
sherpa
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UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Simply a brilliantly executed strike. Immensely difficult to coordinate all of these players, and there were so many. Exposes the comment made here last week that there was no interaction between the Pentagon and the WH. I remember reading that and shaking my head at the gross ignorance that claim. Just the tanking plan alone must have been incredible complicated as well as the timing of the "sweep" packages to clear the way and ensure the weapon deliverers were not engaged. Deconflicting many strike axis and precise timing of so many separate packages. I am looking forward to a detailed explanation of the scope. In the meantime, I sure hope the B2's get back to Knob Noster MO. safely. Well done. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
When you say "strike," I assume you mean missile launches, unless they still have some cells inside Iraq that could somehow penetrate US defenses. I honestly believe one of the reasons for the dramatic decrease in Iranian ballistic missile launches against Israel is because they are keeping a number in reserve for potential use against US forces in the region. If they do that, we will have two carriers in place by Sunday, and a host of incredibly capable Air Force assets, and I would unleash that capability within an hour, and completely eliminate whatever military they have left, along with the nuc facilities. No talk. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Agree. Convene the House and Senate Intel Committees and lay it out. But......The US Congress has a horrible reputation for leaking to generate political gain. I still wish he took more of a stateman's approach than this silly "I'll decide" solo nonsense. He is what he is, and that's why I've never really liked him as a leader. I do think he is very reluctant to commit US assets to the fray, but it may be the best way. And less someone get some crazy notion, that has nothing to do with US ground forces. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Normally, I would agree with backtracking to more shared power, certainly in matters of the economy and spending. But, regarding war powers, I expect and Congressional hearings would devolve into political grandstanding and sound bite seeking, and in no way have our nation's best interests as a goal. Sound bite season contributing nothing. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I get what you're saying, but the point is that right or wrong, Presidents have enjoyed very liberal interpretations of what constitutes use of military action. Both sides. Very disappointed that Tim Kaine went on this vector and I don't think his logic is close to what is being considered or likely. I used to kind of like the guy, but he has become a speed bump. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
This comes up every time military action is considered, always by the opposition. See Obama and Libya/Syria. See Clinton Bosnia. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Not my business to tell people what to think, but with the Israeli action and how this is playing out, we are WAY better off than we were a few weeks ago. Cheer up. Imagine no sponsor of Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis. Imagine Egypt, Jordan, Syria and Saudi Arabia able to coexist peacefully with Iran and Israel. It is all possible. Best two weeks in a very long time. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I don't see it that way at all. Israel was completely aware of the Natanz and Fordow facilities prior to their action. I read a detailed report of what it would take and the suggested efficacy of the US' Massive Ordnance Penetrator months ago, which isn't a guarantee. Either way, the Israelis have prosecuted this action with incredible skill and I doubt there have been any surprises other than Iranian incompetence since it began. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Back to the thread subject. The "two weeks" thing from Trump is getting a lot of attention by a poster in this thread. I won't comment in those threads, but...... I heard a couple days ago from an Israeli military expert who claimed that Israel could probable keep up its Air Force strikes for about :two weeks more." The next day Trump throws out the same number. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The best way is to eliminate the regime that has insisted on completing the project and annihilating Israel and the US. A new regime determined to get along with the rest of the world probably wouldn't object to eliminating the program. Note the pivot that Israeli offensive strikes have taken over the past 48 hours. They are no longer focused on missile launchers or the Iranian nuc program, but have gone after the regime's internal police. In my view that is a sign that while they are not going to overthrow the Islamic regime, they are making it easier for the Iranians to do it themselves. If there is no regime change, as BillsFanNC pointed out, assured compliance would be part of a settlement agreement. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Nobody has claimed they have such a weapon "at the ready." -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
