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BuffaloBill

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Posts posted by BuffaloBill

  1. 4 hours ago, Einstein said:

     

    How did we get into that cap bind.

     

     

    Von Miller, Tre White, Diggs (last seven games) and Milano were all non-factors and high dollars last year.  The Bills also became by NFL standards an “old” team. It’s time for a roster refresh. 

     

    To your nearly crusading point, KC has been better at it - though the Bills were very unlucky with injuries last year. 

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  2. 1 hour ago, PBF81 said:

     

    BTW, no insinuation that you said we only needed speed, just addressing the mob mentality.  

     

    My point is that there's no clear-cut vision for this offense.  That's because we really have no offensively oriented person with any significant experience on our entire staff.  Daboll was the best there but even he had his flaws.  Contrast that with the defense where we have McD and a staff laden with people capable of adding to his prowess.  All of our top staff are defensively oriented, at least those with the most and highest level experience.  

     

    The WR configuration that we have necessarily predicates that our QB play more like Brady, Purdy, or Burrow than the way that Allen has played.  While watching games I routinely point out, numerous times per game, how Allen overlooks players underneath whereby a completion would have resulted in a 1st-down or a big gain otherwise, but where he goes deep, sometimes hitting, sometimes missing.  But the point is that to make use of the WR cadre that we now have, Allen's going to really have to go into checkdown mode, but that's something he's never really done regularly or been top-notch at.  He's got a whole lot of skills, but that's not among his best, at least he's not employed that.  

     

    So from that perspective it will be interesting.  

     

    Much of the dissatisfaction with McD that many of us express, is related to the fact that we continually build our team around the D.  Once again, two of our three day 1 & 2 picks were for the D when our most glaring need was at WR with half both our yardage and TD production no longer on the team.  Meanwhile, it's a real reach for anyone to suggest that Allen couldn't have a whole lot better around him.  What we may have may be adequate, but to restate, Allen will necessarily have to really really hone his "high-percentage passing game" if we're to make optimal use of our offensive roster.  

     

    And getting back to that vision for our offense, last year the staff told us that they wanted to get faster at RB which is why they let Singletary go, and why they traded Moss, yet here we spend a 4th-rounder on all but a Moss clone.  It doesn't line up, there's zero consistency from season to season in the approach of the offense, it's almost entirely shooting from the hip.  

     

    On a side note, will we have the fortune that we had with an injury-free OL last season again.  If not, that could also complicate matters, are we content with our OL depth.  Just food for thought.  

     

    We'll find out come September.  But NE and the Jets won't be worse, and they both beat us once each, NE nearly twice with us requiring a defensive TD to win that game, and while we own Miami, it may be more difficult to beat them, who knows.   But Diggs has averaged 84 YPG against them and nearly a TD/game.  Last season he averaged over 100 YPG against them and had 3 TDs.  He could have had two more in the last game but for Allen badly overthrowing him for what would have been a TD, and Allen going to Knox OTM on a play that would have been a TD to him also.  

     

    So we'll see.  

     

     

     

     

    Do you not see that Brady will change the style of the offense at least somewhat?  There is are some teams across the league push torwards youth in offensive coaching.  

     

    I will grant you that Brady is unproven but I look forward to seeing what he will do.  I am one of the few around here who has said the Bills are better off without Diggs. I like the fact that the Bills have built a varied WR and TE groups.  Defenses seem to have figured out Diggs and Davis.  KC did for sure.  The Bills now have combinations of size and speed.  Additionally they can go deep, play short and throw over the middle.

     

    No doubt Josh will have his favorite routes and tendencies.  However, The NFL is a cat and mouse league. Teams will figure you out and you have to be able to do several things well.

     

    We will have to see what the product looks like on the field but I am excited.

  3. 45 minutes ago, PBF81 said:

     

    Yeah, it'll be interesting to be sure.  

     

    It's always interesting to assess the approach.  i.e., is there a clear-cut methodology in play.  Unfortunately the answer is no.  

     

    First, we needed a guy that could "stretch the D" and take the coverage downfield.  We didn't do that.  Instead we draft a guy with traits similar to Davis.  

     

    57% catch %

    Not the best route runner 

    Big, physical

     

     

    So we can expect Coleman to have the career that Boldin had then? 

     

     

    It's funny, before the draft the talk was primarily about how we needed a WR that's could take the top off.  

     

    Now that we didn't draft that kind of WR it's unnecessary.  

     

    This place is too funny sometimes.  

     

     

     

    I was not one of the ones  saying we only needed speed.  Look who the Bills have on the roster at WR:

     

    KJ Hamler 4.27 (claims this per pro day - open to debate)

    Curtis Samuel: 4.31

    Andy Isabella: 4.31

    Lawrence Keys: 4.35

    Khalil Shakir 4.43

    Mack Hollins: 4.53

    Bryan Thompson:  4.54

    Justin Shorter: 4.55

    Tyrell Shavers: 4.59

    Keon Coleman: 4.61

    Xavier Johnson: 4.64

     

    The Bills have added speed or guys known for it. In Coleman they also added a guy who has all of the markings of a possession receiver who has hands of superglue (two dropped balls).  

     

    Initially, I was frustrated with the pick. The more I see and think about it the more I like what the Bills have done. 

     

    For those who simply wanted unproven straight line speed (i.e. Xavier Worthy) - the Bills picked up KJ Hamler and Samuel who are both fast. Samuel is a very known person to the coaching staff.

     

    Coleman, like any draft pick, will have to prove himself. Let’s hope he does.

     

     

     

  4. 17 hours ago, oldmanfan said:

    So there are a certain number of folks here who are wailing and gnashing teeth over Coleman because he’s not fast.  That we don’t place emphasis on speed.  So let’s do some math and compare a supposed fast time (4.2) with the supposed slow time of 4.6, which if memory serves correct is Coleman.
     

