anything against him.
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The Dolphins now have zero starting caliber outside CBs.
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2 minutes ago, Augie said:
I feel pretty confident that most fan bases feel the same way from time to time. Nothing is perfect in life, but I do enjoy that we get to some big moments. Fingers crossed that he gets the Bills over the hump sooner rather than later.
For most coaches those blunders are things like "ah we ran on 4th and 1 instead of giving our QB a chance" where the thought process was defensible and the fan reaction was entirely outcome dependent. You're not typically seeing cases where the coaching decision was so bad that it effectively ended the game. In those cases the offending coach is usually quickly fired, like Matt Eberflus after the Thanksgiving game in Detroit last year.
Another example to me was in the Ravens playoff game when we had our backup DL on the field for the entire final drive, which gave us no chance of stopping them, but luckily we got saved from that fatal coaching blunder through sheer luck on the 2PC.
My fear with McDermott for a while has been that I think you need to win those moments at least once or twice in your playoff run to ultimately win a Super Bowl. I don't know if he just tightens up too much in those high leverage moments or what, but he has consistently failed in those moments in some pretty shocking ways. Some of the other criticisms of McDermott I can find some explanations, like maybe the defensive breakdowns in the playoffs really are just because of talent and/or injuries, but I can't find an explanation for those end of game moments.
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1 hour ago, Augie said:
I pray that there is some sort of statute of limitations on the whole 13 second thing. The ST coach and the DC are gone from that fiasco. I refuse to make myself sick over it years later. Live, learn, and move on.
Those coaches are gone, yet we made equally terrible coaching decisions at the end of the Rams game this past season. One of my concerns with McDermott is that I haven't seen improvement. Too frequently in high leverage moments we are still seeing boneheaded coaching blunders and that has persisted year over year.
Oh well. Just gotta hope he figures it out this year, nothing else I can do.
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On 8/21/2024 at 3:59 PM, HappyDays said:
Bills specific:
-No single player over 1,000 receiving yards
-Coleman to lead the team in receiving yards and TDs
-Solomon with more sacks than Epenesa
Okay I nailed the first one.
I was wrong on Coleman although I'd like to know how close I'd have gotten if he hadn't gotten injured. He did finish 2nd in yards and TDs which I don't think most fans would have predicted especially with him missing 4 games.
I was way off on the last one.
On 8/21/2024 at 3:59 PM, HappyDays said:League-wide:
-Rams win the NFCW
-Bears are the annual divisional 4th place to 1st place, winning the NFCN
-Conference championships Texans at Chiefs, Lions at Packers
Nailed the Rams. I expected San Fran to take a step back and for LA to be better than people thought.
I was way way off on the Bears. Every year one of my bold predictions is picking a 4th place to 1st place division team which happens pretty much every year. Of course last year was one of the rare occasions where that didn't happen so I was doomed to fail in any case.
Texans and Packers were not as good as I expected. I earn zero points for predicting KC in the AFCCG. Lions I think would have been there if they weren't decimated by injuries.
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Rookie - TJ Sanders. He was already getting some positive reviews from beat reporters at OTAs and I think it will only get better once the pads go on.
Non-rookie - Elijah Moore. He also got a lot of buzz at OTAs. His skill set will shine in a camp setting and I think ultimately the fanbase's expectations will get high, possibly too high.
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15 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
Justin Herbert for all his flaws used to be exciting. Harbaugh turned him into one of the most boring QBs in football.
Last year's offensive scheme was about making Allen's play more boring, no? I don't mean that in a bad way. Raising the floor was an admirable goal and the results spoke for themselves. I think Justin Herbert's problem is Justin Herbert. He is missing that spark of pure will that defines the top 4 QBs. That mentality in critical moments that he will make it happen all on his own if he has to. I don't think Harbaugh took that spark out of him, he just never had it to begin with. What Harbaugh did last year is make the best out of a horrid group of skill players and a QB that isn't uniquely talented enough to overcome it.
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This is a huge year for McDermott. To me it should be looked at as his defining season - either he can get us to the ultimate goal or he can't. Short of our IR wire looking like the Lions last year, there can't be any excuses.
Last offseason we took our medicine and took a purposeful step back as a means of opening the second championship window. That window is now wide open. This offseason we have hired new defensive coaches with different philosophical backgrounds. We re-signed 3 of our own defensive cornerstones. We spent most of our free agency money on defensive players. We spent all of our premium draft picks on defensive players.
So the message from the team is loud and clear - all of these investments presumably were necessary to help take McDermott's defense to a championship level. If after all of that we suffer yet another playoff loss to KC where the defense barely puts up any resistance, that has to be the final signal that McDermott isn't going to get it done. Ever.
We also should be competing for the #1 seed this year. McDermott has to find a way to avoid the team's annual 2-4 game slump which perenially keeps us out of that conversation. It's not gonna get any easier than 10 games combined against a weak AFC East and NFC South.
So get the #1 seed. If you don't, okay, the defense still needs to perform against KC in January. If neither of those things happen, then what is the reason for optimism that McDermott ever gets it done? I'm so over the debate on what he's done in the past. Both sides have made their points. My hope is that everyone including McDermott optimists are at least willing to draw a line in the sand on the team's performance this year.
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14 hours ago, BullBuchanan said:
Could I see Singletary or Moss making that play? Absolutely. I could see Ty Johnson making it too.
I mean this is just stretching to find reasons not to compliment the player. KC's defense had the play sniffed out and perfectly covered. None of the RBs you mentioned would come close to making that play.