That is a valid concern. The fact is that everyone knew the Iranians were violating the JCPOA. Even the Obama Administration claimed evidence of it. Never mentioned in this thread, (of course), by those who thought the John Kerry negotiated agreement was of any real value, was the reported event where the Israelis discovered detailed historical records of the program in an Iranian warehouse. 55,000 pages of documents indicating clear existing violations and intent to continue. The Israelis smuggled it out, translated it, and presented it to Trump in his first term. Anyway, there has been a constant drumbeat from intl sources about the violations up till May 31 of this year. They have never been in compliance and never intended to, JCPOA Violations Iran Docs re Nuc Program -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The less the US is involved in actual "kinetics," the easier and less problematic the transition to a new Iran becomes. No need for us now. I would expect that somewhere what's left of Iran's proxies are going to do something to try to drag the US in. Last gasp, and I hope unsuccessful. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I think the use of our 30,000 lb bomb is being overplayed by the press as some magic bullet solution to this. I read a detailed report that went into great detail on the Iranian nuc program and how difficult it would be to eliminate with the underground sites and nation wide dispersal, using standard military strikes. That was written before it became obvious that Iran's air defense is gone, wo we now would have freedom to operate with some exceptions. Once the IAEA exposed the non compliance of Iran in their May 31 report, the starting piston was fired. The Israelis have been masterful in not only eliminating a good deal of the infrastructure, but in terminating a great deal of IRGC and other leadership. I don't know how it ends, but I would assert that if any hostile actions are taken against US forces or international shipping in the Gulf or Strait, it's going to be game on for the US and catastrophic for the Iranian regime. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I simply commented on a theory that US airplanes were in Iranian airspace and someone wondering if they were AWACS. Frankly, I have strong doubts that any US airplanes were in Iranian airspace, but they certainly would not be AWACS. Your post has nothing to do with mine. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Just a small point for general information. Our AWACS capability would not require anything to be in Iranian airspace. That includes Air Force and Navy. Both services have AWACS that would be well away from that airspace and be fully capable of doing their thing. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
One of the peripheral issues in this involves the potential for unintended consequences. Iran has undoubtedly enriched nuclear material to near weapon's grade. I have no background on this, but it would be entirely undesirable to have any radiation escape. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
We just provided them more of our smaller versions yesterday, but they don't have the 30,000 pounder, the GBU 57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator, nor a means to deliver it. -
Minnesota lawmaker assassinated another shot.
sherpa replied to 4th&long's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
This is completely not related to the horrendous crime, and I don't mean to be insensitive but....... Has anyone seen these press events from MN and the bald lady doing the sign language translation for Walz and others? She is absolutely bizarre. My wife and I can't stop laughing at her. Crazy facial expressions. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The carrier you mentioned is Nimitz. Transited the Strait of Malacca, (Singapore), and into the Indian Ocean yesterday. That leaves G. Washington, which is docked in Yokosuka, Japan for the South China Sea if need be. Regarding the oil issue, while anything is possible for a couple days anyway, I can't see what's left of the IRCG having any significant impact on the Persian Gulf. They have been decimated, and they have no support in such an action. They have also failed miserably in past attempts to disrupt intl shipping. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Maybe not. Iran's chief customer is China. Disrupt oil supplies through the Gulf and you really screw one of your few allies. Further, screwing with the Strait of Hormuz has not worked well for them and guarantees US involvement immediately, which they clearly don't desire. There's plenty of supply, and Saudi Arabia and OPEC would be more than willing to boost production. As well, oil is Iran's near only money making export, so they'd be hurting themselves. The IRGC made a fortune smuggling oil during sanctions. On the underground stuff, I don't think Israel has the ability to destroy those from the air, but I expect that with the absolute shocking display on intel capability inside Iran on the ground, they may be able to have a significant impact via espionage. Different subject, but it is pure idiocy to suggest that the Sect. of Defense is in any way responsible for a towing mishap when the Truman executed an extremely aggressive turn while the process was underway, and the other one didn't "fall off," it was an arrested landing mishap, probably a wire failure from the ship, or a hook failure on the Hornet. You think they're stalling? My guess is they have no leadership left and don't even know who is dead yet. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Insane claims warrant no response. To the subject, the program never stopped, and I consider it a waste of time, just as the agreement Jimmy Carter worked out with North Korea, the "Agreed to Framework," a deal he sprung of the Clinton Administration, never stopped N. Korea. Kicking the can is a regular strategy of politicians refusing to deal with the realities of the day. -
President Trump is Quite the 'Deal-Maker'
sherpa replied to BringMetheHeadofLeonLett's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Back to the subject, I never thought he was a particularly good deal maker. His deals involved negotiating real estate deals. Real estate is a particularly easy deal, because both parties are dealing with an appreciating asset. Thus, it is profitable to both parties to conclude an agreement. I am not aware of him ever getting a tough deal done. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Laughable. Nothing has changed. The facilities to complete the project were constructed and didn't stop. Grow up. Iran is not some goofy name within the four walls of some stupid Democrat party attempt to claim success. They never changed and they won't until stopped.