JESSEFEFFER
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Posts posted by JESSEFEFFER
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10 minutes ago, ILBillsfan said:
in case anyone needs a sweet phone locked screen photo this is nice
Rookie year @ Minnesota vibes.
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So many times a great player is capable of doing something that a defender can't anticipate. It was an overthrow for most all NFL WRs. A DB with eyes on the ball would not even read Jefferson getting a hand to it. It's like all those defenders taking bad angles on Josh and whiffing on the tackle. They misread the threat.
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3 hours ago, Success said:
I haven't counted, but I have to be over 2 dozen at this point.
He has given us MANY great moments - but that was as impactful as any play he has had in the regular season, imo. For starters, just about everyone in the country was watching at that point of the game. The stakes were pretty high- if we don't pick up that 4th down, with just over 2 minutes to go, it's not a stretch to predict what probably would have happened. And now, instead of playing out the string with very little consequence, we're right in the mix for the 1 seed.
I also heard a pundit say yesterday that if the MVP race is close at all at the end, that play alone will put him over the top.
Also, it's fun to note that he started that run at the 37 yard line.
Watch Mack Hollins on the play. Looks like he is calling a TD when Josh hits the 15.
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Both recent losses to the Bengals were more about their defense, imo.
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A classic from other years:
Tua needs an "n"
to make his name aquatic
squish the Tuna fish
Now an attempted rework:
Tua needs an "h"
to give his name more meaning
Bills ballhawk Tuah
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Ok. Entering the draft as a premium talent and play well in your rookie NFL season in a major sports media market vs. being an under the radar, day 2 or 3 pick that makes the starting lineup in year 2 or 3. Which brings to mind the Mark Twain quote often used by Marv Levy:
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Sorry, but this is right up there with "the Bills need to lose more often to NFC teams" to improve their playoff seeding.
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I like how Josh slipped in the fact that he made the tackle after the interception. I saw you Josh and I bet you will point that out loudly in the film review too. Flashback to rookie year Josh Allen week 17 vs. the Dolphins. Josh had a 5 TD game, Kyle Williams got to catch a pass and Josh got fooled by a robber coverage for a pick 6 TD just before halftime, one of two for his career (can't remember the other one.) The thing about it was that Josh made the tackle attempt on that play with an all too serious karate chop at the ball. He does those moves in practices too and I think he will get one out at some point in his career or damage the defender trying, ala Jim Kelly. The fastest I ever saw Jim move was when he was chasing down an interception return.
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That's 5 road games out of their 8 played too.
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6 minutes ago, BigAl2526 said:
Is there anything harder to predict that a kicker's future importance? I've forgotten the name of the kicker Buffalo drafted one year (Gary something or other). He was 0 fer in preseason and Buffalo felt forced to release him. He signed shortly thereafter with Pittsburgh and had a Hall of Fame career. Bass is struggling right now. It's probably a mental thing. Who knows when or if he'll snap out of it. Sometimes a team change will help. Same thing with Havrisik. Maybe with a fresh start on a new team he'll be better. There are no guarantees though.
Gary Anderson was drafted by the Bills. He had played at Syracuse and I read a story somewhere, likely at TBD, that he had missed his preseason kicks on purpose to get the Bills to release him and then he could find his own career opportunity. That's a power move if true and it fits that agents often tell their clients that it is better to be a UDFA where you can pick the situation you think is best for your career even though being drafted is an ego boost.
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In a desperation move, Tyler should have his vision checked, ala Ricky Vaughn. I was developing astigmatism in my later teens and did not know it. Regular vision checks were not a thing then and maybe not now. I could hit fastballs again with corrected vision. Maybe Tyler is randomly missing the sweet spot between foot and ball.
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14 minutes ago, DapperCam said:
Feels like they usually give a reset in that situation
An official was standing over the ball waiting for a ready signal from the referee as the play clock expired. Shades of Rex Ryan Bills in Seattle.
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55 minutes ago, DJB said:
Nice. I am waiting for the day when Josh over with these. Over with what you might ask? Deez nuts are over Rated!
