JESSEFEFFER
-
Posts
2,664 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by JESSEFEFFER
-
-
1 hour ago, KDIGGZ said:
He lost me with Xavier Leggette as round 1 and the 4th receiver on the board over Brian Thomas Jr. I've watched a lot of these and nobody has ever been that high on Leggette. It reminds me of when Chris Trepasso had Mason Rudolph as his QB1 and said he would be the next Marino. I think these guys try to be controversial on purpose so if it pans out then they look smart
He had D K Metcalf at the top of round 1 his draft year also. That's him being true to his evaluation, imo. Pick a combo block, hit a seam, break an arm tackle and go. May be a great KO return guy in the new format.
-
3
-
2
-
-
12 hours ago, GASabresIUFan said:
The more I read and the more mock drafts I simulate on the net, the more I've come to the conclusion that Beane needs to acquire two more top 100 picks in order to meet the team's needs for a starting WR, and good rotational players (and possible 2025 starters) at S, DL and Edge.
When I look at rankings and the mock drafts there is a tier of WRs from 28-45 (Mitchell, McConkey, Worthy, Coleman and Pearsall), a tier of safeties from 65-80 (Bullard, Nubin, Kinchens, Bishops and Bullock), a tier of DL from 50-70 (Jenkins, Orhorhoro, Hall, Smith & Fiske) and a tier of edge players 65-90 (Isaac, Braswell, Booker, Trice & Elliss). The Bills currently have picks 28 & 60 and then nothing until 128. There are also some Edge players at approx 28 (Robinson & Kneeland), WRs at 60ish (Legette, Polk, Corley, Wilson).. I also like WR Devontez Walker as a possible 3rd rd steal.
There are 4 approaches to get the picks we need. 1) Trade down from 28. This should garner us a top 100 pick for just moving down a few slots. 2) Trade down from 60. To get a top 100 pick this way, we'll have to add one of our 4th rd picks. A deal might look like 60 and 133 for 65 & 94. 3) The 3rd method would be to package our 4th rd picks and additional 5th or 6th rd picks to move back into the late 3rd rd. Lastly, I can see Beane trading our 2nd or 3rd in 2025 plus a later pick in 2024 to get back into the 2nd or 3rd rd, especially with the Minn 2nd in hand.
Depending of how the draft falls on Thursday, I'd trade down from 28 to 31 for SF's 3rd rd pick (94). The second move I'd make is trading our 3rd rd pick in 2025 and a 4th in 2024 (133) to Atl for pick 79.
When I mocked this, I walked away with McConkey at 31, Fiske at 60, Ellis at 79 (we like Utah players after all
) and Bullock at 94. I then added Green (CB FSU) at 128, McCaffrey (WR Rice) at 144 and my sleeper Guerendo (RB Louisville) at 160.
Thoughts on the strategy(s)?
The mock drafts I have liked the most involved a trade back and a WR double dip. Four picks in the top 100 seems compatible with those ideas. Greg Tompsett of Cover1 used the analogy of needing to hit a bullseye and it being better to have more premium darts rather than taking a step or two closer to the board but only having one. The Bills had many darts in the 1985 draft and the 4th round, 2nd WR they drafted made the H-o-F.
I also can't see the Bills staying put at 28. Every other team knows the Bills have that glaring need and those having the same need have every incentive to jump in front of the Bills and get any valued talent that might have fallen there.
-
If you have predraft media coverage fatigue and 3 months is enough time for your post playoff loss soul to recover, J T has dropped his review of Josh's playoff loss performance. These are always informative and well done, imo.
-
4
-
3
-
-
15 minutes ago, BullBuchanan said:
How often do total bust WRs turn it around? I'd rather draft someone from a D3 school in the 7th that we haven't seen be awful in the NFL yet.
I think WR production is more at the mercy of HC/OC/QB/OL circumstances than any position other than QB. So, if you are the Bills and you can identify a WR who you had a high grade on in their draft year but you are convinced came into the NFL into a poor situation or has had bad injury luck, you should be able to get him for less investment and on a cheaper deal and have a reason to believe that they have a shot to thrive with the Bills. It's the nature vs. nurture argument. Foster, Brown, Beasley, Diggs all had better years with the Bills and Josh than they had previously. Burks may or may not be such a candidate but there must be others.
