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Scrappy

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    Hello from Corey McIntyre's agent...

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    Hey everybody, it's been a while since I last posted here and I'm sure you're all pumped about the way things are looking so far. The front office has done a nice, steady job of putting the right pieces in place and I'm not at all surprised the team is 3-0. Corey had a great block on that goal line rushing TD against the Pats last week, and he continues to do his thing on special teams. Corey absolutely loves playing for the Bills and he always tells me how great the fans are up there. I've represented players on every team in the NFL, and this is easily one of the most exciting teams I've followed!

     

    Hey Brent, we're happy to have Buffalo doing so well & it's always a pleasure. Tell CM that he's our man & we're rooting him on every week!

    ESPN week 4 picks

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    Scrappy, Uncle Scooby is heading to the Cincy game to help the Bills avoid the "trap game". I'm still thinking 24-17 Cincy. I'm gonna be chewing on em early to get their head's in the game.

     

    Ok Uncle Scooby, get into their heads & stay out of that kitchen. I'll have the snacks ready for us when you get home, LOL.

     

    P.S. The Bills win this going away, maybe by 23 points or more.

    Zimmer (CB D-Coach) on Fitz: "He doesn’t go by the rules.”

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by Scrappy

    Fitz's new nickname: James Dean (Rebel with a cause)

     

    Link to story

    Fitzpatrick may be one of the smartest quarterbacks in the league, but that doesn’t mean he follows the rules when he matches wits with defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer. Zimmer admires the “little gunslinger to him.”

     

    “He’s very, very confident. He throws the ball into a lot of tight windows and he’s not afraid to throw the ball,” Zimmer said after Wednesday’s practice. “In general the rule on Cover 2 is not to throw the ball down the seam. He throws the ball down the seam. If it’s Cover 3, three-deep, or single-high, that means the rule is don’t throw into the middle of the field, throw it outside. He doesn’t go by the rules.”

    Bills showed mercy to KC with 14:01 left to play in the 4th

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by Scrappy

    I agree we eased up on KC (except for the bomb thrown to Parrish by Brad Smith). My point is "so what?". Do you want to adjust your personal forecast from the Bills being a 14 point favorite (or whatever you thought) to a 15 point advantage because the stats you value are skewed, or to 13 because they ease up when the game is in hand? Or do you think they now have a 68% chance of winning instead of 66%? So let's say the Bills advanced another 15 yard in the KC game and were the 2nd best offenses based on yards per game. How does that change your prediction?

     

    I understand fine, but really, so what? Sorry, I probably should have just read (or not) and not responded....

     

    People have a tendency to milk the defensive prowess stats on Cincy & I'm saying the Bills could be better statistically on offense if they had chosen too. So there is a greater separation than what's on paper, most likely several scores.

    Bills showed mercy to KC with 14:01 left to play in the 4th

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    Yeah, this is a weird path of reasoning. So if our stats were better overall by pouring it on in KC, we would be better able to beat the Bengals? I suppose you're saying if we had better stats then the "experts" would assume that the Bengals still aren't enough to stop us. Well, I don't know about that, you can't really get much better than #1.

     

    Consistent execution increases the likely of consistent execution, like winning breeds winning. I don't find any of that weird, it's all hidden in the stats.

    Bills showed mercy to KC with 14:01 left to play in the 4th

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by Scrappy

    You're trying way too hard, Scrappy. KD is right. How the Bills and Bengals play Sunday will determine whether they win, not what happened in the past.

     

    If you pretend that all we had to go by were the stats, so it's really important to see the accurate numbers to know just how likely it is the Bills will win (or lose :o ) this Sunday.... Be sure to analyze all of the Bengals games as well to see if there's some reason that they could have looked better too. And, look at all the lucky plays the Bills have had and see what the stats look like if Fitz was intercepted or the long PI penalty hadn't been called etc.. S

     

    Does all this leave you somewhere different than you started?

     

    If Cincy has struggled to a 1-2 record, how would they of decided to ever back down on their defensive play ?? The Bills didn't let KC's offense run ramshacked even after leading big, they shut them down. No defense is going to allow teams to score or move the ball but our offense handed the ball to Johnny White (Our 3rd string back) on 90% of our remaining plays, would you consider that backing down on offense after mutilating them the previous 3 quarters ??

     

    Does all this leave you where you can understand this now, instead of the first place ?

     

    What the hell are you talking about? :unsure:

     

    Cincy's defense has a rank (~4th best), Bills offense has a rank as well. The Bills offense if we continued to press would be ranked higher statistically if we did not back off in the 4th Quarter of the KC game. We would have more points, more total yards rushing / passing & a better overall ranking. We chosed not to play hard anymore to show KC mercy, at the sacrifice of improving ourselves statistically. Please see above link to witness how we turned the offense off at the beginning of the 4th quarter of the KC game. We never turned our defense off & had another few possessions, which based on previous results should of yielded us additional offensive gains if we so chosed.

    Bills showed mercy to KC with 14:01 left to play in the 4th

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by Scrappy

    So stats are more important than quality of opponent?

     

    The stats reflect how teams perform on the average, obviously there are other situations in which outside factors skew things (Injuries / missed calls / dropsies by WR / backs / penalties) but on the average you can see how teams will normally perform based on how they have performed this season. It's like research into how teams match-up but it really comes down to how one plays against another, which is obviously determined on the field (Any given Sunday).

    Bengals prediction thread

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted · Edited by Scrappy

    You're forgetting something...

    Q: why are the Bengals a "Top 5" defense?

    A: The 3 teams they have played do not have an offense ranked in the top 25 of the league. (26th, 27th, and dead last...respectively).

     

    Yeah this. I made that argument as well early on & Cincy has played terrible offenses versus outplaying brilliant ones. I'll take Bills 45 / Bengals 10, I don't see them being able to do anything against us & their defense has played no one worth mentioning as an offensive juggernaut (Like the Bills).

    Who does Fitz remind you of?

    in The Stadium Wall Archives

    Posted

    I see Warner with his quick release & run / gun attitude. Back in 1999, Kurt literally threw every ball & had mad WR / RB catching it everywhere. FJ reminds me of Faulk in his versatility & how fast he gets up field, amazing. CJ Spiller in space like that will light up the world as well, we're loaded for bear.

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