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I think this group of pass catchers will have a lower drop% and more RAC yards than any Josh has played with before. But, they will not get much credit for being better as there won't be any pushing for league wide accolades. Our world is conditioned to respect greatness and to connect it with stardom.
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Not likely an underhanded spiraling pass could look like an NFL punt. I've seen many high school games and many punts in them that looked like that throw.
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20 minutes ago, Cash said:
Slightly off-topic, but I think Allen has a pretty strong chance to win MVP this year. Obviously a lot has to go right for that to happen, but the national perception/narrative is set up in Allen’s favor. With us losing Diggs/Davis/et al, the team is expected to take a step back on both offense and defense. IF the Bills keep winning at the same pace as the last few years, it’s probably because Allen is putting up big numbers - totals, efficiency, or both.
In that scenario, the MVP voters will tend to give Allen 100% of the credit for the team still being good, and likely will be writing about how Allen is making a bunch of nobodies look good.
I agree with this. Also, given the schedule, he has a chance to outshine Mahomes, Jackson, Stroud, Stafford, Purdy, Murray, Lawrence, Goff, Herbert, Rodgers(2X) and Tua (2X) in head to head matchups. The visual of having a decent record and beating most of those teams would make a powerful case for him.
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8 minutes ago, HereComesTheReignAgain said:
One of the "coaches an executives" actually voted Josh in tier 3! That is so laughably ridiculous that whoever made that vote should never be allowed near a football team again.
That must be someone that overvalues robotic QB play.
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The Athletic just published a tier ranking of 30 NFL QBs (rookies are excluded) as determined from a composite tier ranking of 50 NFL coaches and executives. Josh was in Tier 1, as expected, but his composite score was 1.2 which means approximately 10 of the 50 would have had him in Tier 2, but below Joe Burrow. This is interesting in that one might consider the profile of those choosing Tier 2. Josh is something of a loose cannon at times and there would be those that are scared by that and might consider it a flaw.
Anyways, this brings me to the Pro Football Reference side by side comparison of Josh and Patrick over their last 4 years which was something I wanted to present to previous discussions. Big difference in YAC favoring Patrick and rushing yards/TDs favoring Josh. Lots to consider there.
One can isolate regular season or post season numbers. YAC is the biggest difference, imo, as it is a difference of over 3,000 yards. It makes me wonder if the WR room was more reconstructed with an eye toward improving the YAC in the offense. This is something we haven't seen much evidence of at this point, but it might be the secret sauce to a Bills offensive improvement over previous years.
Pro Football Reference Josh vs. Patrick --Years 2020 thru 2023
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Warren Sharp has a nice reputation but I would want to know
1) Are the Bills worse in the RZ than average?
2) Are the Bills worse in 1st and goal situations than average?
3) How does Josh's success running the ball in these situations negatively impact his EPA as a passer? More TDs running means less TDs passing and that has to impact EPA. But, by how much? Quantify it then tell me about about your conclusion.
4) I suspect that QBR trumps passing EPA in this regard. I do not know if that split exists but, if it does and he still ranks at the bottom, then ok, Warren has a point. If not, and QBR is near the middle or toward the top, I say BS on his conclusion.
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1 hour ago, Kirby Jackson said:
You need a certain amount of bodies at each position to fill the camp roster. They “neglected” it because they didn’t care about the quality of those bodies. So while they added some bodies, as every single team does, they neglected the need for quality. Not sure what’s strange?
Shakir has some ability but is a former 5th rounder with some production in a limited role. He’s now a focal point. We are calling Samuel a “priority FA” and he got a fraction of the contract of Gabe. Coleman was the 8th guy taken, period. If the Bills were higher on him, they wouldn’t have moved down once, let alone twice, risking the opportunity to take him. They obviously didn’t love the prospect. I don’t hate the idea of taking some former busts (Hamler, Claypool, Isabella, etc) and having them compete for the last spot. The Bills planned on needing those guys. That’s a failed strategy (again not surprising).
