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B-Man

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    The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

    COURAGE? IT’S IN SHORT SUPPLY

     

    Will our elected officials ever have the courage to talk honestly about COVID-19? That is the question asked by a reader who despairs over the countless millions of lives being devastated by governments’ shutdown orders:

     

    Here’s one of the crazier features of “expert guidance” as governors try to lay out criteria for reopening their states. With the exception of the Deep South governors (who are taking variable stances), it seems that most governors want to see declining counts of positive cases in the state.

     

    But everywhere we have tested a whole population (a ship at sea, all the women coming in for delivery in NYC, everyone in a Boston homeless shelter), the finding is that a majority (often a large majority) of infected people are asymptomatic.

    Aren’t “experts” aware of this characteristic of the disease? It has been widely reported for weeks!

     

    What this means is that confirmed cases is hugely problematic as an indicator – it just can’t tell us much about how or where the disease is spreading. If we do more tests, we’ll find more positive cases. We started out only testing the most severe cases and ones with ties to Chinese travel. Now tests are more plentiful, so more people with mild symptoms are being identified as positive. But even if we are picking up modestly more of the symptomatic cases, we’re still missing the asymptomatic cases. Given how many people have mild or no symptoms, that’s most of the cases!

     

    Case counts just don’t provide meaningful epidemiological information under these conditions. Why can’t experts seem to see this?

     

    More at the link:

     

     

     

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    • Like (+1) 1
    • Thank you (+1) 1

    Trump In the Pocket of China Like PPP Cultists are in the Pocket of Trump

    in Politics, Polls, and Pundits

    Posted

     

     

     

    20 hours ago, B-Man said:

     

     

    I'm not one to turn down a challenge .

     

    but I am going to give you two.

     

     

    if #54 (no trade up) -- Jaylen Johnson cb  Utah

     

     

    if trade up  --  A.J. Epenesa, EDGE, Iowa 

     

    20 hours ago, Warren Zevon said:

    If you hit Epenesa on a trade up I'll stop posting on PPP for a month

     

    yes please

     

    Well, you don't have to quit for a month because we didn't get him on a trade-up, as i said

     

    ?

     

     

     

     

     

    HOWEVER:

    20 hours ago, Warren Zevon said:

     

    I'll delete this thread if you can identify the Bills first pick tonight :)

     

     

    48c.jpg

     

     

     

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    • Haha (+1) 1
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