SDS

I would like to say "you are welcome"..... For those of you who missed this election because you followed it on Slate or Salon - you can catch up on what happened at The Corner at National Review. They did an OUTSTANDING job of relaying CREDIBLE inside info from the BC04 campaign. Also, Jay Cost - you are the man! http://jaycost.blogspot.com/ I know you are just a blogging hack, but you brought insight and science and reason along with your partisan bent. You searched for truth and you reported it every step of the way.

please stop with the mental masturbation.... I'm talking REAL possibilities - not Alaska flipping to blue. Ohio is that last chance for Kerry to flip red votes to blue votes and get 270.

it is now his final play.

call JFK and give him hope because even they are giving in.... call that quaking fowl a duck and move on....

and I'm not listening to you!

all I can say, is that the people I have chosen to listen to - partisan hacks or not - have been spot on ALL DAY.

Fox reporting one Bushie now assuring Ohio is a Bush win - expecting the final talley to be +120k.

I think most of us would be better served if either you actually presented some actual data to further this discussion or jkust shut yer pie hole if you have nothing to say.

I'm sorry that actuall vote tallies and comparisons to actual vote tallies aren't objective enough for you....

source Roll Call or The Hill (I don't remember) how does she get in AGAIN?

they needed to do BETTER here in order offset the rural areas.... Developing...

the time for interpreting the shape of one's stool as an election indicator is over. Votes are being counted - if there is a precinct by precinct, county by county shift in OH to Kerry - let us know.

what evidence do you have that OH is going to Kerry? Did Jack Daniels tell you that?

Not really sound.... just reactionary. I'm disappointed. High voter turnout didn't phase me because if you listen to the W campaign - they CLEARLY pulled out all stops on the GOTV. For example, I believe this is for PA, they contacted 300k in 3 months in 2000. This year they contacted 1.6M in 72 friggin' hours.... They may lose Pa, but the ground game for W has been fuggin' impressive.

if you want real Ohio/Florida numbers analysis - go to: http://jaycost.blogspot.com/ Exit polls had Kerry winning VA, SC, and NC.... yeah... that happened. Exit polls: :I starred in Brokeback Mountain:

screw the people of Ohio - it only matters what the judges in MA declare is right and just for America.

if he is right it is only because of the blind squirrel phenomenon. Of course he is going to say that. He is going by the same bogus numbers that everyone else is. If he said anything else he would have to justify his statements with no data. Yet, these polls qualify as no "data"... E. Dole was down by 6 in these polls in 2000 - she won by 9.... The list of similar outcomes is long. In fact, they did AWAY with the VCS polling in 2000 it was so inaccurate.

if you're not reading The Corner... what the hell are you reading? http://www.nationalreview.com/thecorner/corner.asp

NRO is saying these aren't really exit polls form today, but they could possibly be "early voter" numbers...

exactly what is interesting about a +20 Kerry lead in a dead-locked state like PA?

The GOP GOTV is massive this year and beyond anything they have ever done. like an order of magnitude or greater. Also, the typical marginal democrat vote will be surpressed because the cost of voting is very high this year with the long lines. Kerry may win, but it isn't because of what you said.