If you were to rank these WRs (WRs only) against the rest of the NFL, where would you have them? I’m on record that this group is between 30-32. If you are as high as it seems, please list the NFL teams that you believe are worse at WR than the 2024 Buffalo Bills (hint: it’s a VERY short list).
1) I will quote the last line of my previous post: "We won't know what this group is until they play real games with QB1 running the show. This was to be the case regardless of what they did or did not do to overhaul the position."
2) So is Diggs.
3) As of the TB game last year, Shakir likely played 70+% of snaps. They gave him a bigger role last year and he produced.
4) In the tradition of John Brown, Cole Beasley and Robert Foster, I expect Curtis Samuel to play the best football of his NFL career in an offense run by Josh Allen. I think he is likely to out-produce Gabe Davis regardless of the value of the contracts they signed.
5) I don't think they planned on needing any of those guys. They had 2nd round athletic pedigrees and the Bills were hoping to improve the depth on their 53 and practice squad with them. Maybe one pops and earns a bigger gameday role, an opportunity likely generated by injury to someone else, and that's when they become needed but I do not think any one of them was counted on for a big role in the offense at signing.
6) Refer to answer #1.
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2 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:
This is the least surprising development of the offseason. The Bills neglected the position. They let 4 of their top 5 from 2023 go (including a former all-pro). They replaced them by elevating a guy, signing a solid to good offensive weapon and drafted the 8th WR in the draft after 2 trade downs. They followed that by counting on a bunch of busts and role players. Here we are, weeks from the start of the season and we aren’t happy with the group. Color me shocked…
This is a strange post to say they neglected the position and then list 4 things they did to address the position. You may not like what they did but there is no need to mischaracterize the steps they did take. Shakir was elevated last year starting with the Tampa Bay game and out performed Diggs and Davis in the process, Samuel was a priority as a free agent and got the biggest deal of the offseason and Coleman may have been the 8th taken but he may have been much higher on the Bills draft board which would make the 2 trade downs irrelevant. Giving a new chance to other "busts" to fill out the bottom of the group and maybe stash on the the practice squad or use on special teams is a smart, lower cost approach. I recall no advocates here for retaining Hardy, Sherfield or Davis for a $13M AAV cost.
We won't know what this group is until they play real games with QB1 running the show. This was to be the case regardless of what they did or did not do to overhaul the position.
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4 hours ago, Billl said:
Makes sense to me. Lots of people in third world countries grew up wearing Bills championship gear.
OK. Just to back this up. A comedian at the Lucille Ball comedy festival in Jamestown, Opey Olagbaju, who spent part of his youth in Nigeria made a joke about this last night. He claimed that the championship T-shirts of losing Super Bowl teams would end up there and by the 4th year they had gotten tired of getting them. He claimed he once told the joke with Andre Reed in the audience.
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2 hours ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:
Yeah you can make that argument.
I do think having guys from different eras is worthy too. NFL has evolved so much and one way of looking at it is who was the best in their respective eras. Then you try to rank order their relative dominance compared to others.
Newton took such a beating both In and out of the pocket. No doubt it ruined his career.
This is a commonly held belief about Cam but if you do the research there were two isolated events that ruined his right shoulder. One was a tackle attempt after an interception and the other was TJ Watt driving his helmet into Cam's armpit while in the middle of his throwing motion. I do not think cam showed much decline as a runner but his arm looked like it was wrecked during his time with the Patriots.
Tackle attempt versus Chargers
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On 6/23/2024 at 4:29 AM, BullBuchanan said:
Vote dolphins. We'll be playing the dolphins in Miami on 4 days rest on September 12th. High chance of it being the Heat Stroke Game all over again. They have so much talent on their team that if they split with us, I could see them winning more games than us for sure. The Jets are a possibility. Rodgers may have one more year where he can throw a team on his back, but I'm not a believer right now.
Not likely to be 120F on the Bills sideline given that it's a night game.
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Green Bay @ Detroit - TNF thread
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Except if there is a strong prevailing wind and you want it for the fourth quarter.