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HappyDays

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Posts posted by HappyDays

  1. My tiers:

     

    T1 - Bills, Ravens, Texans

    T2 - Broncos, Jaguars

    T3 - Chiefs, Chargers, Bengals, Patriots

    T4 - Steelers, Colts

    T5 - Raiders, Jets

    T6 - Dolphins, Jets, Titans, Browns

     

    Texans are the hardest to rank for me. A lot depends on Stroud. If he is the same player he was to end the year then they are probably T3, if they make the switch to Davis Mills maybe T2. I tend to think Stroud will not be that bad and I am such a believer in that defense that I will rank them T1 until proven otherwise.

     

    I think people are sleeping a bit on the Jags. They ended the season on an 8 game winning streak including beating the Broncos by two scores. They had us on the ropes in the wildcard game and only a vintage Josh Allen performance pulled out a win. If BTJ gets back to his rookie self they are probably a T1 team. A lot of talent on both sides of the ball and they seemingly nailed their coaching hires.

     

    Chargers are a little overrated IMO. They don't have enough offensive weapons for me to believe in them as a true Super Bowl contender. They have a very good defense but it isn't so good that it can win games all on its own like the Texans defense can. They're just such a boring team to me. I think they're destined for a Steelers-esque perennial wildcard loss until they really try to build around Herbert's arm. He isn't good enough to make it work with just anyone but he has enough talent to lead an elite offense if they give him weapons.

     

    Raiders and Jets I feel deserve to be ranked higher than the true chaff of the division. Jets being there may surprise people but Geno Smith is a legit starting level NFL QB even if he is at the bottom of that group and they've accumulated some decent talent given their wealth of high draft picks in recent years. Their circus of a coaching staff will hold them back regardless but I think they have the potential to be a sneaky annoying to play team.

  2. 40 minutes ago, Shaw66 said:

    This is an interesting description of the relationship. I don't know that there was any evidence of a "power struggle" in the classic sense. I'm not aware of any open disputes.

     

    Pegula referenced it in his presser. I don't remember what he said verbatim but it was something like "if I sense that someone is trying to make a power play, they're out." McDermott was fighting for even more control at the end and Pegula made his choice. McDermott was in many ways a classic control freak. That's not necessarily a bad thing. Belichick was a control freak too. These days the standard operating procedure in NFL franchises is to give the head coach final say over most decisions. But when the things under your control are not meeting expectations, it makes it that much easier for the owner to identify the problem and excise it.

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  3. 19 minutes ago, Shaw66 said:

    In this case, I think Pegula did exactly what he should have done, which is to make a change but change as little as possible.  Why? Because the pair had built an extremely successful team, a perennial Super Bowl contender that hadn't gone all the way. In that situation, it's a bad idea to clean house, because the Bills obviously were doing a lot right.

     

    That is exactly it, and while Brady was not my 1st 2nd or 3rd choice this reasoning is the justification for hiring him. The Bills have been knocking on the door for years. They did not need to blow everything up and start over. I think Pegula decided he didn't want a rookie head coach and rookie GM steering the ship in Allen's age 30 season. It would have been too much learning on the job in a critical season while the clock is ticking on Allen's career. I don't think Brady was handed the job, but if the top candidates were reasonably close then it made sense to give the job to someone that would have a little bit less learning to do given his familiarity with the team.

     

    On the subject of McDermott's influence on the offense - it is worth noting that we are not rostering a true FB this year as we did every year of the McDermott era. It's a minor thing, but that is one piece of evidence that the offense Brady ran last year was not entirely of his own making. Also camp reports were universal in their assessment that the downfield passing game has been a much bigger focus of the offseason. We saw it for ourselves in that first preseason game. So there is reason to think that McDermott was in some ways capping the offense.

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  4. 27 minutes ago, ngbills said:

    I look at this the opposite. McD wanted a deep threat or WR help in general.

     

    Eh I don't know. I remember his presser right after the Amari Cooper trade, he didn't exactly seem enthused. He kept saying things like "we have other WRs here too." I don't have any inside info but my sense was that that was a trade forced more by Beane than by McDermott. McDermott seemed content to play small ball/ball control on offense. Not that I'm excusing Beane for under investing in the WR position over the years, he owns his decisions and made that very clear in his foolish WGR rant. But I don't believe for a second that if we had Sean McVay as head coach for example we would have given so little attention to the WR room. While Beane ultimately owns the decisions, the head coach is responsible for fighting for what he believes his roster needs and McDermott obviously was not fighting for explosive WRs. We had a 5 year stretch after the 2020 offseason where we invested in the position less than any team in the league. As soon as an offensive head coach took over we invested in the room more than we have in years. I don't think you can chalk that up as a coincidence.

     

    27 minutes ago, ngbills said:

    McD spoke out about it which was the first nail in his coffin.

     

    I'm not aware of any report that McDermott spoke out about the WR room.

     

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  5. 6 hours ago, Rochesterfan said:

    The Bills loss had nothing to do with McD or the defense - the offense had 2 turnovers that lead to short fields and points and an interception to seal the game. 
     

     

    Nah this game comes down almost exclusively to the defense. In fact the formula for a win couldn't be more clear. The Texans record last year when they scored 20 or more was 12-0. Their record when they scored less than 20 was 1-6.

     

    Hold them to less than 20. Punt or kick FGs on every 4th down. That is the formula. Don't give up a long TD drive to end the 1st half immediately after taking the lead. The goal is not to make zero mistakes on offense. Houston's defense is generational and will force some mistakes no matter how careful you are. The goal is to make their offense so hapless that it ruins their defense's effort as was the case in pretty much all of their losses last year including the playoff loss to NE.

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  6. 1 hour ago, gonzo1105 said:

    Eh he was fine last year but nothing special. He’s going to for sure have an injury or two as he does every year. I mean for insurance and maybe playing in 5 or 6 games I can get behind it 

     

    I honestly thought he was our best performing LB last year. I do take Bernard's assorted injuries last year into consideration, but still.

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  7. He might have been pushed down the draft board because he is a guard only. Perhaps even more specifically a RG only. When you get to day 3 teams start thinking about how those prospects will be able to get a jersey on gameday. Depth OL usually need to play multiple positions to get a jersey. So you have a guard only, older prospect (will be 25 in November), coming off a down year... Yeah it adds up to a maybe 5th round prospect on talent getting pushed down to the 7th. It also tells you the Bills really like him if they're not willing to expose a guard only to waivers. Beane loves his versatile depth OL. So they must think there is some future starting potential here worth holding onto.

     

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  8. 2 hours ago, gonzo1105 said:

    Some of the fans at the beginning begging for some other names is funny. Jeff Caldwell was the very first cut by the Chiefs, Corleone never got picked up, Murdock got cut yesterday and is looking for a team or PS spot 

     

    That's the holy trinity of buzzy late round prospect archetypes.

     

    1) Elite speed WR

    2) Funny name

    3) Played for UB

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