There is a phenomenon happening amongst certain Bills fans where they're making the jump from "we shouldn't pay Cook" to "Cook isn't that good." There are plenty of reasonable arguments for why Cook shouldn't be extended - his position, his snap count, his 3rd down %, etc. You can make those arguments without making irrational comparisons to Singletary and the like. Any discussion about extending Cook should acknowledge the fact that if you don't extend him you are losing some of the great individual plays he made last year.
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13 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
I don't think there is any way he is the 5th best Quarterback in the NFL right now.
Funny enough I don't think there's any way Hurts is the 5th best QB in the NFL right now. But you're weighing different factors more heavily than I am. I can't find reason to poke holes in anyone's list because there are a lot of different ways to approach the question. The top 4 is the top 4 in whatever order you want, and then from there it gets tricky. The way I look at is pretend each QB was on the Eagles last year. What would their record be? The top 4 might have had that team undefeated. From there I am ranking based on how I see their consistency and skill set.
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5 hours ago, GunnerBill said:
I think there is a fundamental inconsistency @Kirby Jackson and @HappyDays between having Mahomes 3rd or 4th based on "other guys playing better the last two years" and then still having Matt Stafford at #7 and #5 respectively.
Over the past two seasons if you look at:
- passing yards
- completion rate
- touchdowns
- passer rating
- yards per attempt
Across ten data points over two seasons Matt Stafford is top 10 in exactly 1 of those ten - yards per attempt in 2023.
I love Matt Stafford. He has had a great career and he will be an interesting HoF debate when he comes up in years to come. But over the past three seasons since he won that Superbowl he has been closer to the 15th best Quarterback in football than the 5th. I know he had the elbow injury in 2022 and that might be part of the explanation but I think he is what he is right now. I still have him in my franchise group but while for almost 10 years (even when he was in Detroit) I banged the drum that he was a top 6 Quarterback and at the top of that "best of the rest" category, I think he is towards the backend of that group now.
FWIW I struggled the most with that tier of #5-#10. What made me put Stafford at the top of that tier is I think he is still the most consistent out of that group. I am not looking at stats and I am not factoring in his 2022 Super Bowl win. His arm power is still there and because he's played for so long he can diagnose defenses with the best of them. He had to deal with Kupp losing a step and Nacua being injured for much of the year, middling pass protection, and a below average defense.
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People are too quick to blame mental illness for stuff like that. If a guy has schizoprehnic delusions that cause him to burn down a building, okay that is a case where mental illness was responsible. But not too many mentally ill people out there are grabbing a security officer's gun outside of a club and shooting at someone they're having an argument with. That is just run of the mill bad person behavior. Antonio Brown is a bad person. Don't muddy the waters by even bringing his supposed "mental illness" into it.
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2 hours ago, mjt328 said:
We know the Bills defense underperforms badly in the postseason against the NFL's elite passers. But in the regular season, they don't play those guys very often. In the regular season, this defense is consistently a Top 5-10 unit. So if you just start with that side of the ball, it's totally reasonable to say this team could win about 8 games... assuming they get an average performance from the offense (as you stipulated). I will also remind everyone that Sean McDermott walked into the locker room and coached this team to a 9-7 record in his first year, with Tyrod Taylor at QB.
I assume the question is referring to last year. The 2017 Bills facing last year's schedule would absolutely not have gone 9-7 and made the wildcard. I would say 7-9 at best. The competition in the AFC has gotten a lot tougher since then and we're playing a 1st place schedule.
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45 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:
When he had proper weapons he was setting NFL records. With bad weapons his personal stats have taken a little hit...
I think he was also just playing better two seasons ago though. 2022 for my money was the most impressive season of his career, right after trading Tyreek Hill he had to play a new brand of football and immediately delivered an elite performance. Not sure what happened after that season, maybe just fatigue from a lot of deep playoff runs, but he is not playing that well these days. And again I'm not talking about stats, just actual play on the field based on the eye test. So I have to rank based on how these QBs are performing now, not on what they were doing over two years ago.
I could see an argument to arrange the top 4 any way you'd like. It depends on what factors you're weighing, how far back you're analyzing, what play style you prefer, etc. I would expect any fan of one of those 4 teams to rank their QB #1 and I would respect it. There are solid counterarguments for all of them too. That's what makes the conversation interesting.
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50 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:
IMHO I think you are weighing recent stats a bit too much over talent/ability and not giving the difference in personnel enough consideration into why the stats favor the others more recently.
I'm really not looking at stats at all. And I am taking the supporting cast into account, that's why I have the most recent Super Bowl champion at #11 on my list. Mahomes just hasn't played at the highest level over the past two seasons. Allen, Jackson, and Burrow all got MVP hype last year. The QB of the 15-1 team got no MVP hype at all. That tells you where the national perception is at right now. Part of it is people recognizing that their defense and special teams was the primary engine to that record. And those parts of the team definitely gave him some leeway that the other top 3 QBs did not have, even accounting for his middling supporting cast.
I hear you on the clutch factor. I just don't think you can weigh it so heavily that you ignore the QB's play for the other 58 minutes of a football game. If you were weighing playoff football heavier then Jackson might be #4 on the list, maybe even out of the top 4 entirely. But I'm just looking at their play on the whole over the entire season.
Maxwell Hairston named in civil lawsuit for sexual assault
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
This is equally as bad as people assuming Hairston is guilty.