MAJBobby

makes sense. Just wanted to point out the way defenses defend Allen with the Spy and the controlled rush do make it harder for Teams with those Mobile QB to execute Screens. but Screens and Quick Hitters our to WRs are very underutilized in this Offense. with Joshs Arm he can throw that Pop Pass like right now. And the Amount of Cushion Brown gets that is an easy 5 yard completion with Potential to turn Huge.

Seems a 17 game schedule and a 14 team playoff is gonna happen. https://www.google.com/amp/s/giantswire.usatoday.com/2019/11/14/nfl-nflpa-nearing-deal-on-17-regular-season-games-14-playoff-teams/amp/

Only thing is where the Bills are being gashed in the Run Game between the OGs has very little to do with who the NB is.

screen game gets hurt because of Josh Allen. Running QBs will hurt the screen game because of the Spy. Add that to how teams Rush a Running QB and you have impacts to the Screen Game no matter what else occurs

They run the action every game, but I am sure he hasnt gotten the ball every game. If you look at his profile and look at the 2018 compared to 2019, it sure seems they have scald him back and put him in that Gimmick Box. And his AVG Cushion Given is 5.13 yards, there are easy completions with him (much like Brown) when he is on the field Beasley only gets 3.79 yards in Cushion and avg depth of TGT at 7.8 but does get a nice 1.9 yards in seperation

He only gets 36.8% of the offensive snaps. I DO say he SHOULD be the 3rd WR coming into the Game. One thing is for sure they should NEVER us Andre Roberts at WR https://www.playerprofiler.com/nfl/andre-roberts/

They do. what has he actually ran 3 maybe. ( I know they run that action all the time but I only remember the ball going to him three times maybe 4) https://www.playerprofiler.com/nfl/isaiah-mckenzie/ he does have 15 air yards per TGT so I doubt that is all Jet Sweep stuff

Now in all Honesty the Bills SHOULD Target Knox alot more Knox when TGTed has Allen at a 91.5 QB Rating Second compared to the 94.8 rating when TGTing John Brown The WR that really needs to be used more in the Offense is Isaiah McKenzie. Catch Rate of 80% Catchable TGT Rate of 86.7% 0 Drops True Catch Rate of 92.3% 37.6 Target Premium 128.6 Rating from Allen when Targets him

When did he throw a Pick 6. OOO Thats right he didnt. https://www.espn.com/nfl/playbyplay?gameId=401127866

Yep 56.2% Catch rate is Horrible for a guy that gives a 93.8% Catch-able Target Rate https://www.playerprofiler.com/nfl/dawson-knox/ Now his True Catch rate is a little higher at 60%

Weather is just an excuse IMO. The Bills are more talented so like the Browns did to them (who are more talented to the Bills) they should walk into MIA and win going away. I hav Zero confidence in that happening though

hmmm lets see maybe the Blocked Punt. You know SOMETHING that is inexcusable? Now with 3 picks the Bills also missed a FG (But always defend Hausch see this week) Barkley's Pick from the NE three probably more impact in the loss. Barkley's Pick on NE 39 at end of game Probably a little more impact than Picks in the first half With all Josh's Interception down by 3. Hmmm yeah I can find many more

Only matters if it is a lost fumble

Did we lose to the Patriots because he tossed a Pick? Where is that direct correlation.

What are we looking up?

Good thing is we are having a little cold snap down here this week. Temps likely going to be 73-76 on Sunday and low humidity of 66%

Is he going to allow the Cap Circumvention on his Contract for us like he does for NE? If So Yes. If not Nope

Their Other Article I posted above addresses that. You run well when you win nor Win because of Running well. And they are not skewed I suggest reading the Article. You will start to see the effectiveness of play action has little Correlation to effectiveness or running th ball