    The formula is simple:  40 yards/time gives you how many yards per second.

     

    For 4.2:  40/4.2= 9.5 yards/sec

    For 4.6:  40/4.6 = 8.7 yards/sec

     

    So if you have a guy running 40 yards downfield they’d gain about 3 yards. At 4.2 vs 4.6.  Seems like a significant difference although I haven’t run stats.  But I also don’t consider other variables like time to accelerate to maximum speed, effect of equipment on times, and such.  
     

    For me I’d be looking not just for speed, but how fast you get to top speed, how long you can maintain top speed, arm length (longer arms may negate the gap based purely on speed), quickness in getting in and out of breaks.  And likely more if I gave it more thought.  This is why Marcel St. Jacques wrote an article for espn.com indicating the 40 time isn’t very useful anymore.

     

    So this kid may not be a sprinter, but he’s quite the athlete (all state basketball), young still, will have height advantages over many corners.  I’m intrigued to see what he and other drafted guys bring to the table.

     

    Six word response:

     

    Anquan Boldin ran a 4.7 40

  5. 8 minutes ago, harmonkillebrew said:

    Interesting analysis on the 5th year option and 1st v. 2nd rd salaries and new CBA.  Seems consensus now is that it's better to pick in the top of the 2nd then in the bottom of the 1st.   

     

     

    Bean may be looking at trade up options in the second and third rounds.  My hunch is the Bills are after a DT and two wide receivers with their next three picks.  

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  6. 10 hours ago, Old Coot said:

    Why would the Panthers trade to jump ahead of the Bills? Presumably they were afraid the Bills would take their guy Legette.

     

     

    But the Bills likely found out who Carolina would take with the pick before the trade.  To me it seems the Bills did not want Legette and certainly not that high.

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  7. All well and good but, now I am feeling like Cooper DeJean is about to be the pick at 33. Then I think they go WR by trading up from #60.  Depending on who is available they may also grab another WR in 3 or 4.

     

    Personally I think Worthy will be a bust as he is too small to take NFL hits.    

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  8. 2 hours ago, Maynard said:

    The closer we get to the draft the more I want us to move up to 8 and grab Odunze. I don’t expect him to slip past Chicago. I know this mortgages our future, but Odunze has character, intelligence, and elite skills. He’d be perfect for Allen. If we can’t make that happen, I’d be okay to move out of the first round altogether and take 2 WR’s to buck the odds. 

     

     

    I still feel burned by the Watkins trade and scenario.  WR is too much of a crap shoot to burn future picks.

  9. 12 hours ago, Mikie2times said:

    Will watch it again. Really great analysis. He liked the shot to Shakir vs going to Diggs on the highly debated 2nd down play. Called out a potential bad read by multiple players on the 1st down run play. I didn't realize how much real estate Allen likely had if that is a read option and he pulls the ball out. He might have scored. Also discussed the 3rd down, Shakir was open on the left side for what likely is a first down. Allen didn't look that way. He was drooling over Josh's playmaking ability. Riding Diggs hard. Called him out several times for lack of effort and finishing routes. You see it. Lazy routes, rounded, not at the distances needed. 

     

    Josh is one of the most insane playmakers in NFL history and his out of structure game is at a level few players have ever seen. Something to be said for boring, repeatable, drop back and throws. Brady was the king of this. Structured stuff is what Josh needs to keep improving on. I think Brady had him going in the right direction with that last year. Seems to do much better when we try and establish the run and work in the shorter designed passes as we did vs KC. 

     

    Really worth the watch. 

     

     

    If he was calling out Diggs you know the Bills coaching staff was aware. People here are bawling over the loss of Diggs but he was a non factor in the last seven games of 2023.  Additionally he has been a ghost vs. the chefs in the playoffs.  I am convinced that the Bills are better off without him it’s time to move on.

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  10. 53 minutes ago, EmotionallyUnstable said:

    Chicago Bears get: Josh Allen

     

    Buffalo Bills get: #1, #9, 2025 1st and 2nd

     

    If not, what would it take? Everybody’s got a price!

     

     I might do it in 2038 if josh is still playing.  The Bills more or less pulled this sort of trade of with an old and much less potent OJ.

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  11. 5 hours ago, Coach Tuesday said:

    https://theathletic.com/5416007/2024/04/16/nfl-drafting-methods-insight-massey-thaler/?source=user_shared_article
     

    Great article from the Athletic.  Basically says that teams routinely over-estimate their own ability to predict player performance and as a result overestimate the value of their own specific picks.  Instead, they should maximize the number of lottery tickets they’re buying.

     

    Thoughts?

     

     

    This is why I fear trading way up in the 1st round. Have to give up too much for a risky pick.

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  12. 1 hour ago, NeverOutNick said:

    This is from nbc sports “Sutton has just $2 million guaranteed on his current deal with Denver after catching ten touchdowns on 59 receptions in 2023. Sutton, headed into his age-29 season, profiles as the team’s No. 1 wideout after the Broncos dealt Jerry Jeudy to the Browns this offseason. Sutton could be seeking a short-term deal with more guaranteed money ahead of the 2024 season. He’ll work with his tenth starting quarterback in his seven pro seasons.”

     

    I am the front runner for drafting multiple wide receivers in this draft class because it’s so good and deep. This is one of the few guys I would trade for though. If we could give up a fourth round pick next year to get Cortland Sutton, I would be on cloud nine. Guy is a star with less than competent QB play. He would absolutely thrive with Josh, hopefully Odunze on the other side after he slides in the draft and we don’t give up much to get him and Kincaid, samuel and Shakir eating up the middle. 

     

     

    No need for Diggs contract part Duex.  He’s too old in NFL years.

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