-
Maybe they draft Patrick Mahomes. Terry and Doug liked him we were told but there is no way that a lame duck GM gets to make the franchise altering, QB choice. That choice was clearly going to be made in 2018. I think if they hadn't lost that game to the Dolphins in OT where there were only 10 on the field after a timeout, Rex might not have been fired.
-
If they go into the draft with the present WR need so clearly evident, they almost can't stay put. If any decent value 1st round talent is falling toward them, every other WR needy team has every reason to trade in front of the Bills and take him. Beane has had it happen to him before and I think that is why he trades up so often. Probably one of the worst feelings of regret that he ever gets is when he can see a targeted talent falling to him only to lose him while only a few picks away. He usually does everything he can to go into the draft without such an obvious need. But, this year looks different.
-
Driving a proper vehicle will not be of benefit to anyone if it runs into a multicar pileup during a whiteout.
-
15 hours ago, NewEra said:
If we stay healthy:
I think there’s about a 33% chance we make Super Bowl if we continue playing like we have.
55% if we can figure out some things on O.
I'd say once they are in as a 2 seed, the answer is close to 20 percent. ( .7 x .6 x .45)
-
1
-
-
22 minutes ago, Ya Digg? said:
So obviously I know what this all means, but maybe you should break it down for, uh, the other posters who, like, don’t get this….because again obviously I do
I think the purpose of this site is to look for meaningful and predictive tools at determining point spreads and looks for value vs. the "Vegas" number. This says that Josh is the most valuable point spread QB (MVPS.) I like many of the other things at the website. It has the Bills at #2
5 minutes ago, JGMcD2 said:
That is a classic. It should be mentioned by Josh's presenter at his Hall-of-Fame ceremony.
-
1
-
-
Ok. I haven't thought I could add much to this discussion other than there is no other QB I'd rather have for the Bills than Josh. This is true in most every way conceivable. He has exceeded all reasonable expectations in almost every way possible. But, I was doing some self educating and found the NFelo website and took this snip. I tell my kids that math is beautiful because it is the basis of science and science is the best hope of humanity. So, I rest my case.
-
2
-
1
-
-
9 hours ago, Eastport bills said:
Much respect for the incredible career covering over 50 years in all the professional sports. Now at 80, Michaels doesn’t bring the fire anymore and the he wines publicly about being given bad matchups. It’s time for Al to call it a career. I personally don’t think his heart is in it anymore. The pairing with Herbstreet has little chemistry and the ratings are low by NFL standards.
For the last few years of Ryan Fitzpatrick's playing career, I kept making the point that he would be a great candidate for a network broadcast job if he wanted one. His 9 city playing career, smarts and personality made him a uniquely qualified candidate to add to an NFL broadcast. But, I was not thinking of a Harvard version of the Terry Bradshaw studio commentator role. I thought he could be a better version of Tony Romo. Smarter, more fun, more league wide connections, more self aware, more energy. I think the only thing Herbstreit brings to the role is that he has many more years of having done it, albeit in his unremarkable, lowkey style.
-
3 hours ago, Ya Digg? said:
Since Josh has this perception of being turnover prone and that seems to be the biggest thing people talk about with him, why is there not the same narrative about Trevor Lawrence? He has 8 games in his career (including today) where he has had 3+ turnovers. By comparison, Josh only has 5. Not only that, he has only 1 less turnover than Josh has since the start of 2022.
So how is it that turnovers are never really something mentioned with Lawrence? My guess is it has something to do with his draft status and him being a “can’t miss” prospect
Expectation - Reality = Disappointment. Bills have been in the mix for the Lombardi for 4 years now. Not much has been expected of the Jags. When a team hangs out in the disappointment zone, fingers are going to be pointed at the QB and head coach.
-
11 hours ago, Taro Nimbus said:
I really dislike Harlans voice during a broadcast.
I like his voice. It's forceful and he can raise the volume of his voice without raising the pitch. I think Don Criqui was much the same style. I do not favor the shrieking style unless it's for my team. Then it's ok. For the too young to know crowd:
Don Criqui is an American sportscaster. He holds the record for longest-tenured NFL broadcaster in U.S. TV history, calling NFL football for 47 seasons on NBC and CBS. Wikipedia
Born: 1940 (age 83 years), Buffalo, NY
Education: University of Notre Dame, St Joseph's Collegiate Institute
Sports: American football, basketball, ice hockey, golf, tennis
-
1
-
-
On 12/19/2023 at 8:48 PM, Since1981 said:
“I started off too strong” (gifts to OL)
Josh has made my life better and I smile when he smiles. Merry Christmas all.
