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Posts posted by longtimebillsfan
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4 hours ago, ImpactCorey said:
I keep seeing in simulators that if the Bills win out they have a >99% chance of making the playoffs. >99% is not 100% so I was curious: what is a scenario where the Bills win out and actually MISS the playoffs? This is what I came up with:
- First, the Bills win out. They beat the Chargers, Patriots, and Dolphins. With how they are playing as of late, very possible.
- The Dolphins win the 2 games before playing the Bills. These games are against the Cowboys and the Ravens. This allows them to still win the division. These are two difficult match ups and an unlikely outcome but when Miami clicks on offense, anything is possible.
- With the loss to the Dolphins, the Ravens still win their division by beating the 49ers or the Steelers. I think the Steelers game is almost a lock.
- The Jaguars win their division by winning out against the Bucs, Panthers, and Titans. All weak opponents and very possible assuming Lawrence stays healthy.
- Kansas City wins their division by beating the Raiders and Chargers. These teams will have nothing left to play for and KC will take advantage. However, KC drops one to the Bengals. More on this later.
- The Colts win out by beating the Falcons, Raiders, and Texans. Winning out will be tough here for the Colts but not great teams they face along the way.
- The Browns beat the Texans and Jets but drop one to the Bengals. Houston may have a problem at QB and the Jets are the Jets. This seems reasonable. Bengals being a key loss again.
- The Bengals win out. They beat the Steelers, Chiefs, and Browns. Two key wins as previously mentioned. This is the most unlikely part of the scenario in my opinion but also the most crucial. Bengals wining out would be catastrophic for the Bills hopes. Steelers are falling apart. Bengals always play up on the Chiefs, and the Browns are a divisional match up. I'll definitely be paying attention.
So there you have it, in this scenario you have Miami (12-5), Baltimore (12-5), Jacksonville (11-6), and Kansas City (11-6) as the division winners and the wildcards going to Indianapolis (11-6), Cleveland (11-6), and Cincinnati (11-6) even with Buffalo (11-6) winning out. You know.. in case you were wondering.
Well aren't you a ray of sunshine.
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9 minutes ago, NewEra said:
🤦🏻♂️
Wrong end zone my man. Only if the offense fumbles the ball out of the end zone they are scoring on. If it’s the other end zone, it’s a safety for the defense….
True.
My bad.
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On 12/14/2023 at 2:24 PM, NewEra said:
Giving the opposing team the possession of the ball for potentially doing nothing is perfect? 🤷🏻♂️
I’d give the ball to the offense somewhere between the 10 and the 20. The defense shouldn’t get the ball unless they recover it imo.
Not sure this makes since.
In your scenario, if a team had the ball on their own one yard like, they could just fumble the ball out of the end zone and improve their position by 10 to 20 yards.
That would never work.
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On 12/10/2023 at 5:51 PM, Fan in Chicago said:
You are missing something or maybe a function of the region you were in. I was on multi view and watched the ending of the Jags game and the beginning of the Bills game
I live in Las Vegas and I had the same experience with YouTube Sunday Ticket.
I have subscribed to the Sunday Ticket since the mid 90's.
I am seriously considering not subscribing to ST next season and just going to Bills Backer Bars for Bills games not carried in our market.
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3 minutes ago, NewEra said:
Thanks, you too. Stay safe out there!
You as well.
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6 minutes ago, NewEra said:
You have a handful of options.
Moondoggies is the bar I’ve been representing since 2010. I recently moved to St. George UT (2 hours away) but make the trip for every bills game. The bartenders are amazing. The pepperoni pizza is solid. Their Buffalo wings are an 8. Their Char BBQ wings are an 8.5 (as long as you dip them in their hottest sauce and blu cheese). Unfortunately, I cannot be there for the chargers game due to holiday plans. It’s should be a nice crowd though.
The Office Bar / naked city pizza- it’s by unlv and in a seedy part of town, but the food is the best of all the bills bars. Naked city pizza is owned by a Buffalo OG Chris Palmieri. He just recently opened a location in Buffalo (Tonawanda iirc) as well. The bartenders are lame there and the vibe isn’t the same as Moondoggies imo. But the food is great.
Johnny Macs- it’s far off the strip. Family friendly. I’ve never been there because of its location. I hear the food is solid and the owners are nice but I can’t give you any first hand experience.
I’d go to Moondoggies if I were you but you can’t go wrong with the office bar either.
Fantastic information. That really helps. Have a great holiday.
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18 minutes ago, Billsatlastin2018 said:
Johnny Mac’s, 842 S Boulder Hwy Henderson, NV 89015.
Been there! 👍 They serve Beef on Weck, Pizza, Wings, etc.
Get ‘The Box’.Great. Thanks for the help.