Just showed you how Analytics do not prove that out. Also Another one people wont like teams are 4 Parts Offense 3 Parts Defense 1 Part Special Teams Play-action works regardless of the effectiveness of the Run game. That has also been proven. Conclusion We have an ever-growing body of evidence that teams don't need to run often -- or run well -- to set up play-action. Play-action works for teams that run frequently, infrequently, well, or poorly. For the vast majority of teams, it just works. From 2011 to 2017, 196 of 224 team-seasons had higher yards per play on play-action dropbacks than on non-play-action dropbacks. This includes teams like the 2017 Lions (9.4 yards per play-action play, No. 30 in rushing DVOA) and 2015 Jaguars (1.7 more yards per play on play-action dropbacks despite being No. 28 in rushing DVOA and only running 31 percent of the time). For every team observed to have a strong play-action game and strong rushing attack, I can find an example of an effective play-action team that has a weak rushing attack. For every play where a successful play-action pass followed a series of runs, I can find a play where play-action succeeded despite not recently running. There just doesn't seem to be anything there . Finally, there's no evidence of teams using play-action a lot seeing any less benefit to play-action. Coaches treat play-action as a fragile toy that can only be brought out under certain conditions -- only after running, and only if it hasn't already been used it too much -- but it's more like the tennis racket I've had since high school: always ready, and always effective. https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2018/situational-play-action-passing-nfl https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2018/rushing-success-and-play-action-passing https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2018/further-research-play-action-passing

No

You hang 30 how much actual running is the other team going to do. Yep Hang 30 and be able to run to close out the game STOPs the Run and your Defense didn't have to do a thing. You run when you win, not win when you run. The first article ever written for Football Outsiders was devoted to debunking the myth of "establishing the run." There is no correlation whatsoever between giving your running backs a lot of carries early in the game and winning the game. Just running the ball is not going to help a team score; it has to run successfully. There are two reasons why nearly every beat writer and television analyst still repeats the tired old-school mantra that "establishing the run" is the secret to winning football games. The first problem is confusing cause and effect. There are exceptions, usually when the opponent is strong in every area except run defense, like last year's Green Bay Packers. However, in general, winning teams have a lot of carries because their running backs are running out the clock at the end of wins, not because they are running wild early in games. The second problem is history. Most of the current crop of NFL analysts came of age or actually played the game during the 1970s. They believe that the run-heavy game of that decade is how football is meant to be, and today's pass-first game is an aberration. As we addressed in an essay in Pro Football Prospectus 2007 about the history of NFL stats, it was actually the game of the 1970s that was the aberration. The seventies were far more slanted towards the run than any era since the arrival of Paul Brown, Otto Graham, and the Cleveland Browns in 1946. Optimal strategies from 1974 are not optimal strategies for today's game. A sister statement to "you have to establish the run" is "team X is 5-1 when running back John Doe runs for at least 100 yards." Unless John Doe is ripping off six-yard gains Jamaal Charles-style, the team isn't winning because of his 100-yard games. He's putting up 100-yard games because his team is winning. A great defense against the run is nothing without a good pass defense. This is a corollary to the absurdity of "establish the run." If you don't believe us, meet our good friends the 2006-2007 Minnesota Vikings (or, for a more recent example, the 2014 St. Louis Rams). With rare exceptions, teams win or lose with the passing game more than the running game -- and by stopping the passing game more than the running game. The reason why teams need a strong run defense in the playoffs is not to shut the run down early, it's to keep the other team from icing the clock if they get a lead. You can't mount a comeback if you can't stop the run. Note that "good pass defense" may mean "good pass rush" rather than "good defensive backs." https://www.footballoutsiders.com/info/FO-basics

In what world would they have to pay him 12Mil? 981K for a look at a 1st round talent.... https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/houston-texans/vernon-hargreaves-18959/

Easier way (well not for Bills). SCORE MORE POINTS. Offense can stop the run much faster and effective by SCORING MORE POINTS

Sitting here at my Desk getting paid working while football stuff on one of my 4 computer screens. Defense Contracting PM work gets slow at times, Government doesnt move to fast

Chris Brown Publishes what the Bills OK