What should our boy do???
—actual Vince Lombardi items
Maybe this SI article for reference.
Josh-Allen-jokes-Christmas-gifts-getting-expensive-for-Buffalo-Bills-offensive-line
-
1
-
-
5 minutes ago, Bogie_Klinkhammer said:
The Dolphins fans are content to fry the Bills in 90 sunlight while the fins rest in the shade.
Happens every year.
I think the Bills will enjoy a January trip to South Florida, maybe for a night game. Josh has played well in that stadium with good results other than the 12OF in the sun game with the Bills offense on the field for 90+ snaps where Diggs needed 2 IVs, OL got decimated with Tommy Doyle finishing out the game although his knee was wrecked and the offense lost the juice to finish 12+ play drives with TDs. The Bills will play well there in week 18 and the Bills Mafia will show up and make themselves seen and heard. If they had to return for a playoff game, that would be fine with me too.
-
1
-
-
48 minutes ago, HomeskillitMoorman said:
Do people really not like those? I love the all reds.
To each their own but my opinion is that all the Bills colors should show. The all whites work because they make the red and blue stand out even though they are only trim. The reds do the opposite.
-
He had very memorable roles, which is the ultimate sign of great acting, imo. There was a cold case on Homicide-Life on the Street that involved the murder of a little girl and how that case weighed on the detectives. Doing some research I found that this episode won Tom Fontana a writing Emmy. I always thought they could make a full length film with some of the those same characters in which the cold case was solved. There is huge drama involved in the closure of cold cases, such that they can make a TV series based on the real life examples of when it has happened. It would have been solid with Andre as the lead or somehow involved. Also in the research, the Adena Watson story line was based on an actual case in the city of Baltimore and out of respect for the family the producers decided to not have a resolution to it. I wonder if that is still true.
-
Once the details were laid out in the civil suit, Araiza's future with the Bills was over. Up until then, there were only vague accusations made by her attorney, Dan Gilleon, and it's likely neither the Bills nor Matt knew what the specifics were to be. Once they were described in the civil suit it became a much bigger deal. No way the Bills were going to enter the 2022 season with a rostered player with that kind of legal and civil threat hanging over their future. It was destined to be a media frenzy of which the Bills did not need or want any part. Her lawyer was going to make sure of that and the slow pace of the legal system would prevent any quick resolution.
Also, there are no grounds for any suit against the Bills, imo. NFL teams make 1000+ of roster cuts every year and they can be for any reason. I'd bet there is language in their contracts that spell that out whether the NFLPA likes it or not.
New York State is an “Employment-at-Will” state. That means that an Employer may terminate an Employee at any time and for any legal reason or no reason at all. Likewise, an Employee may terminate his or her employment at any time.
-
2
-
-
10 minutes ago, Southern_Bills said:
Will Levis has something. Not sure how far it will go but he has something.
He has traits for sure.
-
1 minute ago, TBBills Fan said:
Horrible throw
Strange route to bend that back to the only DL there.
-
Two Tua fumbles on one play.
-
1 hour ago, SinceThe70s said:
Thanks - but my son subsequently showed me the press conference and he was upset that Toney was called Offside on the throwback play.
Just speculating, but maybe some lingering p!ssiness from the non-call at the end of the Packers game.
Definitely not a look I've seen from Mahomes. The fact that he was that p!ssed after the game makes me wonder if it affected him on the three plays that followed the penalty.
When that play happened and Von broke down over the line at the snap I thought it was a free play for the Chiefs. Happy for no flag. Very happy,
-
1
-
1
-
-
43 minutes ago, SinceThe70s said:
What was Mahomes p!ssed about?
Bills close to being Offside on that 4th down play. I think he assumed he had a free play but no flag.
-
2 minutes ago, Bubba Gump said:
Sideline official
Maybe thought Bills were across the line and should have had a free play.
How do the Bills add 2 top 100 picks this draft in order to fill the team's needs?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
That is one top 100 pick acquired and one to go, There's plenty of 4th and 5th round capital to get the next one and have a total of 4 in the top 100. Or maybe some team will overpay for #33 after examining their board overnight. Just sayin'.