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1 minute ago, Freddie's Dead said:
My wife likes Hooters, mostly for the food. Can't beat the wings, although they have that funny cut where they leave on that inedible winglet. You'll love the Palms, they have a McD's and a Panda Express in the food court, among others. You'll have to place a bet to ensure a seat in the seating area. Get there at least 30 minutes before kickoff.
Sounds like a possibility. Thanks.
15 minutes ago, uticaclub said:Naked City/Office Bar in Paradise is the place to go. More spaceous then Moondoggies, Buffalo food is amazing. I think theres a new one close to you called The Standard. I havent been there yet
Is the Standard a Bills Backer bar as well?
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9 minutes ago, uticaclub said:
Naked City/Office Bar in Paradise is the place to go. More spaceous then Moondoggies, Buffalo food is amazing. I think theres a new one close to you called The Standard. I havent been there yet
Great advise. Thank you.
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1 minute ago, Augie said:
I don’t know what I’m going to do yet, but I’m refusing to be forced into subscribing for one more service to watch the NFL, even Bills games. They have found the point where I push back, and I wouldn’t mind having Peacock just for Dan Patrick.
Good luck finding a nice setting. I think @NewEra may have some good advice.
Yea. Tired of being forced to subscribe to a seemingly endless number of streaming networks to watch the Bills.
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27 minutes ago, BullBuchanan said:
Why not just hit a casino? they should have all the games at the sportsbook.
Always a good option. I was just looking for a more Bills bar to be surrounded by like minded fans.
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9 minutes ago, Freddie's Dead said:
I recommend The Palms sportsbook. Very comfortable, and the food court is like 100 feet away. Plenty of Bills fans every time I've gone. If you can stomach paying for parking, which I hate, the sportsbook at the MGM Grand is amazing. Hooters is also pretty good.
Bringing my wife. Hooter is probably not a smart choice. The Palms is a good option.
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I believe that if the Bills finish 3-1 and beat the fins, we will win the division.
Miami could easily go 1-3. Possibly 0-4 if the Jets defense and Wilson play well.
Miami is really banged up.
It would not be the first time the fins took a nose dive in December.
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On 12/10/2023 at 5:26 PM, harmonkillebrew said:
He was nonexistent today. He dropped at least two screens. Sheffield was in for him again multiple times on key downs.
What is going with him and the WR corps more generally?? Was it scheme or is he experiencing a major drop off?
Gabe also put up another donut.
Josh was struggling all game to find anyone to throw it to.
Please keep in mind that the KC secondary grabs and holds on every play knowing that the refs will not throw a flag on every play.
That played a huge part in the lack of completions to our wide outs.
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Help.
Can anyone recommend a Bills backers bar in Las Vegas for the Chargers game? Just out of principle, I don't want to subscribe to Peacock.
I live in Centennial Hills (northwest Las Vegas Valley)
I found Moondoggies, but the reviews were not that great.
Any other options or are the reviews for Moondoggies too harsh?
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55 minutes ago, Gregg said:
Agree but we have to see how the games play out. I will say if the Bills can beat the Cowboys, then they are in great shape to win the AFCE. Hopefully the Jets can pull off an upset this weekend as well. If that happens then the Bills should be favored to win the division. Leading up to the Bills-Dolphins game they will have at Ravens and Cowboys. The Bills have at the Herbert less Chargers and Pats.
Agreed.
Jets defense can keep Miami's scoring machine in check. Zack Wilson is playing well now. With Miami's injuries...who knows.
A Dallas win would be great, but I don't think it is a must win. It would make things much easier, but if the Billd finish out 3-1 then they should wi the division.
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20 hours ago, Gregg said:
Miami still controls their own destiny as we are two games behind them. Need them to lose one more before the Bills play them in the season finale.
Miami has not won vs a good team all season. They can easily go 1-3.
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Who is this thread about?
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13 hours ago, TheWeatherMan said:
If this is what it takes for McDingus to get fired, I’m good with it. Outside of Josh and Cook, the offense looked awful last night.
We won the game despite the KC secondary holding our receivers all through the game.
Enjoy the win if you are able.
"Lighten up Francis."
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1 hour ago, BuffaloBillyG said:
Point is no matter what is called there part of the fanbase is going to complain. The results are what is important, and in this case it all worked out.
And again, all we have heard for WEEKS is that McDermott is a dictator, a severe micromanager and needs to keep his hands out of the offense...but when he does leave it alone. he should have stepped in and overruled these calls? That's a weird double standard.
Sometimes I swear this fanbase should be named "Cybill".
A reference many on this board have no clue about.
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Never a doubt.
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Same old KC crap.
2 minutes.... way too much time
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Okay. Who is not confident now???
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McDermott’s Defense against #1 Offense? Discuss
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by longtimebillsfan
If the Bills win the Super Bowl you will still be spewing this crap.
The Bills has a bad run. IT happens.
Get over it.